鉭：全球市場預測（2008年至2013年）

本報告已在2012年03月02日停止出版。

更改為出版

全球的鉭市場展望（2012∼2017年）

TANTALUM: World Market Outlook: 2012-2017

出版日期 : 2012年02月

商品編碼: 233271

簡介

目錄

Abstract

This study covers Tantalum Ore, Engineered Tantalum Materials, Tantalum Capacitors, Superalloys, Cemented Carbides, Coatings and Liners, Lighting and Optics, and Emerging Markets for tantalum.

The study forecasts demand for tantalum based upon its unique attributes of capacitance, durability, corrosion and heat resistance; as well as its unique optical properties to 2013.

The study addresses key issues facing the industry between 2008 and 2013, including the imminent price increases for the metal, its potential deficit supply; the forecast data for demand in capacitor anodes, cemented carbide cutting tools, nickel based superalloys, wear parts; coatings and liners; and its two unique markets in tantalum wire and tantalum targets. Critical Sections of

2008-2013 Forecasted deficits in ore supply to 2013. Shifts in the global market for ores and concentrates. Powder inventories in the supply chain. Volume of Consumption Requirements for Capacitors, Superalloys, Cemented Carbides and other key end- markets to 2013. Trends and Directions in capacitors, superalloys, cutting tools and wear parts. Complete lists of players at each profit center in the tantalum supply chain. Outlook for electronics, aircraft, automobiles, oil and gas, mining, power generation, and impact on tantalum demand to 2013.

The study determines that demand for tantalum from the capacitor industry will collide with the need for tantalum in superalloys for aircraft and for special alloys used in medical implants. Who Should Buy This Report? This study should be used as a guide by the tantalum supply chain to manage the changes in the market as they occur, and to plan for them and profit from them.

Table of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS

• TANTALUM: PRODUCT DESCRIPTION & MARKET SYNOPSIS. 9
  • Summary and Conclusions. 9
• MARKETS, TECHNOLOGIES, COMPETITION, AND OPPORTUNITIES IN TANTALUM. 10
• ADDITIONAL FINDINGS OF THIS RESEARCH REPORT. 12
  • Top Tantalum Ore Producer Informs Supply Chain of Impending Price Increases. 12
  • The Supply Chain Has Limited Alternatives. 12
  • Defense Logistics Agency Has Exhausted Its Supply. 12
  • A Deficit Will Build in the Supply Chain. 13
  • Customers in the High-Tech Economy Must Use Tantalum. 13
  • Suppliers of Value-Added Tantalum Materials Already Raising Prices. 13
  • Boeing and EADS Will Drive Demand in 2009 and 2010. 13
  • Carbide Tools: Expanding in Key Markets. 13
  • Medical Implant Market Expansion. 13
  • Corrosion Resistance Markets Expanding. 13

TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES GLOBAL MARKET FORECASTS: 2008 - 2013 DETAILED ANALYSIS 15

• WHAT IS TANTALUM?. 15
• WHY ARE TANTALUM CAPACITORS UNIQUE? 15
• SUPER METAL MARKETS. 15
• GROWTH MARKETS? 15
• ELECTRONIC CAPACITORS. 15
  • Ultra small Case Size Tantalum. 15
  • Conductive Polymer Tantalum Capacitors. 16
  • Wet Slug Tantalum Capacitors. 16
  • Thin Film Integrated Passive Devices. 16
• THREATS TO THE MARKET. 16
  • Supply Chain Problems. 16
  • Tantalum Inventories. 16
  • High Capacitance MLCC. 16
  • SMD Aluminum Chips. 17
  • Niobium-Oxide Chip Capacitors. 17
  • Conclusions 17
• SUPER METALS. 17
  • Super Alloy Additive. 17
  • Cemented Carbide Grain Inhibitor. 18
  • Conclusions 18
  • COATINGS AND LINERS. 18
  • Durability. 18
  • Corrosion. 18
  • Optical. 18
  • High Temperature. 18
  • Conclusions 18

TANTALUM SUPPLY CHAIN DESCRIPTION 19

• PART 1: TANTALUM ORE. 19
• PART TWO: TANTALUM POWDER AND WIRE. 20
• PART THREE: TANTALUM CAPACITOR PRODUCTION. 21

TANTALUM SUPER METALS SUPPLY CHAIN 23

• ORE SOURCES. 23
• SUPER ALLOYS AND CEMENTED CARBIDE POWDERS. 23
• MARKET DRIVERS. 23
• END-MARKET DRIVERS. 23
• TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES - SUPPLY AND
• DEMAND. 24
  • 2007 and 2008 Volume Updates. 24
• CONSUMPTION BY END-USE MARKET SEGMENT: 2008 FORECASTS. 25
  • Electronic Components (55%). 26
  • Super Metals (42%). 26
  • Hardness (32%). 26
  • Corrosion Resistance (7%). 27
  • High Temperature (3%). 27
  • Optical Properties (2%). 27
  • Other-Specialty Lighting (3%). 27
• MARKET SUPPLY AND DEMAND FORECASTS (INCLUDING DEFICITS): 2008 - 2013. 27
• TANTALUM ENGINEERED MATERIALS CONSUMPTION FORECASTS: 2008 - 2013. 30
• TANTALUM CAPACITOR MATERIAL CONSUMPTION: 2008 - 2013. 30
• TANTALUM MATERIALS IN SUPER ALLOYS: 2008 - 2013 . 31
• TANTALUM IN CARBIDE TOOLS: 2008 - 2013.
• TANTALUM IN WEAR PARTS: 2008 - 2013. 31
• TANTALUM CHEMICAL MARKETS: 2008 - 2013. 31
• SUMMARY OF GROWTH FOR TANTALUM: 2008 - 2013. 31

TANTALUM MINING SITES IN 2008 .

• KEY TANTALUM MINING OPERATIONS: 2008-07-08. 32
  • Talison Minerals- Western Australia Tantalum Operations. 32
  • The Greenbushes Mine. 32
  • The Wodgina Mine. 33
• JUNE 2008 PRICE INCREASE NOTICE FROM TALISON TO THE CAPACITOR INDUSTRY. 33
• BRAZILIAN PRODUCTION. 34
  • Paranapanema (Pitinga and Rocha SA). 34
  • AMG-Advanced Metallurgical Group N.V. - Companhia Industrial Fluminense (Nazareno). 34
• AFRICAN MINING. 35
  • Ethiopia-Kenticha Belt 35
  • Central Africa - Congo, Rwanda. 35
  • West Africa - Nigeria. 35
  • Mozambique. 35
• CHINA PRODUCTION. 36
  • Yichun Mine. 36
  • Nanping Mine. 36
• SOUTHEAST ASIA AND INDIA. 36
• NORTH AMERICAN PRODUCTION . 36
• TANCO-Canada. 36
• RUSSIA AND KAZAKHSTAN PRODUCTION. 36
• NEW MEGA PROJECTS TO EXTRACT TANTALUM. 37
  • Egypt - Abu Dabbab. 37
  • Saudi Arabia - Ghurayyah. 37
  • SECONDARY SOURCES OF TANTALUM. 37
  • Synthetic Concentrates (SynCon). 37
  • United States Government Stockpiles (Exhausted). 37
  • Scrap & Recycling. 38
  • Inventories. 38
• TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES: GLOBAL MARKET VALUE ESTIMATES: 2008 - 2013 42

ENGINEERED TANTALUM MATERIALS 44

• GLOBAL MARKET FORECASTS: 2008 - 2013. 44
  • Second Stage Processing: Engineered Powders and Wire . 44
  • Capacitor-Grade Powder & Wire Suppliers. 44
  • Expanding the Supply Base in 2008. 44
  • Processors of Tantalum for the Super Hard Materials Industry . 44
• COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE: PROCESSORS OF TANTALUM FOR CAPACITORS, SUPER METALS, AND OTHER MARKETS. 47
  • Anabond Limited (Tantalum Powder). 47
  • AMG CIF- Brazil (Tantalum Powder for Super Metals). 47
  • AS Silmet (Tantalum for Super Metals). 47
  • Cabot Performance Materials (Tantalum Powder & Wire). 48
  • Elite Material Solutions (Tantalum Alloys). 48
  • F&X Electro-Materials Ltd (Tantalum Powder). 48
  • Fogang Jiata Metals Co., Ltd. (Tantalum for Super Metals). 48
  • Gui-Family Tantalum-Niobium Ltd. (Tantalum for Super Metals). 49
  • H. C. Starck GmbH & Co. KG (Tantalum Powder & Wire). 49
  • Jiujiang Jinxin Non-Ferrous Metals Co., Ltd. (Tantalum for Super Metals). 49
  • Jiujiang Tanbre Smelter. 49
  • Metalysis Ltd.. 50
  • Mitsui Mining & Smelting Company (Tantalum Metal Powder). 50
  • Mitsui Mining & Smelting Co Ltd. 50
  • NAC Kazatomprom (Capacitor-Grade Tantalum Powder and Wire). 51
  • Ningxia Nonferrous Metals (Tantalum Powder & Wire). 51
  • Ningxia Non-Ferrous Metals Smelter. 51
  • Niotan, Inc. 52
  • Northwest Institute for Non-Ferrous Metal Research (Tantalum Research). 52
• PLANSEE. 52
• PLANSEE SE. 52
  • Rosredmet 53
  • Solikamsk Magnesium Works (Tantalum for Super Metals). 53
  • Taike Technology (Suzhou) Co Ltd (formerly King Metallurgical). 53
  • Tantalum Technologies A/S (formerly Danfoss Tantalum Technologies). 53
  • Treibacher Industrie AG. 54
  • Zhuzhou Cemented Carbide Works. 54
• TANTALUM MATERIALS SUPPLY TO THE CAPACITOR INDUSTRY: 2008
• FORECASTED MARKET SHARES. 55
  • Tantalum Capacitor Types. 55
  • Tantalum Capacitor Configurations. 55
  • Global Capacitor-Grade Tantalum Metal Powder & Wire Shipments by Vendor: 2008 Estimated Sales & Market Shares. 55
• MILLIGRAMS PER ANODE & ANODE PRODUCTION EQUATIONS: 2007. 56
  • Process for the Establishment of Milligrams per Anode. 56
  • Establishment of Production of Tantalum Capacitors by Case Size. 57
  • Varying Perceptions of Tantalum Capacitor Production by Case Size: 2007 . 57
• CAPACITOR-GRADE TANTALUM METAL POWDER, WIRE, AND CATHODE MATERIAL CONSUMPTION BY CASE SIZE: 2008. 57
• TANTALUM CAPACITOR MANUFACTURERS: TRENDS & DIRECTIONS IN 2008 - 2013. 59
  • AVX Corporation (Tantalum Capacitor Manufacturer). 59
  • DaeWoo Electroic Components (Partsnic) (Tantalum Capacitors). 60
  • ELNA Company Limited (ASAHI GLASS) (Tantalum Capacitors). 60
  • Hitachi AIC Inc. (Fukushima) (Tantalum Capacitors). 60
  • KEMET Corporation (Tantalum Capacitors). 61
  • Lelon (JV with ELNA) (Tantalum Capacitors). 61
  • Matsuo Electric Company Limited (Tantalum Capacitors) . 62
  • Nichicon Corporation (Tantalum Capacitors). 63
  • Pure Material Laboratories (PML) (Tantalum Anodes). 63
  • ROHM Company Limited (Tantalum Capacitors). 63
  • Samsung Electro Mechanics Company Ltd. (Tantalum Capacitors). 64
  • Towa Electric Company Limited (Fujitsu) (Tantalum Capacitors). 64
  • Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. (Tantalum Capacitors). 64

TANTALUM IN HARD AND SUPER HARD MATERIALS 65

• SUPER ALLOYS, CARBIDE TOOLS, WEAR PARTS, AND SPECIALTY MARKETS. 65
  • Tantalum in Super Alloys. 65
  • Growth in Aircraft Manufacturing Drives Demand. 66
  • Tantalum Consumption in Super Alloys: 1998 - 2008 (In Pounds Adv.). 68
  • Tantalum in Nickel-Based Super Alloys. 68
  • Super Alloy Consumption by End Use Market Segment: Market Drivers in 2008. 69
• TRENDS AND DIRECTIONS BY SUPER ALLOY COMPANIES. 70
  • Alcoa Howmet (Dover, NJ USA). 70
  • AMG Advanced Metallurgical Group N.V. (Wayne, PA USA) . 70
  • ATI Allegheny Technologies, Inc. (Pittsburgh, PA USA). 70
  • Carpenter Technology Corporation (Wyomissing, PA USA). 71
  • Precision Cast Parts/Special Metals Corporation (Portland, Oregon USA). 71
  • Treibacher Industrie AG (Treibach-Althofen, Austria). 71
  • W.C. Heraeus GmbH (Hanau, Germany). 71

TANTALUM IN MEDICAL (ORTHOPAEDICS) 72

• Growth in Demand for Super Alloys Used in Medical Implants for Applications in Orthopaedics 72
• TOP MANUFACTURERS OF ORTHOPAEDIC MEDICAL DEVICES: 2008. 73
  • Source: Paumanok Publications, Inc.. 73
  • Biomet, Inc. (West Chester, PA USA). 73
  • DePuy, Inc., a Johnson & Johnson Company (Warsaw, Indiana USA). 73
  • Synthes, Inc./Mathys AG (West Chester, PA USA). 74
  • Stryker Corp. (Kalamazoo, MI USA). 74
  • Zimmer-Trabecular Metal Technology (New Jersey USA) . 74

TANTALUM IN CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOLS 74

• TANTALUM IN CEMENTED CARBIDES: 20-YEAR ANALYSIS. 75
• TANTALUM CONTENT IN CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOLS: 1988 - 2008. 76
  • Source: Paumanok Publications, Inc.. 76
• DISPLACEMENT OF TANTALUM IN CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOLS: 1988 - 2008. 76
  • Market Volume and Value for Tantalum in Cutting Tools. 77
• CEMENTED CARBIDE CUTTING TOOL GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS: 2008. 77
• CONSUMPTION BY END-USE MARKET SEGMENT: 2008. 77
• CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOL MANUFACTURERS: 2008 SALES & MARKET SHARES . 77
  • Source: Paumanok Publications, Inc.. 78
• TOP 22 MANUFACTURERS OF CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOLS: 2008. 79
• CONSUMPTION OF TANTALUM FOR CUTTING TOOL APPLICATIONS BY WORLD REGION: 2008. 80
  • Source: Paumanok Publications, Inc.. 80
• MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TANTALUM CONSUMED IN CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOLS: 2008 - 2013. 80
• MANUFACTURERS: TRENDS & DIRECTIONS: 2008 - 2013. 80
  • AB Sandvik Coromant/Seco Tools (Sandviken, Sweden). 80
  • Bohlerit Ges. M.B.H. & Co KG (Kapfenburg, Austria). 82
  • Gottlieb Guhring Beteiligungs GmbH (Albstadt, Germany). 82
  • Hartmetallwerkzeugfabrik Andreas Maier GMBH - HAM
  • Tools (Schwendl-Horenhausen, Germany). 82
  • Hitachi Metals Limited Japan (Shibaura, Minato-ku, Tokyo, Japan). 83
  • IMC Group/ISCAR/Ingersoll Rand (Hashalom, Israel). 83
  • Kennametal, Inc. (Latrobe, PA USA). 83
  • KOMET GROUP GmbH (Besigheim, Germany). 85
  • KYOCERA Corporation Cutting Tool Group (Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan). 85
  • LMT Group - Leitz Metalworking Technologies Group (Oberkochen, Germany). 85
  • Mitsubishi Materials Corp. /Mitsubishi Carbide Tools (Ibaraki, Japan). 85
  • NACHI-FUJIKOSHI CORP. (Toyama, Japan). 86
  • Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd. (Fukuoka, Japan). 86
  • OSG Corporation (Toyokawa-City Aichi-Pref., Japan). 86
  • PLANSEE SA (Reutte/Tirol, Austria). 87
  • PLANSEE CERATIZIT (PLANSEE) (Alphaville - Barueri - SP, Brazil). 87
  • Ryotec Corporation (Gifu, Japan). 87
  • SGS - Solid Carbide Tool (Munroe Falls, OH USA). 87
  • Sumitomo Electric Hardmetal Corp. (Hyogo, Japan). 87
  • Treibacher Industrie AG (Althofen, Austria). 87
  • Tungaloy Corporation (Kawasaki City, Japan). 87
  • Valenite (Madison Heights, MI, USA). 87
  • Walter AG (Tubingen, Germany). 88
  • Zhuzhou Cemented Carbide Works (Zhuzhou, Hunan, China). 88
• OUTLOOK FOR TANTALUM CONSUMPTION IN CEMENTED CARBIDE-BASED CUTTING TOOLS . 88

Charts & Figures

APPENDICES 89

• APPENDIX 1: TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES: UNITED STATES IMPORTS: 2007 COMPARED TO 2006. 89
• APPENDIX 2: TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES: THAILAND IMPORTS: 2007 COMPARED TO 2006. 89
• APPENDIX 3: TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES: GERMAN IMPORTS: 2007 COMPARED TO 2006. 89
• APPENDIX 4: TANTALUM ORES & CONCENTRATES: CHINA IMPORTS: 2007 COMPARED TO 2006. 90
• APPENDIX 5: COSTS TO PRODUCE AN A CASE TANTALUM CAPACITOR: 2008. 90

Table of Charts & Figures

• A Detailed Segmentation of Global Markets for Tantalum in 2008 10
• Average Tantalum Ore/Concentrate Prices: Average Global Price per Pound 1995-2007; 2008-2013 Forecast 11
• Tantalum Ore Sources, Tantalum Powder Wire Source, and Anode/Capacitor Producers 21
• Supply Chain for Tantalum: Ore, Processed Powder; Super Metals Producers; Market Drivers (2008) 23
• Tantalum Ore & Concentrates: Global Shipment Volume: 1995 - 2007; 2008 - 2013 Forecast 24
• Tantalum Consumption by Application: 2008 25
• Global Primary and Secondary Tantalum Ore andConcentrate Shipments: 2006 - 2007; 2008 - 2013 Forecasts (In Thousands of Pounds Advoirdupois) 27
• Primary Mine Production Estimates: 2006 - 2007; 2008 - 2013 28
• Engineered Tantalum Materials Consumption by Type: 2008 - 2013 29
• Average Tantalum Ore/Concentrate Prices: Average Global Price per Pound; 1995 - 2007; 2008 - 2013 Forecast 39
• Average Annual Tantalite Spot Price: 2003-2007; 2008-2013 Forecasts 40
• Global Market Forecast: Tantalum Ores & Concentrate Market Value: 2008 - 2013 41
• Tantalum Ore and Concentrates: Global Market Forecasts: 2008 - 2013 (in Millions of USD) 42
• Engineered Tantalum Material Manufacturers by Type (Anode Powder, Anode Wire; Foil; Metallurgical Grade; Ingot, Rods and Chips; Oxide and K-Salt): 2008 44
• Tantalum Materials Suppliers: 2008 Global Market Shares (Electronics, Super Metals, Other) 45
• Trends and Directions for Selected Processors of Tantalum Materials: 2008 53
• Global Market Shares in Capacitor-Grade Tantalum Metal Powder & Wire Combined: 2008F 2,123,000 lbs in Net New Purchases 55
• Market Shares in Capacitor-Grade Tantalum Metal Powder and Wire: 2008 55
• Capacitor-Grade Tantalum Metal Powder, Wire, and Conductive Polymer Consumption by Case Size: 2008 (In Milligrams per Anode) 56
• Tantalum Capacitor Manufacturers: 2008 Estimated Sales & Market Shares 57
• Tantalum Capacitor Manufacturers: 2008 Estimated Market Shares (Revenue Based) 58
• Tantalum Consumption in Super Metals by Application: 2008 (2.2 Million Pounds) 64
• Demand for Tantalum as Super Alloy Additives by End-Use Market Segment: 2008 65
• Global Production & Forecasts for Military & Commercial Aircraft: 2002-2007; 2008-2013 Forecasts 66
• Growth in the Nickel-Based Super Alloys Business: 2003 - 2008 67
• Growth in Price per Pound for Nickel-Based Super Alloys: 2003 - 2008 67
• Global Revenues for Super Alloys by End-Use Market Segment: 2008 68
• Top Manufacturers of Nickel-Based Super Alloys (Tantalum is 10% by Weight for Nickel-Based Super Alloys): 2007 68
• Growth in Shipments of Orthopaedic Medical Devices: 2003 - 2008 (In Millions of USD) 71
• Top Manufacturers of Orthopaedic Medical Devices: 2008 72
• Tantalum for Carbides: 20-Year Shipment Analysis (Net New Purchases): 1988 - 2008 74
• Tantalum Content Trend in Cemented Carbide-Based Cutting Tools: 1988 - 2008 75
• Global Market Shares in Cemented Carbide-Based Cutting Tools: CY 2007 77
• Global Production Value for Cemented Carbide-Based Cutting Tools: 2008 79
• Tantalum Ores & Concentrates: United States Imports: 2007 Compared to 2006 88
• Tantalum Ores & Concentrates: Thailand Imports: 2007 Compared to 2006 88
• Tantalum Ores & Concentrates: German Imports: 2007 Compared to 2006 88
• Tantalum Ores & Concentrates: China Imports: 2007 Compared to 2006 89
• Costs Structure to Produce an A Case Size Tantalum Chip Capacitor: 2008 90
• Summary of Costs Structure to Produce an A Case Size Tantalum Chip Capacitor: 2008 90
• Raw Material Volume and Cost Assumptions for an A Case Size Tantalum Chip Capacitor: 2008

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