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市場調查報告書
全球太陽光發電市場：市場預測（至2014年）
The Future of Photovoltaics - Market Forecasts to 2014
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全球太陽光發電市場：市場預測（至2014年） 是由出版商Pira International在2009年05月所出版的。
這份英文市場調查報告書價格從美金5425起跳。
本報告書內容包括：全球太陽光發電系統的利用狀況及技術動向、市場發展預測調查分析、現在的利用基礎及發展預測、最先進的技術概要、電池類型・用途・地區/國別市場成長預測、各種市場影響因素分析等。內容綱要摘記如下：
實施概要
介紹・調查方法
太陽光發電產業
- PV的用途
- PV安裝及特色
- 小型・屋頂安裝型(1-10 kWp)
- 中型・屋頂安裝型(10-100kWp)
- 大型・屋頂安裝型(>100kWp)
- 地面安裝系統（太陽能公園）
- BIPV
- PV材料的動態及設備供應鏈
- 太陽能級矽的需求及供給
- 供需不均
最先進的技術及刺激因素
- 第1代：塊狀矽
- 構成技術
- 成本效益
- 單結晶矽
- 多結晶矽
- 薄膜矽
- 矽帶・薄板
- 第2代：無機薄膜
- 構成技術
- 成本效益
- 矽薄膜
- 非晶矽
- 玻璃電路板上的薄膜結晶矽
- 碲化鎘
- CIGS
- CIS
- 未來的薄膜太陽電池
- 集光型電池
- 拋物線槽型集光器
- 電力塔
- 碟式太陽能發電系統
- PV領域的技術變化
- 新的PV技術
- 矽模組製造的發展
- 新一代系統・複合成長
- CPV及III-V電池
- 第3代有機太陽電池開發
市場成長的刺激因素・課題
PV市場：電池類型・最終用途別
- 過去的成長變化
- 市場：電池類型別
- 薄膜 vs 塊狀矽
- 應用別市場
PV市場：地區別
圖表
Abstract
REPORT SUMMARY
The worldwide photovoltaic (PV) market currently produces over 5,900 megawatts
with a market value of $29 billion. Although the PV market will likely slow
this year, within the next five years the installed base is expected to
double, surpassing $45 billion.
The Future of Photovoltaics provides quantitative market data broken
down by cell type, end-use sector and region, and forecasts growth over the
next five years to 2014. The report provides comprehensive coverage of
siliconbased PV cells as well as emerging PV technologies and details the most
significant market and technology drivers along the PV supply chain. The
report is essential reading for anyone working in or with the PV industry.
FIND OUT ABOUT
- The worldwide market for photovoltaics
- The latest PV technologies
- Drivers and challenges shaping the PV industry
METHODOLOGY
The Future of Photovoltaics is based on extensive primary and secondary
research. Primary research consisted of interviews with a cross-section of
industry experts, including cell and module manufacturers; solar integrators
and installers; suppliers, such as solargrade silicon manufacturers; and
industry researchers and analysts. This was in addition to an extensive
literature review.
WHAT DO YOU GET?
- Global PV markets broken down by cell type, end use and region with
strategic forecasts to 2014
- Analysis of the key drivers and challenges shaping the PV industry Details
of cutting-edge technologies including bulk cells, inorganic thinfilm and
future thin-film solar cells
HOW WILL THIS MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT BENEFIT YOU?
- Find out how your business fits into the global PV industry today and in
the future
- Keep abreast of the latest technology and market developments and the
opportunities they afford your business
- Get the complete picture of the shape of the industry with forecasts to
2014 to help plan your business strategy with confidence
WHO SHOULD BUY THIS REPORT?
- Silicon feedstock suppliers
- Solar cell component manufacturers
- Module and system assemblers
- Equipment suppliers
- Current and potential users of PV in on-grid or off-grid applications
- Business planners and analysts
WHAT' S INCLUDED IN THE PRICE?
- One hard copy of report couriered to you (see order form for postage
costs) on publication date
- CD-Rom with searchable PDF
- Global intranet licence allowing everyone in your organisation electronic
access to the study
WHAT' S INSIDE?
- Statistics and data to illustrate global market breakdowns
- In-depth analysis of the future of photovoltaics markets to 2014
- Clearly presented data to give you the complete picture of the future of
photovoltaics
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Incentives and subsidies
- Economic downturn
- Falling PV prices
- Oversupply in the PV market until 2012
- Technology
- Geographic market growth
INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
- Report scope and objective
- Methodology
- List of definitions
The photovoltaics industry
- PV end uses
- On-grid applications
- Off-grid applications
- PV installations and characteristics
- Small rooftop (1 - 10 kWp)
- Mid-sized rooftop (10 - 100kWp)
- Large rooftop (>100kWp)
- Ground-mounted systems (solar parks)
- BIPV
- Dynamics of PV materials and device supply chains
- Solar grade silicon supply and demand
- Supply and demand imbalance
Cutting -edge Technology and Drivers
- First generation: bulk silicon
- Construction technique
- Cost/efficiency equation
- Monocrystalline silicon cells
- Poly- or multi-crystalline silicon cells
- Thick-film silicon
- Silicon ribbon and sheet
- Second generation: inorganic thin-film
- Construction technique
- Cost/efficiency equation
- Silicon thin-film
- Amorphous silicon (a-Si)
- Thin-film crystalline silicon on glass
- Cadmium telluride
- CIGS
- CIS
- Future thin-film solar cells
- Concentrator cells
- Parabolic troughs
- Power towers
- Dish-engine systems
- Technology transition in PV
- Emerging PV technologies
- Developments in silicon module production
- Assessment of CIGS technology
- Growth of next-generation tandem and hybrid
- Concentrator PV systems and III - V cells
- Development of third-generation organic solar cells
Drivers and Challenges
- Key drivers
- Incentives and subsidies
- Europe
- US
- Solar America Initiative
- California Solar Initiative
- Overview of other states
- Asia
- Japan
- Regulatory landscape and incentives
- Korea
- Utility interest in solar
- Challenges for the PV Industry
- Economic downturn
- Reduced investment
- Manufacturing pressure and
- consolidation
- Pricing
- Grid-parity
- Oversupply
PV Market by Cell Type and End Use
- Introduction: historic photovoltaic market growth
- Market by cell type
- Crystalline silicon
- Silicon supply
- Developments in crystalline silicon solar cells
- Thin-film
- Amorphous silicon
- Cadmium telluride
- CIGS
- Thin-film vs. bulk silicon: pros and cons
- Cost/efficiency equation
- Applications
- Market confidence
- Panel sizes and weight
- Aesthetics
- Safety
- Raw materials
- Future
- Market by application
- Building-integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV)
PV market by region
- Regional overview
- Solar PV market growth
- Asia-Pacific
- Japan
- South Korea
- China
- Taiwan
- India
- Europe
- European production
- Germany
- Feed-in tariff
- Technology
- Spain
- Problems in the Spanish PV market Technology
- Italy
- Other European markets
- North America
- US
- Market growth
- Market competition
- Incentives and subsidies
- Grid-parity
- Utility company interest growing
- PPAs
- State by state markets
- Solar parks
Tables and figures
- Cumulative installed base of photovoltaics, 2008 - 14 (MW)
- Photovoltaic market by value, 2008 - 14 ($ billion)
- Photovoltaic installations by region, 2008 - 14 (MW)
- Overview of top 25 solar parks worldwide
- Number of large solar parks by country 2009)
- Solar PV production supply chain
- Silicon production of a selection of largegrade
- silicon manufacturers, 2008 - 14 (‘000 tonnes per year)
- Crystalline silicon production, 2008 - (14 MW per year)
- Transition table for commercial PV technology, 2009 - 14
- Technology transition for photovoltaic efficiencies
- European feed-in tariffs and other incentives for PV
- Financial incentives for renewable energy by US state
- Silicon technology transition
- Thin-film production capacity by type, 2008 and 2010 (MW)
- Photovoltaic installations by on-grid and off-grid applications, 2008 - 14
(MW)
- Asian solar cell manufacturers production capacity, 2008 - 14 (MW)
- Production capacity of leading European solar cell manufacturers, 2009 -
14 (MW)
- Changes in the EEG degression rates (%) Feed-in tariffs (Spain, Italy,
France, Greece), 2009
- US solar cell production capacity, 2008 - 14 (MW)
- Types of installations in the German market, 2009 (%)
- Segmentation by customer of key European PV markets, 2009
- Different types of photovoltaic systems
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