本報告已在2011年10月27日停止出版。
更改為出版
Distributed Solar Energy Generation: Demand Drivers and Barriers, Technology Issues, Competitive Landscape, and Global Market Forecasts
出版日期 : 2011年10月
商品編碼: 219613
本報告書內容包括：分散型太陽光發電市場及技術動向調查分析、主要國家/地區法規限制・刺激・輔助金、其他擴大需求的影響因素、各種應用概要、技術・成本課題、發電容量・系統收益等成長預測（至2013年）、主要企業介紹等。內容綱要摘記如下：
第1章 實施概要
第2章 市場
- 市場定義
- 太陽光發電系統
- 能源儲存
- 電池
- 壓縮空氣能源儲存
- 飛輪
- 抽蓄電廠
- 超級電容箱
- 超電導磁氣能源儲存
- 傳統型DEG技術綠化
- 市場區隔
- 全球累計發電能力
- 全球累計可再生能源發電能力
- 全球發電能力增加量
- 全球可再生能源發電增加量
- 全球分散型可再生能源發電量增加量
- 刺激產業成長因素
- 法規限制・刺激・輔助金
- 既有技術改良
- 新技術
- 汽電共生
- 其他
- 障礙・課題
第3章 技術
- 太陽光發電系統
- 發展經過
- 原理
- 優勢・劣勢
- 類型
- 市場動向
- 市場性及商品化
- RDEG應用
- 住宅用不與電網連線的發電設備
- 住宅用與電網連線的發電設備
- 商用・零售用
- 通訊用微電網
- 通訊用主要&預備電力
- 複合系統
- 應用比較
第4章 刺激需求因素
- 法規限制・刺激・輔助金：地區別
- 法規限制・刺激・輔助金以外的影響因素
第5章 市場預測
- 全球發電市場
- 全球可再生能源分散型發電
- 太陽光發電系統
第6章 主要進入企業
第7章 企業索引
第8章 縮寫字等
圖表
Abstract
Distributed energy generation, using a variety of renewable power
technologies, is one of the most important tools for addressing the challenge
of meeting the world' s growing electricity demand. Within the Renewable
Distributed Energy Generation (RDEG) market, sub-utility scale solar
photovoltaics (PV) are by far the largest and most significant segment,
representing approximately 98% of the total.
Solar PV growth has been spearheaded in recent years by markets such as
Germany, Japan, Spain, and the United States. Remaining countries in the
European Union are starting to pick up strong momentum as well. Emerging
markets in India and China show significant promise in the longer term. Of
all the opportunities in PV, Pike Research finds that the most compelling
growth potential lies in decentralized electricity generation, whether in
small rooftop or large commercial installations. PV has the advantage of
being truly modular, as it can reach cost efficiencies with installations that
are just a few kilowatts to 20 MW or even 200 MW. For purposes of our study,
distributed PV is considered to be those systems less than 20 MW in size,
where electricity does not pass through the traditional transmission and
distribution system prior to being used. The estimated size of the
distributed PV market in 2008 was 3.6 GW, and we forecast that it will grow to
9.7 GW by 2013, representing a compound annual growth rate of 22%. This
translates into a $30 billion market in 2008, growing to nearly $60 billion by
2013.
This Pike Research report analyzes the market for distributed solar PV in the
context of the broader RDEG market, which also includes small wind energy
generation and fuel cell technologies. The study covers key business issues
and drivers of demand for sub-utility scale solar power, including
government-driven legislation and incentives as well as market-based factors.
Technology and cost issues are examined in depth, as are a number of key
industry players. Market forecasts include distributed solar energy
generation capacity, system revenues, and installed prices through 2013 for
installations in all regions of the world, with line-item segmentation for 12
key countries.
Key questions addressed:
- Why is distributed solar energy generation an important part of meeting
the world' s growing electricity demands?
- How does sub-utility scale solar PV compare to other RDEG technologies
such as small wind and fuel cells?
- How large is this market segment today and how large is it forecast to
grow by 2013?
- What are the key applications for RDEG technologies in general and
distributed solar in particular?
- What are the key drivers of growth?
- Who are the key industry players?
Who needs this report?
- Solar Installers/Integrators
- Solar Cell and Module Manufacturers
- Solar Equipment Vendors
- Government Energy and Environmental Agencies
- Investment Community
- Industry Associations and Non-Profit Organizations
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
2. Market Issues
- 2.1 Defining the Market
- 2.2 Photovoltaic Systems
- 2.3 Energy Storage
- 2.3.1 Batteries
- 2.3.2 Compressed Air Energy Storage
- 2.3.3 Flywheels
- 2.3.4 Pumped Hydro
- 2.3.5 Supercapacitors
- 2.3.6 Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage
- 2.4 Greening of Conventional DEG Technologies
- 2.4.1 Microturbines
- 2.4.2 Combustion Turbines
- 2.4.3 Reciprocating Engines
- 2.5 Market Segmentation
- 2.5.1 Global Cumulative Electricity Capacity
- 2.5.2 Global Cumulative Renewable Electricity Capacity
- 2.5.3 Global Electricity Generation Capacity Additions
- 2.5.4 Global Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Additions
- 2.5.5 Global Distributed Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity
Additions
- 2.6 Industry Growth Drivers
- 2.6.1 Legislative, Regulatory, Incentives, and Subsidies
- 2.6.2 Improvements to Existing Technologies
- 2.6.3 Emergence of New Technologies
- 2.6.4 Cogeneration
- 2.6.5 Other Drivers
- 2.6.5.1 Push for Energy Independence
- 2.6.5.2 Benefits of Green Marketing
- 2.6.5.3 Supporting Organizational Missions
- 2.7 Implementation Issues
- 2.7.1 Grid Interconnection
- 2.7.1.1 Grid Integrity and Safety
- 2.7.1.2 Grid Intelligence
- 2.7.1.2.1 Integration with System Components
- 2.7.1.2.2 Net Metering
- 2.7.1.2.3 Demand-Side Management
3. Technology Issues
- 3.1 Photovoltaic Systems
- 3.1.1 History
- 3.1.2 Basic Principles
- 3.1.3 Strengths and Weaknesses
- 3.1.4 Types
- 3.1.5 Market Trends
- 3.1.5.1 Installations by Country
- 3.1.5.2 Grid Tied vs. Off Grid
- 3.1.6 Marketability and Commercialization
- 3.1.6.1 Cost
- 3.1.6.1.1 Module Cost
- 3.1.6.1.2 Economies of Scale
- 3.1.6.1.3 Silicon Per Watt
- 3.1.6.1.4 Silicon Supply
- 3.1.6.1.5 PV System Installed Cost
- 3.1.6.2 Efficiency
- 3.1.6.3 Reliability
- 3.1.6.4 Scalability
- 3.1.6.5 Availability
- 3.2 RDEG Applications
- 3.2.1 Residential Off Grid
- 3.2.2 Residential Grid Tied
- 3.2.3 Commercial and Retail
- 3.2.4 Community Microgrid
- 3.2.5 Telecom Primary and Backup Power
- 3.2.6 Hybrid systems
- 3.2.7 Application Comparison
4. Demand Drivers
- 4.1 Legislation, Regulations, Incentives, and Subsidies
- 4.1.1 United States
- 4.1.1.1 State Level
- 4.1.1.2 California
- 4.1.1.3 New Jersey
- 4.1.1.4 Massachusetts
- 4.1.2 Europe
- 4.1.2.1 Germany
- 4.1.2.2 Spain
- 4.1.2.3 Italy
- 4.1.2.4 France
- 4.1.2.5 Rest of Europe
- 4.1.3 Asia Pacific
- 4.1.3.1 China
- 4.1.3.2 Japan
- 4.1.3.3 India
- 4.1.3.4 Korea
- 4.1.4 Rest of the World
- 4.2 Nonlegislative, Regulatory, Incentives, and Funding Drivers
- 4.2.1 Conventional Energy Demand Trends
- 4.2.2 Economics Overview
- 4.2.2.1 Conventional Electricity Price
- 4.2.2.2 RDEG Technology Price
- 4.2.3 Break-Even Analysis
5. Market Forecasts
- 5.1 World Energy Generation
- 5.2 World Renewable Distributed Energy Generation
- 5.3 Photovoltaic Systems
- 5.3.1 North America
- 5.3.2 Europe
- 5.3.3 Asia Pacific
- 5.3.4 Rest of the World
6. Key Industry Players
- 6.1 Q-Cells
- 6.2 SolarWorld
- 6.3 Suntech
- 6.4 First Solar
- 6.5 SunPower
- 6.6 Solaria
7. Company Directory
8. Acronym and Abbreviation List
9. Table of Contents
10. Table of Figures
11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes
List of Charts and Figures
- Segmentation of Major Electricity Generation Sources into Renewable
Distributed
- Global Cumulative Electricity Capacity by Source, 2007
- Global Cumulative Renewable Electricity Capacity, Distributed vs.
Centralized - 2007
- Global Cum. Renewable Electricity Capacity by Source , 2007
- Global Electricity Generation Capacity Adds by Source, 2007
- Global Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Add, Distributed vs.
Centralized - 2007
- Global Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity Additions by Source -
2007
- Annual PV Installations for OECD Countries, 2003-2008
- Cumulative Installed PV Systems, Grid Tied vs. Off Grid, 2003-2008
- Representative Global Deployments of Telecom Backup Power by Technology
- U.S. Renewable Portfolio Standards, Goals, and Required Renewables
- Comparative Household Electricity Prices for Industrialized Countries,
1999-2006
- Comparative Industry Electricity Prices for Industrialized Countries,
1999-2006
- Electricity Generation Sources for U.S., OECD, Europe, and Japan - 2007
- Comparative Prices of Conventional and RDEG Electricity Generation Sources
- SunPower PV Value Chain Cost Reduction Model, 2006-2012
- Installed PV System Price Projection, 2007-2013
- Global Installed Electricity Generating Capacity by Geographic Region,
2005-2025
- Annual RDEG Technologies Capacity Additions, 2007-2013
- Annual RDEG Technology Revenue, 2007-2013
- Distributed Sub-Utility Scale PV Deployments as % of Total, 2008
- Summary Comparison of RDEG Technologies
- Relevant RDEG Standards and Permitting Agencies
- Summary Comparison of Applications by RDEG Technology
- Summary of Emission Reduction Targets for Major Industrialized Countries
and Regions
- Summary Comparison of U.S. Federal Tax Credit for RDEG Technologies
- Summary of U.S. Subsidies and Incentives for RDEG Techs
- PV Capacity Projection Scenarios for Total and Distributed Capacity, World
Markets: 2007-2010
List of Tables
- Annual Growth of Distributed PV Capacity, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
- Distributed PV Global Installed Capacity, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
- Distributed PV System Installed Price, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
- Distributed PV Installed System Revenue, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
- Annual Growth of RDEG Technologies, World Markets: 2008 to 2013
- RDEG Technologies Global Capacity, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
- RDEG Technologies Installed Price, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
- RDEG Technologies System Revenue, World Markets: 2007 to 2013
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