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市場調查報告書

運輸產業的長期的展望 (2025-2050年):連接性、自動技術、隨選行動、汽車電動化對全球旅客運輸市場的影響

Transportation Outlook 2025 to 2050: How Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation

出版商 Navigant Research 商品編碼 356358
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 31 Pages; 4 Tables, Charts & Figures
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運輸產業的長期的展望 (2025-2050年):連接性、自動技術、隨選行動、汽車電動化對全球旅客運輸市場的影響 Transportation Outlook 2025 to 2050: How Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation
出版日期: 2016年04月18日 內容資訊: 英文 31 Pages; 4 Tables, Charts & Figures
簡介

本報告提供全球運輸產業的長期展望調查,運輸相關及其他的重要技術對運輸產業的影響,促進產業的成長的技術,運輸產業的形成的影響的各種要素等彙整資料。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 2025年的展望

  • 開端的結束
  • 重要的結構要素的連接性
  • 變得可廣泛利用的自動駕駛車
  • 在城市的隨選行動主導變化
  • 電力驅動的競爭

第3章 潛在性分析

  • 運輸部門開啟下個時代
  • 優先事項的變化與對汽車廠商來說的威脅
  • 連接性提供的新商機
  • 連接性的擴大伴隨的風險增加
  • 自動駕駛車改變的城市中心部位
  • 自動駕駛的影響
  • 定額的隨選行動
  • 全球的成長預測EV
  • 運輸市場長期的未來預測:總論
    • 在MaaS裡不可缺的連接性
    • 汽車的大改革
    • PEV的優勢
    • 個人汽車的減少

第4章 用語

第5章 目錄

第6章 圖表

第7章 調查範圍、資訊來源、調查手法、註記

圖表

目錄
Product Code: WP-TOUT-16

How Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation

The global vehicle market is facing a substantial upheaval between now and 2050. Automotive industry technology development is leading to a new generation of vehicles that are capable of taking over much (and ultimately all) of the driving responsibility. At the same time, electric drive technology is becoming more efficient and affordable. Moreover, governments are increasingly pushing for reductions in emissions, and the long-term trend of people moving to live in ever growing urban areas is forcing cities to regulate private car usage. Layered over all of this is the macro trend of 24/7 connectivity.

The development of carsharing and ride-hailing services is at the core of a trend toward mobility on-demand and away from individual vehicle ownership. This is not something that will happen overnight, but it is where the combination of factors described above is driving the growth of the global vehicle market. In the future, the business model of vehicle OEMs delivering products to individual consumers will gradually decline in popularity as mobility services expand.

This Navigant Research white paper takes a high-level look at the long-term evolution of individual transportation based on an assessment of four key trends-vehicle connectivity, vehicle autonomy, on-demand mobility, and vehicle electrification-and factors such as the progress of urbanization. Because the timeframe of 2025-2050 is so far in the future, it is not practical to offer global market forecasts for annual sales. Rather, the paper considers how the transformation of individual mobility will affect the overall vehicle market, as well as vehicle manufacturers and other key stakeholders involved in automotive industry technology development.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What will the passenger transportation market look like in 2025 and 2050?
  • Which technologies being developed now will drive the future picture of the global vehicle market?
  • How will these technologies interact to further change the transportation landscape?
  • What are the key external forces that will influence the future of transportation?
  • How will companies involved in transportation need to adapt to be successful in the long term?
  • What are the on-demand mobility and automotive industry topics that city planners should be studying now?

Who needs this report?

  • Vehicle manufacturers and automotive suppliers
  • Fleet managers
  • Electric vehicle (EV) supply equipment providers and manufacturers
  • Wireless communications companies
  • Oil & gas companies
  • Utility companies
  • Local and national government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. A Picture of 2025
  • 1.3. Outlook to 2050

2. A Picture of 2025

  • 2.1. The End of the Beginning
  • 2.2. Connectivity Is a Key Building Block
  • 2.3. Autonomous Vehicles Will Be Widely Available
  • 2.4. On-Demand Mobility in Cities Will Lead to Change
  • 2.5. Electric Drive Competes Head On

3. Exploring the Potential: 2025-2050

  • 3.1. The Beginning of the Next Transportation Epoch
  • 3.2. Shifting Priorities in Transportation Pose a Threat to Automakers
  • 3.3. Connectivity Provides New Revenue Opportunities
  • 3.4. More Connectivity Brings More Risk
  • 3.5. Self-Driving Vehicles Transform City Centers
  • 3.6. Consequences of Automated Driving
  • 3.7. On-Demand Mobility Is the Norm
  • 3.8. EVs Will See Global Growth
  • 3.9. Conclusions about Transportation Markets in 2050 and Beyond
    • 3.9.1. Connectivity Is Vital for MaaS
    • 3.9.2. Vehicle Makeover
    • 3.9.3. PEVs Still Share the Road
    • 3.9.4. The Decline of the Personal Vehicle

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Transportation Landscape: 2025-2050
  • Transportation Landscape: 2025
  • Transportation Landscape: 2050

List of Tables

  • Vehicle Automation Level Definitions
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