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市場調查報告書

運輸部門的展望:全球燃料消費量的預測

Transportation Forecast - Global Fuel Consumption: Road Transportation Sector Consumption of Gasoline, Diesel, Biofuels, Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas, Electricity and Hydrogen - Global Market Forecasts 2014-2035

出版商 Navigant Research 商品編碼 310287
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 25 Pages; 45 Tables, Charts & Figures
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運輸部門的展望:全球燃料消費量的預測 Transportation Forecast - Global Fuel Consumption: Road Transportation Sector Consumption of Gasoline, Diesel, Biofuels, Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas, Electricity and Hydrogen - Global Market Forecasts 2014-2035
出版日期: 2014年07月25日 內容資訊: 英文 25 Pages; 45 Tables, Charts & Figures
簡介

減輕石油的依賴,對全球各國的運輸業來說是多年的課題。現在,地球上有12億台以上的汽車運行著,不過98%以汽油、輕油為燃料。各國政府,透過對替代燃料和AFV(替代燃料車)的財政支助,對生質燃料的使用義務、新車的燃油消耗率義務的適用等,各種方式企圖削減石油消費量。因此,替代燃料慢慢普及,也影響汽車用燃料市場。但,效果的大小依燃料的種類和地區有很大的不同。譬如,LPG在東歐和土耳其、韓國廣為普及,不過其他國家就不太普及。目前,無論哪個種類的替代燃料,都無法完全代替石油。全球的道路運輸業的年度能源消費量,推算2014年達到8京1100兆BTU,2035年達到10京1700兆BTU。

本報告提供全球運輸業今後的燃料消費量預測相關分析、替代性燃料的主要普及推動因素和目前開發情形、各種燃料/能源來源消費量的預測值、各地區的詳細趨勢資訊,為您概述為以下內容。

第1章 摘要整理

  • 市場概況
  • 分析範圍
  • 市場預測

第2章 市場預測

  • 簡介
  • 分析方法
    • 主要的變數
      • 燃料價格
      • 行車距離(VMT)
      • 燃料經濟性
      • 生質燃料的普及率
    • 換算率
  • 石油
  • 汽油
  • 柴油燃料
  • 生質燃料
    • 乙醇
    • 生質柴油
    • 混合式、生質燃料
  • 天然氣
  • LPG(液化石油天然氣)
  • 電力
  • 氫燃料
  • 結論、建議

第3章 簡稱、縮寫一覽

第4章 目錄

第5章 圖表一覽

第6章 分析範圍、資訊來源、分析方法、註記

目錄
Product Code: MD-GFC-14

Road Transportation Sector Consumption of Gasoline, Diesel, Biofuels, Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas, Electricity, and Hydrogen: Global Market Forecasts, 2014-2035.

Reducing the transportation sector's dependence on oil has long been a policy goal of governments globally. The sector's overwhelming dependence on the resource results in major costs that affect energy security, environmental security, and economic stability for nations globally. More than 1.2 billion vehicles are on the world's roads today, with nearly 98% being powered by blends of gasoline or diesel. Governments have initiated a number of policies aimed at reducing oil consumption, including subsidizing alternative fuels and alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs), biofuels mandates, and higher fuel economy requirements for new vehicles.

Markets for both vehicles and fuels have gradually begun to respond to these government programs, and alternative fuels are beginning to have an impact on global oil demand. The shape and form of road transportation alternative fuels markets vary by region, largely influenced by government regulations, local resources, infrastructure, and fuel prices. For instance, markets for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) are particularly strong in Eastern Europe, Turkey, and South Korea, but relatively mute elsewhere. As such, no one alternative fuel has been pinpointed as the perfect alternative fuel solution. Navigant Research forecasts that annual energy consumption in the global road transportation sector will grow from 81.1 quadrillion Btu in 2014 to 101.7 quadrillion Btu in 2035.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global road transportation fuels market by alternative fuel and vehicle segment (light duty vehicles and medium and heavy duty vehicles). Analysis and data are provided for the following fuels: gasoline, diesel, ethanol, biodiesel, drop-in biofuels, natural gas, LPG, electricity, and hydrogen. Global market forecasts for energy, oil, and fuel consumption, segmented by country and vehicle segment, extend through 2035.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What is the overall impact of alternative fuels and alternative fuel vehicles on the global fuels supply and market?
  • What impact are advances in vehicle fuel economy having on the conventional fuels (gasoline and diesel) supply and markets?
  • What are the fastest-growing alternative fuels by region?
  • What are the major factors and variables in assessing demand for road transportation fuels?
  • What are the market drivers and challenges for each fuel type?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Market Forecasts

  • 2.1. Introduction
  • 2.2. Methodology
    • 2.2.1. Major Variables
      • 2.2.1.1. Fuel Price
      • 2.2.1.2. VMT
      • 2.2.1.3. Fuel Economy
      • 2.2.1.4. Biofuels Penetration
    • 2.2.2. Conversions
  • 2.3. Oil
  • 2.4. Gasoline
  • 2.5. Diesel
  • 2.6. Biofuels
    • 2.6.1. Ethanol
    • 2.6.2. Biodiesel
    • 2.6.3. Drop-In
  • 2.7. Natural Gas
  • 2.8. LPG
  • 2.9. Electricity
  • 2.10. Hydrogen
  • 2.11. Conclusions and Recommendations

3. Acronym and Abbreviation List

4. Table of Contents

5. Table of Charts and Figures

6. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Sales Weighted Average Fuel Retail Price, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Oil Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Gasoline Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Diesel Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Biofuels Consumption by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Natural Gas Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector LPG Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Electricity Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Hydrogen Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Navigant Research Global Fuel Consumption Forecast Model

List of Tables

  • Gasoline Price by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Diesel Price by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Residential Electricity Rates by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • CNG Price by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • LPG Price by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Energy Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Energy Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Energy Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Fuel Consumption by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Oil Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Oil Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Oil Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Gasoline Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Gasoline Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Gasoline Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Diesel Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Diesel Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Diesel Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Ethanol Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Biodiesel Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Drop-In Biofuels Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Natural Gas Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Natural Gas Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Natural Gas Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV LNG Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector LPG Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV LPG Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV LPG Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Electricity Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Electricity Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Electricity Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual Road Transportation Sector Hydrogen Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual LDV Hydrogen Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Annual MHDV Hydrogen Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2014-2035
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