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市場調查報告書

運輸部門的展望:中型及大型巴士/卡車的全球市場:2016年∼2035年的預測

Transportation Forecast - Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles: Global Forecasts of Medium and Heavy Duty Trucks and Buses by Region and Powertrain 2016-2035

出版商 Navigant Research 商品編碼 307590
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 31 Pages; 126 Tables, Charts & Figures
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運輸部門的展望:中型及大型巴士/卡車的全球市場:2016年∼2035年的預測 Transportation Forecast - Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles: Global Forecasts of Medium and Heavy Duty Trucks and Buses by Region and Powertrain 2016-2035
出版日期: 2016年04月18日 內容資訊: 英文 31 Pages; 126 Tables, Charts & Figures
簡介

全球中型、重型車兩 (MHDV) 市場,由於燃料成本的上升及對環境的擔憂,而迅速變化,不過,其中以經手車隊的民間及政府相關機關,不得不考慮燃料效率好的技術及替代燃料的投資。推測現在有12億台小型、中型、大型車輛在道路上通行。MHDV,在其中不滿5%,其94%以上使用汽油或柴油燃料的傳統內燃機。這樣MHDV對石油的依賴度高,隨著各國政府促進替代更廉價的替代燃料的投資。燃料技術的引進計劃的,以及車隊經營者也進行對全球MHDV的年度銷售額及更換台數,預計從2016年的470萬台,2035年增加到730萬台。

本報告以全球中型巴士、卡車及大型巴士、卡車市場為主題,提供傳統汽油引擎車、汽油引擎的混合動力汽車、汽油引擎的插入式混合動力車、傳統柴油引擎車、柴油引擎的混合動力汽車、柴油引擎的插入式混合動力車,電池式電動車 (BEV) 、天然氣車 (NGV) 、液化石油氣車 (PAGV) 及燃料電池汽車 (FCV) 的10個類別的分析,該市場領域的替代燃料技術的機會及影響的相關分析彙整。

第1章 摘要整理

  • 市場概要
  • 調查範圍
  • 市場預測

第2章 預測參數

  • 預測的方針
  • 市場趨勢
    • 燃油消耗率
    • 增量費用
    • 政府的方針及獎勵策略
    • 車輛需求

第3章 市場預測

  • 新的資料選擇選擇
  • 全球市場預測
  • 各車輛類別明細
  • 北美市場:各動力傳動
  • 歐洲市場:各動力傳動
  • 亞太地區市場:各動力傳動
  • 結論與建議

第4章 縮寫及簡稱清單

第5章 目錄

第6章 圖表

第7章 調查範圍、資訊來源與調查手法、註解

圖表

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目錄
Product Code: DB-MHDV-16

The global medium and heavy duty vehicle (MHDV) market is changing due to rising fuel costs and environmental concerns. These issues are pushing commercial and government fleet operators to consider investments in fuel efficiency technologies and alternative fuels. Navigant Research estimates that more than 1.2 billion light, medium, and heavy duty vehicles are on the roads globally today-and less than 5% belong to the MHDV segment. Of these vehicles, over 94% utilize a conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) powered by either gasoline or diesel.

The MHDV segment represents only a small percentage of the total vehicle population. Yet, it accounts for a large portion of the total fuel and energy consumed in the road transportation sector because of the low average fuel economy and high annual mileage typical of MHDVs. Governments are examining programs to speed the adoption of alternative fuel technologies and reduce local emissions. Less expensive alternatives to petroleum-based fuels, such as natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG, also known as propane or autogas), and electricity, are beginning to make inroads. According to Navigant Research, global annual MHDV sales are expected to grow from 4.7 million vehicles in 2016 to 7.3 million in 2035.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global MHDV market by four major categories: medium duty buses, heavy duty buses, medium duty trucks, and heavy duty trucks. Each of these categories is also broken down into 10 powertrain types: conventional gasoline, gasoline hybrid, gasoline plug-in hybrid, conventional diesel, diesel hybrid, diesel plug-in hybrid, battery electric, natural gas, propane, and hydrogen fuel cells. Global market forecasts for annual sales and the number of vehicles in use, segmented by country and powertrain type, extend through 2035. The Excel databook accompanying this report also includes new options for the user to select specific data of interest, including pivot tables and dynamic tables and charts.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • How quickly will the commercial vehicle market grow in terms of annual sales and vehicles in use?
  • How large are the bus and truck markets in each of the major world regions?
  • How big is the potential commercial vehicle market for each alternative fuel: electricity, hydrogen, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gas?
  • Which fuels will power the global medium and heavy duty vehicle (MHDV) fleet in 2035?
  • Which regions will have strong demand for battery packs and electric motors for large vehicles?
  • Which countries will lead in implementing natural gas as a fuel for heavy vehicles?

Who needs this report?

  • Fleet managers
  • Truck and bus manufacturers
  • Battery and electric motor suppliers
  • Natural gas and hydrogen infrastructure developers
  • Utility companies
  • Electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) providers and manufacturers
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market Overview
  • 1.2 Scope
    • 1.2.1 New Segmentation and Data Presentation
  • 1.3 Market Forecasts

2. Forecast Parameters

  • 2.1 Overall Forecast Philosophy
  • 2.2 Market Trends
    • 2.2.1 Fuel Cost
    • 2.2.2 Incremental Costs
    • 2.2.3 Government Policies and Incentives
    • 2.2.4 Fleet Demands

3. Market Forecasts

  • 3.1 New Data Selection Options Provided
  • 3.2 Global Forecast
  • 3.3 Breakdown by Vehicle Category
  • 3.4 North America by Powertrain
  • 3.5 Western Europe by Powertrain
  • 3.6 Asia Pacific by Powertrain
  • 3.7 Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Annual MHDV Sales by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035

List of Tables

  • Vehicle Category Definitions
  • Vehicle Weight by Category Definitions in Key Countries/Regions
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Fuel and Powertrain Category Definitions
  • List of Countries and Regions Covered in This Report
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Total Annual Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Country Pivot Table
  • Powertrain Pivot Table
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MHDV Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
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