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市場調查報告書

全球自動駕駛車輛市場分析、預測:先進駕駛輔助系統及自動駕駛功能的演進

Autonomous Vehicles - Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and the Evolution of Self-Driving Functionality: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

出版商 Navigant Research 商品編碼 278813
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 94 Pages; 62 Tables, Charts & Figures
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全球自動駕駛車輛市場分析、預測:先進駕駛輔助系統及自動駕駛功能的演進 Autonomous Vehicles - Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and the Evolution of Self-Driving Functionality: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts
出版日期: 2015年08月22日 內容資訊: 英文 94 Pages; 62 Tables, Charts & Figures
簡介

自動駕駛車輛預計下20年慢慢增加氣勢,銷售額至2035年達到年度9,540萬美元,佔小客車銷售額的75%。

本報告提供半自動、自動駕駛的先進駕駛輔助功能的新市場相關詳細的分析、主要的汽車廠商與供應商簡介、半自動與自動駕駛車輛銷售促進要素、阻礙要素分析、各地區的收益、銷售台數的預測,及實現自動駕駛車輛的核心駕駛輔助技術的檢討等彙整資料,為您概述為以下內容。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 市場問題

  • 未來的願景
  • 完全自動駕駛車輛的優點
  • 實用化的障礙

第3章 技術課題

  • 根本技術
  • 自動的層級
  • 實驗計劃及檢驗

第4章 主要企業

  • OEM
  • 主要供應商
  • 大學
  • 硬體設備及軟體企業
  • 其他相關企業

第5章 市場預測

  • 全球預測
  • 各自動等級的每個地區的技術預測
  • 各自動層級及地區的自動停車場數預測
  • 社會利益
  • 都市區中自動駕駛車輛的影響:北美
  • 結論、提案

第6章 企業名錄

第7章 用語、簡稱清單

第8章 目錄

第9章 圖表

第10章 調查範圍、來源、手法、註記

圖表

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目錄
Product Code: ASDV-15

Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and the Evolution of Self-Driving Functionality: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts.

The first combinations of advanced driver assistance features, now available in some 2016 vehicle models, offer semi-autonomous driving under specific circumstances. Cars will soon have the ability to cruise on freeways and safely navigate traffic jams with minimal driver input. As a result of increasing volumes and technology improvements, as well as cost reductions, it is now feasible to install the multiple sensors necessary for such capability.

The industry consensus is that more comprehensive self-driving features will be brought to market by 2020. Such features will enable more complex automated driving, but still require some supervision by a competent driver. However, the obstacles to autonomous functionality are not all technological. While more testing is still needed to develop robustness, the biggest practical hurdles to clear before the rollout of self-driving vehicles to the public are related to liability, regulation, and legislation. In the long term, though, autonomous vehicle technology has the potential to institute major change in personal mobility, particularly in large cities. According to Navigant Research, 85 million autonomous-capable vehicles are expected to be sold annually around the world by 2035.

This Navigant Research report provides a detailed examination of the emerging market for different levels of fully and semi-autonomous driving. The study provides a discussion of the potential benefits, demand drivers, inhibitors, and technology issues related to advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles, as well as profiles of the leading vehicle manufacturers and suppliers. Global market forecasts by region for volumes of vehicles with Level 2, 3, and 4 autonomy, along with the associated revenue, extend through 2035. The report also includes an assessment of how quickly the percentage of vehicles with some autonomous capability will grow within the overall parc of vehicles on the road in each of the six major world regions.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What are the key levels of vehicle automation?
  • When will the first autonomous vehicles of each level be available?
  • Which will be the first self-driving features to come to market?
  • What are the major benefits of autonomous vehicles?
  • Which factors must be resolved for implementation to happen?
  • How fast will annual sales grow and how will this translate into on-the-road penetration?
  • How much revenue can be expected from the new autonomous driving systems?
  • Who are the key players in different aspects of the overall market for autonomous vehicles?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Autonomous Vehicle Technology Overview
  • 1.2. Key Market Drivers
  • 1.3. Technology Issues
  • 1.4. Forecast Highlights

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Vision for the Long-Term Future
    • 2.1.1. Consumer Market
    • 2.1.2. Fleet Market
    • 2.1.3. Other Markets for Autonomous Vehicles
    • 2.1.4. Evolution
    • 2.1.5. Revolution
  • 2.2. Benefits of Fully Autonomous Vehicles
    • 2.2.1. Traffic Flow
    • 2.2.2. Eliminating Collisions
    • 2.2.3. Productivity
    • 2.2.4. Vehicle and Ridesharing
    • 2.2.5. Smart Cities
  • 2.3. Barriers to Implementation
    • 2.3.1. Customer Concerns
    • 2.3.2. Legislation and Government Activity
    • 2.3.3. Insurance and Liability
    • 2.3.4. Cyber Security
    • 2.3.5. Changing OEM Business Model

3. Technology Issues

  • 3.1. Underlying Technology
    • 3.1.1. ADAS
    • 3.1.2. Vehicle-to-External
    • 3.1.3. Sensor Fusion
    • 3.1.4. Navigation Systems
  • 3.2. Levels of Autonomy
    • 3.2.1. Freeway Driving Mode (Level 2)
    • 3.2.2. Traffic Jam Mode (Level 2)
    • 3.2.3. Self-Driving Mode (Level 3)
    • 3.2.4. Autonomous Driving (Level 4)
  • 3.3. Pilot Programs and Testing
    • 3.3.1. United Kingdom
      • 3.3.1.1. Bristol
      • 3.3.1.2. Greenwich
      • 3.3.1.3. Milton Keynes and Coventry
    • 3.3.2. Mainland Europe
      • 3.3.2.1. EU Projects
      • 3.3.2.2. France
      • 3.3.2.3. Germany
      • 3.3.2.4. Netherlands
      • 3.3.2.5. Sweden
    • 3.3.3. United States
      • 3.3.3.1. California
      • 3.3.3.2. Michigan
    • 3.3.4. Asia Pacific
      • 3.3.4.1. Australia
      • 3.3.4.2. China
      • 3.3.4.3. Japan

4. Key Industry Players

  • 4.1. OEMs
    • 4.1.1. Audi AG
    • 4.1.2. BMW AG
    • 4.1.3. Daimler AG
    • 4.1.4. FCA
    • 4.1.5. Ford Motor Company
    • 4.1.6. GM
    • 4.1.7. Honda Motor Company
    • 4.1.8. Hyundai
    • 4.1.9. Jaguar Land Rover
    • 4.1.10. Kia
    • 4.1.11. Mazda
    • 4.1.12. Mitsubishi Motors Corp
    • 4.1.13. Nissan Motor Company
    • 4.1.14. PSA Peugeot Citroën
    • 4.1.15. Renault S.A.
    • 4.1.16. Tesla Motors
    • 4.1.17. Toyota Motor Corp.
    • 4.1.18. Volvo Car Corp.
    • 4.1.19. VW
  • 4.2. Major Suppliers
    • 4.2.1. AISIN Group
    • 4.2.2. Autoliv Inc.
    • 4.2.3. Continental AG
    • 4.2.4. Delphi Automotive
    • 4.2.5. DENSO Corp.
    • 4.2.6. Gentex Corp.
    • 4.2.7. Harman International Industries
    • 4.2.8. Hella KGaA Hueck & Co.
    • 4.2.9. Hyundai Mobis
    • 4.2.10. Magna International
    • 4.2.11. Robert Bosch GmbH
    • 4.2.12. Takata Corp.
    • 4.2.13. Valeo
    • 4.2.14. ZF Friedrichshafen AG
  • 4.3. Universities
    • 4.3.1. Carnegie Mellon
    • 4.3.2. Cornell University
    • 4.3.3. Freie Universität Berlin
    • 4.3.4. Kungliga Tekniska Högskolan
    • 4.3.5. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    • 4.3.6. Oxford University
    • 4.3.7. Stanford University
    • 4.3.8. University of Michigan
    • 4.3.9. University of Parma VisLab
    • 4.3.10. Virginia Tech
  • 4.4. Hardware Companies
  • 4.5. Software Companies
  • 4.6. Other Industry Participants

5. Market Forecasts

  • 5.1. Global Forecasts
  • 5.2. Regional Technology Forecasts by Autonomy Level
    • 5.2.1. Level 2
    • 5.2.2. Level 3
    • 5.2.3. Level 4
  • 5.3. Vehicle Parc Forecast by Level and Region
    • 5.3.1. North America Parc
    • 5.3.2. Western Europe Parc
    • 5.3.3. Eastern Europe Parc
    • 5.3.4. Asia Pacific Parc
    • 5.3.5. Latin America Parc
    • 5.3.6. Middle East & Africa Parc
  • 5.4. Societal Benefits
  • 5.5. The Effect of Autonomous Fleets in Cities-North America
  • 5.6. Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory

7. Acronym and Abbreviation List

8. Table of Contents

9. Table of Charts and Figures

10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Autonomous-Capable Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Light Duty Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Light Duty Vehicle Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 2 Autonomous Driving Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Level 2 Autonomous Driving Systems Value by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 2 Autonomous Driving Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 3 Autonomous Driving Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Level 3 Autonomous Driving Systems Value by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 3 Autonomous Driving Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 4 Autonomous Driving Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Level 4 Autonomous Driving Systems Value by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 4 Autonomous Driving Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, North America: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Western Europe: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Eastern Europe: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Asia Pacific: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Latin America: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Middle East & Africa: 2015-2035
  • Penetration of Autonomous L2 to L4 Systems by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Alternative Autonomous Vehicle Model Vehicle Sales by Feature, North America: 2015-2035
  • Alternative Autonomous Vehicle Model Vehicle Parc by Feature, North America: 2015-2035
  • ADAS Applications

List of Tables

  • Autonomous-Capable Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Examples of ADASs in Production by Country, United States and United Kingdom: 2015 Models
  • Estimated Market Price by Autonomous Driving Feature, World Markets: 2015
  • Annual Light Duty Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Annual Light Duty Vehicle Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 2 Autonomous Driving Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 2 Autonomous Driving Sales Penetration by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Level 2 Autonomous Driving Systems Value by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 2 Autonomous Driving Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 2 Autonomous Driving Parc Penetration by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 3 Autonomous Driving Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 3 Autonomous Driving Sales Penetration by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Level 3 Autonomous Driving Systems Value by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 3 Autonomous Driving Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 3 Autonomous Driving Parc Penetration by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 4 Autonomous Driving Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 4 Autonomous Driving Sales Penetration by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Level 4 Autonomous Driving Systems Value by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 4 Autonomous Driving Parc by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicles with Level 4 Autonomous Driving Parc Penetration by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, North America: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Penetration by Autonomous Driving Level, North America: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Western Europe: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Penetration by Autonomous Driving Level, Western Europe: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Eastern Europe: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Penetration by Autonomous Driving Level, Eastern Europe: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Asia Pacific: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Penetration by Autonomous Driving Level, Asia Pacific: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Latin America: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Penetration by Autonomous Driving Level, Latin America: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, Middle East & Africa: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Penetration by Autonomous Driving Level, Middle East & Africa: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc by Autonomous Driving Level, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Vehicle Parc Breakdown by Autonomous Driving Level, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Penetration of Autonomous L2 to L4 Systems by Region, World Markets: 2015-2035
  • Alternative Autonomous Vehicle Model Vehicle Sales by Feature, North America: 2015-2035
  • Alternative Autonomous Vehicle Model Vehicle Parc by Feature, North America: 2015-2035
  • Computer Hardware Companies
  • Software Companies
  • Other Industry Participants
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