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市場調查報告書

聚光型太陽能發電(CSP):市場趨勢、政策、技術驅力、競

Concentrated Solar Power: Market Trends, Policy Landscape, Technology Drivers, Competitive Threats, and Global Forecasts

出版商 Pike Research
出版日期 2011年11月 商品編碼 223942
內容資訊 英文 72 Pages
價格
US $ 3800 PDF by E-mail (Basic License)
US $ 5700 PDF by E-mail (Enterprise License)


聚光型太陽能發電(CSP):市場趨勢、政策、技術驅力、競 是由出版商Pike Research在2011年11月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書包含72 Pages 價格從美金3800起跳。

簡介

聚光型太陽能發電(CSP)因2004年之政策實施,成功由投資家及提倡等得以重新開發。PV價格在2008年達到高峰後,更強勢發展,2008年至2011年之全球CSP發電裝置容量預計將成長300%。但由於2011年PV模組價格低落,PV之融資機會及可信度愈增,受美國主要工程將由CSP轉移至PV之趨勢來看,CSP成長將可陷入急速停頓之困境。

本報告為,調查分析全球聚光型太陽能發電(CSP)市場變化及展望,並匯整CSP技術及用途、市場驅力及阻力、主要地區/國家別市場主要趨勢、主要工程、發電容量及收益預測(∼2020年)、主要企業簡介等,以下列摘要形式闡述。

第1章 實施概要

第2章 技術及用途

  • 技術概要
  • 主要系統配置內容
    • 拋物面槽
    • 碟式
    • 菲涅爾透鏡
  • 用途
    • 獨立發電
    • 化石燃料及混合:ISCC(Integrated Solar Combined Cycle)
    • 儲能
    • 過程熱能
  • 自然資源:DNI(Solar Direct Normal Irradiance)
  • 與太陽能發電之競爭
  • 水的使用及PV挑戰

第3章 市場

  • 簡介
  • 商業歷史
  • 市場驅力
    • 氣候變遷、減少溫室效益氣體排放
    • 能源安全
    • 能源供應多元化
    • 美國可再生能源配額 (Renewable Portfolio Standards)
    • 政策、提倡
    • 政策趨勢:美國、歐洲、中東/北非、印度、中國、澳大利亞
    • R&D資助、津貼
    • 民間企業投資
  • 市場阻礙
    • 許可
    • 資金到位
    • 送電

第4章 主要地區市場

  • 美國
  • EU
  • 中東、北非
  • 印度
  • 中國
  • 澳大利亞

第5章 主要企業(17間)

第6章 市場預測

  • 全球CSP市場預測
  • 地區別內容
  • 市場規模:地區別
    • 美國
    • 歐洲
    • 中東、北非
    • 印度
    • 中國
    • 澳大利亞

第7章 企業名錄

第8章 縮寫等

圖表

目錄

Abstract

image1

Concentrated solar power (CSP) has been a " start-stop" industry since the 1500s, when Leonardo da Vinci conceived the use of a parabolic mirror concentrator to heat water for dyeing cloths. It is plausible that da Vinci failed to design a CSP system that was cost competitive with the primary fossil fuel of his time, chopped wood. More than 490 years after da Vinci's death, nine CSP systems, SEGS I-IX from Luz Industries, came online during the late 1980s. Like da Vinci, Luz was unable to compete with a modern equivalent of chopped wood, natural gas.

A CSP revival was jump-started in 2004 as policy announcements at that time inspired investors and engineers to start developing again. The movement gained steam when PV prices peaked in 2008 resulting in a 300% gain in global CSP operational capacity from 2008-2011. CSP growth came to a rapid stop in 2011 when PV module price decreases, combined with the PV's proven bankability, drove several of high profile U.S. projects to convert from CSP to PV.

This Pike Research report provides an in depth analysis of technology issues and policy trends driving concentrated solar power adoption in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, India, and China. The study analyzes the perceived threat from solar photovoltaics and assesses the key challenges and opportunities presented by regional policies, capital environments, utility scale demand, and solar resources well suited for CSP. Market forecasts extend through 2020 and include projections for installed capacity and revenue by region.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • Which countries will drive CSP technology development and adoption, and why?
  • How will regional renewable energy policies, feed-in tariffs, government-backed loan guarantees, and research grants drive CSP forward?
  • How do policy and capital environments compare across China, India, MENA, Europe, and the United States?
  • How have PV performance and price drops affected CSP projects?
  • What are the underlying reasons for the recent conversion of 2.2 GW of U.S. based CSP capacity?
  • What are the key factors that will drive current CSP market decline and recovery in 2016?

Who needs this report?

  • Concentrated solar power technology companies
  • Project developers
  • Utilities
  • Industry associations
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Introduction
  • 1.2 Industry Growth

2. Technology and Applications

  • 2.1 Technology Overview
  • 2.2 Anatomy of Main System Configurations
    • 2.2.1 Power Tower
    • 2.2.2 Parabolic Trough
    • 2.2.3 Dish
    • 2.2.4 Linear Fresnel Lens
  • 2.3 CSP Applications
    • 2.3.1 Standalone Power Generation
    • 2.3.2 Hybridization with Fossil Fuels: Integrated Solar Combined Cycle (ISCC)
    • 2.3.3 Energy Storage
    • 2.3.4 Process Heat
  • 2.4 Natural Resource: Solar Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI)
  • 2.5 Competition from Photovoltaics
  • 2.6 Water Usage and the Challenge from PV

3. Market Issues

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Commercial History
  • 3.3 Market Drivers
    • 3.3.1 Climate Change and Greenhouse Gas Reduction
    • 3.3.2 Energy Security
    • 3.3.3 Energy Supply Diversification
    • 3.3.4 Renewable Portfolio Standards (United States)
    • 3.3.5 Policies and Incentives
      • 3.3.5.1 Feed-In Tariffs
      • 3.3.5.2 Government-Backed Loan Guarantees
      • 3.3.5.3 Tax Breaks, Subsidies, and Incentives
      • 3.3.5.4 Worldwide Incentives
    • 3.3.6 Policy Trends: United States, Europe, MENA, India, China, and Australia
      • 3.3.6.1 United States
      • 3.3.6.2 European Union: Spain and Italy
      • 3.3.6.3 Middle East and North Africa
      • 3.3.6.4 India
      • 3.3.6.5 China
      • 3.3.6.6 Australia
    • 3.3.7 R&D Grants and Subsidies
    • 3.3.8 Private Sector Investments
  • 3.4 Market Barriers
    • 3.4.1 Permitting
    • 3.4.2 Financing
    • 3.4.3 Transmission

4. Key Markets

  • 4.1 United States
    • 4.1.1 U.S. Market Disparity
    • 4.1.2 U.S. Market Drivers and Opportunities
  • 4.2 European Union
  • 4.3 Middle East and North Africa
    • 4.3.1 Masdar
    • 4.3.2 MASEN
    • 4.3.3 DESERTEC
  • 4.4 India
  • 4.5 China
  • 4.6 Australia

5. Key Industry Players

  • 5.1 Abengoa Solar
  • 5.2 ACCIONA Energy
  • 5.3 AREVA
  • 5.4 BrightSource Energy
  • 5.5 China Renewable Energy Scale-up Program (CRESP)
  • 5.6 DESERTEC Foundation
  • 5.7 eSolar
  • 5.8 Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (India's Solar Mission)
  • 5.9 Masdar
  • 5.10 Morocco Agency for Solar Energy (MASEN)
  • 5.11 NextEra Energy Resources
  • 5.12 Novatec
  • 5.13 SCHOTT Solar
  • 5.14 Siemens
  • 5.15 Solar Millennium (and Solar Trust of America)
  • 5.16 SolarReserve
  • 5.17 Torresol

6. Market Forecasts

  • 6.1 Methodology
  • 6.2 Flex Points in Model
    • 6.2.1 Incentives
    • 6.2.2 Regional Politics and Policies
    • 6.2.3 Technology
    • 6.2.4 Market Conditions
    • 6.2.5 Recent Signals
  • 6.3 Global CSP Market Forecast
  • 6.4 Regional Breakdown
    • 6.4.1 United States
    • 6.4.2 Europe
    • 6.4.3 MENA
    • 6.4.4 India
    • 6.4.5 China
    • 6.4.6 Australia
  • 6.5 Market Value by Region, World Markets
    • 6.5.1 United States
    • 6.5.2 Europe
    • 6.5.3 MENA
    • 6.5.4 India
    • 6.5.5 China
    • 6.5.6 Australia

7. Company Directory

8. Acronym and Abbreviation List

9. Table of Contents

10. Table of Charts and Figures

11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • CSP Project Announcements vs. Construction Starts, United States: October 2011
  • CSP Revenue, World Markets: 2012-2020
  • Current Project Pipeline, Announced, Under Development, and in Construction, World Markets: 2011-2017
  • Total Primary Energy Demand, World Markets: 1990-2030
  • CSP Project Announcements vs. Construction Starts, United States: October 2011
  • Electric Power Industry Net Generation, United States: 2009
  • CSP Capacity, World Markets: 2012-2020
  • CSP Revenue, World Markets: 2012-2020
  • CSP Capacity, United States: 1990-2020
  • CSP Revenue, United States: 2012-2020
  • CSP Capacity, Europe: 2007-2020
  • CSP Revenue, Europe: 2011-2020
  • CSP Capacity, MENA: 2011-2020
  • CSP Revenue, MENA: 2011-2020
  • CSP Capacity, India: 2012-2020
  • CSP Revenue, India: 2012-2020
  • CSP Capacity, China: 2012-2020
  • CSP Revenue, China: 2012-2020
  • Power Tower
  • Parabolic Trough CSP Technology
  • Dish Stirling
  • Linear Fresnel Lens
  • Simplified Steam Generation Flow Chart
  • Stored Power Dispatch Principle
  • Indirect vs. Direct Normal Irradiance
  • Global Direct Normal Irradiance
  • Coal-Fired Power Plants, United States
  • Direct Normal Irradiance, United States
  • High-Voltage Direct Current Transmission Lines, United States
  • Direct Normal Irradiance, Europe and MENA
  • DESERTEC Concept
  • DNI, India
  • DNI, China
  • Population Density, China
  • DNI, Australia

List of Tables

  • Renewable Portfolio Standards by State, United States
  • Renewable Energy Policies and Incentives, World Markets
  • DOE Loan Guarantee Awards, United States: 2010-2011
  • CSP Subsidies, MENA
  • CSP Projects Awarded Under PPAs, United States
  • CSP Projects, Europe
  • CSP Projects, MENA
  • CSP Projects, China
  • CSP Projects, India
  • CSP Project Announcements vs. Construction Starts, United States: October 2011
  • Share of CSP Project Announcements vs. Construction Starts, United States: October 2011
  • CSP Additional Capacity, United States: 1992-2020
  • CSP Installed Capacity, United States: 1990-2020
  • CSP Revenue, United States: 2012-2020
  • CSP Additional Capacity, Europe: 2007-2020
  • CSP Installed Capacity, Europe: 2007-2020
  • CSP Revenue, Europe: 2011-2020
  • CSP Additional Capacity, India: 2012-2020
  • CSP Installed Capacity, India: 2012-2020
  • CSP Revenue, India: 2012-2020
  • CSP Additional Capacity, China: 2012-2020
  • CSP Installed Capacity, China: 2012-2020
  • CSP Revenue, China: 2012-2020
  • CSP Additional Capacity, MENA: 2011-2020
  • CSP Installed Capacity, MENA: 2011-2020
  • CSP Revenue, MENA: 2011-2020
  • CSP Installed Capacity, World Markets: 2012-2020
  • CSP Revenue, World Markets: 2012-2020
  • Project Pipeline by Region, World Markets: 2011-2020
  • Existing MW Installed, World Markets

Press Release

聚光型太陽能發電(CSP)市場今後10年將持續上升和下降

2011年12月05日

Global Information, Inc.已開始銷售Pike Research所發行的報告書「Concentrated Solar Power: Market Trends, Policy Landscape, Technology Drivers, Competitive Threats, and Global Forecasts (聚光型太陽能發電(CSP):市場趨勢、政策、技術驅力、競)」

由於2004年時發表了好幾個政策,故投資家和工程師們再次開始投入開發,促使聚光型太陽能發電(CSP)恢復景氣。

2006年,由於擔憂氣候的變化和能源的自給問題,聚光型太陽能發電(CSP)氣勢更加高漲。此外,從2007年開始到2008年全球太陽能等級矽暫時供給不足,以矽為基本的太陽能發電(PV)組件創記錄地高漲,故CSP市場再度繁榮。

因為有進行中專案的強大推進力, 2008年的全球經濟危機未立刻對CSP部門造成影響。然政府撤銷獎勵策略造成資本不足,最後使成長減速。

預測全球的CSP市場從現在到2020年間不斷浮沉,從2012年的21億美元規模到2013年戲劇性上升為51億美元。

預計之後將階段性下跌,2016年時變成20億美元,然後再次慢慢上升,2020年時恢復到49億美元。

儘管市場價值變動,預計CSP的總設備容量在近10年結束之前會大幅增加,從2012年的1.7千兆瓦特(GW)到2020年時擴大為35GW。

上級分析家Peter Asmus敘述:「對CSP再度成長的最大威脅乃作為競爭技術的PV組件價格下跌。」。

「PV組件的價格與2008年中期的頂峰期相較,持續下跌50%以上。而且,PV已確立的實績與CSP比較,對資金提供者更富有魅力。

配合規模經濟的削減成本和使收益、利益增加的2個技術組合,或許CSP能戰勝與PV的競爭。該技術乃指與被稱為太陽能複合循環發電(ISCC)的礦物燃料機械設備之混合發電及公用事業規模的能源儲藏。」

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