北美插電式電動車 (PEV) 銷售預測:州與地方、大都會圈、城市及部分電力公司供給地區
Electric Vehicle Geographic Forecasts: Battery and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales and Populations in North America
|出版日期||內容資訊||英文 44 Pages; 62 Tables, Charts & Figures
|北美插電式電動車 (PEV) 銷售預測:州與地方、大都會圈、城市及部分電力公司供給地區 Electric Vehicle Geographic Forecasts: Battery and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales and Populations in North America|
|出版日期: 2016年06月21日||內容資訊: 英文 44 Pages; 62 Tables, Charts & Figures||
現在小客車類型的插電式電動車 (PEV) 銷售台數最多的是在北美地區，2014年銷售台數達13萬3000台以上。今後10年領導PEV市場的是美國，2024年銷售台數預計達86萬台120萬台。另一方面，2024年的加拿大的PEV銷售台數，預計為7萬4000台9萬1000台左右。
本報告提供美國和加拿大的州和大城市統計圈 (MSA) 的小型PEV銷售台數的資料與預測，PEV的普及擴大伴隨的影響和主要的趨勢分析等。
Sales of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) in North America have been concentrated in the U.S. West Coast states since the launch of the market in 2011. Outside of the West Coast, a group of eight northeastern states is likely to see PEV sales increase considerably as automakers stress battery electric vehicle (BEV) deployments and marketing efforts to comply with the region's mandates for PEV production. Outside of the zero emissions vehicle (ZEV) states, PEV sales will grow most quickly in states with desirable PEV incentives, low vehicle capability and range requirements, and positive demographic characteristics related to PEVs. Navigant Research expects the North American PEV market to grow by around 62% year-over-year in 2016, nearing 200,000 sales. Growth is anticipated to come from expanding sales of the Tesla Model X, the second-generation Volt, and the introduction of the Chevrolet Bolt 200-mile range BEV, Prius Prime plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV), and Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV later in the year. Further ahead, Navigant Research projects that the introduction of the Tesla Model 3 in late 2017 will likely boost the North American PEV market by around 60% in 2017 and then nearly double the market in 2018 after the first full year of Model 3 sales. This report draws on the model results published in Navigant Research's Electric Vehicle Market Forecast report, with a specific focus on North America. The study assesses PEV sales and populations in the United States and Canada and provides detailed geographic breakdowns of PEV sales by U.S. state, core based statistical area (CBSA), Canadian province, and Canadian census metropolitan area (CMA). Forecasts are provided under three scenario conditions (conservative, base, and aggressive), alongside results from Navigant Research's annual Electric Vehicle Consumer Survey.