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市場調查報告書

美國國內的乙烯製造廠房建設成本 (2016∼2020年):季報數據的分析,與有效率的比較分析 - 競爭的市場上的成本管理與期間縮短

US Ethylene Complex Construction Costs Data 2016-2020: Quarterly Data Analysis for Effective Benchmarking - Control Costs and Save Time in a Competitive Marketplace

出版商 Petrochemical Update 商品編碼 328673
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 53 Pages; Dataset 86+ Tabs
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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美國國內的乙烯製造廠房建設成本 (2016∼2020年):季報數據的分析,與有效率的比較分析 - 競爭的市場上的成本管理與期間縮短 US Ethylene Complex Construction Costs Data 2016-2020: Quarterly Data Analysis for Effective Benchmarking - Control Costs and Save Time in a Competitive Marketplace
出版日期: 2016年06月30日 內容資訊: 英文 53 Pages; Dataset 86+ Tabs
簡介

北美各國現在,有20家企業進入乙烯加工廠房 (製造設備,下游工程的乙烯衍生物廠房)的經營、建設、擴張。同時,與其他的產業相同,確保建設費用和人事費用相關可靠性高的資料,在乙烯加工廠房的建設計劃中取得成功變得重要。 有20處運作中或建設中、計劃中的乙烯加工廠房。

本報告提供美國的乙烯加工廠房 (石化工業)的建設成本趨勢預測相關分析,乙烯製造業現況,及廠房建造計劃的直接性、間接的影響要素,人事費用、材料費的現況與展望,各地區 (墨西哥灣沿岸,東北部)、各期間 (「第一波」/「第二波」的詳細趨勢),現在建設中的計畫的現狀與完整的展望,資訊彙整,為您概述為以下內容。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 簡介

  • 投資的類別
  • 投資的影響要素
  • 派生的投資
  • 分析的焦點

第3章 乙烯廠房的建設成本

  • 「第一波」的新安裝乙烯製造設備 (鹹餅乾):墨西哥灣沿岸
    • 分析詳細內容
    • 「第一波」的成本結構
    • 年數量100萬噸的乙烯廠房的情況
    • 年數量125萬噸的乙烯廠房的情況
    • 年數量150萬噸的乙烯廠房的情況
    • 摘要
  • 「第二波」的新安裝乙烯製造設備:墨西哥灣沿岸
    • 墨西哥灣沿岸和東北部的比較
  • 新安裝乙烯製造設備:東北部
  • 經濟性比較分析
  • 擴張規模
    • 成本概要

第4章 乙烯衍生物廠房的建設費用:概要

  • 聚乙烯
    • LDPE (低密度聚乙烯) 管技術
    • LLDPE (線型低密度聚乙烯) 技術
  • HDPE (高密度聚苯乙烯) 技術
    • 氣相的HDPE
    • 成本分析:概要
  • 環氧乙烷 (EO)/乙二醇 (EG)
  • 二氯化乙烯 (EDC)/氯乙烯單體 (VCM)/聚氯乙烯 (PVC)
  • α烯烴

第5章 課題與問題點

  • 採購
  • 人力資源
  • 天氣
  • 物流
  • 出口競爭
  • 計劃中的計劃
    • 東北部的優點
    • 聚氯乙烯 (PVC)
    • 策略性考察
    • 出口競爭
    • 時機
  • 石油、天然氣價格
  • 石油價格方案相關風險
  • 建設時的問題:「第二波」
  • 建設後

第6章 「第一波」估計費用

  • 乙烯製造廠房
  • 附錄
  • 簡稱一覽

圖表一覽

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目錄

Quarterly data analysis for effective benchmarking - control costs and save time in a competitive marketplace

In North America twenty producers are now planning, constructing or expanding ethylene crackers and downstream derivative plants.

For new and committed investments alike, having access to reliable construction and labor cost data is critical to the success of ethylene complex projects.

This quantitative analysis will enable you to:

  • Manage your Costs: Understand the construction cost environment in the US for ethylene facilities to manage cost escalation, prevent cost overruns and achieve budget optimization.
  • Benchmark your Costs: 2016 cost data for bulk materials, labor, major equipment, detailed design, indirect costs and more.
  • Evaluate your Contracts with itemized data including component quantities and costs for associated labor.
  • Sharpen your Ethylene Investment Strategy: Identify key trends in the petrochemical construction market to enable more accurate financial planning and strategic decision making.

Key questions answered

  • What are the current indirect construction costs on US ethylene projects?
  • What are the current labor and material costs on US ethylene projects?
  • How are labor costs changing in the Gulf Coast?
  • What is the status of projects under construction and when are they likely to be completed?

Table of Contents

  • List of Tables
  • List of Figures

1. Executive Summary

2. Introduction

  • Investment Categories
  • Impact on Investments
  • Derivative Investments
  • Study Focus

3. Ethylene Plant Construction Costs

  • 3.1. First Wave New Crackers: Gulf Coast
    • Report Details
    • The First Wave Cost Profiles
    • 1.0. Million Tons Per Year Ethylene Plant
    • 1.25. Million Tons Per Year Ethylene Plant
    • 1.5. Million Tons Per Year Ethylene Plant
    • Summary
  • 3.2. The Second Wave New Crackers: The Gulf Coast-2020
    • Comparing the Gulf Coast with the Northeast
  • 3.3. New Crackers: Northeast
  • 3.4. Comparative Economics
  • 3.5. Expansion Units
    • Summary costs

4. Derivative Plant Cost Summaries

  • 4.1. Polyethylene
    • LDPE Tubular Technology
    • LLDPE Technologies
  • 4.2. HDPE Technology
    • HDPE Gas Phase
    • Summary Cost Analysis
  • 4.3. EO/EG
  • 4.4. EDC/VCM/PVC
  • 4.5. Alpha-olefins

5. Challenges & Issues

  • 5.1. Procurement
  • 5.2. Labor
    • Craft Data Results
  • 5.3. Weather
  • 5.4. Logistics
  • 5.5. Export competition
  • 5.6. Projects in Planning
    • Northeast Advantage
    • PVC
    • Strategic Considerations
    • Export Competition
    • Timing
  • 5.7. Oil and Gas Prices
  • 5.8. Risks with Oil Price Scenarios
  • 5.9. Construction Issues: Second wave
  • Post-construction

6. Estimated Costs of First Wave

  • Ethylene Complexes
  • Appendix
    • Methodology and Estimation Basis
    • Future Inflation/Escalation Rates (Applies to all Cost Models)
    • Estimating Basis
    • Exclusions & Qualifications
    • Cost Data Summary Tables
  • Acronyms

Tables

  • Table 1: Total Estimated Cost of the First Wave
  • Table 2: Ethylene Cracker Projects in North America
  • Table 3: North American Ethylene Capacity Under Construction: The First Wave (2016-2021 Start-up)
  • Table 4: US Ethylene Derivative Unit Projects
  • Table 5: First Wave US Ethylene Cracker and Expansion Projects (2016 to 2021 Start up)
  • Table 6: Second Wave Potential New Ethylene Cracker Projects in the US
  • Table 7: New Ethylene Cracker Sizes by Location (KTA)
  • Table 8: Cracker Capacities Covered by the Research
  • Table 9: Cost Categories Included in the Analysis
  • Table 10: Gulf Coast Major Equipment Costs 1.25 MMTPY Base Case
  • Table 11: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Bulk Materials Costs Base Case
  • Table 12: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Indirect Costs Base Case
  • Table 13: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Cracker Cost Summary
  • Table 14: Estimated Project Cost of 1.0, 1.25 and 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Crackers
  • Table 15: Second Wave Construction and Design Cost Estimates (Construction Starting in 2020)
  • Table 16: First and Second Wave Gulf Coast Cracker Cost Comparison
  • Table 17: US Ethylene Expansions
  • Table 18: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Major Equipment Costs
  • Table 19: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Bulk Materials Costs
  • Table 20: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Indirect Costs
  • Table 21: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Cost Summary
  • Table 22: Derivative Complex Cost Estimates
  • Table 23: Polyethylene Technology Licensors and Owners
  • Table 24: Derivative Unit Cost Estimates
  • Table 25: Annual Craft Wages
  • Table 26: Estimated Complex Construction Cost for Projects Under Construction in the US .

Figures

  • Figure 1: Comparative Ethylene Cracker Costs, Base Case, Gulf Coast
  • Figure 2: Second Wave Ethane Cracker Construction Cost Summary (Construction to Start 2020)
  • Figure 3: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Cost Summary
  • Figure 4: Cumulative Shale Gas Chemical Investment
  • Figure 5: US Oil to Gas Price Ratio
  • Figure 6: Ethylene Margins Ethane vs Naphtha Feedstock
  • Figure 7: Gulf Coast Cracker Project Cost Comparison
  • Figure 8: 1.0 MMTPY Gulf Coast Ethylene Plant Cost Summary
  • Figure 9: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Ethylene Plant Cost Summary
  • Figure 10: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Major Equipment Costs (Excluding Columns)
  • Figure 11: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Bulk Materials Costs
  • Figure 12: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Indirect Costs
  • Figure 13: 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Ethylene Plant Cost Summary
  • Figure 14: Second Wave Cracker Cost Comparison (Construction Starting in 2020)
  • Figure 15: Project Construction and Detailed Design Forecasts 1.0 MMTPY Cracker 2016-2020 (Gulf Coast) $Millions
  • Figure 16: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Construction and Design Costs Forecast 2016-2020
  • Figure 17: 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Construction and Design Costs Forecast 2016-2020
  • Figure 18: 1.25 MMTPY North East Cost Summary
  • Figure 19: 1.25 MMTPY Construction and Design Costs Forecast 2016-2020
  • Figure 20: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Cost Summary
  • Figure 21: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Major Equipment Costs
  • Figure 22: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Bulk Materials
  • Figure 23: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Indirect Costs
  • Figure 24: Oil to Gas Price Ratio at a Range of Commodity Prices

Excel Workbook Contents

An excel workbook comprising over 85 tabs and containing all the data in this study is provided for all clients. Escalation rates and quarterly updates are available only for Full Spectrum subscribers. The tabs in the excel sheet are listed below.

Cost Spreadsheets

  • 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit
  • 1.0 MMTPY Gulf Coast
  • 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast
  • 1.25 MMTPY North East
  • 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast

Escalation Rate Tables

  • 200 (KTA) Expansion Unit Escalation Rates
  • 1.0 MMTPY Gulf Coast Escalation Rates
  • 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Escalation Rates
  • 1.25 MMTPY North East Escalation Rates
  • 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Escalation Rates

Cost Forecasts

  • Gulf Coast Projects Construction & Design Cost Forecasts
  • Gulf Coast 2022 Forecasts
  • North East Project Construction & Design Cost Forecasts
  • North East 2022 Forecast
  • 200 (KTA) Expansion Unit Forecast

Key Cost Category Data

  • 0.2 Major Equipment
  • 0.2 Bulk Materials
  • 0.2 Indirect Costs
  • 0.2 Cost Summary
  • 1.0 Major Equipment
  • 1.0 Bulk Materials
  • 1.0 Indirect Costs
  • 1.0 Cost Summary
  • 1.25 Major Equipment
  • 1.25 Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 Cost Summary
  • 1.25 North East Major Equipment
  • 1.25 North East Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 North East Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 North East Cost Summary

1.5 Major Equipment

  • 1.5 Bulk Materials
  • 1.5 Indirect Costs
  • 1.5 Cost Summary

Quarterly Update Contents

Quarterly Updates to construction data are provided in March, July, October and January.

  • New Cracker Project Status Updates
  • Key Construction Issues
  • Total Construction Costs Comparison
  • Major Equipment Costs Comparison
  • Bulk Materials Costs Comparison
  • Indirect Costs Comparison
  • Other Costs Comparison
  • Methodology & Estimation Basis

Quarterly Spreadsheet Contents

  • Ethane Cracker Construction Projects
  • Total Construction Cost Comparison
  • Gulf Coast Project Cost Comparison
  • Oil vs Natural Gas Prices Ratio
  • Total Construction Cost Comparison
  • Gulf Coast Project Cost Comparison
  • 0.2 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 0.2 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 0.2 MT GC Indirect Costs
  • 1.0 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 1.0 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 1.0 MT GC Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 MT NE Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 MT NE Major Equipment
  • 1.25 MT NE Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 1.25 MT GC Indirect Costs
  • 1.5 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 1.5 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 1.5 MT GC Indirect Costs

Escalation Rates

  • 0.2 Expansion Unit
  • 1.0 Gulf Coast
  • 1.25Gulf Coast
  • 1.25 North East
  • 1.5 Gulf Coast
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