Abstract
When Pioneer last researched and wrote about the Latin American submarine
fiber optic cable market in 2003, the industry as a whole was in the doldrums
and Latin American economies had been hit hard by a global economic recession.
Five years later and the picture could not be more different. The global
submarine cable industry is in the midst of another construction boom and
confidence has returned to key Latin American markets to the extent that
capacity upgrades are occurring on the major submarine fiber optic trunk
routes, new branches are being added to existing systems, and new construction
projects are being discussed.
With this change in market conditions comes renewed interest in Latin America
from service providers, equipment suppliers and installers, potential
investors and associated financial institutions. In response to this, Pioneer
has made a detailed survey of countries in Latin America gathering data on the
general political and economic conditions, the structure and developments
within the national telecom market, and regulatory issues. This data is
collated and presented in detailed standardized country profiles with a view
to understanding the drivers of growth in demand for submarine fiber optic
capacity in Latin America.
Countries covered by this report are:
- Argentina
- Belize
- Brazil
- Chile
- Colombia
- Costa Rica
- Ecuador
- El Salvador
- French Guiana
- Guatemala
- Guyana
- Honduras
- Mexico
- Nicaragua
- Panama
- Peru
- Suriname
- Uruguay
- Venezuela
Similarly, Pioneer looks at the supply side by providing comprehensive
profiles of every existing and planned submarine fiber optic cable in the
region.
Cables covered in this report are:
- Americas-1
- Americas-2
- ARCOS
- Atlantis-2
- Brazil Domestic 1 & 2
- CFX-1
- Colombia-Panama Festoon
- Columbus-2
- Ixchel
- GlobeNet
- Guyana-Trinidad-Brazil-Suriname
- Maya-1
- Pan American
- Pan American Crossing
- SAm - 1 (formerly known as Emergia)
- South American Crossing
- Southern Caribbean Fiber Extension
- Unisur
- Venezuela-Cuba
Using the information from the country profiles together with statistics from
the ITU and other credible sources, Pioneer then applies its proprietary
methodology to assess and forecast the supply-demand balance for submarine
cable capacity in each Latin American country until 2020.
This analysis therefore provides the reader not only with an understanding of
the growth potential in the region and associated drivers but it also provides
a forecast of when upgrades and construction of new submarine fiber optic
systems are likely to be required.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Executive Summary
- 1.1 Report Aims
- 1.2 Methodology & Report Structure
- 1.2.1 Methodology
- 1.2.2 Report Structure
- 1.3 Demand Forecasts
- 1.3.1 North America-Latin America Demand
- 1.3.2 Latin America Intra-Regional Demand
- 1.3.3 Demand Profiles
- 1.3.4 Regional Drivers of Demand
- 1.4 Opportunities
- 1.4.1 Existing Cables
- 1.4.2 Potential for New Construction
Chapter 2: Introduction
- 2.1 Purpose of the Report
- 2.2 Report Scope
- 2.2.1 Geographic Scope
- 2.2.2 Issues Addressed
- 2.2.3 Market Segmentation
- 2.2.4 Analysis & Forecasts
- 2.3 General Methodology
- 2.3.1 Model Components
- 2.3.2 Forecast Period and Geographic Focus
- 2.4 Internet Methodology & Assumptions
- 2.4.1 Input Data
- 2.4.2 Forecasting
- 2.5 Mobile Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions
- 2.5.1 Definition of "Mobile"
- 2.5.2 Comparison with Internet Demand Model
- 2.6 Corporate Data Demand Methodology & Assumptions
- 2.7 Voice Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions
- 2.8 Submarine Cable Capacity Supply
- 2.8.1 Upgrade Methodology
- 2.8.2 Forecast Supply-Demand Balances
Chapter 3: Submarine Cable Connectivity
- 3.1 Introduction
- 3.2 Latin American Overview
- 3.3 Latin America-North America Ultra-long Haul Cables
- 3.3.1 Americas-1
- 3.3.2 Americas-2
- 3.3.3 ARCOS
- 3.3.4 CFX-1
- 3.3.5 Sam - 1 (formerly known as Emergia)
- 3.3.6 GlobeNet
- 3.3.7 Maya-1
- 3.3.8 Pan American
- 3.3.9 Pan American Crossing
- 3.3.10 South American Crossing
- 3.4 Other Existing Submarine Cables of Interest
- 3.4.1 Atlantis-2
- 3.4.2 Columbus-2
- 3.4.3 Unisur
- 3.4.4 Brazil Domestic 1 & 2
- 3.4.4 Ixchel
- 3.5 Planned, Proposed, and Rumored Cable Systems
- 3.5.1 Colombia-Panama Festoon
- 3.5.2 Guyana-Trinidad-Brazil-Suriname
- 3.5.3 Southern Caribbean Fiber Extension
- 3.5.4 Venezuela-Cuba
Chapter 4: Supply-Demand Forecasts
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 Latin American Country Profiles & Supply-Demand Forecasts
- 4.2.1 Argentina
- 4.2.2 Belize
- 4.2.3 Brazil
- 4.2.4 Chile
- 4.2.5 Colombia
- 4.2.6 Costa Rica
- 4.2.7 Ecuador
- 4.2.8 El Salvador
- 4.2.9 French Guiana
- 4.2.10 Guatemala
- 4.2.11 Guyana
- 4.2.12 Honduras
- 4.2.13 Mexico
- 4.2.14 Nicaragua
- 4.2.15 Panama
- 4.2.16 Peru
- 4.2.17 Suriname
- 4.2.18 Uruguay
- 4.2.19 Venezuela
- 4.3 Regional Supply-Demand Balance Summaries
- 4.3.1 North America-Latin America Connectivity
- 4.3.2 Latin America Intra-Regional Connectivity
- 4.3.3 Regional Drivers of Demand
- 4.3.4 Demand Profiles
Chapter 5: Conclusions
- 5.1 Supply
- 5.1.1 North America-Latin America Cables
- 5.1.2 Latin America Intra-Regional Cables
- 5.2 Demand
- 5.2.1 Intercontinental Demand
- 5.2.2 Intra-Regional Demand
- 5.2.3 Leading Countries
- 5.2.4 Demand Profile
- 5.3 Supply-Demand Balances
- 5.3.1 North American Connectivity Supply-Demand Balances
- 5.3.2 Intra-Regional Supply-Demand Balances
- 5.4 New Construction
- 5.4.1 New North America-Latin America Systems
- 5.4.2 New Regional Systems
List of Exhibits
Chapter 1: Executive Summary
- Exhibit 1.1: Forecast Latin American Demand for North American
Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007 - 2020
- Exhibit 1.2: Forecast Latin American Demand for Intra-Regional
Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007-2020
- Exhibit 1.3: Profile of Forecast Latin American Demand for North
American Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007 - 2020
- Exhibit 1.4: Profile of Forecast Latin American Demand for
Intra-Regional Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007-2020
- Exhibit 1.5: Forecast North America-Latin America Demand Growth
Rates by Country 2010-2020
- Exhibit 1.6: Forecast Demand for North America-Latin America
Connectivity by Leading Country 2007-2020
- Exhibit 1.6: Data Table
- Exhibit 1.7: Forecast Demand for Latin America Intra-Regional
Connectivity by Leading Country 2007 - 2020
- Exhibit 1.7: Data Table
Chapter 2: Introduction
- Exhibit 2.1: Forecast Latin American Dial-up & Broadband
Penetration 2007 - 2020
- Exhibit 2.1: Data Table
- Exhibit 2.2: Forecast Evolution of Average Broadband Access Speeds
in Latin American Countries 2007-2020
- Exhibit 2.2: Data Table
- Exhibit 2.3: Forecast Latin American Average Access Speed (All
Users) 2007 - 2020
- Exhibit 2.3: Data Table
- Exhibit 2.4: Forecast Evolution of Optimal Application Bandwidth
Requirements 2007-2020
- Exhibit 2.4: Data Table
- Exhibit 2.5: U.S.-originated Private Line Activations 1995-2005 in
Leading Latin American Countries
- Exhibit 2.5: Data Table
- Exhibit 2.6: Forecast Trend in Latin American Corporate Data
Demand Satisfied by IP VPN 2007 - 2020
- Exhibit 2.7: Total Latin American Voice Traffic Demand 1991-2001
- Exhibit 2.7: Data Table
Chapter 3: Submarine Cable Connectivity
- Exhibit 3.1: Cable Map - Latin American Systems
- Exhibit 3.2: Cable Map - Americas-1
- Exhibit 3.3: Cable Map - Americas-2
- Exhibit 3.4: Cable Map - ARCOS (with CFX-1)
- Exhibit 3.5: Cable Map: CFX-1 (& ARCOS) 3 - 11
- Exhibit 3.6: Cable Map - SAm-1
- Exhibit 3.7: Cable Map - GlobeNet
- Exhibit 3.8: Cable Map - Maya-1
- Exhibit 3.9: Cable Map - Pan American
- Exhibit 3.10: Cable Map - Pan American Crossing
- Exhibit 3.11: Cable Map - South American Crossing
- Exhibit 3.12: Cable Map - Atlantis-2
- Exhibit 3.13: Cable Map - Columbus-2
- Exhibit 3.14: Cable Map - Unisur
- Exhibit 3.15: Cable Map - Brazil Domestic 1 & 2
- Exhibit 3.16: Cable Map - Southern Caribbean Fiber Extension
Chapter 4: Supply-Demand Forecasts
- Exhibit 4.1: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Argentina
- Exhibit 4.1: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.2: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Argentina
- Exhibit 4.2: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.3: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Argentina
- Exhibit 4.3: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.4: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Belize
- Exhibit 4.4: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.5: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Belize
- Exhibit 4.5: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.6: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Belize
- Exhibit 4.6: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.7: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Brazil
- Exhibit 4.7: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.8: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Brazil
- Exhibit 4.8: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.9: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Brazil
- Exhibit 4.9: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.10: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Chile
- Exhibit 4.10: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.11: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Chile
- Exhibit 4.11: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.12: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Chile
- Exhibit 4.12: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.13: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Colombia
- Exhibit 4.13: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.14: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Colombia
- Exhibit 4.14: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.15: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Colombia
- Exhibit 4.15: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.16: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Costa Rica
- Exhibit 4.16: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.17: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Costa Rica
- Exhibit 4.17: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.18: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Costa Rica
- Exhibit 4.18: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.19: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Ecuador
- Exhibit 4.19: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.20: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Ecuador
- Exhibit 4.20: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.21: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Ecuador
- Exhibit 4.21: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.22: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - El Salvador
- Exhibit 4.22: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.23: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - El Salvador
- Exhibit 4.23: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.24: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - El Salvador
- Exhibit 4.24: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.25: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - French Guiana
- Exhibit 4.25: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.26: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - French Guiana
- Exhibit 4.26: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.27: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - French Guiana
- Exhibit 4.27: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.28: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Guatemala
- Exhibit 4.28: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.29: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Guatemala
- Exhibit 4.29: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.30: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin America and Regional Traffic - Guatemala
- Exhibit 4.30: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.31: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine
Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User - Guyana
- Exhibit 4.31: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.32: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity &
Average Access Speed - Guyana
- Exhibit 4.32: Data Table
- Exhibit 4.33: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North
America-Latin
