3G 及 4G 無線技術對運輸業者網路建構策略的影響 是由出版商Pioneer Consulting在2006年03月所出版的。
這份英文市場調查報告書包含166 PAGES 價格從美金3800起跳。
2005 年 12 月 IEEE 認可 802.16e 作為行動 WiMAX 的標準，之後發表第一個認證固定線 WiMAX ，使得製造商及業者紛紛關注 4G 。
因提供通訊市場相關高可信度資訊而獲全球性評價的美國調查公司 Pioneer Consulting（總公司：麻薩諸塞州），針對 3G 及 4G 無線技術對運輸業發展之影響進行有關調查分析及預測，並整理出版報告書 "The Impact of 3G & 4G Wireless Technology on Carriers' Network Development Strategies" 。
本報告書內容包括： 3G 與 4G 的比較、4G 的法規限制及規格的問題事項、主要製造商、運輸業者的策略、4G 所造成的影響等。內容綱要摘記如下：
第1章 實施概要
- 技術之比較
- 技術成本之比較
- 3G 市場簡介
- 4G 市場簡介
- 往後 3G 及 4G 之發展預測
- 市場預測
第2章 前言＆方法論
第3章 技術之比較
- 無線技術之進化
- 3G 無線技術的詳細內容
- 4G 無線技術的詳細內容
- 3G／4G 的技術比較
第4章 市場力學
- 3G 無線技術之發展與現況
- 3G 無線技術之課題
- 4G 無線技術之發展現況
- 無線寬頻系統中的 WiMAX
- 3G 及 4G 無線技術之發展預測
第5章 4G 的主要創新性
- 供給方發達－製造商的創新性
- 需求方發達－全球趨勢
- 最新的發展狀況
- 北美市場中 3G／4G 策略趨勢
- 歐洲市場中 3G／4G 策略趨勢
- 亞太地區市場中 3G／4G 策略趨勢
- 結論
第6章 技術普及度與頻寬之需求分析
- 行動網路中作為回程連線技術的 WiMAX
- 地區別情境分析
- 頻寬之需求分析：網路必要條件
第7章 結論
- 技術成本之比較
- 4G 網路發展之影響因素
- 往後 3G 及 4G 無線技術之發展預測
- 市場預測
Abstract
The evolution of 2G, 3G, and 4G mobile telecommunications technologies has
been researched and written about ad infinitum. More recently, the topic of
WiMAX, a particular 4G technology which promises to deliver 70 Mb/s data
speeds over a 50 km radius, has been the focus of much attention and hype.
Many telecom analysts had come to the conclusion that 4G was just a
distraction from making 3G work until the IEEE approved the 802.16e standard
for mobile WiMAX in December 2005. Subsequently, the WiMAX Forum announced the
first certified fixed WiMAX (802.16d or 802.16-2004) equipment in January 2006.
With this new found credibility, manufacturers and network operators are
looking again at the benefits promised by 4G technologies and they are
starting to invest serious time and effort in developing fixed and mobile
products which should be commercialized within the next three years.
The report addresses the following key issues:
- What are the dynamics between 3G & 4G - competing or complimentary?
- What are the standards and regulatory issues in 4G?
- Which manufacturers are leading 4G development?
- How are carriers approaching the 4G issue at a strategic level?
- What would be the impact of 4G on networks, in terms of bandwidth
requirements, under different penetration scenarios?
Thus, the overall purpose of this report is to give the reader some fresh
perspectives on the issue of 4G by looking at this technology, not as an
isolated phenomenon, but as part of an ongoing technological evolution and to
provide some ground-breaking analysis in terms of average user bandwidth
demand, as well as the usual measurements of subscribers, penetration rates,
installations, and equipment sales.
This report should be of interest to:
- Fixed network operators
- Wireless network operators
- Wireless Internet Service Providers
- Equipment suppliers
- Component suppliers
- Venture Capital funds
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 -- Executive Summary
- 1.1 Technological Comparison
- 1.2 Comparative Technology Costs
- 1.3 3G Market Overview
- 1.3.1 Lack of Demand
- 1.3.2 Other Challenges
- 1.4 4G Market Overview
- 1.4.1 Demand for High-Speed Multimedia Services
- 1.4.2 Fixed-Mobile Convergence
- 1.4.3 Spectrum Issues
- 1.4.4 Standards & Certification Issues
- 1.4.5 Technological Challenges
- 1.4.6 Alternative Applications for 4G
- 1.5 Prospects for Future Deployment of 3G and 4G
- 1.5.1 Market Share Forecasts
- 1.5.2 Manufacturer Strategies
- 1.5.3 Network Operator Strategies
- 1.5.4 Global Spectrum Harmonisation
- 1.6 Forecasts
- 1.6.1 Mobile Markets
- 1.6.2 Demand for 2G, 3G, & 4G (Fixed & Mobile)
Chapter 2 -- Introduction & Methodology
- 2.1 Purpose of the Report
- 2.2 Report Scope
- 2.2.1 Technologies Covered
- 2.2.2 Geographic Coverage
- 2.2.3 Companies Mentioned in this Report
- 2.2.4 Report Structure
- 2.3
Methodology
- 2.3.1 Data Sources
- 2.3.2 Analysis
- 2.3.4 Presentation of Results
Chapter 3 -- Technology Comparison
- 3.1 Evolution of Mobile Technologies
- 3.1.1 First Generation (1G) Mobile Technologies
- 3.1.2 Second Generation (2G) Mobile Technologies
- 3.1.3 Second Generation Enhanced (2.5G)
- 3.1.4 Third Generation (3G)
- 3.1.5 Fourth Generation (4G)
- 3.2 3G Wireless Technologies in Detail
- 3.2.1 Standards Bodies
- 3.2.2 Universal Mobile Telecommunications System (UMTS)
- 3.2.3 High Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA)
- 3.2.4 CDMA EV-DO
- 3.3 4G Wireless Technologies in Detail
- 3.3.1 Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (OFDM)
- 3.3.2 WiMAX
- 3.3.3 WiBro
- 3.3.4 Wi-Fi
- 3.3.5 FLO Qualcomm
- 3.4 Comparison of 3G and 4G Technologies
- 3.4.1 Technological Parameters
- 3.4.2 Cost Comparison
Chapter 4 -- Market Dynamics
- 4.1 3G Wireless Technology Deployment & Current Penetration
- 4.1.1 UMTS
- 4.1.2 HSDPA
- 4.1.3 CDMA EV-DO
- 4.2 Challenges Facing 3G Wireless Technology
- 4.2.1 High Costs
- 4.2.2 Uncertain Demand
- 4.2.3 Firmly entrenched 2G networks
- 4.2.4 Pressure from 4G / advanced networks
- 4.2.5 Technological challenges
- 4.2.6 Slow demand
growth
- 4.3 4G Wireless Technology Development Status
- 4.3.1 4G Development Drivers
- 4.3.2 4G Development Challenges
- 4.3.3 Standards Update
- 4.4 WiMAX in Broadband Wireless Systems
- 4.4.1 WiMAX in Fixed Broadband Wireless Access
- 4.4.2 WiMAX in Wi-Fi Backhaul
- 4.5 Prospects for Future Deployment of 3G and 4G Wireless Technologies
- 4.5.1 Quantitative Methodology & Assumptions
- 4.5.2 North America
- 4.5.3 Europe
- 4.5.4 Asia Pacific
Chapter 5 -- Major 4G Initiatives
- 5.1 Supply Side Developments -- Manufacturers' Initiatives.
- 5.1.1 Classification of WiMAX Equipment Manufacturers
- 5.1.2 Significant Manufacturer-Led Initiatives
- 5.2 Demand Side Developments -- Global Trends
- 5.2.1 Complemetarity vs. Competitivity
- 5.2.2 Different Applications in Different Markets
- 5.2.3 Pre-Commercialisation Trials
- 5.3 Current Developments
- 5.3.1 WiMAX
- 5.3.2 FLASH-OFDM & Qualcomm FLO
- 5.4 3G/4G Strategic Trends in North America
- 5.4.1 Mobile Operators
- 5.4.2 Wireless Internet Service Providers
- 5.4.3 Wireline Operators
- 5.4.4 Strategic Drivers
- 5.5 3G/4G Strategic Trends in Europe
- 5.5.1 Mobile Operators
- 5.5.2 WISPs & Wireline Operators
- 5.5.3 New Entrants
- 5.5.4 Strategic Drivers
- 5.6 3G/4G Strategic Trends in Asia Pacific
- 5.6.1. Regional Heterogeneity
- 5.6.2 OEM Leadership
- 5.6.3 Market Segmentation
- 5.6.4 Strategic Drivers
- 5.7 Conclusions
- 5.7.1 Regional Similarities & Differences
- 5.7.2 Global Spectrum Harmonisation
- 5.7.3 Market Segmentation
- 5.7.4 Pioneer's Prediction
Chapter 6 -- Technology Penetration and Bandwidth Demand Analysis
- 6.1 Fixed WiMAX as Backhaul Technology in Mobile Networks: Market Opportunity Forecast
- 6.1.1 WiMAX in Mobile Backhaul: Forecast Model Techniques
- 6.1.2 WiMAX in Mobile Backhaul: Forecast Model Methodology and Assumptions
- 6.1.3 WiMAX in Mobile Backhaul: Market Opportunity
- 6.2 WiMAX in Mobile Backhaul: Scenario Analysis by Region
- 6.2.1 North America
- 6.2.3 Asia Pacific
- 6.3 Bandwidth Demand Analysis: Network Requirements
- 6.3.1 Bandwidth Demand Forecast Model Methodology and Assumptions
- 6.3.2 Forecast Network Bandwidth Requirements in North America
- 6.3.3 Forecast Network Bandwidth Requirements in Europe
- 6.3.4 Forecast Network Bandwidth Requirements in Asia Pacific
Chapter 7 - Conclusions
- 7.1 Comparative Technology Costs
- 7.2 4G Network Development Drivers & Constraints
- 7.2.1 Drivers
- 7.2.2 Constraints
- 7.3 3G Network Development Drivers & Constraints
- 7.4 Prospects for Future Deployment of 3G and 4G
- 7.4.1 Global Themes
- 7.4.2 Regional Themes
- 7.5 Forecasts
APPENDIX 1 -- Assumed Mobile Subscriber Usage Patterns
