澳洲新興FttH市場

Abstract

Overview

This annual report offers a wealth of information on the emerging FttH market in Australia. The report includes analyses, statistics, forecasts and trends. It provides a comprehensive insight into the progress of the developments and examines the key issues in the market and the business opportunities arriving from these new developments. The proposed National Broadband Network - promising to deliver FttH to 90% of the population - features prominently in the report.

Subjects covered include:

• High Level Overview of key international developments.
• Global overview of subscriber statistics.
• The key to commercial viable FttH is a trans-sector based approach.
• Economic multiplier effect of FttH infrastructure for health care, education and smart grids.
• The $43 billion national broadband initiative in Australia is leading the world.
• There are many aspects that need to be implemented in the right way; the infrastructure company, the regulations and the demand side.
• The latest developments in the FttH projects, especially in Greenfield markets

Table of Contents

1. Overview & Statistics

• 1.1 Introduction: FttH going forward
  • 1.1.1 Stimulus driving optical developments
• 1.2 Fibre-based access
  • 1.2.1 Early trials - brief overview
  • 1.2.2 Massive changes in network management required
  • 1.2.3 Low hanging FttH fruit
  • 1.2.4 Consumer benefits to low-cost fibre
  • 1.2.5 FttH deployment costs
  • 1.2.6 Enterprises not driving FttH
• 1.3 Leading markets
  • 1.3.1 Asia
  • 1.3.2 USA
  • 1.3.3 Europe
• 1.4 FTTx market statistics
• 1.5 Regulating fibre: a global issue
  • 1.5.1 Regulating copper networks - a lesson
  • 1.5.2 Networks under strain
  • 1.5.3 The stronger case for fibre
• 1.6 FttH drivers
  • 1.6.1National economy drivers
  • 1.6.2 Social drivers
  • 1.6.3 Entertainment drivers
  • 1.6.4 Business drivers
  • 1.6.5 No e-government without fibre
  • 1.6.6 ‘Go with the flow' strategies
• 1.7 FttH business models
  • 1.7.1 Vertically integrated model
  • 1.7.2 Open network model
  • 1.7.3 Structural separation a must for FttH

2. Trans-sector Thinking

• 2.1 Introduction
• 2.2 Australian leadership
  • 2.2.1 Digital Economy Industry Work Group (DWEIG)
  • 2.2.2 Trans-sector project: smart grids
  • 2.2.3 Trans-sector project for social services
  • 2.2.4 Smart infrastructure
  • 2.2.5 Trans-sector project e-health
• 2.3 National welfare depends on new thinking concepts
• 2.4 work in progress: political leadership
• 2.5 Trans-sector thinking at highest levels in Australia
• 2.6 The multiplier effect
• 2.7 Smart communities, where do we start?
• 2.8 We lack the structures to implement trans-sector visions
• 2.9 Trans-sector regulation
  • 2.9.1 Regulations need to be rewritten
  • 2.9.2 FttH will change telecom models
  • 2.9.3 Utilities-based regulation
• 2.10 The sectors
  • 2.10.1 Telecommunications
  • 2.10.2 Government communication and information
  • 2.10.3 Healthcare
  • 2.10.4 Education and e-science
  • 2.10.5 Smart grids
• 2.11 Smart communities and smart buildings
• 2.12 Smart cities introduction
• 2.13 Building smart cities to ease the stress
  • 2.13.1 A population of nine billion people
  • 2.13.2 The role of smart cities
  • 2.13.3 We need to use people power
  • 2.13.4 Education, information, empowerment
  • 2.13.5 Changes are starting to drive action
• 2.14 Key components of smart cities
  • 2.14.1 Smart buildings/homes
  • 2.14.2 Smart grids
  • 2.14.3 Home networks
  • 2.14.4 Next generation telecoms
  • 2.14.5 Open networks
• 2.15 Strategies for smart communities
  • 2.15.1 Tran-sector thinking
  • 2.15.2 Rebuilding communities
  • 2.15.3 Greenfield communities
• 2.16 Brief examples of smart communities
  • 2.16.1 India
  • 2.16.2 China
  • 2.16.3 Europe
• 2.17 Intelligent/smart technologies and systems
• 2.18 Intelligent Communities Forum

3. National Broadband Network

• 3.1 Overview & analysis
  • 3.1.1 Details of the NBN proposal
  • 3.1.2 National Broadband Corporation
  • 3.1.3 Regulatory issues
  • 3.1.4 FttH infrastructure
  • 3.1.5 The business model
  • 3.1.6 NBN is moving in the right direction - analysis mid-2009
  • 3.1.7 The early projects
  • 3.1.8 Trans-sector thinking
  • 3.1.9 Open network = innovation and affordability
  • 3.1.10 Co-development of fibre and the digital economy
  • 3.1.11 What' s next for Telstra?
  • 3.1.12 No policies, just opposition from the Opposition
• 3.2 Critical considerations
  • 3.2.1 Governance and management of the NBN/NBC
  • 3.2.2 Regulations - critical considerations
  • 3.2.3 Wholesale
  • 3.2.4 Technology critical consideration
  • 3.2.5 Basic infrastructure
  • 3.2.6 Co-development of the Digital Economy
  • 3.2.7 Strategic differences of an NBN
  • 3.2.8 Comments from international experts

4. FttH Market Analyses

• 4.1 Analysis
  • 4.1.1 FttH becoming a reality
  • 4.1.2 FttH starts making business sense
  • 4.1.3 FttH still an expensive exercise
  • 4.1.4 Mass market FttH still years away
• 4.2 FttH and the digital economy
  • 4.2.1 Co-development is essential
  • 4.2.2 Infrastructure comes before services (unfortunately)
  • 4.2.3 Whole-of-government approach is essential
  • 4.2.4 No digital economy without open networks
  • 4.2.5 The Rudd Team provides national leadership
• 4.3 Different FttH business models
  • 4.3.1 Clever network rollouts and home installation
  • 4.3.2 New housing developments
  • 4.3.3 Start with low-hanging FttH fruit
• 4.4 Different fibre scenarios
  • 4.4.1 FttN versus FttH networks
  • 4.4.2 Telstra' s initial FttN plan
  • 4.4.3 Cabinetisation in New Zealand
• 4.5 FttH and the electricity infrastructure
• 4.6 Forecasting FttH
• 4.7 Regional fibre

5. Operators and Retailers

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Network operators
  • 5.2.1 Summary of FttH network operators
  • 5.2.2 Arise
  • 5.2.3 Broadcast Engineering Services (BES)
  • 5.2.4 Clubcom Utilities
  • 5.2.5 GeoMedia
  • 5.2.6 HaleNET
  • 5.2.7 OPENetworks
  • 5.2.8 Opticomm
  • 5.2.9 thePacific.Net Limited
  • 5.2.10 Pivit
  • 5.2.11 FuzeCONNECT / Service Elements
  • 5.2.12 Silver Telecom
  • 5.2.13 Telstra
  • 5.2.14 TelstraClear
  • 5.2.15 TransACT Communications Pty Ltd (TransACT)
• 5.3 Retailers
  • 5.3.1 Service pricing
  • 5.3.2 Starter packages
• 5.4 Private networks
  • 5.4.1 Belswan Retirement Village case study

6. Projects and Developments

• 6.1 COLT - Ballarat
  • 6.1.1 Optical fibre network
  • 6.1.2 Wireless broadband
• 6.2 Tasmania
  • 6.2.1 Australia' s FttH testbed
  • 6.2.2 Analysis of Tassie' s broadband history
• 6.3 FttH broadband proposal for Brisbane
• 6.4 Western Australia
  • 6.4.1 FttH in Perth - discontinued
  • 6.4.2 BES projects in WA
• 6.5 ICON (intra-government communications network) - ACT
• 6.6 R&D, science and education projects
  • 6.6.1 AARNet
  • 6.6.2 CeNTIE
  • 6.6.3 GrangeNet
• 6.7 National FttH Plan

7. Greenfield Projects & Providers

• 7.1 Definition of terms
• 7.2 The importance of broadband
  • 7.2.1 Market demand
  • 7.2.2 Key issue for land developers
  • 7.2.3 The USO and greenfields
• 7.3 Statistics on fibre-enabled communities
  • 7.3.1 Communities by state
  • 7.3.2 Communities by provider
  • 7.3.3 Communities by developer
• 7.4 Summary of key communities
  • 7.4.1 Aurora, VIC
  • 7.4.2 Banksia Grove, WA
  • 7.4.3 Coomera Waters, QLD
  • 7.4.4 Emerald Lakes, QLD
  • 7.4.5 Fernbrooke, QLD
  • 7.4.6 Lyons Estate, NT
  • 7.4.7 Prince Henry at Little Bay, NSW
  • 7.4.8 Somerly, WA
  • 7.4.9 TasCOLT, TAS
  • 7.4.10 Varsity Lakes - The Landing
• 7.5 List of FttH communities

8. Glossary of Abbreviations

TABLES:

• Table 1 - Estimated costs of fibre deployment - USA
• Table 2 - Fibre penetration per home passed, select European countries - January 2009
• Table 3 - Proportion of fibre subscribers per home passed, select European countries - January 2009
• Table 4 - European FTTx subscribers and homes passed - 2007 - 2008
• Table 5 - Worldwide top 10 markets with FTTx penetration > 1% - 2007; 2009
• Table 6 - Worldwide FTTx subscribers - 2007 - 2008
• Table 7 - Worldwide FTTx share of broadband market - 2004; 2006 - 2008
• Table 8 - Worldwide FttH port shipments - 2007 - 2008
• Table 9 - Worldwide market share of FttH port shipments by technology - 2007 - 2008
• Table 10 - Homes connected to fibre - 2005 - 2010
• Table 11 - FttH communities in Australia and New Zealand - 2008
• Table 12 - Percentage of connected homes in Australian states and NZ - 2008
• Table 13 - FttH communities in Australia and New Zealand by provider - 2008
• Table 14 - Percentage breakdown of FttH communities by provider - 2008
• Table 15 - FttH communities by developer - 2008

EXHIBITS:

• Exhibit 1 - Explanation: optical fibre
• Exhibit 2 - Broadband - infrastructure blueprint
• Exhibit 3 - Smart City - Masdar City - Abu Dhabi
• Exhibit 4 - Smart homes
• Exhibit 5 - Learning from e-cars
• Exhibit 6 - FttH prerequisites
• Exhibit 7 - Residential broadband (BB) growth predictions - next ten years
• Exhibit 8 - Infrastructure blueprint
• Exhibit 9 - Summary of FttH network operators
• Exhibit 10 - Overview of FttH retailers - 2008
• Exhibit 11 - FttH R&D projects from TasCOLT
• Exhibit 12 - GrangeNet consortium members and role
• Exhibit 13 - Terminology definitions
• Exhibit 14 - List of active FttH communities in Australia - July 2008
• Exhibit 15 - List of proposed FttH communities in Australia - July 2008
• Exhibit 16 - List of active and proposed FttH communities in New Zealand - July 2008