Abstract
This report provides a quantitative analysis of the mobile payment market for
the 2007- 2012 period. Despite great uncertainties, Ovum has tried to provide
a realistic picture of future developments for mobile payments. It follows a
recent piece entitled ' Mobile payments: progressing towards large-scale
deployments' which detailed the market trends and key case studies of players
and projects in this space.
Ovum forecasts three mobile payment market segments - mobile contactless
payments, online shopping and money transfers - and has excluded three types
of transactions: mobile content payments, prepaid airtime purchase and
international remittances.
Table of Contents
KEY MESSAGES
INTRODUCTION
- DEFINITIONS
- MOBILE PAYMENT
- MOBILE BANKING
- MOBILE COMMERCE
- CONSUMER PAYMENT MARKET TRENDS
- A TENS-OF-TRILLIONS MARKET
- CASH IS STILL KING
- INTERNET E-COMMERCE IS GROWING
- MANY DO NOT HAVE ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES
- INTERNATIONAL REMITTANCES FLOWS KEEP GROWING
- M-PAYMENT MARKET SEGMENTATION
- MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS
- MONEY TRANSFERS
- ONLINE SHOPPING
- SCOPE OF OUR M-PAYMENT FORECASTS
- WHAT IS FORECAST
- WHAT IS EXCLUDED FROM THE FORECAST
- UNCERTAINTIES OF FORECASTS
- OTHER RELEVANT OVUM REPORTS
- MARKET DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS
- MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS
- OVERVIEW
- AVAILABILITY OF NFC-ENABLE PHONES
- DEVELOPMENT OF CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS
- ROLLOUTS OF COMMERCIAL MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENT SERVICES
- THE SPECIFIC CASE OF JAPAN
- USAGE ASSUMPTIONS
- MONEY TRANSFERS
- OVERVIEW
- ACCESS TO BANKING SERVICES
- SCENARIO IN ‘OVERBANKED' COUNTRIES
- SCENARIO IN ‘UNBANKED' COUNTRIES
- SCENARIO IN ‘UNDERBANKED' COUNTRIES
- USAGE ASSUMPTIONS
- ONLINE SHOPPING
- OVERVIEW
- FROM E-COMMERCE TO M-COMMERCE
- M-PAYMENT FORECASTS
- M-PAYMENT MARKET OVERVIEW
- MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS
- MONEY TRANSFERS
- ONLINE SHOPPING
FIGURES:
- FIGURE 1: FORECASTS OF NFC-ENABLED PHONE SHIPMENTS BY REGION 2008- 2012
- FIGURE 2: ADOPTION OF MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS
- FIGURE 3: JAPAN: MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENT MARKET 2007- 2012 ($ BILLION)
- FIGURE 4: THE GLOBAL MARKET OPPORTUNITY FOR CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS
- FIGURE 5: ANNUAL AMOUNT SPENT BY USERS OF MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS ($)
- FIGURE 6: PERCENTAGE OF THE ADULT POPULATION WITH ACCESS TO FINANCIAL
SERVICES
- FIGURE 7: CORRELATION BETWEEN MOBILE PENETRATION AND ACCESS TO FINANCIAL
SERVICES
- FIGURE 8: GLOBAL B2C E-COMMERCE MARKET
- FIGURE 9: AVERAGE ADOPTION OF MOBILE WALLET SERVICES BY UNBANKED MOBILE
SUBSCRIBERS
- FIGURE 11: M-PAYMENT MARKET FORECASTS - BY APPLICATION
- FIGURE 12: M-PAYMENT MARKET FORECASTS - BY REGION
- FIGURE 13: MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS REVENUES FORECASTS - BY REGION
- FIGURE 14: MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS USER FORECAST - BY REGION
- FIGURE 15: MONEY TRANSFERS VOLUMES FORECASTS - BY REGION
- FIGURE 16: MONEY TRANSFERS USER FORECASTS - BY REGION
- FIGURE 17: ONLINE SHOPPING REVENUES FORECASTS - BY REGION
- FIGURE 18: ONLINE SHOPPING USER FORECAST - BY REGION
TABLES:
- TABLE 1: CONTACTLESS PAYMENT GROUPS
- TABLE 2: ESTIMATED ROLLOUT DATES FOR COMMERCIAL NFC PAYMENT SERVICES
- TABLE 3: COUNTRY CLASSIFICATION FOR BANKING STATUS
- TABLE 4: SHARE OF ONLINE SHOPPING ORIGINATING FROM MOBILE DEVICES
- TABLE 5: M-PAYMENT MOBILE FORECASTS - BY APPLICATION ($ BILLION)
- TABLE 6: M-PAYMENT MARKET FORECASTS - BY REGION ($ BILLION)
- TABLE 7: MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS REVENUES FORECASTS - BY REGION ($
BILLION)
- TABLE 8: MOBILE CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS USER FORECAST - BY REGION (MILLIONS)
- TABLE 9: MONEY TRANSFERS VOLUMES FORECASTS - BY REGION ($ BILLION)
- TABLE 10: MONEY TRANSFERS USER FORECASTS - BY REGION (MILLION)
- TABLE 11: ONLINE SHOPPING REVENUES FORECASTS - BY REGION ($ BILLION)
- TABLE 12: ONLINE SHOPPING USER FORECAST - BY REGION (MILLION)
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