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市場調查報告書

西歐的智慧電網:市場預測 (2017 - 2027年)

Western Europe Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2017 - 2027)

出版商 Northeast Group, LLC 商品編碼 514022
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 165 Pages + PowerPoint + Dataset
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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西歐的智慧電網:市場預測 (2017 - 2027年) Western Europe Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2017 - 2027)
出版日期: 2017年06月12日 內容資訊: 英文 165 Pages + PowerPoint + Dataset
簡介

本報告提供西歐的智慧電網市場相關調查,今後10年的市場擴大預測,地區的再生能源擴大帶給智慧電網投資的影響,已完成智慧電表的各國的智慧電網投資的發展趨勢,及主要國際智慧電網供應商的地區計劃等相關詳細分析。

摘要整理

第1章 西歐概要

  • 地區比較
  • 政策的推動因素
  • 市場的推動要素
  • 市場障礙

第2章 市場預測

第3章 集貿市場

  • 德國
  • 希臘
  • 奧地利
  • 比利時
  • 瑞士
  • 愛爾蘭

第4章 確立市場

  • 法國
  • 英國
  • 西班牙
  • 荷蘭
  • 葡萄牙
  • 挪威

第5章 替換市場機會

  • 義大利
  • 瑞典
  • 丹麥
  • 芬蘭

第6章 其他各國

第7章 其他智慧電網區分的活動

第8章 供應商活動

第9章 附錄I:調查手法

第10章 附錄II:智慧電網概要

第11章 附錄III:全球智慧電網活動

第12章 附錄IV:企業清單、縮寫

圖表

目錄

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Western Europe is a mature smart grid market, propelled by multiple strong drivers and anchored by regional energy goals set by the European Union (EU). The region includes a range of markets, from countries that were among the first in the world to complete national smart meter rollouts to others that have achieved only minimal smart meter penetration.


The energy policies of Western European countries are more synchronized than those in other regions, owing to the influence exerted by the EU. In response to the threat of climate change, the EU has initiated a broad regional shift towards a green energy economy that requires very significant smart grid infrastructure investment. Several consequences of this regional policy have already come to pass, including national smart meter rollouts and rapid integration of renewable energy resources across the continent. Most countries covered in this study are adhering to an EU smart meter mandate requiring 80% AMI penetration by 2020. Three countries covered in the study-Iceland, Switzerland, and Norway-are not EU members, though the latter two are deeply connected to the European energy grid and generally shadow policies followed by EU members.

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Western Europe's smart grid policy framework is arguably the strongest in the world, with several countries on the verge of completing national rollouts. Even so, business case realities would likely drive the market if policy directives were to falter. Smart meter rollouts, some of which were in fact enacted prior to the passage of EU smart meter mandates, would go a long way in addressing both Western Europe's high electricity prices and high levels of electricity consumption.

Barriers for the Western European market are limited. Even with low GDP growth rates, the region is wealthy, precluding issues of project funding that are encountered elsewhere. Public opinion is also largely behind energy efficiency and green energy initiatives. The main concern is unforeseen economic turbulence. Smart grid programs - particularly for countries in Southern Europe such as Greece or Portugal - could be vulnerable to government cutbacks. Another limiting factor for the Western European smart grid market is that contracts have been awarded or rollouts completed in many countries, reducing near-term opportunities.!


Despite the Western European smart grid market having progressed to an advanced stage, the completion of a national rollout does not signal an end to a country's smart grid investment. On the contrary, smart meters will allow for further investment in other segments of smart grid infrastructure including DA, IT, and battery storage, among other segments. Further, smart meters will allow for a more advanced electricity retail market to develop, featuring demand response (DR) programs and more options for tariff structures. The move towards a customeroriented market made possible by AMI will drive rather than curb overall smart grid investment.! Vendors within Western Europe have capitalized on their geographic advantage, winning the lion's share of smart metering contracts. The most active to date have been Landis+Gyr of Switzerland, Sagemcom of France, Ziv of Spain, Kamstrup of Denmark, and Aidon of Finland, among others. Vendors from outside the the region have also established a strong foothold in Western Europe, most notably US-based Itron.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • How large will the smart grid market be across Western Europe over the next decade?
  • How quickly are Western European countries expected to comply with EU smart grid requirements?
  • How will the region's rapid renewable energy expansion impact smart grid investment?
  • How will smart grid investment develop in countries already finished with smart metering?
  • What regional projects have been completed by the top international smart grid vendors?

Table of Contents

i. Executive summary

1. Western Europe snapshot

  • 1.1 Regional comparison
  • 1.2 Policy drivers
  • 1.3 Market drivers
  • 1.4 Market barriers

2. Market forecast

3. Open markets

  • 3.1 Germany
  • 3.2 Greece
  • 3.3 Austria
  • 3.4 Belgium
  • 3.5 Switzerland
  • 3.6 Ireland

4. Settled markets

  • 4.1 France
  • 4.2 UK
  • 4.3 Spain
  • 4.4 Netherlands
  • 4.5 Portugal
  • 4.6 Norway

5. Replacement market opportunities

  • 5.1 Italy
  • 5.2 Sweden
  • 5.3 Denmark
  • 5.4 Finland

6. Other countries

7. Activity in other smart grid segments

8. Vendor activity

9. Appendix I: Methodology

10. Appendix II: Smart grid overview

11. Appendix III: Global smart grid activity

12. Appendix IV: List of companies and acronyms

List of Figures and Tables

  • Western Europe electricity metering: Key takeaways
  • Western Europe AMI penetration by 2020
  • Western Europe binding national targets for full-scale AMI rollout
  • Western Europe electricity prices
  • Western Europe wind and solar power
  • Western Europe regional wholesale electricity markets
  • Figure 1.1: Electricity consumption by region
  • Figure 1.2: Electricity price by region
  • Figure 1.3: GDP per capita by region
  • Figure 1.4: European Union membership
  • Figure 1.5: 2009/72/EC Measure on Consumer Protection
  • Figure 1.6: EU cost-benefit analysis results - Net benefit per endpoint
  • Table 1.1: EU recommendations for smart meter requirements
  • Figure 1.7: Publications issued by EU Smart Grid Task Force
  • Figure 1.8: EU Smart Grid Task Force expert working groups
  • Table 1.2: EU climate targets through 2050
  • Figure 1.9: Western Europe nuclear phase-out
  • Figure 1.10: ETP Smart Grids working groups
  • Figure 1.11: Main regional drivers
  • Figure 1.12: EU average electricity prices
  • Figure 1.13: Western Europe electricity prices
  • Figure 1.14: Electricity consumption in Western Europe
  • Figure 1.15: GDP per capita of Western European countries
  • Figure 1.16: Wind and solar in Western Europe
  • Figure 1.17: GDP growth rates (2017 - 2021)
  • Figure 2.1: AMI penetration rate
  • Figure 2.2: Per-endpoint AMI cost breakdown in Europe
  • Figure 2.3: AMI penetration rate by country in 2020
  • Figure 2.4: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Western Europe
  • Table 2.1: Western Europe smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 2.5: AMI market forecast by segment in Western Europe
  • Table 2.2: Western Europe AMI forecast data
  • Figure 3.1: Power retail companies in German market
  • Figure 3.2: German residential electricity tariff breakdown
  • Figure 3.3: German residential electricity tariff
  • Figure 3.4: Germany fuel mix
  • Figure 3.5: German utilities - Earnings per share
  • Figure 3.6: Energiewende targets
  • Figure 3.7: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Germany
  • Table 3.1: Germany smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.8: AMI market forecast by segment in Germany
  • Table 3.2: Germany AMI forecast data
  • Figure 3.9: Greece electricity generation fuel source (2015)
  • Figure 3.10: Greece electricity price
  • Figure 3.11: PPC average price per share
  • Figure 3.12: Timeline of HEDNO pilot project bidding process
  • Figure 3.13: Smart meter activity in Greece
  • Figure 3.14: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Greece
  • Table 3.3: Greece smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.15: AMI market forecast by segment in Greece
  • Table 3.4: Greece AMI forecast data
  • Figure 3.16: Austria electricity generation fuel portfolio 2015
  • Figure 3.17: Deployment plans reported by Austrian utilities
  • Figure 3.18: Deployments by leading Austrian utilities
  • Table 3.5: Smart metering progress by Austrian utilities
  • Figure 3.19: Smart meter deployments and contracts in Austria
  • Figure 3.20: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Austria
  • Table 3.6: Austria smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.21: AMI market forecast by segment in Austria
  • Table 3.7: Austria AMI forecast data
  • Table 3.8: Belgian power regulators
  • Figure 3.22: Belgium fuel portfolio
  • Figure 3.23: Electricity generation by volume
  • Figure 3.24: Electricity prices in Europe
  • Figure 3.25: Belgian DSO smart meter activity
  • Figure 3.26: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Belgium
  • Table 3.9: Belgium smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.27: AMI market forecast by segment in Belgium
  • Table 3.10: Belgium AMI forecast data
  • Figure 3.28: Switzerland fuel portfolio
  • Figure 3.29: CO2 emissions from power generation
  • Figure 3.30: Smart grid projects in Switzerland
  • Figure 3.31: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Switzerland
  • Table 3.11: Switzerland smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.32: AMI market forecast by segment in Switzerland
  • Table 3.12: Switzerland AMI forecast data
  • Figure 3.33: Stakeholders in Irish smart meter rollout
  • Figure 3.34: Growth of wind power in Ireland
  • Figure 3.35: Irish national rollout cost benefit analyses (CBAs)
  • Figure 3.36: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Ireland
  • Table 3.13: Ireland smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.37: AMI market forecast by segment in Ireland
  • Table 3.14: Ireland AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.1: Electricity generation by fuel source (2015)
  • Figure 4.2: Timeline of French national rollout
  • Table 4.1: French national rollout - participating vendors
  • Figure 4.3: French smart meter tenders
  • Figure 4.4: Smart grid market forecast by segment in France
  • Table 4.2: France smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.5: AMI market forecast by segment in France
  • Table 4.3: France AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.6: Market share of UK distribution utilities
  • Figure 4.7: UK AMI communications/IT providers
  • Figure 4.8: UK rollout schedule
  • Figure 4.9: Smart grid market forecast by segment in UK
  • Table 4.4: UK smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.10: AMI market forecast by segment in UK
  • Table 4.5: UK AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.11: Spain's growth in wind and solar
  • Figure 4.12: Deployment progress of three largest Spanish utilities
  • Table 4.6: Spain smart meter vendor activity
  • Figure 4.13: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Spain
  • Table 4.7: Spain smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.14: AMI market forecast by segment in Spain
  • Table 4.8: Spain AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.15: Fossil fuel percentages in Europe
  • Figure 4.16: Deployment progress of three largest Dutch utilities
  • Table 4.9: Netherlands smart meter vendor activity
  • Figure 4.17: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Netherlands
  • Table 4.10: Netherlands smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.18: AMI market forecast by segment in Netherlands
  • Table 4.11: Netherlands AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.19: MIBEL and Portugal generation portfolio
  • Figure 4.20: Household electricity price in Portugal
  • Figure 4.21: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Portugal
  • Table 4.12: Portugal smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.22: AMI market forecast by segment in Portugal
  • Table 4.13: Portugal AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.23: Norway electricity industry concentration
  • Figure 4.24: Electricity prices and hydro power in Europe
  • Figure 4.25: Norwegian smart meter rollout timeline
  • Figure 4.26: Meter vendor market share in Norwegian rollout
  • Table 4.14: Norwegian smart grid alliances
  • Table 4.15: Valider Consortium
  • Figure 4.27: Smart grid market forecast by segment in Norway
  • Table 4.16: Norway smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.28: AMI market forecast by segment in Norway
  • Table 4.17: Norway AMI forecast data
  • Table 5.1: Annual replacement meters (units)
  • Table 6.1: Remaining countries
  • Table 7.1: Battery storage projects in Western Europe
  • Table 8.1: Western European vendors
  • Table 8.2 : Non-Western European vendors
  • Figure 8.1: Key vendor activity by geography
  • Figure 8.2: Market share of leading AMI vendors in Western Europe
  • Figure 10.1: Smart grid value chain
  • Figure 11.1: Global smart grid activity
  • Figure 11.2: Cumulative smart grid investment from by region ($m)
  • Figure 11.3: Annual smart grid and AMI investment by region in 2027
  • Table 11.1: Global smart grid drivers and activity
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