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市場調查報告書

東南亞的智慧電網:市場預測

Southeast Asia Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2016 - 2026)

出版商 Northeast Group, LLC 商品編碼 268625
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 206 Pages plus PowerPoint & Dataset
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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東南亞的智慧電網:市場預測 Southeast Asia Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2016 - 2026)
出版日期: 2016年03月31日 內容資訊: 英文 206 Pages plus PowerPoint & Dataset
簡介

東南亞是除了中國與印度之外在所有新興智慧電網地區中,顯示最高GDP成長率的地區。除了已發展市場的新加坡和泰國,所有國家到2020年顯示年率5%以上的GDP成長率。可是,這個高GDP成長率並受不保證,顯示了東南亞各國的結構性,政治及社會課題。這些國家理解打算怎麼應對各種電力需求成長,在理解東南亞的智慧電網基礎設施發揮的作用上有著重大的意義。

本報告提供東南亞的智慧電網市場相關調查,今後10年的市場擴大預測,地區市場、各國市場的預測,主要的國內、國際供應商,產業重組帶給智慧電網市場的影響,計劃中的先導計畫與其課題,ASEAN的地區的配合措施帶給電網現代化的影響等相關彙整。

第1章 簡介

第2章 東南亞的智慧電網概要

  • 地區比較
  • 地區的推動因素
  • 地區的課題

第3章 地區市場預測

第4章 新加坡

  • 電氣產業結構
  • 智慧電網法規環境
  • 市場預測
  • 公共事業活動

第5章 泰國

  • 電氣產業結構
  • 智慧電網法規環境
  • 市場預測
  • 公共事業活動

第6章 馬來西亞

  • 電氣產業結構
  • 智慧電表法規環境
  • 市場預測
  • 公共事業活動

第7章 菲律賓

  • 電氣產業結構
  • 智慧電網法規環境
  • 市場預測
  • 公共事業活動

第8章 印尼

  • 電氣產業結構
  • 智慧電網法規環境
  • 市場預測
  • 公共事業活動

第9章 越南

  • 電氣產業結構
  • 智慧電網法規環境
  • 市場預測
  • 公共事業活動

第10章 其他地區

第11章 供應商活動

  • 國內供應商
  • 東南亞的智慧電網的國際供應商活動

第12章 附錄

圖表

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目錄

Southeast Asia is a growing smart grid market that continues to show extensive progress and promises significant benefits for consumers and large opportunities for vendors by the end of this decade. Countries in the region continue to grow and electrify quickly, accelerating the benefits of smart grid and spurring governments to develop smart grid roadmaps and deployment plans.

In recent years, smart grid deployments have begun in Singapore; Malaysia has set deployment plans for rolling out over 8 million AMI meters; Thailand has established numerous pilot projects that will total over 1 million AMI meters; and external aid has begun to support smart grid throughout the region. Overall, Southeast Asia still trails the developed countries and leading emerging market regions for smart grid potential, but in recent years, it has closed the gap significantly, and high growth ensures continued progress in the near term.

As a region, Southeast Asia has the highest projected GDP growth rate of all emerging smart grid markets, outside of China and India. All countries, except for Singapore and Thailand, will see GDP growth rates average near or above 5% per year through 2020. These high GDP growth rates are not guaranteed however, and will present structural, political, and social challenges to Southeast Asian countries. Understanding how these countries plan to manage their corresponding electricity demand growth is critical to understanding the role that smart grid infrastructure will play in Southeast Asia.

Implementing smart grid infrastructure can help Southeast Asian countries with high growth in ways beyond simply helping manage energy supply shortages through demand response and other programs. As these economies grow, existing grid infrastructure will increasingly prove insufficient, and power reliability will become more of an issue. Smart grid infrastructure throughout the transmission and distribution networks will help utilities proactively address weaknesses and maintain higher power quality and reliability.

Additionally, economic growth could lead to higher rates of non-technical losses as new customers are added to the grid and their bills increase due to higher consumption rates - this has already been seen in Laos and Vietnam. Currently, Southeast Asian countries have low-to-moderate theft rates when compared with other emerging markets, but without smart meters non-technical losses could grow alongside the overall economies.

In the past two years since the second volume of this study was published, many of these factors have already played out. Southeast Asian countries have grown as fast as previously projected, and smart grid activity has kept pace. Work has continued on projects in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, as well as new stronger regulations, particularly in Malaysia. Projects and policies like these are expected to increase throughout the region in the medium term, as all countries in the region will be facing challenges that smart grid infrastructure will be best placed to address. With stronger regulatory models to follow and indicators pointing towards greater savings from smart grid infrastructure, deployments will be well developed in all major Southeast Asian countries by early in the next decade.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • Where are the newest smart grid announcements and deployments in Southeast Asia?
  • How large will the smart grid market be in 9 countries across 15 sub-segments?
  • What are utility deployment plans for the near-to-medium term?
  • When will countries transition to prepaid AMI metering?
  • Who are local vendors partnering with for smart grid projects?

Table of Contents

  • i. Executive summary
  • i.i What's new in 2016?
  • i.ii Southeast Asia smart grid summary
  • i.iii Country summaries
  • ii. Methodology

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is smart grid?
  • 1.2. Smart grid's role in regional interconnection
  • 1.3. How has smart grid been used elsewhere in the world?

2. Southeast Asia smart grid snapshot

  • 2.1. The region in comparison
  • 2.2. Regional drivers
  • 2.3. Regional challenges

3. Regional market forecast

4. Singapore

  • 4.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 4.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 4.3. Market forecast
  • 4.4. Utility activity

5. Thailand

  • 5.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 5.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 5.3. Market forecast
  • 5.4. Utility activity

6. Malaysia

  • 6.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 6.2. Smart metering regulatory environment
  • 6.3. Market forecast
  • 6.4. Utility activity

7. Philippines

  • 7.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 7.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 7.3. Market forecast
  • 7.4. Utility activity

8. Indonesia

  • 8.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 8.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 8.3. Market forecast
  • 8.4. Utility activity

9. Vietnam

  • 9.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 9.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 9.3. Market forecast
  • 9.4. Utility activity

10. The rest of the region

  • 10.1. Cambodia
  • 10.2. Laos
  • 10.3. Myanmar

11. Vendor activity

  • 11.1. Domestic vendors
  • 11.2. International vendors active in smart grid in Southeast Asia

12. Appendix

  • 12.1. List of companies covered in this report
  • 12.2. List of acronyms

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

  • Southeast Asia smart grid: key takeaways
  • Changes in Southeast Asia smart meter potential
  • Notable smart grid activity in Southeast Asia in the past year
  • Recent smart grid projects and plans in Southeast Asia
  • Recent smart grid-related polices in Southeast Asia
  • Examples of external funding for smart grid in Southeast Asia
  • Smart city projects in Southeast Asia
  • Comparison to 2014 forecast
  • Main smart grid drivers and barriers in Southeast Asia
  • Global projected GDP growth (2016 - 2020)
  • Projected GDP growth in Southeast Asia (2016 - 2020)
  • Annual electricity demand growth in Southeast Asia
  • Smart grid roadmaps and planned activity in Southeast Asia
  • International meter vendor presence in smart grid-related projects in Southeast Asia
  • 10-year added cost per kWh of smart metering in Southeast Asia
  • T&D losses in Southeast Asia
  • Smart grid progress in Singapore
  • Smart grid projects in Thailand
  • Projected annual AMI deployments at TNB
  • Smart grid forecast by country
  • Smart grid forecast data by country
  • Northeast Group Smart Grid Forecasting Model
  • Figure 1.1: Smart grid value chain
  • Figure 1.2: Smart grid model highlighting focus in Southeast Asia
  • Table 1.1: Benefits of AMI in Southeast Asia
  • Table 1.2: Demand response options
  • Figure 1.3: ASEAN grid interconnections
  • Figure 1.4: Global smart grid activity
  • Figure 1.5: Cumulative AMI investment by region up to 2016
  • Figure 1.6: Cumulative DA investment by region up to 2016
  • Figure 1.7: Cumulative AMI investment by region from 2016 - 2026
  • Figure 1.8: Cumulative DA investment by region from 2016 - 2026
  • Figure 2.1: Emerging markets smart meter potential
  • Figure 2.2: Per-capita electricity consumption
  • Figure 2.3: Per-capita CO2 emissions
  • Figure 2.4: Projected GDP growth (2016 - 2020)
  • Figure 2.5: Annual electricity demand growth in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 2.6: Renewable sources of energy in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 2.7: Renewable energy potential in 2030
  • Figure 2.8: T&D losses in Southeast Asia
  • Table 2.1: Smart grid market drivers and barriers in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 2.9: 10-year added cost per kWh of smart meter investments in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 2.10: Average smart grid regulatory scores in emerging markets
  • Figure 3.1: Southeast Asia AMI penetration rate
  • Figure 3.2: AMI penetration rate in Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand
  • Figure 3.3: Southeast Asia cumulative smart grid forecast by country
  • Table 3.1: Southeast Asia cumulative smart grid forecast data by country
  • Figure 3.4: Southeast Asia cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 3.2: Southeast Asia cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.5: Annual AMI deployments in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 3.6: AMI cost breakdown
  • Figure 3.7: Cumulative AMI forecast by segment
  • Table 3.3: Cumulative AMI forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.8: Cumulative DA forecast by segment
  • Table 3.4: Cumulative DA forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.9: Cumulative HEM forecast by segment
  • Table 3.5: Cumulative HEM forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.10: Cumulative IT forecast by segment
  • Table 3.6: Cumulative IT forecast data by segment
  • Table 4.1: Singapore key data
  • Figure 4.1: Singapore AMI penetration rate
  • Table 4.2: Smart grid indicators in Singapore
  • Box 4.1: Political risk in Singapore
  • Figure 4.2: Singapore cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 4.3: Singapore cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 4.3: Singapore cumulative AMI forecast
  • Table 4.4: Singapore cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 4.4: Smart grid progress in Singapore
  • Table 5.1: Thailand key data
  • Figure 5.1: Thailand AMI penetration rate
  • Table 5.2: Smart grid indicators in Thailand
  • Figure 5.2: Electricity industry structure in Thailand
  • Box 5.1: Political risk in Thailand
  • Table 5.3: Smart grid roadmaps in Thailand
  • Table 5.4: Thailand cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 5.3: Thailand cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 5.5: Thailand cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 5.4: Thailand cumulative AMI forecast
  • Figure 5.5: PEA's Pattaya smart grid project
  • Table 5.4: Smart grid projects in Thailand
  • Table 6.1: Malaysia key data
  • Figure 6.1: Malaysia AMI penetration rate
  • Table 6.2: Smart grid indicators in Malaysia
  • Box 6.1: Political risk in Malaysia
  • Figure 6.2: Smart grid plans at TNB in Malaysia
  • Figure 6.3: 5 strategic pillars of Malaysia's New Energy Policy
  • Table 6.3: Feed-in tariff rates and installations in Malaysia
  • Figure 6.4: Malaysia cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 6.4: Malaysia cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 6.5: Malaysia cumulative AMI forecast
  • Table 6.5: Malaysia cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 6.6: Projected annual AMI deployments at TNB
  • Table 6.6: TNB pilot project details
  • Table 6.7: TNB pilot project customer outreach
  • Table 7.1: Philippines key data
  • Figure 7.1: Philippines AMI penetration rate
  • Table 7.2: Smart grid indicators in the Philippines
  • Box 7.1: Political risk in the Philippines
  • Figure 7.2: Existing smart grid regulatory activity in the Philippines
  • Figure 7.3: Philippines cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 7.3: Philippines cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 7.4: Philippines cumulative AMI forecast
  • Table 7.4: Philippines cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 7.5: MERALCO's initial smart grid pilot
  • Table 7.5: USTDA smart grid activity in Philippines
  • Table 8.1: Indonesia key data
  • Figure 8.1: Indonesia AMI penetration rate
  • Table 8.2: Smart grid indicators in Indonesia
  • Box 8.1: Political risk in Indonesia
  • Figure 8.2: Feed-in tariffs in Indonesia
  • Figure 8.3: Planned solar installations in Indonesia
  • Figure 8.4: Indonesia cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 8.3: Indonesia cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 8.5: Indonesia cumulative AMI forecast
  • Table 8.3: Indonesia cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 8.6: Annual meter deployments in Indonesia
  • Table 9.1: Vietnam key data
  • Figure 9.1: Vietnam AMI penetration rate
  • Table 9.2: Smart grid indicators in Vietnam
  • Box 9.1: Political risk in Vietnam
  • Figure 9.2: Electricity regulatory structure in Vietnam
  • Table 9.3: Vietnam cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 9.3: Vietnam cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 9.4: Vietnam cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 9.4: Vietnam cumulative AMI forecast
  • Figure 9.5: Smart grid roadmap for EVN in Vietnam
  • Figure 9.6: Funding for T&D investments in Vietnam
  • Table 10.1: Cambodia key data
  • Figure 10.1: Cambodia AMI penetration rate
  • Figure 10.2: Electricity prices and GDP/capita in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 10.3: Cambodia cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 10.2: Cambodia cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 10.4: Cambodia cumulative AMI forecast
  • Table 10.3: Cambodia cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Table 10.4: Laos key data
  • Figure 10.5: Laos AMI penetration rate
  • Table 10.5: World Bank smart grid project in Laos
  • Figure 10.6: Laos cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 10.6: Laos cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 10.7: Laos cumulative AMI forecast
  • Table 10.7: Laos cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Table 10.8: Myanmar key data
  • Figure 10.8: Myanmar AMI penetration rate
  • Figure 10.9: Highest global T&D loss rates
  • Table 10.4: Myanmar cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 10.5: Myanmar cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 10.5: Myanmar cumulative AMI forecast data
  • Figure 10.6: Myanmar cumulative AMI forecast
  • Figure 11.1: Leading smart grid vendors in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 11.2: Market share of leading meter hardware vendors in Southeast Asia
  • Table 11.1: Other leading smart grid vendors in Southeast Asia
  • Figure 11.3: International meter vendor presence in in Southeast Asia
  • Table 11.2: Vendor partnerships and activity
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