全球的OLED（有機EL）照明市場：8年市場預測（2010年） 是由出版商NanoMarkets在2010年08月所出版的。
這份英文市場調查報告書價格從美金2495起跳。
本報告，調查分析全球OLED照明市場的現狀與展望，並彙整應用別的8年市場成長預測、主要區域的市佔率、主要製造業者的技術藍圖、技術動向與對市場的影響等，由下列摘要形式闡述。
報告摘要
第1章 簡介
- 本報告的背景・目的
- OLED照明
- 現在的課題
- 主要OLED照明製造業者已發表的日程・技術藍圖
- Blackbody (法國)
- General Electric (美國)
- Kaneka (日本)
- Konica Minolta (日本)
- Ledon (德國)
- LG (South 韓國)
- Lomox (英國)
- Lumiotec (日本)
- Modistech (韓國)
- Organic Lighting (日本)
- Osram (德國)
- Philips (荷蘭)
- 先鋒牌/三菱 (日本)
- PolyPhotonix (英國)
- Universal Display (美國)
- 最初的OLED照明產品對本公司預測的影響
- 收益（2010年）
- 最初的量產OLED產品對收益的影響
- 做為替代一般照明的OLED照明
- 製造上的前提因子
- 現在以及未來的OLED照明的價格
- 消費者的接受度與替代情境
第2章 OLED一般照明與建築用照明的預測
- 簡介
- 技術性成果的影響
- 面板規格：仍然是條遙遠的路
- 效率：接近終點
- 亮度：數千的亮度（cd/m2）
- 壽命：有各種變化
- 全球OLED一般照明市場的8年預測
- 一般照明市場現在的市場規模：OLED的定址市場
- 一般照明用OLED的普及模式
- 做為替代燈泡・電燈的OLED照明：設計上的課題
- OLED的價格・壽命的消費者行動與對折扣率的影響
- OLED成本與價格推算
- 全球OLED建築用照明市場：8年預測
第3章 其他潛在的OLED照明市場
- 背光源
- 交通工具用照明：火車・飛機・汽車
- 招牌用的OLED照明
- OLED照明：其他應用
第4章 總結
- 市場預測的摘要・與2009年預測的差異
- 區域市場推算：歐洲・北美・亞洲
圖表
Abstract
This report presents NanoMarkets' latest and most up-to-date projections of
the OLED lighting market in volume and value terms. In addition to the core
general and architectural lighting markets, the report also quantifies the
likely markets for OLED lighting in automotive lighting, backlighting, signage
and other applications. And it also discusses which regions of the world will
ultimately account for the biggest shares of the OLED lighting market.
The main objective of this report is to provide clear numerical projections of
the OLED lighting market over the next eight years. We believe the report
will provide invaluable insights for marketing, product and business
development managers, as well as designers at lighting/luminaire firms, OLED
manufacturers, materials firms and electronics firms. It will also help inform
the decisions of investors who wish to become involved in this sector.
NanoMarkets has been providing forecasts of the OLED lighting space for more
than five years and was the first industry analyst firm to do so. As in the
past, these projections are based on a forecasting model that takes into
consideration historical patterns of growth in the lighting market and the
technical improvements that we have seen in the OLED industry. However, in
these forecasts we have also taken into consideration the recently announced
plans of some of the leading players in this space, which we examine with a
critical eye.
We have also factored into our forecasts important regulatory changes and many
other trends. In addition we also include a discussion of the likely patterns
for the substitution of conventional lighting by OLED lighting; a key factor
in any forecast, since OLEDs represent a completely new form of lighting that
won' t replace existing light bulbs and tubes on a one-to-one basis.
This report is one in a series from the firm that provides comprehensive
coverage of the OLED lighting market.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
- E.1 Introduction
- E.2 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts: Three Key Segments
- E.2.1 General and Architectural Lighting: Where OLED Lighting is
Focused Now
- E.2.2 Backlighting: Still an Opportunity?
- E.2.3 Other Markets for OLED Lighting: Future Opportunities?
- E.2.4 Ongoing Challenges for OLED Lighting
- E.3 Announced Timetables and Roadmaps of Major OLED Lighting Manufacturers
Chapter One: Introduction: Assumptions, Drivers and Challenges
- 1.1 Background and Objectives of this Report
- 1.1.1 Scope of Forecast
- 1.1.2 Sources of Information
- 1.2 OLED Lighting: Reasons to Believe
- 1.3 Ongoing Challenges
- 1.3.1 Continuing Impact of the Recession
- 1.4 Announced Timetables and Roadmaps of Major OLED Lighting Manufacturers
- 1.4.1 Blackbody (France)
- 1.4.2 General Electric (U.S.)
- 1.4.3 Kaneka (Japan)
- 1.4.4 Konica Minolta (Japan)
- 1.4.5 Ledon (Germany)
- 1.4.6 LG (South Korea)
- 1.4.7 Lomox (U.K.)
- 1.4.8 Lumiotec (Japan)
- 1.4.9 Modistech (Korea)
- 1.4.10 Organic Lighting (Japan)
- 1.4.11 Osram (Germany)
- 1.4.12 Philips (Netherlands)
- 1.4.13 Pioneer/Mitsubishi (Japan)
- 1.4.14 PolyPhotonix (U.K.)
- 1.4.15 Universal Display (U.S.A.)
- 1.5 Impact of First OLED Lighting Products on our Forecasts
- 1.5.1 Revenues in 2010
- 1.5.2 The Revenue Impact of First OLED Products to be Produced in Volume
- 1.5.3 OLED Lights as a General Lighting Substitute
- 1.6 Manufacturing Assumptions
- 1.6.1 Printing or Classical Deposition?
- 1.7 Current and Future Pricing of OLED Lighting
- 1.8 Consumer Acceptance Assumptions and Alternative Scenarios
- 1.8.1 How Much Confidence Should You Have in these Forecasts?
Chapter Two: OLED General Illumination and Architectural Lighting Forecasts
- 2.1 Introduction
- 2.2 Impact of Technical Achievements
- 2.2.1 Panel Size: Still a Long Way to Go
- 2.2.2 Efficiency: Getting There
- 2.2.3 Luminance: A Few Thousand cd/m2
- 2.2.4 Lifetimes: Much Variation
- 2.3 Eight-Year Forecast of Worldwide OLED-Based General Illumination
Markets
- 2.3.1 Current Size of General Illumination Market: Addressable Markets
for OLEDs
- 2.3.2 OLED Penetration Patterns for OLED-Based General Illumination
- 2.3.3 OLED Lighting as an Alternative to Light Bulbs and Tubes: Design
Issues
- 2.3.4 Prices and the Impact of OLED Lifetimes on Consumer Behavior and
Financial Discount Rates
- 2.3.5 OLED Costs and Pricing Assumptions
- 2.4 Eight-Year Forecast of Worldwide OLED-Based Architectural Lighting
Markets
- 2.4.1 Forecasting Assumptions for Architectural Lighting
Chapter Three: Other Potential OLED Lighting Markets
- 3.1 Backlighting
- 3.1.1 Will OLEDs Ever be Good Enough for Backlighting?
- 3.1.2 Eight-Year Forecasts of OLED Backlighting: Alternative Scenarios
- 3.2 Vehicular Lighting: Trains and Planes and Cars
- 3.2.1 Eight-Year Forecasts of Vehicular Backlighting
- 3.3 OLED Lighting in Signage
- 3.4 Other Applications for OLED Lighting
- 3.4.1 Healthcare Lighting
- 3.4.2 Specialized Industrial Lighting
- 3.4.3 Novelty Applications
Chapter Four: A Summing Up
- 4.1 Summary of Market Forecasts and Differences from our 2009 Forecasts
- 4.2 Speculations on the Size of Regional Markets: Europe, North America
and Asia
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used in this Report
About the Author
List of Tables:
- Exhibit E-1: Summary of OLED Lighting Markets ($ Millions)
- Exhibit 1-1: Philips' OLED Lighting Product Evolution Scenario.
- Exhibit 1-2: Early OLED Lighting Products: The Pricing Story So Far.
- Exhibit 2-1: Eight-Year Forecasts of OLED Lighting for General
Illumination.
- Exhibit 2-2: Eight-Year Forecasts of OLEDs for Architectural Lighting.
- Exhibit 3-1: OLED Backlighting Markets ($ Millions) (1)
- Exhibit 3-2 Eight-Year Forecasts of OLEDs for Vehicular Lighting.
- Exhibit 3-4: Eight-Year Forecasts of OLED Lighting In Signage.
- Exhibit 4-1: Summary of OLED Lighting Markets by Application ($ Millions)
