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1190335

CNG 和 LPG 汽車的全球市場——增長、趨勢、COVID-19 的影響和預測 (2023-2028)

CNG and LPG Vehicle Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 90 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

在預測期內，全球 CNG 和 LPG 汽車市場預計將以超過 7% 的複合年增長率增長。

COVID-19 大流行期間的製造停工、停工和貿易限制對 CNG 和 LPG 汽車市場產生了負面影響。 此外，汽車產量下降和勞動力短缺對市場產生了重大影響。 然而，在 2020 年底，隨著汽車銷量在 COVID-19 病例有限的國家穩步增長，汽車製造商恢復了運營。 因此，市場在下半年經歷了增長，並在 2021 年延續了這一趨勢。 此外，政府機構實施的嚴格排放法規、不斷上漲的燃料價格以及消費者意識的提高正在推動對使用替代燃料的車輛的需求。 例如，2021 年印度的 CNG 汽車銷量將達到 1,63,696 輛，高於 2020 年的 41,572 輛。

目前，全球變暖已成為全球性的重大問題，公眾也開始認識到其影響。 這引起了反對使用汽油和柴油的情緒。 此外，根據地區的不同，廢氣法規變得更加嚴格，需要大量投資才能遵守。 這尤其給柴油車製造商帶來了巨大的財務壓力，並且是 CNG/LPG 汽車市場的主要推動力。

推動 CNG 和 LPG 汽車市場增長的另一個因素是油價上漲導致燃油價格上漲。 例如

主要亮點

  • 根據國際貨幣基金組織的數據，2021 年的油價與 2020 年相比上漲了 12%。 這是由於隨著各國逐漸開放和經濟開始再次增長，COVID-19 大流行消退造成對石油的被壓抑需求。

從長遠來看，汽車壓縮天然氣和液化石油氣的增長可歸因於汽車行業越來越多地使用替代燃料來提高成本效益、燃油效率和排放法規。. 與不斷上漲的石油產品價格相比，CNG 和 LPG 的成本較低，因此 CNG 和 LPG 汽車在新興國家迅速增長。 此外，CNG 和 LPG 車輛被認為是燃油車輛的環保替代品。

在印度、墨西哥、非洲和巴西等新興市場，CNG 和 LPG 汽車的銷量正在增長，因為政府通過公共交通可持續性和減少石油進口來關注能源獨立。這也是一個因素。 例如

主要亮點

  • 2022 年 3 月，中國安徽安凱汽車有限公司根據新華絲綢之路倡議向墨西哥出口了 800 輛 CNG 客車，以深化中墨兩國的合作。 這些巴士將作為墨西哥蒙特雷市的公共交通工具。

此外，一些主要參與者正在推出新產品以增加其市場份額。 例如

主要亮點

  • 2022 年 11 月，豐田汽車公司在印度的合資企業 Toyota Kirloskar Motor Pvt. Ltd 在印度推出了豪華掀背車 Toyota Glanza 的 CNG 版本。
  • 2022 年 11 月，Stellantis N.V. 子公司 CNH Industrial 的商用車部門 Iveco 在巴西聖保羅的 Fenatran 貿易展上展示了其 S-WAY 和 Tector 卡車的 CNG 版本。 這兩款車預計將於 2023 年底在巴西上市銷售。

亞太地區是全球最大的汽車市場。 儘管全球最大的汽車市場中國的市場增長放緩，但預計該地區在預測期內將引領汽車壓縮天然氣和液化石油氣市場的增長。

這樣，由於上述因素的綜合作用，預計全球 CNG/LPG 汽車市場在預測期內將出現顯著增長。

主要市場趨勢

嚴格的汽車排放法規出台和燃油價格上漲

根據聯合國氣候變化委員會的數據，道路交通佔溫室氣體 (GHG) 排放量的 25%，這是導致全球變暖和氣候變化的主要原因。 世界各國都在引入嚴格的車輛排放法規，以應對日益嚴重的空氣污染並通過引入清潔機動性改善公眾健康。

2014 年，歐盟採用歐 6 標準，根據人均碳排放量對汽車徵稅。 因此，為滿足嚴苛的歐6標準，柴油車必須配備先進的廢氣再循環和微粒過濾系統。 結果，柴油車的價格大幅上漲，從經濟上來說不可能更換老舊的柴油車。 因此，許多公共交通和物流公司正在購買 CNG/LNG 車輛來替換老舊的柴油發動機車輛。 這已被證明是歐洲 CNG/LNG 汽車銷量增長的主要因素。 例如

  • 2021 年 11 月，依維柯從歐洲亞馬遜收到了 1064 輛配備 CNG 發動機的 S-WAY 卡車的訂單。

CNG 汽車燃燒甲烷作為主要燃料。 甲烷是自然界中燃燒最乾淨的碳氫化合物。 CNG 車輛不會通過排氣管排放未燃燒或半燃燒的碳氫化合物。 因此，已證實使用 CNG 作為汽車燃料可顯著降低車輛污染水平，因為 CNG 車輛尾氣排放的最終產物是水蒸氣。

電動汽車是實現零車輛污染水平的近乎完美的解決方案。 然而，電動汽車比 CNG 汽車貴得多，續航裡程問題以及電動汽車有限的充電網絡限制了它們在發展中國家的銷售。 因此，在印度等新興國家，很多車主更願意購買CNG汽車而不是電動汽車。

然而，天然氣汽車的成本優勢和政府鼓勵採用替代燃料汽車的政策正在推動全球 CNG 和 LPG 汽車市場的發展。 例如

  • 2022 年 11 月，在印度新德裡，1 千克 CNG 的價格為 78.61 印度盧比（94 美分），而汽油價格為每升 96.72 印度盧比（1.16 美元），柴油價格為 96.67 印度盧比（1.16 美元）。 由於壓縮天然氣與汽油/柴油之間的巨大價格差異，以及壓縮天然氣汽車比汽油/柴油汽車更省油，過去幾年印度壓縮天然氣汽車的銷量幾乎翻了一番。

此外，許多政府正在採取重大措施擴大其 CNG 加氣站網絡。 預計這將進一步增加這些國家的 CNG 汽車銷量。

因此，上述所有因素綜合起來預計將在未來五年推動全球壓縮天然氣和液化石油氣汽車市場。

預計亞太地區將成為預測期內最大的市場

由於印度的存在，亞太地區有望成為全球最大的 CNG/LPG 汽車市場。

在印度，汽油和柴油價格高，車輛排放法規嚴格，大多數公共汽車、出租車和電動三輪車使用 CNG，並且有大量的 CNG/LPG 改裝套件可供選擇。此外，轉化率高老式汽油和柴油汽車轉換為 CNG/LPG，以及電動汽車的有限普及是預計 CNG 汽車數量將領先世界的因素。 .

全國各地的管理機構都致力於發展基礎設施以促進替代燃料汽車的發展。 例如，2022 年 7 月，印度政府在全國 14 個邦啟動了 166 個新的 CNG 站。 政府還計劃在未來兩年內在印度各地安裝 3,500 個 CNG 站。 在預測期內，這些因素預計將繼續成為主要的市場驅動因素。

繼亞太地區之後，歐洲和北美預計將成為最大的市場，因為天然氣價格較低且排放法規更為嚴格。

競爭格局

CNG/LPG 汽車市場高度分散，由多家全球和本地參與者主導。 主要公司包括現代汽車公司、鈴木汽車公司、日產汽車公司、大眾汽車公司和本田汽車公司。 大公司正在推出新產品或組建合資企業以鞏固其在市場中的地位。 例如：

  • 2022 年 8 月，大眾汽車集團商用車部門 Traton SE 旗下品牌斯堪尼亞向南非豪登省的 BridCam 經銷商交付了該國第一輛純天然氣卡車。
  • 2022 年 1 月，依維柯客車與非洲科特迪瓦的 SOTRA 合作，開始在當地組裝配備 CNG 發動機的依維柯 Daily 小巴。
  • 2022 年 1 月，Eicher (VECV) 展示了其 4.9 噸和 5.9 噸卡車的 CNG 版本，通常用於車隊所有者的最後一英裡交付業務。 這些卡車是 VECV 提供的載重量最輕的卡車，但隨著 CNG 站的佔地面積預計在未來幾年會增加，將推出載重量更高的 CNG 卡車。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 三個月的分析師支持

內容

第1章介紹

  • 調查先決條件
  • 調查範圍

第2章研究方法論

第 3 章執行摘要

第4章市場動態

  • 市場驅動力
  • 市場製約因素
  • 波特的五力分析
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 買方/消費者議價能力
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵對關係

第 5 章市場細分

  • 按燃料類型
    • 壓縮天然氣 (CNG)
    • 液化石油氣 (LPG)
  • 按銷售渠道
    • 貼牌生產
    • 改造
  • 車輛類型
    • 乘用車
    • 商用車
  • 區域信息
    • 北美
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 意大利
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 印度
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 世界其他地區
      • 中東和非洲
      • 南美洲

第6章競爭格局

  • 供應商市場份額
  • 公司簡介
    • Hyundai Motor Company
    • Suzuki Motor Corporation
    • Nissan Motor Co. Ltd
    • Volkswagen AG
    • Honda Motor Company
    • Ford Motor Company
    • Fiat Automobiles S.p.A.
    • Tata Corporation
    • AB Volvo
    • Traton SE
    • Groupe Renault
    • General Motors

第7章 市場機會與今後動向

簡介目錄
Product Code: 54500

The CNG and LPG vehicle market is expected to register a CAGR of over 7% over the forecast period.

Manufacturing shutdowns, lockdowns, and trade restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected the CNG and LPG vehicle market. Furthermore, the fall in automotive production and lack of labor significantly impacted the market. However, in the second half of 2020, automotive manufacturers resumed operations due to steadily rising automobile sales in countries with a limited number of COVID-19 cases. Therefore, the market witnessed growth in the second half, and it continued for the year 2021 as well. Further, the stringent emission norms implemented by governing bodies, increasing fuel prices, and rising awareness among customers are driving the demand for alternative fuel-powered vehicles. For instance, in 2021, CNG vehicles recorded sales of 1,63,696 units, up from 41,572 units in 2020 in India.

Currently, global warming has become a major issue worldwide, and the public has begun to realize its ramifications. This has led to sentiment against the use of gasoline and diesel. The emission norms in some regions have become so strict that huge amounts of investment are required to make the vehicles compliant. This has put a lot of financial pressure, especially on the diesel vehicle manufacturers, acting as a major drivers for the CNG and LPG vehicle market.

Another factor aiding the growth of the CNG and LPG vehicles market is the rise in oil prices leading to the corresponding increase in fuel prices. For instance

Key Highlights

  • According to the IMF, oil prices rose by 12% in 2021 compared to 2020 due to the pent-up demand for oil created by the receding COVID-19 pandemic as the countries slowly opened up, and their economies started to grow again.

Over the long term, the growth of automotive CNG and LPG can be attributed to the increasing use of alternative fuels in the automotive industry for cost-effectiveness, fuel efficiency, and emission control. The CNG and LPG vehicles are growing rapidly in developing countries, attributed to the lower cost of CNG and LPG over the rising prices of petroleum products. In addition, CNG and LPG vehicles are considered green alternatives to petroleum-operated vehicles.

The growth in the sales of CNG and LPG vehicles can also be attributed to the growth of the adoption of CNG buses for public transportation in the developing markets of India, Mexico, Africa, and Brazil, as the governments in these countries focus on making their public transport sustainable and achieve energy independence by cutting down on the imports of crude oil. For instance,

Key Highlights

  • In March 2022, Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. of China exported 800 CNG buses to Mexico under the new Xinhua Silk Route Initiative to deepen the cooperation between China and Mexico. These buses will be operated for public transport in the Mexican city of Monterrey.

Several key players are also launching new products to expand their market share. For instance

Key Highlights

  • In November 2022, Toyota Kirloskar Motor Pvt. Ltd, the joint venture of Toyota Motor Corp. in India, launched the CNG version of their premium hatchback Toyota Glanza in India.
  • In November 2022, Iveco, the commercial vehicle arm of CNH Industrial, a subsidiary of Stellantis N.V., displayed the CNG versions of S-WAY and Tector trucks at the Fenatran trade show in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Both vehicles will be launched commercially in Brazil by the end of 2023.

The Asia-Pacific region is the largest market for automobiles in the world. The region, despite the sluggish growth in the Chinese market, the largest automobile market in the world, is expected to lead the growth in the automotive CNG and LPG market during the forecast period.

Thus the confluence of the aforementioned factors is expected to produce significant growth in the market of CNG and LPG vehicles worldwide during the forecast period.

Key Market Trends

Adoption of Stringent Automotive Emissions Norms and Rise in Fuel prices

According to United Nations Committee on Climate Change, road transport accounts for 25% of the total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, which are the major source of global warming and climate change. Countries all over the world are adopting stringent automotive emissions norms to combat the growing air pollution and improve the health of their citizens through the adoption of clean mobility.

In 2014 the European Union adopted Euro 6 norms, which tax vehicles based on per capita carbon emissions. Thus it required the incorporation of sophisticated exhaust gas recirculation and particulate filter systems in diesel vehicles to meet the stringent Euro 6 norms. This substantially increased the prices of diesel vehicles, making it no longer economically viable for fleet owners to buy new diesel vehicles to replace their old fleets. Hence many public transport operators and logistics companies started buying CNG/LNG-powered vehicles to replace their old diesel-powered fleets. This proved to be a significant factor in the rise in sales of CNG/LNG vehicles in Europe. For instance

  • In November 2021, Iveco won an order to supply 1064 units of CNG-powered S-WAY trucks to Amazon in Europe.

CNG vehicles use methane as the main fuel for combustion. Methane is the cleanest burning hydrocarbon in nature. CNG vehicles emit no unburnt or half-burnt hydrocarbons as tailpipe emissions. Thus the use of CNG as an automotive fuel has been observed to reduce vehicular pollution levels significantly since water vapor is the end product emitted from the exhausts of CNG vehicles.

Electric vehicles are nearly perfect solutions for achieving zero vehicular pollution levels. However, electric vehicles are much more expensive to buy than CNG-powered vehicles, have range issues, and the limited charging network for electric vehicles limits their sales potential in developing countries. Thus many vehicle owners prefer to buy CNG vehicles over electric vehicles in developing countries like India.

However, the cost advantage offered by natural gas vehicles and supportive government policies to encourage the adoption of alternative fuel-powered vehicles is driving the global CNG and LPG vehicle market. For instance,

  • In November 2022, 1 kg of CNG was priced at INR 78.61 (94 cents) compared to petrol which cost INR 96.72 (USD 1.16) per liter, and diesel which was priced at INR 96.67 (USD 1.16) per liter in New Delhi, India. This substantial difference in CNG and petrol/diesel pricing and the higher mileage of CNG vehicles than petrol/diesel vehicles has almost doubled the sales of CNG vehicles in India over the past few years.

Many governments are also taking major steps to increase the network of CNG filling stations in their countries. This is also projected to increase the sales of CNG vehicles further in these countries.

Thus the combination of all the above factors is anticipated to propel the market for CNG and LPG vehicles worldwide over the next five years.

Asia-Pacific Region is Expected to be the Largest Market During the Forecast Period

Asia-Pacific is forecasted to be the largest market for CNG and LPG vehicles in the world due to the presence of India.

India is predicted to have the largest number of CNG vehicles in the world due to the higher prices of petrol and diesel, the adoption of stringent automotive emissions norms, most of the buses, taxis, and autorickshaws running on CNG, the availability of a large number of CNG/LPG retrofitting kits, higher conversion rates of old petrol and diesel vehicles to CNG/LPG and limited penetration of electric vehicles.

The governing bodies across the country are focused on developing infrastructure for the growth of alternative fuel-powered vehicles. for instance, in July 2022, the Government of India inaugurated 166 new CNG stations across 14 states in the country. The Government also plans to set up 3500 CNG stations in India in the next two years. Such factors are likely to remain prominent market drivers during the forecast period.

Following Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America are predicted to be the next biggest markets due to lower prices of natural gas and the adoption of stringent emission norms.

Competitive Landscape

The CNG and LPG vehicle market is highly fragmented and dominated by several global and local players. Some of the major players are Hyundai Motor Company, Suzuki Motor Corporation, Nissan Motor Co., Ltd, Volkswagen AG, and Honda Motor Company. The major companies are launching new products and forming joint ventures to cement their market position. For instance,

  • In August 2022, Scania, a brand of Traton SE, the Volkswagen Group commercial vehicle division, delivered the country's first dedicated natural gas truck to BridCam Distributors in Gauteng, South Africa.
  • In January 2022, Iveco Bus partnered with SOTRA in Ivory Coast, Africa, to start the local assembly of CNG-powered Iveco Daily Minibus.
  • In January 2022, Eicher (VECV) showcased CNG variants of its 4.9 and 5.9-metric-ton trucks, typically used in last-mile delivery operations by fleet owners. While these are the lightest payload trucks VECV offers, the automaker plans to bring in CNG trucks with higher payloads as the footprint of CNG stations is likely to increase in the coming years.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Drivers
  • 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.3 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 By Fuel Type
    • 5.1.1 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)
    • 5.1.2 Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)
  • 5.2 By Sales Channel
    • 5.2.1 OEM
    • 5.2.2 Retrofitting
  • 5.3 By Vehicle Type
    • 5.3.1 Passenger Cars
    • 5.3.2 Commercial Vehicles
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.3 France
      • 5.4.2.4 Italy
      • 5.4.2.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 India
      • 5.4.3.2 China
      • 5.4.3.3 Japan
      • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 Rest of the World
      • 5.4.4.1 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.4.2 South America

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share
  • 6.2 Company Profiles*
    • 6.2.1 Hyundai Motor Company
    • 6.2.2 Suzuki Motor Corporation
    • 6.2.3 Nissan Motor Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.4 Volkswagen AG
    • 6.2.5 Honda Motor Company
    • 6.2.6 Ford Motor Company
    • 6.2.7 Fiat Automobiles S.p.A.
    • 6.2.8 Tata Corporation
    • 6.2.9 AB Volvo
    • 6.2.10 Traton SE
    • 6.2.11 Groupe Renault
    • 6.2.12 General Motors

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS