This report presents three different scenarios of how the femtocells market
will develop over the next six years up until 2014; best case, baseline and
worst case scenario.
Key femtocells forecasts include; the number of femtocells access points
shipped both for stand-alone access points and integrated access points, 3G
home femtocell subscribers and femtocell service revenues split by; free
calling plan, basic monthly value, new and enhanced services and incremental
revenue from existing femtocell services.
Each of the femtocell projections uses a twin track approach, based on
forecasts of both residential broadband subscribers and forecast of 3G
consumer subscribers, and the scenarios evaluate the market impact of various
femtocell penetration rates.
Key Questions answered by this report:
How many 3G femtocells will be installed in homes by region over the next
five years?
What are the consumer 3G femtocell take-up scenarios over the next five
years?
How many consumers will use 3G femtocells by region over the next five
years?
How much service revenue will 3G femtocells in the home generate?
What are the shipment breakdowns between standalone and integrated
femtocells between 2009 and 2014?
How will North America, Western Europe and the Far East & China compare
for femtocell deployments?
What are the top factors driving the consumer 3G femtocell market?
What are the top hurdles the technology has to overcome to achieve mass
market?
Key Benefits:
A unique source of combined rsearch and analysis for the 3G femtocells
market including technologies, market characteristics and forecasts.
Practical analysis of the emerging opportunities for vendors and operato.rs
Unique insights: includes interviews of leading players with significant
experience of the 3G femtocells market.
Benefit from fresh thinking and intelligent market assessment.
Table of Contents
Glossary
Executive Summary
Introduction
Industry Update
Market Forecast Scenarios
3G Femtocell Access Point Forecast
3G Femtocell Subscribers Forecast
3G Femtocell Service Revenues Forecast
Market Drivers
Recommendations
1. Technology & Market Drivers
1.1 Definition
Figure 1.1: Femtocell Network Connectivity
Figure 1.2: Femtocell Network at Home
Figure 1.3 Femtocell Services in the Home
1.2 Network Hardware Elements
1.2.1 Chipsets
1.2.2 Access Points
Figure 1.4: ip.access Oyster 3G Femtocell Access Point
Figure 1.5: Airvana HubBub UMTS Femtocell Access Point
Figure 1.6 Alcatel-Lucent/Sagem Femtocell Access Point
Figure 4.11: 3G Femtocell Pricing ($) for Standalone and Integrated
Product Types Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.7: 3G Femtocell Pricing ($) for Standalone and Integrated
Product Types Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
4.4 3G Femtocell Access Point Market Value
4.4.1 Standalone and Integrated Access Point Market
Figure 4.12: 3G Femtocell Standalone & Integrated Access Point Market
($ million) Split by Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.8: 3G Femtocell Standalone & Integrated Access Point Market ($
million) Split by Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
4.4.2 Standalone Access Point Market
Figure 4.13: 3G Femtocell Standalone Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.9: 3G Femtocell Standalone Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
4.4.3 Integrated Access Point Market
Figure 4.14: 3G Femtocell Integrated Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.10: 3G Femtocell Integrated Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
4.5 3G Femtocell Subscribers
Figure 4.15: Ratio of 3G Consumer Subscribers to Residential Broadband
Subscribers - Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.11: Ratio of 3G Consumer Subscribers to Residential Broadband
Subscribers - by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Figure 4.16: 3G Femtocell Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.12: 3G Femtocell Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
4.6 3G Femtocell Service Revenues
4.6.1 Package Types and Pricing
4.6.2 Service Revenues by Package Type
Figure 4.17: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by Service
Package Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Figure 4.18: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (Percent) - Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 -
2014
Table 4.13: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (Percent) - Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 -
2014
Figure 4.19: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (m) - Split 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.14: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.15: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by Service Package
Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
4.6.2 Service Revenues by Region
Figure 4.20: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 4.16: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Baseline Scenario 2009 - 2014
5. Best Case Scenario
5.1 3G Femtocell Take-up
Figure 5.1: 3G Femtocell Take-up - Percentage of Residential Broadband
Subscribers Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.1: 3G Femtocell Take-up - Percentage of Residential Broadband
Subscribers Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Figure 5.2: 3G Femtocell Access Points (m) Split by 8 Key Regions Best
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.2: 3G Femtocell Access Points (m) Split by 8 Key Regions Best
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.2 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments: Units
5.2.1 Standalone and Integrated Access Point Shipments
Figure 5.3: Standalone & Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point
Shipments (m) Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.3: Standalone & Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments
(m) Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.2.2 Standalone Access Point Shipments
Figure 5.4: Standalone 3G Femtocell Shipments (m) Split by Region Best
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.4: Standalone 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments (m) Split by
8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.2.3 Integrated Access Point Shipments
Figure 5.5: Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments (m) Split
by Region Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.5: Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments (m) Split by
8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.3 3G Femtocell Access Point Market Value
5.3.1 Standalone and Integrated Access Point Market
Figure 5.6: 3G Femtocell Standalone & Integrated Access Point Market
($ million) Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.6: 3G Femtocell Standalone & Integrated Access Point Market ($
million) Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.3.2 Standalone Access Point Market
Figure 5.7: 3G Femtocell Standalone Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.7: 3G Femtocell Standalone Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.3.3 Integrated Access Point Market
Figure 5.8: 3G Femtocell Integrated Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.8: 3G Femtocell Integrated Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.4 3G Femtocell Subscribers
Figure 5.9: 3G Femtocell Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Best
Case Scenario 2009 2014
Table 5.9: 3G Femtocell Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Best
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.5 3G Femtocell Service Revenues
5.5.1 Service Revenues by Package Type
Figure 5.10: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by Service
Package Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Figure 5.11: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (Percent) - Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 -
2014
Table 5.10: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (Percent) - Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 -
2014
Figure 5.12: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.11: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.12: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by Service Package
Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
5.5.2 Service Revenues by Region
Figure 5.13: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 5.13: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Best Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6. Worst Case Scenario
6.1 3G Femtocell Take-up
Figure 6.1: 3G Femtocell Take-up - Percentage of Residential Broadband
Subscribers Split by Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.1: 3G Femtocell Take-up - Percentage of Residential Broadband
Subscribers Split 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Figure 6.2: 3G Femtocell Access Points (m) Split by 8 Key Regions Worst
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.2: 3G Femtocell Access Points (m) Split by 8 Key Regions Worst
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.2 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments: Units
6.2.1 Standalone and Integrated Access Point Shipments 85
Figure 6.3: Standalone & Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point
Shipments (m) Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.3: Standalone & Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments
(m) Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.2.2 Standalone Access Point Shipments
Figure 6.4: Standalone 3G Femtocell Shipments (m) Split by Region
Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.4: Standalone 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments (m) Split by
8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.2.3 Integrated Access Point Shipments
Figure 6.5: Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments (m) Split
by Region Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.5: Integrated 3G Femtocell Access Point Shipments (m) Split by
8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.3 3G Femtocell Access Point Market Value
6.3.1 Standalone and Integrated Access Point Market
Figure 6.6: 3G Femtocell Standalone & Integrated Access Point Market
($ million) Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.6: 3G Femtocell Standalone & Integrated Access Point Market ($
million) Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.3.2 Standalone Access Point Market
Figure 6.7: 3G Femtocell Standalone Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.7: 3G Femtocell Standalone Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.3.3 Integrated Access Point Market
Figure 6.8: 3G Femtocell Integrated Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.8: 3G Femtocell Integrated Access Point Market ($ million)
Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.4 3G Femtocell Subscribers
Figure 6.9: 3G Femtocell Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Worst
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.9: 3G Femtocell Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Worst
Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.5 3G Femtocell Service Revenues
6.5.1 Service Revenues by Package Type
Figure 6.10: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by Service
Package Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Figure 6.11: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (Percent) - Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 -
2014
Table 6.10: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (Percent) - Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 -
2014
Figure 6.12: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.11: Femtocell Service: New & Enhanced Services Take-up of
Subscribers (m) - Split by 8 Key Regions Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.12: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by Service Package
Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
6.5.2 Service Revenues by Region
Figure 6.13: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
Table 6.13: Femtocell Service Revenues ($m) - Split by 8 Key Regions
Worst Case Scenario 2009 - 2014
7. Scenario Comparison and Analysis
7.1 3G Femtocell Take-up
Figure 7.1: 3G Femtocell Take-up - % of Residential Broadband
Subscribers Scenario Comparison Global Best Case/Baseline/Worst Case 2009 -
2014
Table 7.1: 3G Femtocell Take-up - % of Residential Broadband Subscribers
Scenario Comparison Global Best Case/Baseline/Worst Case 2009 - 2014
Figure 7.2: 3G Femtocell Take-up - % of Residential Broadband
Subscribers Scenario Comparison Best Case/Baseline/Worst Case Split by 3 Key
Regions 2014
Table 7.2: 3G Femtocell Take-up - % of Residential Broadband Subscribers
Scenario Comparison Best Case/Baseline/Worst Case Split by 3 Key Regions 2014