消費者用市場與企業用市場之LTE行動電話寬頻戰略︰ 元件與晶片組、2009-2014年

消費者用市場與企業用市場之LTE行動電話寬頻戰略︰ 元件與晶片組、2009-2014年 是由出版商Juniper Research在2009年04月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書包含138 pages 價格從美金2470起跳。

目錄

Abstract

This LTE report provides over 50 pages of forecasts including enterprise and consumer subscriber numbers split by 8 key regions, and enterprise and consumer device forecasts for smart phones, laptops, portable games consoles, netbooks, and consumer devices such as cameras and MP3 players.

As well as LTE service revenues based on regional ARPUs, this report also looks at LTE network access method (SIM cards, USB modem dongle, plug-in cards, embedded chipsets) and forecasts when the embedded LTE chipset market will take off.

This new study provides the most detailed assessment of the opportunity for device and component vendors, mobile network operators, consultants, financial analysts and application, content and service providers to maximise revenues in this emerging sector.

• How much service revenue and ARPU will LTE generate by region?
• How many LTE mobile broadband subscribers will there be each year from 2009�E014?
• What will be the split between enterprise and consumer LTE subscribers?
• Which will be the prime regions for LTE deployments?
• What are the trends, drivers and constraints affecting the development of the LTE market?
• How many and what types of devices will be connected to LTE networks in 2014?

• A unique source of combined research & analysis for the LTE mobile broadband marketplace including technologies, market characteristics and forecasts.
• Practical analysis of the emerging opportunities for vendors and operators.
• Unique insight: interviews of leading players with significant experience of the LTE mobile broadband market.
• Benefit from fresh thinking and intelligent market assessment.

Table of Contents

Glossary

Executive Summary

• Introduction
• The Big Picture: Mobile Subscriber Forecasts
• Mobile Broadband Subscribe Forecasts
• LTE Mobile Subscriber Forecast
• LTE Service Revenues Forecast
• LTE Network Access Forecast
• LTE Devices Forecast
• LTE Chipset Annual Shipment Forecast
• Recommendations

1. Mobile Broadband Market Drivers

• 1.1 Personal Connectivity
  • Figure 1.1: Broadband Connectivity Demand Cycle
• 1.2 Economic Growth
  • Figure 1.2: OECD Broadband Penetration and GDP per Capita
• 1.3 Emerging Mobile Youth Generation
  • Figure 1.3: Youth Mobile Requirements Survey Feedback
  • Figure 1.4:Youth Mobile-Next Generation Phones Survey Feedback
• 1.4 New Applications and Services
  • 1.4.1 The Emergence of 3G and Mobile Content
    • Figure 1.5: Evolution of Mobile Applications over Time
    • Figure 1.6: Voice vs. Data ARPU 2008 by Country
    • Figure 1.7: UK Text Messaging Growth - SMS/MMS per quarter (m)
    • Figure 1.8: Global Mobile & Basic 3G Subscribers (m) in 2008 by Region
  • 1.4.2 Growth of Mobile Commerce
    • Figure 1.9: Bank of America Mobile Banking Screens
    • Figure 1.10: mPoria Mobile Web Shopping Portal
  • 1.4.3 Mobile Web 2.0 - Future Applications and Services
  • 1.4.4 Growth of the Mobile Web
    • Figure 1.11 Mobile Internet Users by Region (m) 2009 & 2011
  • 1.4.5 Video iPod Ignites Portable Video Revolution
  • 1.4.6 Impact on Network Traffic
    • Figure 1.12: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast
• 1.5 The Need for Mobility
  • Figure 1.13: Development of Worldwide Connectivity - Fixed, Mobile, PCs & Internet 1997 - 2007
  • Figure 1.14: Microsoft My Phone Screenshot
  • Figure 1.15: Orb Service on a Classic Mobile Browser Interface
• 1.6 LTE Specific Drivers & Inhibitors
• 1.7 LTE Open Issues
  • 1.7.1 Devices
    • i Device Types
      • Figure 1.16: LTE Device Introduction Timeline
    • ii Device Convergence
      • Figure 1.17: Garmin
      • Figure 1.18 Acer Tempo DX 900 Smart Phone
  • 1.7.2 Data Traffic Monetisation
    • Figure 1.19: Data Traffic and Network Profitability Timeline
  • 1.7.3 Spectrum: When and How Much?
    • Figure 1.20: LTE Potential Spectrum Bands
  • 1.7.4 Voice over LTE

2. Mobile Subscribe Market Forecast

• 2.1 Subscribe Forecasting Technique
  • 2.1.1 Methodology
    • Figure 2.1: LTE Market Forecast Methodology
  • 2.1.2 Geographical Splits
  • 2.1.3 Technology Splits
• 2.2 Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast
  • Figure 2.2: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) by 8 Key Regions All Technologies, 2008 - 2014
  • Table 2.1: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) by 8 Key Regions All Technologies, 2008 - 2014
  • Figure 2.3: Global Mobile Subscriber Base, Market Share (%) by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014
  • 2.2.1 North America
    • i. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
    • ii. Market Structure
  • 2.2.2 South America
    • i. Diverse Region
    • ii. Mobile Subscriber Penetration Rates
    • iii. Dominant Technology
    • iv. Players in Region
  • 2.2.3 Western Europe
    • i. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
    • ii. Market Structure
  • 2.2.4 Eastern Europe
    • i. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
  • 2.2.5 Far East & China
    • i. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
  • 2.2.6 Indian Sub Continent
    • i. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
  • 2.2.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
    • i. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
  • 2.2.8 Africa & Middle East
    • i. Market Background
    • ii. Mobile Subscriber Penetration
    • iii. Players
    • iv. ARPU
• 2.3 3G and Mobile Broadband Subscriber Forecast
  • 2.3.1 North America
    • Figure 2.4: North America Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.2: N. America Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/ 3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.2 South America
    • Figure 2.5: South America Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.3: South American Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.3 Western Europe
    • Figure 2.6: Western Europe Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.4: Western Europe Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.4 Eastern Europe
    • Figure 2.7: Eastern Europe Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.5: Eastern Europe Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.5 Far East & China
    • Figure 2.8: Far East & China Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.6: Far East & China Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.6 Indian Sub Continent
    • Figure 2.9: Indian Sub Continent Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.7: Indian Sub Continent Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
    • Figure 2.10: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.8: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.8 Africa & Middle East
    • Figure 2.11: Africa & Middle East Mobile Subscribers(m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.9: Africa & Middle East Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
  • 2.3.9 Global
    • Figure 2.12: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014
    • Table 2.10: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/ 3.9G) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 2.13: Global Mobile Broadband 3.5G/3.9G Subscribers (m) Compared to 2G/2.5G/3G Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014

3. LTE Market Status

• 3.1 TeliaSonera
• 3.2 NTT DoCoMo
  • Figure 3.1: NTT DoCoMo Super 3G (LTE) Timeplan
  • Figure 3.2: NTT DoCoMo Super 3G (LTE) Downlink Performance
• 3.3 Verizon, Vodafone & China Mobile
• 3.4 Telstra
• 3.5 KDDI
• 3.6 Softbank
• 3.7 T-Mobile
• 3.8 China Telecom
• 3.9 SK Telecom
• 3.10 Korea Telecom & KTF
  • Figure 3.3: KTF Network Evolution
• 3.11 Bell Canada & Telus
• 3.12 SmarT one-Vodafone
• 3.13 A T & T Mobility
• 3.14 Further MNOs and Other Network Operators
• 3.15 Conclusion
  • Table 3.1: LTE Development Scorecard by MNO - Trial Dates, Commercial Service Dates Vendors Selected
  • Figure 3.4: Global LTE Development Assessment by MNO

4. LTE Market Forecasts: Subscribers and Revenues

• 4.1 LTE Subscribe Forecast
  • 4.1.1 MNO Strategies
  • 4.1.2 Guidance: Impact of the Downturn
  • 4.1.3 North America
    • Figure 4.1: North America LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.1: North America LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.2: North America LTE, Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.2: North America LTE, Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.1.4 Western Europe
    • Figure 4.3: Western Europe LTE, HSPA and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.3: Western Europe LTE, HSPA and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.4: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.4: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.1.5 Far East & China
    • Figure 4.5: Far East & China LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.5: Far East & China LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.6: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.6: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.1.6 Rest of Asia Pacific
    • Figure 4.7: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.7: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.8: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.1.7 Global
    • Table 4.9: Global LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.10: Global LTE Mobile Subscribers by Region (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.10: Global LTE Mobile Subscribers by 8 Key Regions (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.11: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.11: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
• 4.2 LTE Service Revenues Forecast
  • 4.2.1 ARPU Forecasts
    • Figure 4.12: Enterprise Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009- 2014
    • Table 4.12: Enterprise Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009- 2014
    • Figure 4.13 Consumer Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009- 2014
    • Table 4.13: Consumer Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009- 2014
  • 4.2.2 North America
    • Figure 4.14: North America LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.14: North America LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.2.3 Western Europe
    • Figure 4.15: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.15: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.2.4 Far East & China
    • Figure 4.16: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.16: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.2.5 Rest of Asia Pacific
    • Figure 4.17: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.17: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
  • 4.2.6 Global
    • Figure 4.18: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 4.18: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 4.19: Global LTE Service Revenues ($m) by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009- 2014
    • Table 4.19: Global LTE Service Revenues ($m) by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009- 2014

5. LTE Market Forecasts: Network Access, Devices & Chipsets

• 5.1 LTE Network Access Forecast
  • 5.1.1 LTE Network Access Forecast: Enterprise Subscribers
    • Figure 5.1: LTE Enterprise Subscribers (m), by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.1: LTE Enterprise Subscribers (m), by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 5.2: LTE Enterprise Subscribers (%) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets - Market Segmentation Mix 2010-2014
  • 5.1.2 LTE Network Access Forecast: Consumer Subscribers
    • Figure 5.3: LTE Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.2: LTE Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 5.4: LTE Consumer Subscribers (%) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets - Market Segmentation Mix 2010-2014
  • 5.1.3 LTE Network Access Forecast: Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers
    • Figure 5.5: LTE Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.3: LTE Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 5.6: LTE Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (%) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets - Market Segmentation Mix 2010 -2014
• 5.2 LTE Devices Forecast
  • 5.2.1 Device Types
    • Figure 5.7: LTE Device Introduction Timeline
  • 5.2.2 Mobile Handsets
    • Figure 5.8: Global LTE Handsets Forecast (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.4: Global LTE Handsets Forecast (m) 2009 - 2014
  • 5.2.3 Laptops and Netbooks
    • Figure 5.9: Global LTE Laptops and Netbooks (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.5: Global LTE Laptops and Netbooks (m) 2009 - 2014
  • 5.2.4 Portable Games Consoles
    • Figure 5.10: LTE Enabled Portable Games Consoles (Subscribers m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.6: LTE Enabled Portable Games Consoles (Subscribers m) 2009 - 2014
  • 5.2.5 Digital Cameras, MP3 Players & Other Consumer Devices
    • Figure 5.11: Sony Video Service Rollout Strategy
    • Figure 5.12: LTE Enabled Digital Cameras, MP3 Players & Other Consumer Devices (Subscribers m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.7: LTE Enabled Digital Cameras, MP3 Players & Other Consumer Devices (Subscribers m) 2009 - 2014
  • 5.2.6 Enterprise Device
    • Figure 5.13: LTE Enabled Enterprise Devices by Type (Netbooks, Laptops & Handsets) Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.8: LTE Enabled Enterprise Devices Forecast by Type (Netbooks, Laptops & Handsets) (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 5.14: LTE Enabled Enterprise Devices Market Segmentation Mix (%) by Type (Netbooks, Laptops & Handsets) 2010 - 2014
  • 5.2.7 Consumer Devices
    • Figure 5.15: LTE Enabled Consumer Devices Forecast by Type (Netbooks, Laptops & Handsets) Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.9: LTE Enabled Consumer Devices by Type (Cameras, MP3s, Consumer Devices, Netbooks, Laptops & Handsets) Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 5.16: LTE Enabled Consumer Devices Market Segmentation Mix (%) by Type (Cameras, MP3s, Consumer Devices, Netbooks, Laptops & Handsets) 2010 - 2014
  • 5.2.8 Enterprise and Consumer Devices
    • Figure 5.17: LTE Enabled Enterprise and Consumer Devices by Type (Cameras, MP3s, Consumer Devices, Netbooks, Laptops, Portable Games Consoles & Handsets) Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Table 5.10: LTE Enabled Enterprise and Consumer Devices by Type (Cameras, MP3s, Consumer Devices, Netbooks, Laptops, Portable Games Consoles & Handsets) Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
    • Figure 5.18: LTE Enabled Enterprise and Consumer Devices Market Segmentation Mix (%) by Type (Cameras, MP3s, Consumer Devices, Netbooks, Laptops, Portable Games Consoles & Handsets) 2010 - 2014
• 5.3 LTE Chipsets Forecast
  • 5.3.1 LTE Chipset Availability
  • 5.3.2 LTE Chipset Annual Shipment Forecast
    • Figure 5.19: LTE Enterprise and Consumer Chipset Shipments (m. pa) by Device Type (Embedded, Cards, Dongle & Handset SIM) 2010 - 2014
    • Table 5.11: LTE Enterprise and Consumer Chipset Shipments (m. pa) by Device Type (Embedded, Cards, Dongle & Handset SIM) 2010 - 2014
    • Figure 5.20: LTE Enterprise and Consumer Chipset Shipment Forecast Mix (%) by Device Type (Embedded, Cards, Dongle & Handset SIM) 2010 - 2014
  • 5.3.3 LTE Chipset Pricing Forecast
    • Figure 5.21: LTE Chipset Pricing Forecast ($) 2010 - 2014
    • Table 5.12: LTE Chipset Pricing Forecast ($) 2010 - 2014
  • 5.3.4 LTE Chipset Market Revenue Forecast
    • Figure 5.22: LTE Chipset Revenues ($m. pa) by Device Type (Embedded, Cards, Dongle & Handset SIM) 2010 - 2014
    • Table 5.13: LTE Chipset Revenues ($m. pa) by Device Type (Embedded, Cards, Dongle & Handset SIM) 2010 - 2014

6. LTE Network Vendor Strategies

• 6.1 Alcatel Lucent
• 6.2 Ericsson
  • Figure 6.1: Ericsson Evo RAN
  • Figure 6.2: Ericsson LTE Time Plans
• 6.3 Fujitsu
• 6.4 Huawei
• 6.5 Motorola
• 6.6 NEC
• 6.7 Nokia Siemens Networks
  • Figure 6.3 Nokia Siemens Networks BTS & MME
  • Figure 6.4 Nokia Siemens Networks LTE Solution - SAE Gateway & Management
• 6.8 Nortel Networks
• 6.9 ZTE
  • Figure 6.5 ZTE OneNetwork Solution
• 6.10 LSTI

7. Mobile Broadband - Technologies Primer

• 7.1 WiMAX
  • 7.1.1 OFDM
    • Figure 7.1: OFDM Spectrum
• 7.2 Fixed WiMAX (802.16d -2004)
• 7.3 Mobile WiMAX ( 802.16e-2005)
  • Figure 7.2: Difference between OFDM and OFDMA
  • Table 7.1: Scalable OFDM: Sub Carrier Permutations
• 7.4 Mobile WiMAX ( 802.16m )
  • Figure 7.3: Mobile WiMAX Timeline
• 7.5 Flash OFDM
  • Figure 7.4: Network Layer Architecture for Flash OFDM
• 7.6 UMTS-TDD
• 7.7 HSPA ( High Speed Packet Access)
  • 7.7.1 3GPP Release 5
  • 7.7.2 3GPP Release 6
  • 7.7.3 3GPP Release 7
    • Figure 7.5: HSD PA Performance Improvements
  • 7.7.4 3GPP Release 8 HSPA Evolved (HSPA+)
  • 7.7.5 HSPA Devices
• 7.8 3G LTE ( Long Term Evolution)
  • 7.8.1 3GPP Release 8: LTE & SAE
    • Figure 7.6: LTE Overview
    • Figure 7.7: LTE and SAE System Architecture
    • Figure 7.8: Comparison of LTE and UMTS System Architecture
  • 7.8.2 LTE Advanced
• 7.9 CDMA 1X EVDO & UMB
• 7.10 Duplexing Techniques
  • 7.10.1 FDD (Frequency Division Duplexing)
    • Figure 7.9: Frequency Division Duplexing
  • 7.10.2 TDD (Time Division Duplexing)
    • Figure 7.10: Time Division Duplexing
• 7.11 LTE Technology Comparison
  • Table 7.2: Key Mobile Broadband Technology Parameter Comparisons

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