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市場調查報告書

全球輕型電動車(LEV)產業：2011年∼2021年

Light Electric Vehicles 2011-2021

出版商 IDTechEx Ltd.
出版日期 2011年12月 商品編碼 208505
內容資訊 英文 216 Pages
價格
本報告書已不再販售

本報告已在2012年03月26日停止出版。

更改為出版

全球輕型電動車（LEV）產業：2012年∼2022年
Light Electric Vehicles 2012-2022
出版日期 : 2012年05月
商品編碼: 234991

簡介

所謂全球輕型電動車(LEV)為使用電池及燃料電池等儲能設備，驅動電動馬達之陸地車輛，其輪胎數為二或三個，重量為100kg以下。LEV的重心為運用風門控制速度，並為機車類之電動自行車，今後情形將不會有太大改變，近年電動自行車市場快速成長，預計2025年間銷售台數將達1億3,000萬台。目前雖由大型汽車製造商主導LEV產業，但未來將面對汽車、機車、汽車零件製造商等激烈競爭，亞洲為LEV相關零件之次要供應鏈中心，除了中國、台灣、日本以外，韓國的重要性也越來越高。

本報告為，分析全球LEV市場中，2011年至2021年期間70個以上品牌之銷售台數、車輛價格及總銷售，並匯整阻礙LEV市場成長之負面因素、大型電動機車及殘障人士行動器材等鄰近市場等資訊，以下列摘要形式闡述。

第1章 實施概要及結論

  • 2025年止全球市場之LEV銷售台數預測
  • 價格
  • 市場規模預測
  • 成長預測之根據
    • 競爭及收益性
    • 商業機會
    • 一般先決條件

第2章 簡介

  • LEV之定義
  • LEV產業
    • 台灣及中國
    • 其他國家
    • 過度成本縮編

第3章 LEV必須條件

  • 要求之品質
  • 銷售價格

第4章 LEV之類型及法規

  • 何謂電動自行車
    • 電動助力自行車
    • 電動自行車等類別
    • 殘障人士行動器材
    • 電力輸出限制
    • 主要法規
  • 電動自行車相關之一般用語

第5章 LEV之技術

  • 電池技術：目前多用於LEV之組裝技術
    • SVRLA的強項及弱項
    • 電池包
    • 中國製造之電池包
    • 電源管理及用戶介面
    • 電動馬達控制器
    • 馬達控制
    • 附加零件之功能
    • 中國投幣式充電設備
    • 能量收集
    • 用戶介面
    • 即時數據記錄/報告製作
    • 基礎設施之挑戰及政府鼓勵政策
  • 本領域之主要電池供應商
    • Advanced Battery Technologies（ABAT）：中國
    • Leyden Energy（美國）
    • PowerGenix（美國）
    • ReVolt Technologies Ltd（瑞士）
    • 東芝（日本）

第6章 LEV相關標準及零件產業之趨勢

  • 實施標準化
  • 零件產業之趨勢
  • LEV用電動馬達產業
  • 控制器產業
  • 線束及連接器

第7章 LEV市場、市場成長驅力、預測

  • 地區別市場
    • 中國
    • 日本
    • 印度
    • 歐洲
    • 美國
    • 全球
  • 供應商別市場
  • 所有電動自行車產品化或自行車品牌產品化
    • 美國
    • 歐洲
    • 荷蘭
  • 通路管道
  • 市場預測及成長驅力
  • 市場成長驅力
    • 燃料價格
    • 燃料供應情形
    • 效率
    • 政府鼓勵政策
    • 交通堵塞
    • 停車場混亂
    • 都市化
    • 空氣污染
    • 政府法規
    • 個人責任
    • 總持有成本
    • 高齡化
    • 共同住宅住戶增加
    • 負面因素
    • 馬來西亞等禁止措施

附錄

圖表

目錄

Abstract

“Sales will reach 130 million yearly before 2025, make it one of the world's largest industries”

Description

image1

Written by the world's leading expert on LEVs, with the longest track record, this LEV report looks closely at global trends in their technology, manufacture and market drivers such as legislation. IDTechEx has added forecasts and other material. The analysis is balanced, with negative factors exposed such as several Chinese cities banning or severely restricting LEVs. The LEV industry is growing fast, with greatest strength in China today, but also clearly emerging fast in the rest of the world. Up until the last couple of years, ebike sales were concentrated in China, Japan, and the EU. In the last few years, nearly every nation has bought ebikes from China, and in some cases, the volumes are now significant. Sales will reach 130 million yearly before 2025, make it one of the world's largest industries. The 206 page report encompassing over 70 brands gives forecasts of sales numbers, unit prices and total market value for 2011-2021. 13 market drivers are balanced against many negative factors that are discussed in the report, which has 69 figures and tables and detail on standards and legislation.

LEVs are one of the largest and fastest growing electric vehicle markets. A Light Electric Vehicle LEV is a land vehicle propelled by an electric motor that uses an energy storage device such as a battery or fuel cell, has two or three wheels, and typically weighs less than 100kg. Most LEVs are and will remain ebikes. These are Power on Demand bikes controlled with a throttle. A significant percentage of ebikes sold are scooters in that they have the driver's feet rest on a platform - they are not straddled by the driver.

Today, the LEV industry is dominated by large bicycle companies, due to their access to distribution. We explain why, in the future, these companies will face major competition from, and may be pushed aside by car, motorcycle, and car parts companies. Supply chains for motors, batteries, chassis parts, and nearly every LEV component exist in Asia, primarily in China, Taiwan, Japan, and newly emerging South Korea. We reveal where the highest profits will be obtained in future and the opportunities in components as these change with lithium-ion batteries of several generations and supercapacitors being increasingly employed, for example. The more demanding future technical requirements of users and standards are investigated.

Adjoining sectors are also discussed such as heavy electric motorcycles and the bigger sector of mobility vehicles for the disabled, where ten year forecasts are presented. New crossover vehicles between LEVs and these sectors are presented.

Report Statistics
  • Last update: Dec 2011
  • Forecasts to: 2021
  • Total Number of Pages: 216
  • Total Number of Tables: 16
  • Total Number of Figures: 54
  • Total Number of Case Studies: 70

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

  • 1.1. Forecast for numbers of LEVs sold globally to 2025
  • 1.2. Pricing
  • 1.3. Market value forecast
  • 1.4. Reasons for growth
    • 1.4.1. Competition and profitability
    • 1.4.2. Opportunities
    • 1.4.3. Typical requirement

2. INTRODUCTION TO LIGHT ELECTRIC VEHICLES

  • 2.1. Definition of a light electric vehicle
  • 2.2. The Industry of LEVs
    • 2.2.1. Taiwan and China
    • 2.2.2. Outside Taiwan and China
    • 2.2.3. Too much cost cutting

3. REQUIREMENTS FOR LEVS

  • 3.1. How good does it have to be?
  • 3.2. What retail price?

4. TYPES OF LEV AND REGULATIONS

  • 4.1. What is an electric bicycle?
    • 4.1.1. Pedelec
    • 4.1.2. Power on Demand bikes and other categories
    • 4.1.3. Electric vehicles for disabled and others
    • 4.1.4. Power restriction
    • 4.1.5. Notable regulations
  • 4.2. Universal Technical Terms for Ebikes

5. MOBILITY FOR THE DISABLED - THE SECTOR WITH THE MOST COMPELLING AND ENDURING NEED

  • 5.1. The demographic time-bomb
    • 5.1.1. Ageing population and the dependent elderly
    • 5.1.2. Laws make mobility easier
  • 5.2. Types of mobility vehicle
    • 5.2.1. Growth by new market segments
    • 5.2.2. Interchina Industry Group China
  • 5.3. Market drivers
    • 5.3.1. Geographical distribution
    • 5.3.2. Needs creating new segments
    • 5.3.3. What is driving regional differences?
    • 5.3.4. Zhejiang R&P Industry China
    • 5.3.5. Pride Mobility, USA
  • 5.4. Listing of manufacturers
  • 5.5. Market forecasts 2011-2021
    • 5.5.1. Growth by creating new markets

6. LEV TECHNOLOGIES

  • 6.1. Battery Technology - as currently used in LEVs, on a pack level
    • 6.1.1. SVRLA strengths and weaknesses
    • 6.1.2. Battery packagers
    • 6.1.3. Battery Packs from China
    • 6.1.4. Power management and user interface
    • 6.1.5. Electric motor controller
    • 6.1.6. Motor Controls:
    • 6.1.7. Accessory features:
    • 6.1.8. Chinese Coin Charger
    • 6.1.9. Energy harvesting
    • 6.1.10. User Interface
    • 6.1.11. Real Time Data Logging and Reporting
    • 6.1.12. Infrastructure challenges and Government incentives
  • 6.2. Examples of battery suppliers to this sector
    • 6.2.1. Advanced Battery Technologies (ABAT) China
    • 6.2.2. Leyden Energy USA
    • 6.2.3. PowerGenix USA
    • 6.2.4. ReVolt Technologies Ltd Switzerland
    • 6.2.5. Toshiba Japan

7. LEV STANDARDS AND COMPONENT INDUSTRIAL TRENDS

  • 7.1. Standards Efforts
  • 7.2. Component industry trends
  • 7.3. LEV electric motor industry
  • 7.4. Controller industry
  • 7.5. Wiring harness and connectors

8. LEV MARKETS, MARKET DRIVERS AND FORECASTS

  • 8.1. Markets by territory
    • 8.1.1. China
    • 8.1.2. Japan
    • 8.1.3. India
    • 8.1.4. Europe
    • 8.1.5. USA
    • 8.1.6. Worldwide
  • 8.2. Markets by providers
  • 8.3. Bicycle Brands with ebikes or expected to have ebikes soon:
    • 8.3.1. USA
    • 8.3.2. European Bike Brands
    • 8.3.3. Netherlands brands:
  • 8.4. Channels of distribution
  • 8.5. Market forecasts and drivers
  • 8.6. Drivers of market
    • 8.6.1. Fuel price
    • 8.6.2. Fuel availability
    • 8.6.3. Efficiency
    • 8.6.4. Cost of government subsidy
    • 8.6.5. Traffic congestion
    • 8.6.6. Parking congestion
    • 8.6.7. Urbanization
    • 8.6.8. Air pollution
    • 8.6.9. Government regulation
    • 8.6.10. Personal responsibility
    • 8.6.11. Total cost of ownership
    • 8.6.12. Aging populations
    • 8.6.13. Living in apartments
    • 8.6.14. Negative factors
    • 8.6.15. Bans in Malaysia and elsewhere?

APPENDIX 1: IDTECHEX EV PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY

APPENDIX 2: LISTINGS OF LEV BRANDS, OEMS, COMPONENT MAKERS

APPENDIX 3: ADDITIONAL REGULATORY SUPPORT

TABLES

  • 1.1. LEV number, unit value in dollars ex factory and total global market value 2011-2021
  • 2.1. Prices and performance of electric two wheelers
  • 5.1. Statistics relevant to the challenge to society caused by ageing population
  • 5.2. Evolution of three families of powered vehicles for the disabled
  • 5.3. Evolution of power chairs 1980 to 2010
  • 5.4. Evolution of scooters for the disabled 1980 to 2010
  • 5.5. The continental percentage split of markets for vehicles for the disabled by value in 2010
  • 5.6. The percentage split of market for vehicles for the disabled by country within Europe
  • 5.7. The numbers in thousands of scooters plus power chairs that were and will be sold in Europe 2005 to 2015
  • 5.8. Features of mobility vehicles that may hold up the price by offering more in future
  • 5.9. The percentage distribution of manufacture between Taiwan and Mainland China by value of vehicles for the disabled 2005, 2010 and 2015
  • 5.10. Market for EVs for the disabled by geographical region, ex works pricing and percentage split in 2005, 2010 and 2020
  • 5.11. 82 examples of manufacturers of EVs for the disabled by country
  • 5.12. Global sales of EVs used as mobility aids for the disabled by number, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars, 2011-2021, rounded
  • 8.1. World e-bike sales (Units) estimated for 2007-2010
  • 8.2. Chinese cities banning or restricting electric bikes.

FIGURES

  • 1.1. LEV number in millions 2011-2021
  • 1.2. LEV unit value in dollars ex factory 2011-2021
  • 1.3. LEV total global market value in dollar billions 2011-2021
  • 2.1. Voltitude folding pedelec
  • 2.2. Chinese domestic ebike left and Currie IZ ViaRapido ebike right
  • 2.3. Electric motor scooters in China
  • 2.4. Electric tricycle
  • 2.5. Electric moped by Ultra Motor
  • 2.6. Electric motorcycle by Vectrix
  • 2.7. Electric mini scooters by Currie Technologies
  • 2.8. Segway personal transporter
  • 2.9. 3 wheel LEV with windshield and cover
  • 2.10. The folding Yike Bike from New Zealand
  • 2.11. TriBred electric Trikke patrol vehicle and general purpose version
  • 2.12. Ebike by Ultra Motor A2B
  • 2.13. LEV Shop Window with ebike.
  • 2.14. EU small folding ebike
  • 2.15. Chinese ebike loaded down
  • 2.16. Chinese ebike rider
  • 2.17. Chinese ebike with two riders
  • 2.18. Ebikes used at Chinese factories
  • 2.19. China LEVs at stop light
  • 2.20. Ebike Food Delivery for Papa John's in China
  • 2.21. Ebike food delivery by A2B Ultra Motor
  • 2.22. LEV four wheeler for seniors - a crossover from LEVs to mobility for the disabled
  • 2.23. IBD Bloomfield Bikes Ebike Display in CT USA
  • 3.1. Chinese Repair in the Street
  • 3.2. Chinese Ebike Tire Repair
  • 3.3. Escooter or Ebike?
  • 3.4. Traditional Chinese Ebike
  • 3.5. Optibike USA "The Ferrari of Electric Bikes"
  • 3.6. Small French Folding Ebike
  • 3.7. DK City db0 Ebike
  • 5.1. Percentage of dependent elderly 1970 to 2040
  • 5.2. New Pihsiang Shoprider pure electric mobility vehicle for the disabled
  • 5.3. The Electric Car (INEC-KARO) for the disabled from Interchina Industry Group
  • 5.4. Zhejiang R&P Industry ES 413
  • 5.5. Pride Jazzy - making new things possible
  • 6.1. Battery pack interiors
  • 6.2. Controller by Suzhou Bafang
  • 6.3. Lead Acid Battery Charger by High Power
  • 6.4. Solar parking lot for charging by Sanyo
  • 6.5. User Interface by Gepida
  • 6.6. User Interface by BionX
  • 6.7. UI 1 Photo with phone Interface
  • 6.8. Toshiba e-bike battery
  • 7.1. SVRLA battery sizes by Long
  • 7.2. Transparent battery box
  • 7.3. Innovative Chinese motor
  • 7.4. High speed brushless motor by Bafang
  • 7.5. Typical connector
  • 8.1. Example of China exports to the EU
  • 8.2. Hero Electric of India Flash Ebike 1
  • 8.3. Electric vehicle energy consumption per passenger kilometer with full occupation.
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