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市場調查報告書

LTE:市場藍圖・預測(至2015年)

LTE: the compelling answer? - Roadmap and Forecasts up to 2015

出版商 IDATE
出版日期 2009年07月 商品編碼 92158
內容資訊 英文 75 pages
價格
US $ 3500 PDF by E-mail (1-5 User License)


LTE:市場藍圖・預測(至2015年) 是由出版商IDATE在2009年07月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書包含75 pages 價格從美金3500起跳。

目錄

Abstract

This report provides a complete analysis of the (Long Term Evolution) perspective as the next step towards 4G and real mobile broadband networks. It presents an in-depth analysis of LTE deployment strategies through the elaboration of original cost model. This study presents roadmap scenarios and forecasts up 2015. It also assesses impact of LTE take-up on the overall mobile ecosystem.

Key questions

  • What is the cost of deploying LTE?
  • Which type of operator benefits the most?
  • What are the regulatory constraints for LTE deployment?
  • What are the LTE commercial deployments scheduled by Tier1 operators?
  • How could LTE accelerate the development of new popular solutions such as Mobile VoIP, or FMC?
  • Could LTE accelerate the consolidation of the mobile market?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. The roadmap and forecasts
  • 1.2. Modelling the business cases
  • 1.3. Regulations and technicalities

2. Methodology

  • 2.1. Market assessment and forecasts
  • 2.2. Presentation of LTE deployment model

3. The grand LTE roadmap

  • 3.1. A healthy ecosystem
  • 3.2. Commercial launch scheduled for 2010
  • 3.3. Devices roadmap
  • 3.4. LTE adoption forecasts, by region

4. What is the cost of LTE deployment?

  • 4.1. Scenario of reference: LTE overlay
  • 4.2. Base case results: 2.1 billion EUR over seven years for 50 million population, 75% coverage

5. Which type of operator benefits most?

  • 5.1. LTE: where the integrated operator is winner
  • 5.2. Deployment cost of a greenfield operator

6. LTE: just for urban hotspots, or wider?

  • 6.1. LTE coverage trends
  • 6.2. LTE cost of deployment by population coverage
  • 6.3. Enabling LTE in rural areas: deployment in lower frequency band

7. How to enhance and monetise the service experience: the VoLTE and smart pipe model

  • 7.1. VoIP: LTE set to change operator perceptions
  • 7.2. LTE enhances the mobile experience
  • 7.3. LTE smart pipe: operators leverage their central position

8. Which regulatory constraints for LTE deployment?

  • 8.1. The telecom and Internet regulation review
  • 8.2. Restrictions applied to base stations
  • 8.3. Request for more spectrum, less regulation

9. LTE accelerates the consolidation of the mobile market

  • 9.1. Accelerating the trend towards Fixed Mobile Convergence
  • 9.2. LTE strengthens the case for network sharing
  • 9.3. LTE drives partnerships in the mobile sector

10.LTE spectrum: impact on roadmap and costs

  • 10.1. Potential frequency bands: 2G, 3G bands and more
  • 10.2. FDD vs. TDD: paired spectrum still dominant but TDD operations gaining ground
  • 10.3. Roadmap for awards of LTE spectrum licences
  • 10.4. Cost of LTE frequencies

11.LTE key technological features

  • 11.1. OFDMA and spectrum flexibility
  • 11.2. FDD and TDD convergence
  • 11.3. Evolved Packet Core architecture

Tables & figures

  • Table 1: LTE CapEx for base case scenario
  • Table 2: Selected constraints for LTE deployment in France, Germany, UK and Switzerland
  • Table 3: Estimates of LTE spectrum value in Western Europe
  • Table 4: Area, population and density of base case scenario
  • Table 5: LTE CapEx for base case scenario
  • Table 6: Sensitivity analysis for level of mast sharing
  • Table 7: LTE adoption: advantages and drawbacks for various operator types
  • Table 8: LTE investment for different coverage levels for a deployment in the band 2.6 GHz
  • Table 9: LTE investment for different coverage level for an urban and suburban deployment in the band 2.6 GHz and a rural deployment in the band 790-862 MHz
  • Table 10: Services enhanced by LTE
  • Table 11: Power limits to limit electromagnetic exposure set by the WHO
  • Table 12: Selected constraints for LTE deployment in Germany, UK, France and Switzerland
  • Table 13: The full list of signatories of the GSMA letter
  • Table 14: LTE frequency bands by geographical area
  • Table 15: Main frequency bands for UMTS/HSPA deployment - FDD mode
  • Table 16: Main frequency bands for UMTS/HSPA deployment - TDD mode
  • Table 17: TDD and FDD mode advantages and drawbacks
  • Table 18: Situation of the 2.5-2.69 GHz band
  • Table 19: Date of availability of LTE spectrum
  • Table 20: Swedish 2.6 GHz auctions results
  • Table 21: Summary of US 700 MHz auctions
  • Table 22: Estimates of LTE spectrum value in Western Europe
  • Table 23: Technological comparison of mobile broadband technologies
  • Figure 1: Global LTE adoption forecast (End-2012 to end-2015)
  • Figure 2: Major operators LTE commercial deployment schedule
  • Figure 3: Geographical mapping of early LTE commercial deployment
  • Figure 4: LTE devices roadmap
  • Figure 5: Influence of the Vodafone, China Mobile and Verizon Wireless partnership over LTE ecosystem
  • Figure 6: LTE investment breakdown for base case scenario
  • Figure 7: Options for carrier upgrades to LTE depending on technology deployed
  • Figure 8: Network cost model calculation of RAN elements needed for LTE coverage
  • Figure 9: Equipment vendors supporting the LTSI and/or NGMN Alliance
  • Figure 10: Mobile operators supporting the LTSI and/or NGMN Alliance
  • Figure 11: Major operator LTE commercial deployment schedule
  • Figure 12: Geographical mapping of early LTE commercial deployment
  • Figure 13: LTE devices roadmap
  • Figure 14: Global LTE adoption forecast (End-2012 to end-2015)
  • Figure 15: LTE adoption forecast for Japan and South Korea (End-2012 to end-2015)
  • Figure 16: LTE adoption forecast for China (End-2012 to end-2015)
  • Figure 17: US subscribers by technology
  • Figure 18: LTE adoption forecast for USA (End-2012 to end-2015)
  • Figure 19: LTE adoption forecast for the EU5 and Scandinavia (End-2012 to end-2015)
  • Figure 20: Cumulated population and area in selected European countries
  • Figure 21: Subscribers with LTE-enabled handset
  • Figure 22: Handset mix among subscriber base
  • Figure 23: Global mobile data and mobile Internet monthly traffic, per service type
  • Figure 24: Average monthly usage per subscriber
  • Figure 25: UMTS/HSPA and LTE population coverage over time
  • Figure 26: Backhaul capacity required per cell site
  • Figure 27: Backhaul technology breakdown in 2008
  • Figure 28: LTE investment breakdown for base case scenario
  • Figure 29: Sensitivity of RAN investment to mast sharing level
  • Figure 30: LTE gradual deployment timeline for an average Western Europe MNO
  • Figure 31: LTE RAN investment according to population coverage - 2.6 GHz band
  • Figure 32: Comparison of LTE RAN investment - rural population coverage with 800 MHz and 2.6 GHz spectrum
  • Figure 33: LTE investment per inhabitant for various LTE spectrum scenarios
  • Figure 34: LTE adoption drivers, service innovation and business models
  • Figure 35: VoIP competitiveness compared to MNO offers
  • Figure 36: ARPU trends
  • Figure 37: Power limits applied in Europe
  • Figure 38: The case for 2.6 GHz LTE Femtocells
  • Figure 39: UMTS network and potential sharing
  • Figure 40: Influence of the Vodafone, China Mobile and Verizon Wireless partnership over LTE ecosystem
  • Figure 41: Partnerships between vendors targeting LTE Japanese market
  • Figure 42: Vendors selected by Verizon Wireless for LTE deployment
  • Figure 43: Situation of the 698-960 MHz band after WRC-07
  • Figure 44: TDD and FDD developments
  • Figure 45: Digital dividend timetable in Europe
  • Figure 46: Description of OFDM
  • Figure 47: Options for carrier upgrades to LTE depend on technology deployed
  • Figure 48: FDD and TDD duplex both supported by LTE
  • Figure 49: The simplified LTE architecture
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