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市場調查報告書

LTE(前瞻長程演進)市場·策略

LTE Markets & Strategies

出版商 IDATE
出版日期 2011年12月 商品編碼 227120
內容資訊 英文  
價格
US $ 4900 PDF by E-mail (1-5 User License)


LTE(前瞻長程演進)市場·策略 是由出版商IDATE在2011年12月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書價格從美金4900起跳。

簡介

本報告提供急速增長的LTE(前瞻長程演進)市場最新趨勢及MNO促進LTE(前瞻長程演進)轉移的理由的相關調查,業者發展策略,LTE(前瞻長程演進)網路,技術課題,法規環境,LTE(前瞻長程演進)頻譜的問題,再加上主要企業的差異化策略等分析,包含主要企業的相關案例研究,為您概述為以下內容。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 調查手法

第3章 簡介

第4章 LTE(前瞻長程演進)的批發模式: 高速的轉儲管道?

  • LightSquared (美國)
  • Clearwire (美國)
  • Dish (美國)
  • Yota (俄羅斯)
  • Aero2 (波蘭)
  • Kenya
  • Net4Mobility (瑞典)
  • NBN (澳洲)

第5章 LTE(前瞻長程演進)頻譜:分裂過多?

  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)頻譜:全球的分裂增加
  • 現場模擬的再分配:對LTE(前瞻長程演進)來說的「黃金·頻譜」
  • 換網:為何LTE(前瞻長程演進)1800受到如此關注?
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)頻譜相關的各種各樣的策略

第6章 網路策略·技術課題

  • 技術樣子:LTE(前瞻長程演進)-FDD TD-LTE(前瞻長程演進) 間朝向更加互補性
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)-Advanced:計劃·初期檢驗
  • 2G·3G網路的相互作用
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)上的語音·SMS

第7章 Capex策略

  • 點閱存取革命:小型電池·微型基地台
  • 投資:各主要企業
  • 網絡工作共享,外包服務及批發
  • 回程傳輸的必要性及預測:LTE(前瞻長程演進)回程傳輸促進升級的需求
  • 轉移成本
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)的成本:每個MB數據的Capex + opeCapex + opex

第8章 服務策略

  • 流量預測:MNO實施LTE(前瞻長程演進)必要的時期?
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)價格
  • 北美
  • 亞洲
  • 歐洲
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)服務的差異化·策略

第9章 相關案例研究

  • AT&T
  • Dokomo
  • China Mobile
  • Clearwire
  • LightSquared
  • Orange
  • Telefonica
  • TeliaSonera
  • T-Mobile
  • Verizon Wireless
  • Vodafone
  • 其他企業:Net4Mobility, MetroPCS

第10章 對MNO的結論

  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)契約的總數:2011年∼2015年
  • LTE(前瞻長程演進)轉移的促進因素
  • 未來趨勢

第11章 詞彙

第12章 附錄:LTE(前瞻長程演進)批發模式

圖表

目錄

Abstract

This report provides an overview of the latest trends in the fast growing LTE market and the reasons driving MNOs' migration to LTE. It also analyses operators' roll-out strategies, LTE networks, technical hurdles, the regulatory environment and LTE spectrum issues, in addition to spotlighting the key players' different strategies and what will change with LTE.

Key questions

  • LTE ecosystem is growing fast - TD-LTE is now available commercially. Will it complement LTE FDD? LTE Advanced will arrive sooner than expected - what impact will this have on MNOs' strategies?
  • More than 14 frequency bands are already in use for LTE around the World. How will operators manage LTE spectrum?
  • What mobile CAPEX and strategies can we expect the different operators?
  • How are MNOs making the switch to LTE and how will their LTE strategies differ?
  • Who are the main LTE wholesalers model and how will they position themselves?

This report is an extension of IDATE's LTE Watch Service including:

  • A database covering 40+ countries, 100+ operators and their current deployments and future plans
  • Monthly Insights providing analyses of key LTE events and issues
  • Direct access to lead LTE analysts

Methodology

IDATE's team of consultants and analysts apply methods based on an approach combining:

  • research and validation of data collected in the field;
  • application of tried and trusted industrial and market analysis tools: segmentation, competitive analysis, strategic strengths, modeling, assessment and forecasting;
  • expertise of specialists applying their specific analytical skills and making full use of their professional networks.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. The LTE wholesale model: high-speed dumb-pipes?
  • 1.2. LTE spectrum: already too much fragmentation
  • 1.3. LTE network strategies and technical hurdles
  • 1.4. Capex strategies
  • 1.5. Service strategies for LTE
  • 1.6. Conclusions on LTE strategies

2. Methodology

3. Introduction

4. The LTE wholesale model: high speed dumb-pipes?

  • 4.1. LightSquared (USA)
  • 4.2. Clearwire (USA)
    • 4.2.1. The LTE-Advanced switch
    • 4.2.2. Market development
  • 4.3. Dish (USA)
  • 4.4. Yota (Russia)
  • 4.5. Aero2 (Poland)
  • 4.6. Kenya
  • 4.7. Net4Mobility (Sweden)
  • 4.8. NBN (Australia)
  • 4.9. Summary: Interest is growing in LTE wholesale model

5. LTE spectrum: too much fragmentation?

  • 5.1. LTE spectrum: fragmentation increasing worldwide
    • 5.1.1. New mobile spectrum for LTE deployments
    • 5.1.2. Availability dates for LTE spectrum
    • 5.1.3. Frequency bands for LTE: the fragmentation risk and consequences
  • 5.2. Digital dividend: “golden spectrum” for LTE
  • 5.2.1. Europe
  • 5.2.2. Digital dividend in rest of world
  • 5.3. Refarming - Why is LTE 1800 attracting such strong interest?
  • 5.4. Various strategies regarding spectrum for LTE

6. Network strategy and technical hurdles

  • 6.1. Technology aspects: towards more complementarity between LTE-FDD and TD-LTE
    • 6.1.1. The rise of TD-LTE (FDD and TDD convergence)
    • 6.1.2. WiMAX to TD-LTE migration
  • 6.2. LTE-Advanced: time table and early tests
    • 6.2.1. Tests and early selection by mobile operators
    • 6.2.2. LTE-Advanced: technical characteristics
  • 6.3. Interworking with 2G and 3G networks
    • 6.3.1. General options for operators launching LTE services
    • 6.3.2. 3GPP specifies CS Fallback
  • 6.4. Voice and SMS over LTE
    • 6.4.1. Technological enablers
    • 6.4.2. Roadmap for VoLTE

7. Capex strategies

  • 7.1. The access revolution: small cells and femtocells
    • 7.1.1. Small cells are seen as the inevitable complementary network infrastructures to macrocells to meet the mobile broadband capacity crunch
    • 7.1.2. Network equipment provider pushes small cells
    • 7.1.3. The migration from macro-cells to small cells is under way
    • 7.1.4. Femtocells will be a critical part of LTE network deployments
    • 7.1.5. Multi-RAN adoption
  • 7.2. Investments by major players
    • 7.2.1. Mobile capex slightly on the rise
    • 7.2.2. Several LTE investment approaches
  • 7.3. Network sharing, outsourcing and wholesale
    • 7.3.1. Network outsourcing
    • 7.3.2. Network sharing
  • 7.4. Backhauling needs and implications - LTE is driving need to upgrade backhaul
  • 7.5. Migration costs
  • 7.6. LTE costs: Capex + opex per MB of data
    • 7.6.1. LTE: lowering the cost of capacity
    • 7.6.2. LTE unit cost per MB is declining over years

8. Service strategies

  • 8.1. Traffic forecasts - When do MNOs need to implement LTE?
    • 8.1.1. Mobile traffic growth: 4G usage close to DSL usage
    • 8.1.2. IDATE traffic forecasts
  • 8.2. LTE pricing
  • 8.3. North America
    • 8.3.1. USA
  • 8.4. Asia
    • 8.4.1. Japan
    • 8.4.2. South Korea
    • 8.4.3. Hong Kong
  • 8.5. Europe
    • 8.5.1. Germany
    • 8.5.2. Austria
    • 8.5.3. Sweden
    • 8.5.4. Norway
    • 8.5.5. Finland
    • 8.5.6. Denmark
  • 8.6. LTE Service differentiation and strategies
    • 8.6.1. Rather data-only services at the beginning
    • 8.6.2. Available devices determines the level of service
    • 8.6.3. LTE as a tool against white spots in rural areas

9. Cases studies

  • 9.1. AT&T
    • 9.1.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.1.2. Investments
    • 9.1.3. Spectrum
    • 9.1.4. Devices and services
  • 9.2. DOCOMO
    • 9.2.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.2.2. Investments
    • 9.2.3. Spectrum
    • 9.2.4. Devices and services
  • 9.3. China Mobile
    • 9.3.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.3.2. Investments
    • 9.3.3. Spectrum
    • 9.3.4. Devices and services
  • 9.4. Clearwire
    • 9.4.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.4.2. Investments
    • 9.4.3. Spectrum
    • 9.4.4. Devices and services
  • 9.5. LightSquared: a new comer with a wholesale model
    • 9.5.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.5.2. Investments and agreements
    • 9.5.3. Spectrum
    • 9.5.4. Devices and services
  • 9.6. Orange
    • 9.6.1. Overall presentation
  • 9.7. Telefonica
    • 9.7.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.7.2. Spectrum
    • 9.7.3. Investments and deployments
    • 9.7.4. Devices and services
  • 9.8. TeliaSonera
    • 9.8.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.8.2. Spectrum
    • 9.8.3. Devices and services
  • 9.9. T-Mobile
    • 9.9.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.9.2. Spectrum
    • 9.9.3. Investments and deployments
    • 9.9.4. Devices and services
  • 9.10. Verizon Wireless
    • 9.10.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.10.2. Spectrum
    • 9.10.3. Investments and deployments
    • 9.10.4. Devices and services
  • 9.11. Vodafone
    • 9.11.1. Overall presentation
    • 9.11.2. Spectrum
    • 9.11.3. Investments and deployments
    • 9.11.4. Devices and services
  • 9.12. Other players: Net4Mobility, MetroPCS
    • 9.12.1. Net4Mobility
    • 9.12.2. MetroPCS

10. Conclusions for MNOs

  • 10.1. Total number of LTE subscriptions - 2011-2015
    • 10.1.1. North America
    • 10.1.2. Asia
    • 10.1.3. Europe
    • 10.1.4. Other regions
  • 10.2. The LTE migration drivers
    • 10.2.1. Costs reduction
    • 10.2.2. Gain additional capacity
    • 10.2.3. Increasing ARPU and potential new revenue streams
    • 10.2.4. Provide higher data rates
    • 10.2.5. Competitive pressure
    • 10.2.6. Change technology path
    • 10.2.7. LTE drivers for main LTE operators
    • 10.2.8. National strategies
  • 10.3. Future trends

11. Glossary

12. Annex: LTE wholesale model

  • 12.1. Presentation of LTE deployment model
  • 12.2. What is the cost of LTE deployment?
    • 12.2.1. Setting
    • 12.2.2. Base case results: EUR 5.9 billion Capex over the 2012-2022 period

Tables

  • Table 1: Main LTE frequency bands by geographical area
  • Table 2: LTE commercial networks
  • Table 3: LightSquared and GPS frequency bands
  • Table 4: Pre-launch agreements reached by LightSquared
  • Table 5: Agreements reached by new Clearwire
  • Table 6: LTE wholesale and sharing agreements
  • Table 7: Main LTE frequency bands by geographical area
  • Table 8: Early LTE launches (September 2011)
  • Table 9: Main characteristics of frequency bands for LTE
  • Table 10: Availability dates of LTE spectrum
  • Table 11: Most likely bands for LTE international roaming
  • Table 12: Use of frequency bands by LTE device type
  • Table 13: Digital dividend timetable in Europe
  • Table 14: Digital dividend timetable outside Europe
  • Table 15: State of LTE 1800 deployments and trials (as of September 2011)
  • Table 16: Technical aspects associated to LTE 1800
  • Table 17: Main TDD and FDD bands
  • Table 18: TDD and FDD mode advantages and drawbacks
  • Table 19: TD-LTE adoption
  • Table 20: Mobile WiMAX to TD-LTE migration plans
  • Table 21: LTE-Advanced performances
  • Table 22: LTE fallback schemes
  • Table 23: Base station shipments estimates
  • Table 24: Potential gains and risks of network outsourcing
  • Table 25: Benefits and risks of passive mobile sharing
  • Table 26: Benefits and risks of active mobile sharing
  • Table 27: Elements of potential savings to reduce network costs for a LTE network
  • Table 28: Network capacity units
  • Table 29: Verizon Wireless rates
  • Table 30: AT&T rates
  • Table 31: Clear rates
  • Table 32: Rover rates
  • Table 33: Sprint 4G device portfolio
  • Table 34: NTT DOCOMO Xi rates
  • Table 35: UQ Communications rates
  • Table 36: Current major data rates
  • Table 37: LG U+ LTE plans
  • Table 38: SK Telecom LTE plans
  • Table 39: CSL LTE data plans
  • Table 40: Telia rates
  • Table 41: Telenor LTE rates
  • Table 42: Sonera rates - Finland
  • Table 43: TeliaSonera rates - Denmark
  • Table 44: AT&T data-only rates
  • Table 45: AT&T smartphone data rates
  • Table 46: NTT DOCOMO Xi rates
  • Table 47: Clear rates
  • Table 48: Rover rates
  • Table 49: Telia rates
  • Table 50: Telenor LTE rates
  • Table 51: Sonera rates - Finland
  • Table 52: TeliaSonera rates - Denmark
  • Table 53: Verizon Wireless rates
  • Table 54: MetroPCS rates
  • Table 55: ‘National’ LTE drivers
  • Table 56: Area, population and density of base case scenario
  • Table 57: Sensitivity analysis

Figures

  • Figure 1: LTE wholesale players
  • Figure 2: Mobile voice and data traffic 2010-2020
  • Figure 3: LTE subscribers' forecasts
  • Figure 4: Main LTE commercial networks
  • Figure 5: LTE wholesale players
  • Figure 6: Timetable for LTE spectrum in Western Europe
  • Figure 7: CSL spectrum holdings in Hong Kong
  • Figure 8: The 1800 MHz frequency band
  • Figure 9: Site coverage in suburban areas
  • Figure 10: Selected operator spectrum strategies
  • Figure 11: Migration paths to TD-LTE
  • Figure 12: LTE-Advanced experiment
  • Figure 13: New features in LTE-Advanced
  • Figure 14: LTE deployment scenario of NTT DOCOMO
  • Figure 15: Moving multimode User Equipment (UE) in the network
  • Figure 16: LG U+ core network evolution
  • Figure 17: CS Fallback architecture
  • Figure 18: Voice over IMS
  • Figure 19: The Alcatel-Lucent LightRadio
  • Figure 20: NTT DOCOMO RAN architecture evolution with Remote Radio Head
  • Figure 21: Femtocells operator commitments and deployments
  • Figure 22: Comparative power consumption of the NEC 3G and LTE base stations
  • Figure 23: Comparison of cost between SingleRAN and non SingleRAN
  • Figure 24: MNOs capex in value and in growth rate, 2006-2010
  • Figure 25: Hybrid Terrestrial /satellite wireless network
  • Figure 26: Capital expenditure phasing
  • Figure 27: Evolving trends in TeliaSonera capex 2006-2010
  • Figure 28: NTT DOCOMO LTE capex plan, 2010-2015
  • Figure 29: Verizon rapid national rollout
  • Figure 30: Comparative network outsourcing scope
  • Figure 31: Passive sharing
  • Figure 32: Active sharing
  • Figure 33: Theoretical backhaul capacity and radio capacity requirements
  • Figure 34: LTE capex lower than current mobile capex
  • Figure 35: Potential costs savings for a typical MNO in developed markets (brownfield case)
  • Figure 36: Comparison of performance and cost for today and LTE networks
  • Figure 37: LTE increases capacity while lowering cost per MB
  • Figure 38: Capex and opex per MB, eurocents (EUR), 2010-2015
  • Figure 39: Mobile traffic usage is getting close to DSL
  • Figure 40: Average mobile monthly traffic consumption per user observed in 2010
  • Figure 41: Mobile voice and data traffic 2010-2020
  • Figure 42: Mobile traffic enablers and rating trends
  • Figure 43: NTT DOCOMO Xi rates (commercial launch)
  • Figure 44: Number of bands used for each RAN technology in FDD mode
  • Figure 45: Comparison between LTE network deployments in frequency bands and devices available
  • Figure 46: LTE WLAN router and LTE modem for Vodafone LTE Zuhause service
  • Figure 47: My Ford Mobile App presented at the CTIA Wireless 2011
  • Figure 48: SK Telecom plans for future LTE services
  • Figure 49: T-Mobile's LTE devices
  • Figure 50: Vodafone Germany LTE Zuhause devices
  • Figure 51: Net4mobility deployment plans
  • Figure 52: MetroPCS initial LTE coverage
  • Figure 53: LTE subscriber forecasts
  • Figure 54: LTE drivers for MNOs
  • Figure 55: Selected operators strategic positioning
  • Figure 56: Basic requirements for mass market adoption of LTE
  • Figure 57: Network cost model calculation of RAN elements needed for LTE coverage
  • Figure 58: Cumulated population and area in selected European countries
  • Figure 59: Subscribers with LTE-enabled handset
  • Figure 60: LTE population coverage over time
  • Figure 61: LTE CapEx for base case scenario
  • Figure 62: LTE investment breakdown for base case scenario
  • Figure 63: Base case economics
  • Figure 64 : Economics with 70% backhaul to RAN Capex ratio
  • Figure 65: Economics with 50% RAN sharing
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