ABSTRACT
IEMR's Eastern Europe Mobile Operator Forecast is the most comprehensive forecast of its kind in the world. This report provides operational and financial metrics for wireless markets across the region and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2016. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 3Q2003 and ending in 4Q2014. Our forecast contains separate data for each country and their mobile operators. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.
By purchasing this report, you will receive an Excel file with 48 datasheets of operational and financial metrics such as post-paid subscribers, prepaid subscribers, subscriber growth, net subscriber adds, monthly churn, monthly ARPU, ARPU growth, data ARPU, MOU per subscriber, service revenue, EBITDA and CAPEX.
In this regional report, each datasheet covers 121 mobile operators in 29 countries. It is the most extensive company-specific and country-specific forecast of its kind.
Countries Covered in this Global Mobile Operator Forecast
- Albania
- Armenia
- Azerbaijan
- Belarus
- Bosnia Herzegovina
- Bulgaria
- Croatia
- Czech Republic
- Estonia
- Georgia
- Hungary
- Kazakhstan
- Kyrgyzstan
- Kosovo
- Latvia
- Lithuania
- Macedonia
- Moldova
- Montenegro
- Poland
- Romania
- Russia
- Serbia
- Slovakia
- Slovenia
- Tadjikistan
- Turkmenistan
- Ukraine
- Uzbekistan
- Companies Covered in each of the Regional Mobile Operator Forecasts
- Albania
AMC (Albanian Mobile Communications)
Vodafone Albania (Vodafone Plc)
ArmenTel (BeeLine)
K-Telecom CJSC (VivaCell-MTS)
Orange Armenia (France Telecom S.A.)
- Azerbaijan
- Azercell Telecom LLC
Azerfon LLC (NAR Mobile)
Catel (Caspian American Telecom LLC)
Diallog (Belcel JV)
Life:) Turkcell (BeST - Belarusian Telecommunications Network CJSC)
MTS (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC)
Velcom (FE VELCOM)
BH Telecom d.d Sarajevo (GSM BiH)
Eronet (HT Mostar)
M:tel (Telekom Srpske JSC Banjaluka)
GLOBUL (Cosmo Bulgaria Mobile EAD)
M-Tel (Mobiltel EAD)
Vivacom (Bulgarian Telecommunications Company)
Tele2 Croatia (Tele2 AB)
T-Mobile Croatia (Deutsche Telekom AG)
- VIPnet d.o.o.
- Czech Republic
MobilKom, a.s. (U:fon)
- Telefonica O2 Czech Republic a.s.
- T-Mobile Czech Republic a.s.
- Vodafone Czech Republic a.s.
- Estonia
Elisa Estonia (Elisa Eesti AS)
EMT Estonia (AS EMT)
Tele2 Estonia (Tele2 Eesti AS)
- Televorgu AS
- Georgia
- A-Mobile
- Aquafon
- Geocell LLC
- MagtiCom Ltd.
Mobitel Georgia (BeeLine)
Telenor Hungary Ltd. (Pannon)
T-Mobile Hungary (Magyar Telekom Nyrt.)
Vodafone Hungary (Vodafone Group Plc)
Altel (Dalacom)
Kar-Tel LLP (BeeLine)
Kcell (GSM Kazakhstan OJSC Kazakhtelecom LLP)
Tele2 Kazakhstan (Mobile Telecom Service LLP)
- Kosovo
- IPKO Telecommunications LLC
Vala (Post and Telecom of Kosovo)
AkTel (Fonex)
MegaCom (Alfa Telecom Joint Stock Company)
NUR Telecom LLC (O!)
Sky Mobile LLC (BeeLine) (BITEL)
Bite Latvia (BITE Group)
LMT (Latvijas Mobilais Telefons)
Tele2 Latvia (Tele2 AB)
Triatel (AS Telekom Baltija)
Bite Lithuania (BITE Group)
Omnitel (TeliaSonera Group)
Tele2 Lithuania (Tele2 AB)
ONE Stock Company Skopje (Cosmofon)
T-Mobile Macedonia (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Vip operator DOOEL Skopje (Telekom Austria Group)
Eventis Mobile (licence suspended in 2010)
- InterDnestrCom
- Moldcell S.A.
Moldtelecom S.A. (Unite)
Orange Moldova (France Telecom S.A.)
MTEL (Drustvo za telekomunikacije m:tel d.o.o.)
Telenor Montenegro (Telenor ASA)
T-Mobile Montenegro (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Orange Polska (PTK Centertel)
Play (Novator)
Polkomtel S.A. (Plus)
PTC (T-Mobile International AG) (Era)
Cosmote Romania (Cosmote Mobile Telecommunications S.A.)
Orange Romania (France Telecom S.A.)
RCS&RDS SA (Digi.Mobil)
Telemobil S.A. (Zapp Mobile)
Vodafone Romania (Vodafone Group)
MegaFon OJSC (MegaFon)
Mobile TeleSystems OJSC (MTS)
New Telephone Company (Novaya Telefonnaya Companiya)
- Nizhegorodskaya Cellular Communications
- OJSC Rostelecom
- Sibirtelecom JSC
- SkyLink
Smarts (PJSC SMARTS)
- Tele2
- Uralsvyazinform JSC
Vimpel-Communications (VimpelCom)
Telekom Srbija (MT:S) (Preduzece za telekomunikacije Telekom Srbija a.d.)
Telenor Serbia (Telenor d.o.o.)
- Vip mobile d.o.o.
- Slovakia
Orange Slovensko (France Telecom S.A.)
- Telefonica O2 Slovakia Limited
T-Mobile Slovak Republic (Deutsche Telekom AG)
Mobitel Slovenia (Mobitel, d.d.)
- Si.mobil d.d.
- Tusmobil d.o.o.
- Tadjikistan
Babilon Mobile (CJSC Babilon-Mobile)
Indigo-Somoncom (CSJC Indigo Tajikistan)
- M.Teko
- Somoncom
- Tacom LLC
- TK Mobile
- TT Mobile
- Turkmenistan
MTS Turkmenistan (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC)
TM Cell (Altyn Asyr MC)
Astelit LLC (life:))
JSC Ukrtelecom (Utel)
MTS-Ukraine (UMC)
Telesystems of Ukraine (PEOPLEnet)
VimpelCom (Beeline) (URS)
MTS-Uzbekistan (Mobile TeleSystems OJSC) (Uzdunrobita)
Rubicon Wireless Communications (Perfectum Mobile)
Ucell (Coscom)
Unitel Uzbekistan (Beeline)
- UzMobile
- Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2003-CY 2016. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: June 2003 - September 2014
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Subscribers (000)
Subscriber growth (YoY %)
Net subscriber adds (000)
Net subscriber adds growth (YoY %)
Monthly churn (%)
Post-paid subscribers (000)
Post-paid subcriber growth (YoY %)
Prepaid subcribers (000)
Prepaid subscriber growth (YoY %)
- Post-paid % of total subs
- Prepaid/wsl % of total subs
Post-paid net adds (000)
Post-paid adds growth (YoY %)
Prepaid/wsl net adds (000)
Prepaid/wsl adds growth (YoY %)
Monthly ARPU (USD)
ARPU growth (YoY %)
- Data % of service revenues
Monthly data ARPU (USD)
Data ARPU growth (YoY %)
Monthly voice ARPU (USD)
Voice ARPU growth (YoY %)
Voice rev per minute (USD)
Voice RPM growth (YoY %)
MOU per sub (mins/month)
MOU/sub growth (YoY %)
- Share of total subscribers
- Share of net adds
- Share of post-paid net adds
- Share of prepaid/wsl net adds
- Share of service revenue
YoY change in revenue share (bps)
Reported revenue (USD mn)
Reported revenue growth (YoY %)
Service revenue (USD mn)
Service revenue growth (YoY %)
EBITDA (USD mn)
EBITDA growth (YoY %)
Capex (USD mn)
Capex growth (YoY %)
- EBITDA / reported revenue
- EBITDA / service revenue
- Incr EBITDA / Incr service rev
- Capex / reported revenue
- Capex / service revenue
- (EBITDA-capex) / reported revenue
- (EBITDA-capex) / service revenue
EBITDA margin expansion/contraction (bps)
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