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市場調查報告書

全球公共事業市場預測(2017年)

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Utilities 2017 Predictions

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 345101
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 18 Pages
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全球公共事業市場預測(2017年) IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Utilities 2017 Predictions
出版日期: 2016年11月02日 內容資訊: 英文 18 Pages
簡介

本報告提供全球公共事業市場相關調查分析,彙整透過10個預測之2017年市場預測相關考察。

第1章 IDC FutureScape價值

第2章 摘要整理

第3章 IDC FutureScape的預測

  • 外部推動因素的摘要
  • 預測:技術買主的建議
    • 預測1:到2020年,非公用事業公司和數位顛覆者(Digital Disruptors)將佔能源零售市場的20%,使得Thrivers和Survivors之間的收益率差3倍
    • 預測2:到2020年,50%的競爭市場能源供應商將轉變為“便捷生活方式”提供商
    • 預測3:到2020年,2.5GW的電力將來自20%財星雜誌全球500大公司──這些透過公共事業獨立子公司來批發剩餘DER的公司所生產
    • 預測4:到2019年,70%的行動公共事業工作員將因未配備AR和可穿戴設備,而錯失優化運營,提高安全性的機會,無法緩解技能差距
    • 預測5:到2020年,25%的公用事業將整合資產績效管理投資與傳感器數據和認知能力,提高資產效率和降低維護成本
    • 預測6:到2019年,公用事業將需要學習如何集成外部來源的資產,市場和網格數據,30%將投資分佈式能源資源管理系統
    • 預測7:無法提供出色的客戶體驗,2018年只有1/5的公用事業將提高客戶滿意度分數10%或到提升NPS
    • 預測8:到2018年,60%的公用事業策略和營運相關之安全技術將在董事會層面管理,並由政府機構加以調整
    • 預測9:到2018年,50%的智能計量物聯網計劃將因管理法規不足與商業模式不夠完善而在試驗階段前就失敗
    • 預測10:到2019年,為了支援數位化轉型計劃,25%的主要100家公用事業公司將IT成本降低至少30%,將IT基礎設施轉移到公共雲端

第4章 給技術買主的建議

第5章 外部推動因素:詳細內容

第6章 參考資料

  • 相關調查

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目錄
Product Code: EMEA40123816

The traditional utility business model is broken, the pace of decarbonization is accelerating, and distributed generation is on the rise. At the same time, technology and the overall business environment are changing at a tremendous speed, which will only hasten. This IDC study contains the outlook of IDC Energy Insights' analyst team for the worldwide utility industry for 2017, as well as the planning horizon for the next 24 months and beyond. The outlook is presented through the lens of the 10 predictions that make up, in IDC Energy Insights' view, the framework for IT and line-of-business (LOB) decision makers and influencers' technology-related initiatives in the year ahead (see Figure 1).IDC Energy Insights' top 10 predictions for worldwide utilities for 2017 are:Competition. By 2020, non-utility companies and digital disrupters will seize 20% of the energy retail market, tripling the profitability gap between thrivers and survivors.Business models. By 2020, 50% of competitive-market energy providers will drive their revenues by transforming into "convenient lifestyle" providers.Power markets. By 2020, 2.5GW of electricity will be generated by 20% of Fortune G500 companies who will wholesale their distributed energy resource (DER) excess power through utility-independent subsidiaries.Workforce digital augmentation. By 2019, 70% of the mobile utility workforce will not be equipped with augmented reality and wearables, missing out on optimizing operations, improving safety, and easing skills gap.Asset digitization. By 2020, 25% of utilities will integrate asset performance management investments with sensor data and cognitive capabilities, boosting asset efficiency and reducing maintenance costs.Distributed energy resource management systems (DERMS). By 2019, utilities will need to learn how to integrate externally originated asset, market and grids data and 30% will invest in distributed energy resource management systems.Customer experience (CX). Failing to deliver superior customer experiences, only 1 in 5 utilities will raise customer satisfaction scores by 10% or reach positive net promoter score (NPS) by 2018.Cybersecurity. By 2018, 60% of a utilities' strategic and operational security technology will be managed at the board level and orchestrated by government agencies.Internet of Things (IoT). By 2018, misaligned regulatory frameworks and poorly considered commercial models will cause 50% of smart metering IoT initiatives to fail to deliver value beyond the pilot stage.Cloud. By 2019, to support their digital transformation agenda, 25% of top 100 utilities will cut IT costs by at least 30% by migrating IT infrastructure into public cloud."Utilities' traditional business models are under attack, directly and indirectly," said Roberta Bigliani, associate vice president, IDC Energy Insights. "Utilities are racing to reinvent their roles and have started a profound transformation journey. The industry will be reborn in 3D: decentralized, divergent, and digital."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: By 2020, Non-Utility Companies and Digital Disrupters Will Seize 20% of the Energy Retail Market, Tripling the Profitability Gap Between Thrivers and Survivors
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: By 2020, 50% of Competitive-Market Energy Providers Will Drive Their Revenue by Transforming into "Convenient Lifestyle" Providers
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2020, 2.5GW of Electricity will be Generated by 20% of Fortune G500 Companies Who Will Wholesale Their DER Excess Power Through Utility-Independent Subsidiaries
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: By 2019, 70% of the Mobile Utility Workforce Will Not Be Equipped with Augmented Reality and Wearables, Missing Out on Optimizing Operations, Improving Safety, and Easing Skills Gap
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2020, 25% of utilities Will Integrate Asset Performance Management Investments with Sensor Data and Cognitive Capabilities, Boosting Asset Efficiency and Reducing Maintenance Costs
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: By 2019, Utilities Will Need to Learn How to Integrate Externally Originated Asset, Market, and Grids Data, and 30% Will Invest in Distributed Energy Resource Management Systems
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: Failing to Deliver Superior Customer Experiences, only 1 in 5 Utilities Will Raise Customer Satisfaction Scores by 10% or Reach Positive NPS by 2018
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2018, 60% of Utilities' Strategic and Operational Security Technology Will Be Managed at the Board Level and Orchestrated by Government Agencies
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2018, Misaligned Regulatory Frameworks and Poorly Considered Commercial Models Will Cause 50% Of Smart Metering IoT Initiatives to Fail to Deliver Value Beyond the Pilot Stage
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2019, to Support Their Digital Transformation Agenda, 25% of Top 100 Utilities Will Cut IT Costs by at Least 30% by Migrating IT Infrastructure into Public Cloud
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Energy's New Normal: Decarbonized, Decentralized, and Redistributed
  • DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
  • Shifting Economics: Data as Digital Capital
  • Talent Crunch: Global Demand for Digital Workers
  • Innovation Impasse: Systems of Record Constrain Evolution
  • Platform Economy: The Ecosystem Battle for Scale
  • Disruptive Fault Lines: Security, Privacy, and Regulation

Learn More

  • Related Research
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