Cover Image
市場調查報告書

IDC FutureScape:全球國家安全保障·治安的預測 (2017年)

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Security and Public Safety 2017 Predictions

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 345094
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 16 Pages
訂單完成後即時交付
價格
Back to Top
IDC FutureScape:全球國家安全保障·治安的預測 (2017年) IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Security and Public Safety 2017 Predictions
出版日期: 2016年11月10日 內容資訊: 英文 16 Pages
簡介

本報告使用IDC FutureScape模式,提供國家安全保障·治安的10大預測相關之系統性資訊。

IDC FutureScape價值

摘要整理

IDC FutureScape的預測

  • 外部的推動因素的摘要
  • 預測:對技術買主的影響
    • 預測1:國家將在網絡人口採用認知/ AI到2020年,國家將使用認知/ AI技術自動化防禦和進攻性網絡操作,並管理至少35%的低級別網絡活動與認知/ AI
    • 預測2:駭客入侵 - 到2020年,超過33%的國家級駭客攻擊將由自由駭客進行
    • 預測3:預算限制了很多人的安全 - 2017年,70%的政府安全預算將花費在傳統IT上,因為下一代安全投資受到經濟波動,技能差距和傳統IT挑戰的限制
    • 預測4:猖獗的風險增加 - 受到社交媒體和行動app的影響,偽造身份,反壟斷,網絡釣魚詐騙和物理傷害的風險將在2018年前急速上升
    • 預測5:誰是朋友誰是敵人 - 所有G20國家在2019年前將必須強化身分背景調查、提高認證評估方法和持續監測員工
    • 預測6:智能城市維繫國家安全 - 到2020年,50%被idc評比成熟度到達「Repeatable」的智慧城市,將把信息收集整合到國家安全工作中
    • 預測7:到2020年,60%的國家將制定網絡安全政策,至少30%的國家更將鎖定官員級所用的網絡安全
    • 預測8:加密瀕危 - 到2020年,25%的國家將通過或將試圖通過限制公共加密技術的訪問和能力的法規
    • 預測9:保護分佈式數據 - 到2020年,45%的政府將轉向使用像DRM和塊環鏈這樣的新技術來保護數據
    • 預測10:透過其他手段的外交 - 到2019年,屬於較小國家的網絡攻擊將由北韓之類的國家所取代

給技術買主的建議

外部的推動因素:詳細內容

參考資料

  • 相關調查

本網頁內容可能與最新版本有所差異。詳細情況請與我們聯繫。

目錄
Product Code: US41802817

This IDC study provides IDC's top 10 predictions across the national security and public safety space."The digital threat landscape is changing, and governments are struggling to protect programs, data, and even citizens from the emerging digital threats," says Alan Webber, research director for IDC's National Security program.

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: Nation States Employ Cognitive/AI on the Cyberfront - By 2020, Nation States Will Automate Defensive and Offensive Cyberoperations Using Cognitive/AI Technologies and Manage at Least 35% of Low-Level Cyberactivities with Cognitive/AI
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: Hacking for Hire - By 2020, More than 33% of Attributable Nation State Hack Attacks Will Be Perpetrated by a Freelance Hacker
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: Budget Restricts Security for Many - In 2017, 70% of Government Security Budgets Will Be Spent on Traditional IT as Next-Gen Security Investments Are Limited by Economic Volatility, Skills Gaps, and Legacy IT Challenges
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: Rampant Risk Growth - Risks for Identity Fraud, Ransomware, Phishing Scams, and Physical Harm Will Rise by 2018 as Social Media and Mobile Apps Like Pokemon GO Cater to Groups Lacking Cybersecurity Literacy
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: Who's Friend and Who's Foe - Exposure to More Inherent Risks in Enhanced Security Programs Will Require All G20 Countries to Implement Heightened Background Checks, Improved Accreditation Methods, and Continuous Monitoring of Employees by 2019
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: Smart Cities Support National Security - By 2020, 50% of Smart Cities Classified at the Repeatable Level of the IDC Smart City Maturity Model Will Integrate Information Collection into National Security Efforts
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: National Governments Formalize Cybersecurity Efforts - By 2020, 80% of Nation States Will Have a Stated Cybersecurity Policy, and at Least 30% Will Have Cabinet-Level Positions Focused Solely on Cybersecurity
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: Encryption Becomes Endangered - By 2020, 25% of Countries Will Have Passed or Will Have Tried to Pass Regulations Limiting Access to and the Capabilities of Public Encryption Technologies
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: Protecting Distributed Data - By 2020, 45% of Governments Will Turn to New Technologies Like DRM and Blockchain to Protect Data as Distribution Increases
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: Diplomacy by Other Means - By 2019, Cyberattacks Attributed to Smaller Nations Will Double as Countries Like North Korea, Lacking Significant Kinetic Warfare Capabilities, Use It to Level the Diplomatic Playing Field
      • Associated Drivers
      • Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
  • Everything, Everywhere: The Rise of Computer-Based Intelligence
  • Disruptive Fault Lines: Security, Privacy, and Regulation
  • Talent Crunch: Global Demand for Digital Workers
  • Platform Economy: The Ecosystem Battle for Scale
  • Innovation Impasse: Systems of Record Constrain Evolution
  • Connected Conflict: Convergence of Technology and Privacy
  • Global Volatility: Competition, Power, and Risk

Learn More

  • Related Research
Back to Top