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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2017-2021: June 2017

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 341116
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 22 Pages
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行動電話的全球市場預測:2016年∼2020年 Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2017-2021: June 2017
出版日期: 2017年06月23日 內容資訊: 英文 22 Pages

全球行動電話市場,2016年的出貨量預計達約19億5080萬台,這從2015年的19億8080萬台減少1.5%左右。從2015年到2020年的全球行動電話的出貨量的年複合成長率 (CAGR)預計為 1%。





  • 成本
  • 新的市場開拓
  • 忍耐現狀,期待未來


  • 行動電話的全球市場預測
  • 行動電話的全球市場預測:各地區
  • 行動電話市場預測:各終端類型
    • 功能型手機
    • 智慧型手機
  • 行動電話市場預測:各無線傳輸介面
    • CDMA
    • GSM
    • 4G
  • 行動電話的全球市場預測:各ASP


  • 成長因素與阻礙成長要素
    • 成長因素
      • 通訊產業
      • 4G網路的擴大
      • 行動電話的價格
    • 阻礙成長要素
      • 經濟
      • 更換率
  • 重大的市場開發
  • 上次預測後的變更點


  • 功能型手機
  • 智慧型手機




Product Code: US42776217
This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device vendors. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,981.2 million unit shipments in 2017, up slightly 0.4% from the 1,972.6 million units shipped in 2016. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,992.5 million units worldwide, resulting in a CAGR of 0.2% for 2016-2021."This year will bring minimal growth to the total mobile phone market as we expect a continuing decrease in feature phone shipments offset by a mild 3% growth in smartphones," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Despite the expected slow total growth in 2017, the first quarter of 2017 did show positive signs in terms of smartphone growth. The traditional slow post-holiday quarter brought a healthy 3.4% growth compared with a -1% growth in the first quarter of 2016. We expect smartphone growth to improve above 3% at an average of just under 3.5% growth each year until 2021, the end of our forecast period."

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • Feature Phones Owners Continue to Jump Ship
  • Cost Is Still a Deciding Factor
  • Build Quality

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2016-2021
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
    • Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
      • Feature Phones
      • Smartphones
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface Group
      • CDMA
      • GSM
      • UMTS/WCDMA
      • 4G
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • Component Costs
      • 4G Network Expansion
      • Handset Pricing
    • Inhibitors
      • Exchange Rates
      • Economy
  • Significant Market Developments
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone


  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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