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市場調查報告書

智慧型手機的全球市場預測

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2016-2020: December 2016

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 341115
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 20 Pages
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智慧型手機的全球市場預測 Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2016-2020: December 2016
出版日期: 2016年12月16日 內容資訊: 英文 20 Pages
簡介

全球智慧型手機市場,預期2016年出貨總數達到14億8,000萬台,至2020年出貨總數達到18億4,000萬台,預計以年複合成長率5.0%的成長。

本報告提供全球智慧型手機市場相關調查分析,出貨台數 (各設備供應商) 相關最新的5年預測之系統性資訊。

IDC的市場預測圖

摘要整理

技術供應商的建議

  • 革新今後也必需
  • 主力設備平板手機
  • 流通與資金籌措的變化

市場預測

  • 預測:各作業系統
    • Android
    • BlackBerry OS
    • Firefox
    • iOS
    • Sailfish
    • Symbian
    • Tizen
    • Windows Phone
  • 預測比較:智慧型手機 vs. 功能型手機
    • 功能型手機
    • 智慧型手機
  • 預測:各地區
  • 智慧型手機的ASP預測

市場背景

  • 推動因素及阻礙因素
    • 推動因素
    • 阻礙因素
  • 重要的市場趨勢
  • 上次預測後的變更

市場定義

調查手法

相關調查

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目錄
Product Code: US42060116
This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by device vendor. The worldwide smartphone market will reach a total of 1.45 billion units shipped in 2016, up 0.6% from the 1.44 billion units shipped in 2015. From there, shipments will reach 1.71 billion units in 2020, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 3.5%."The third quarter of 2016 has brought minimal year-over-year growth compared with 3Q15, as many mature markets witnessed a continued slowdown in the upgrade cycle," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Despite the launch of a new iPhone and comparable Android flagships, consumers within these markets could be holding off for a more revolutionary upgrade come 2017. We are projecting a return to growth in 2017 as Apple alone will bounce back to 5.4% growth, thanks to highly anticipated hardware in the fall. Android will also display moderate growth, at 3.5%, as we expect a plethora of phablets (both high end and low end) to drive volume across most regions."

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • 4G Smartphones Will Drive the Market
  • Consumers Will Flock to Big Screens
  • Innovation: What Is Next?

Market Forecast

  • Forecast by Operating System
    • Android
    • BlackBerry OS
    • Firefox
    • iOS
    • Sailfish
    • Symbian
    • Tizen
    • Windows Phone
  • Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
    • Feature Phones
    • Smartphones
  • Forecast by Region
  • Smartphone ASP Forecast

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • 4G Network Expansion
      • Unlocked Smartphones
      • Drop in Component Costs
    • Inhibitors
      • Economy
      • Vendor Consolidation
  • Significant Market Developments
  • Changes from Prior Forecast
    • Middle East and Africa

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone
  • Phablet

Methodology

  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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