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市場調查報告書

俄羅斯的展望:混亂的一年對IT市場的影響與預測

Russia Outlook: The Impact of a Turbulent Year on the IT Market and the Forecast for 2015 and Beyond

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 321587
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 28 Pages
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俄羅斯的展望:混亂的一年對IT市場的影響與預測 Russia Outlook: The Impact of a Turbulent Year on the IT Market and the Forecast for 2015 and Beyond
出版日期: 2014年12月18日 內容資訊: 英文 28 Pages
簡介

2015年,俄羅斯的IT市場預期進入嚴峻的時期,這影響到消費者、經營者,幾乎所有的客戶分類。消費者被迫考慮新的經濟重新調整支出,經營者要對供應商契約和供應商選擇、選擇的IT消費模式等的目前支出重新評估。國家和國家擁有的領域上,預計有含IT採購的進一步的法規,及對當地供應商有利的明確保護對策。

本報告提供中、短期性對俄羅斯的展望帶來大幅影響的,2014年的主要發展等市場情形分析等。

IDC的見解

關於本調查

概況

  • 制裁
    • 對俄羅斯的制裁概要
    • 結論
  • 俄羅斯政府的反應、反擊制裁、新的政策方向性
    • 對制裁的直接反應相關新法
    • 對法律的草案及其他制裁的反應對策
    • 高層級的供應商關係
    • 結論
  • 經濟背景
    • 結構的因素
    • 結論
  • IT市場
    • 2014年全年的預期結果
    • 2014年第四季的預測
    • 2015年的展望
    • 長期的展望
    • 供應商的策略
    • 結論

今後展望

主要的建議

參考資料

目錄
Product Code: CEMA22094

This study is a market status report covering a number of major developments in the country in 2014 which will strongly impact the outlook for Russia in the short and medium term. The content is focused on:

  • The impact of sanctions against Russia and the implications for IT investment.
  • New Russian government polices introduced as a response to these sanctions and the likely IT impact.
  • The economic context in late 2014 and what this financial turbulence means for IT business.
  • What to expect in different customer segments in 2015.

"The Russian IT market will enter a period of austerity in 2015 which will impact almost all customer segments - both consumers and businesses. Consumers will be forced to readjust their spending in the light of the new economic reality. Business customers will be reviewing all aspects of their current spending including supplier contracts, their choice of supplier and their chosen IT consumption models. In the state and state-owned sectors of the economy, expect additional regulations covering IT procurement and more explicitly protectionist measures favoring local suppliers." - Vice President Robert Farish, IDC Russia/CIS.

Table of Contents

IDC Opinion

In This Study

Situation Overview

  • Sanctions
    • Summary of Sanctions Against Russia
      • The Impact of Sanctions on Russian Customer Behavior
    • Conclusion
  • The Russian Government Reaction, Counter Sanctions, New Policy Directions
    • New Laws in Direct Response to Sanctions
      • ICT Impact
    • Draft Legislation and Other Measures in Response to Sanctions
      • Rotenberg Law
        • ICT Impact
      • Amendments to the Law on Personal Data (No. 152-FZ)
        • ICT impact
      • New Import Substitution Regulations for Customers in the State Sector and State-Owned Companies
        • ICT Impact
    • High-Level Vendor Relations
      • ICT Impact
    • Conclusion
  • Economic Context
    • Structural Factors
      • Oil
      • The Importance of Shale Gas
      • Consolidation in the Economy
      • The Russian Currency
    • Conclusion
  • IT Market
    • Anticipated Results for Full Year 2014
      • Hardware
      • Software
      • IT Services
    • Projections for Q4 2014
    • Outlook for 2015
      • Hardware
      • Software
      • IT Services
      • Growth by Customer Segment in 2015
    • The Longer-Term Outlook
    • Vendor Strategies
    • Conclusion

Essential Guidance

Learn More

  • Statistical Sources
  • References
  • Synopsis

List of Tables

  • Table: Year-on-Year Growth (%) in Commercial Freight Shipped in Russia, All Types of Transport, 2012-2014
  • Table: Review and Forecast of Selected Hardware Markets in Russia, Q1-Q4 2014
  • Table: Segment Growth Rates in Both U.S. Dollars and Rubles in 2014 and 2015
  • Table: Forecast Assumptions by Customer Segment, 2015
  • Table: Review and Forecast of the Russian IT Market, 2013-2018

List of Figures

  • Figure: Company Formations and Liquidations in Russia
  • Figure: Russia Services PMI, November 2014
  • Figure: Price per Barrel (US$) of Brent Crude in 2014
  • Figure: Russian Ruble Versus U.S. Dollar in 2014
  • Figure: Review and Forecast of the Russian IT Market, 2013-2018
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