Abstract
Driven by the Obama administration' s “American Recovery and Reinvestment
Act of 2009” and by congressional pressure to attain - at long last -
100% screening of cargo on scheduled passengers flight, the US Explosives
Detection Systems (EDS) market, which experienced a significant decline and
stagnation during the 2004-2008 period, is poised to experience a double-digit
CAGR over the 2010-2014 period.
The new report analyzes the market through several aspects:
- Equipment Market
- Refurbishing and Upgrade Market
- EDS Baggage handling System
- EDS Installation and Replacement Market
By Market Sector
- Checked-luggage screening
- Air Cargo screening
- Hand-Held baggage screening
The report presents business opportunities, as well as pipeline EDS products
and technologies that should address future requirement of the TSA.
Table of Contents
1. Scope
- 1.1. Basic Assumptions
- 1.1.1. Is There a Threat?
- 1.1.2. Possible Scenario Analysis
- 1.1.3. Additional Assumptions
- 1.2. Methodology
- 1.2.1. Research Methods
- 1.2.2. Report Structure
- 1.2.3. Who Is This Report For?
2. Executive Summary
- 2.1. Major Findings
- 2.2. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014
- 2.3. Luggage and Air-Cargo Screening Technologies
- 2.4. EDS Enhanced Air-Cargo Screening Outlook
3. EDS Market - Drivers
4. EDS Market - Inhibitors
5. Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act on EDS Market
6. Current EDS Technologies
- 6.1. Background
- 6.2. Explosive Materials Classification
- 6.3. Current Luggage, Carry-on Bags and Parcel Screening Technologies
- 6.4. Bulk Screening - Current Technologies
- 6.4.1. Current Bulk Threat Detection Systems' Pros and Cons
- 6.4.2. Throughput
- 6.4.3. Present Tomographic EDS Technologies
- 6.4.4. Threat Image Projection (TIP)
- 6.4.5. Coherent Scatter EDS
- 6.5. Luggage Screening
- 6.5.1. Luggage Screening Systems Categories
- 6.5.2. Existing Luggage Screening Systems Deployment Strategy
- 6.5.3. Covert Testing Procedures of EDS Screened Checked Luggage
- 6.5.4. S&T Directorate Actions in Luggage Screening
- 6.6. Carry-on Bag Screening
- 6.7. Air Cargo Screening
- 6.7.1. Background
- 6.7.2. Cargo Security Policy
- 6.7.3. TSA Air Cargo Security Technology Pilot Tests
- 6.7.4. Evaluating Air Cargo EDS Technology
- 6.7.5. The Cost of 100% Air Cargo Screening
7. The Transportation Security Administration
8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations
- 8.1.1. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 1: High-Volume In-Line
- 8.1.2. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 2: Medium-Volume
In-Line
- 8.1.3. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 3: Mini In-line
Checked Luggage Screening System
- 8.1.4. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 4: Stand-Alone EDS
- 8.1.5. Checked Luggage Screening Configuration - 5: Stand-Alone ETD (w/o
EDS)
- 8.1.6. Alarm Resolution
9. EDS Certification
10. Checked Luggage Screening Design Methodology
- 10.1. Screening Zones Categorization
- 10.2. Checked Luggage Screening Projects TSA Funding
- 10.2.1. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Eligible for TSA
Funding are:
- 10.2.2. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Non- eligible TSA
Funded Projects
- 10.2.3. The TSA Facility Modification Project Prioritization
11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014
- 11.1. EDS Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.1.1. EDS Equipment Purchasing Prices
- 11.1.2. EDS Equipment Market Outlook - 2010-2014
- 11.1.3. EDS Equipment Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.2. EDS Installation Costs Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.2.1. EDS Installation Costs
- 11.2.2. EDS Installation Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.3. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.3.1. Screening Equipment Refurbishment and Upgrade Costs
- 11.3.2. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.4. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Market Forecast -
2010-2014
- 11.4.1. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Costs
- 11.4.2. EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications Market Forecast
- 11.5. EDS Service Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.5.1. EDS Service Costs
- 11.5.2. EDS Service Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.6. Baggage Handling Systems [BHS] Service Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.6.1. Incremental Baggage Handling System Service Costs
- 11.6.2. Baggage Handling Systems Service Market Forecast - 2010-2014
- 11.7. EDS Equipment Replacement Costs
12. EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data
- 12.1. Analogic - EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data
- 12.2. GE - EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data
- 12.3. L-3 - EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data
- 12.4. Reveal - Tomographic EDS: Products Performance and Pricing
Comparison Data
13. EDS Pricing Trends - 2010-2014
14. EDS Technology Outlook - 2010-2014
- 14.1. The Manhattan II Program
- 14.2. 2009-2011 Pipeline EDS Products & Technologies
- 14.3. Rapiscan High-Speed Stationary EDS
- 14.4. Liquid and Homemade Explosives Detection
- 14.5. MagVis Distinguishes Potential-Threat Liquids
- 14.6. Superconducting Quantum Interference Device (SQUID)
- 14.7. Quasi Tomographic EDS - 3D X-Ray
- 14.8. Gamma Resonance Tomography (GRT)
- 14.9. Advanced Coherent X-Ray Scattering EDS
15. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges
- 15.1. Introduction
- 15.2. Business Opportunity #1
- 15.3. Business Opportunity #2
- 15.4. Business Opportunity #3
- 15.5. Business Opportunity #4
- 15.6. Business Opportunity #5
16. EDS Vendors
- 16.1. GE Security and Sagem Securite (SAFRAN)
- 16.2. Analogic Corporation
- 16.3. L-3 Communications Security & Detection Systems
- 16.4. Reveal Imaging Technologies, Inc
- 16.5. Rapiscan Security Products, Inc.
17. Appendix A: TSA Air Cargo Facility Regulations
- 17.1. Introduction to Cargo Security
- 17.2. Airport - Cargo Processing Facilities
- 17.3. Operational Considerations
- 17.4. Access Control Considerations
- 17.5. Information and Requirement Resources
18. Appendix B: TSA Checked Luggage Systems
- 18.1. Background
- 18.2. Applicable Regulations
- 18.3. Protocols and Concept of Operations
- 18.4. ETD and EDS Key Performance Characteristics
19. Appendix C: Patent Review
- 19.1. Scope
- 19.2. Scatter & Coherent X-Ray Patents Review
- 19.3. Tomographic EDS Patent Review
- 19.4. Luggage Inspection Infrastructure Patent Review
20. Appendix D: Glossary
List of Tables
2. Executive Summary
- Table 1 - USA Potential Targets Requiring EDS Screening
- Table 2 - U.S. EDS Related Markets [$Million] - 2008-2014
- Table 3 - U.S. EDS Related Markets [$Million] by Application - 2008-2014
6. Current EDS Technologies
- Table 4 - Current Explosives Detection Bulk Technologies - Pros and Cons
- Table 5 - Explosives, Drugs, and Common “Interruption”
Innocuous Materials
7. The Transportation Security Administration
- Table 6 - TSA Budget [$Million] and Its Aviation Security Component -
2001-2008
- Table 7 - TSA Budget Structure
8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations
- Table 8 - Potential High-Volume EDS Machines - Equipment Assumptions
- Table 9 - Potential Medium-Volume EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions
- Table 10 - Potential Mini In-Line EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions
- Table 11 - Potential Stand Alone EDS Machines - Equipment Assumptions
- Table 12 - Potential ETD Machines-Equipment Assumptions
11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014
- Table 13 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Analogic
- Table 14 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: GE
- Table 15 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: L-3
- Table 16 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Reveal
- Table 17 - EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014
- Table 18 - EDS Equipment Market Share [%] by Application - 2008-2014
- Table 19 - Components of Direct Installation Costs
- Table 20 - Direct EDS & ETD Equipment Installation Cost by System Type
- Table 21 - EDS Installation Market [$Million] - 2008-2014
- Table 22 - Revenues from Installation of Tomographic EDS in the U.S. [%] -
2008-2014
- Table 23 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - Analogic
- Table 24 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - GE
- Table 25 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - L-3
- Table 26 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - Reveal
- Table 27 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade [$Million] - 2008-2014
- Table 28 - EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application -
2008-2014
- Table 29 - Average Cost of Facility Modifications and Infrastructure by
EDS & ETD Configuration
- Table 30 - EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market -
2008-2014
- Table 31 - Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] -
2008-2014
- Table 32 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - Analogic
- Table 33 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - GE
- Table 34 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - L-3
- Table 35 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - Reveal
- Table 36 - EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] - 2008-2014
- Table 37 - EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014
- Table 38 - Annual 1 Baggage Handling System Service Costs by Configuration
- Table 39 - Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014
- Table 40 - Baggage Handling System Service Market [%] by Application -
2008-2014
- Table 41 - Infrastructure Modification Costs for EDS Replacement by
Configuration
12. EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data
- Table 42 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - Analogic
- Table 43 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - GE
- Table 44 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - L-3
- Table 45 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - Reveal
14. EDS Technology Outlook - 2010-2014
- Table 46 - Expected Availability Date of Pipeline EDS Products
18. Appendix B: TSA Checked Luggage Systems
- Table 47 - ETD Geometrical & Power Consumption Specification
Characteristics
- Table 48 - EDS Baggage Size & Weight Specifications
List of Figures
1. Scope
- Figure 1 - Airport Explosives Threats Vectors
2. Executive Summary
- Figure 2 - Air-Cargo Screening & Checked Luggagge Screening in the
Ensemble of Airport Security Means
- Figure 3 - Schematic Diagram of Checked Luggage Screening Levels
- Figure 4 - Tomographic EDS Related Markets [%] - 2008 & 2014
- Figure 5 - U.S. Air Cargo and Other EDS Related Markets Outlook [$Million]
- 2008-2014
6. Current EDS Technologies
- Figure 6 - Pam Am 103 - Lockerbie, Scotland
- Figure 7 - Explosive Materials Classification
- Figure 8 - Tomographic EDS Principle of Operation
- Figure 9 - “Classic” Whole-Object EDS Scheme
- Figure 10 - Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-Ray
- Figure 11 - Dual Energy Z Map
- Figure 12 - The Analogic XLB1100, Dual Energy Inline Large Bore EDS
- Figure 13 - The GE CTX Machine
- Figure 14 - Coherent X-Ray Scheme
- Figure 15 - Luggage-Parcel Screening and Explosives Detection Technologies
- Figure 16 - “100% Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme
- Figure 17 - “Fractional Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme
- Figure 18 - U.S. Air Cargo Shipments: FAA Historic Data and Forecast
(FY1999-FY2020)
- Figure 19 - Flow of Cargo from Shipper to Air Carrier
- Figure 20 - Screening Air Cargo Using Explosives Trace Detection and
Loading
- It onto Passenger Aircraft
7. The Transportation Security Administration
- Figure 21 - TSA Organizational Model
- Figure 22 - TSA 2008 Budget [%] Structure - 2008
8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations
- Figure 23 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 1
- Figure 24 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -2
- Figure 25 - Schematic Visualization of a Mini in-Line System
- Figure 26 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -3 Mini In-Line
System with Light Integration
- Figure 27 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - a Stand-Alone
EDS
- Figure 28 - Schematic Visualization of a Stand-Alone ETD System
11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014
- Figure 29 - EDS Throughput [BPH] vs. System Price [$K]
- Figure 30 - EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014
- Figure 31 - EDS Equipment Sales Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014
- Figure 32 - EDS Installation Market [$Million] - 2008-2014
- Figure 33 - EDS Market [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014
- Figure 34 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market [$Million] Outlook -
2008-2014
- Figure 35 - EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application -
2008 & 2014
- Figure 36 - EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market -
2008-2014
- Figure 37 - Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] -
2008 & 2014
- Figure 38 - EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] - 2008-2014
- Figure 39 - EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014
- Figure 40 - Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014
- Figure 41 - Revenues from Handling System [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014
14. EDS Technology Outlook - 2010-2014
- Figure 42 - Conventional Rotary Gantry EDS
- Figure 43 - Stationary Gantry EDS
- Figure 44 - The RTT Prototype X-Ray Source
- Figure 45 - The RTT EDS Prototype
- Figure 46 - MagVis Images
- Figure 47 - ULF-MRI RDT&E Program Timeline
- Figure 48 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Camera and Images
- Figure 49 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Luggage Inspection Scheme
- Figure 50 - EDS-GRT - System Configuration
- Figure 51 - EDS-GRT - Air Cargo Container Inspection
- Figure 52 - EDS-GRT Small Cargo System Configuration
15. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges
- Figure 53 - DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions
- Figure 54 - Strategic Vision of TSA RDT&E
- Figure 55 - The EDS Performance Criteria
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