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市場調查報告書

電網大規模儲能的BOS成本的預測 2015-2020年:架構、成本、企業

Grid-Scale Energy Storage Balance of Systems 2015-2020: Architectures, Costs and Players

出版商 Greentech Media Inc. 商品編碼 348169
出版日期 內容資訊 英文
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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電網大規模儲能的BOS成本的預測 2015-2020年:架構、成本、企業 Grid-Scale Energy Storage Balance of Systems 2015-2020: Architectures, Costs and Players
出版日期: 2016年01月04日 內容資訊: 英文
簡介

能源儲存的BOS成本今後5年將削減40%以上,預計成為低於400美元/kW的值。

本報告提供電網大規模儲能的BOS成本的相關調查、電力貯存的重要性與其技術、典型性的計劃成本結構、BOS成本的變化與預測、生命時間計劃成本相關考察、供應商生態系統等相關彙整。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 簡介:電網規模的能源儲存

  • 電力貯存所扮演的角色
  • 電力的組織化市場
  • 電力貯存技術

第3章 典型性的計劃成本結構

  • 計劃CAPEX的資源
  • 硬體設備計劃成本的結構
  • EPC成本
  • 軟體成本的資源
  • 獨自的計劃成本

第4章 AC-to-AC成本

  • 分析方法
  • BOS成本的基準
  • BOS成本預測
  • BOS成本預測:學習彎曲動態
  • 2個分析方法比較
  • BOS成本:貯存技術的差異

第5章 生命時間計劃成本相關考察

  • 重要的計劃成本零組件的運用成本
  • 不動產
  • 退役

第6章 貯存系統成本分析

  • 從BOS擴張到貯存計劃成本
  • 電網大規模儲能的計劃成本的預測

第7章 附錄

  • 供應商的生態系統
  • 供應商生態系統趨勢

第8章 總論

圖表

目錄

Solar PV balance of system (BOS) costs have followed a learning curve, which has benefited storage projects by having an established ecosystem of best practices resulting in manageable BOS costs. Storage projects will experience diminishing returns in BOS cost reductions (by $/kW magnitude) because they have piggybacked on solar's progress, but the learning curve dynamics of percentage declines should still hold true for storage. GTM Research predicts that the next five years should see more than a 40% decline in storage BOS costs to values lower than $400/kW. During this time, the price difference between storage and PV inverters should also compress.

Grid-Scale Storage BOS Hardware Costs Forecast

                     Source: GTM Research

This slide-based report provides an in-depth view of energy storage BOS project costs, including coverage of grid-scale storage, prototypical cost structure, AC-to-AC costs, lifetime project cost considerations, BOS suppliers and market forecasts.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Introduction to Grid-Scale Storage

  • Storage Roles
  • Organized Electricity Markets
  • Storage Technologies

3. Prototypical Project Cost Structure

  • Sources of Project Capex
  • Components of Hardware Project Costs
  • EPC Costs
  • Sources of Soft Costs
  • Unique Project Costs

4. AC-to-AC Costs

  • Analytical Approach
  • 2015 Baseline for BOS Costs
  • Forecast for BOS Costs, 2016-2020
  • Forecast for BOS Costs, 2016-2020 - Learning Curve Dynamics
  • Comparison of Two Analytical Approaches
  • BOS Costs: Variation by Storage Technology

5. Lifetime Project Cost Considerations

  • Operating Costs as a Significant Project Cost Component
  • Real Estate
  • Decommissioning

6. Storage System Cost Implications

  • Expanding from BOS to Storage Project Costs
  • Grid-Scale Storage Project Cost Forecast

7. Appendix

  • Vendor Ecosystem
  • Trends in the Vendor Ecosystem

8. Conclusions

List of Figures

2. Introduction to Grid-Scale Storage

  • Twelve (12) Representative Storage Applications
  • Map of North America's Organized Electricity Markets

4. AC-to-AC Costs

  • 2015 Storage BOS Costs Stack ($ per kW)
  • BOS $ per kW for Hard and Soft Costs
  • Detailed Breakdown of the Range of Costs for the Components of Major Hardware Cost Categories
  • Detailed Breakdown of the Range of Costs for the Components of Hardware Costs
  • Soft Costs, $ per kW
  • Grid-Scale Storage BOS Cost Forecast, 2016-2020
  • Balance-of-System Costs Forecast - Hardware Only, 2016-2020
  • PV and Storage Inverter Cost Forecast, 2016-2020
  • EPC Costs Forecast, 2016-2020
  • Balance-of-System Costs Forecast - Soft Costs, 2016-2020
  • PV Module Learning Curve: Swanson's Law
  • Historical Solar PV Installed Costs (US), 2007-2014
  • Solar PV Learning Curve (US)
  • Historical Solar PV Installed Costs - Breakdown (US), 2007-2014
  • Solar PV Learning Curve - Breakdown (US)
  • Historical and Projected Storage BOS Costs, 2012-2020
  • Storage BOS Learning Curve
  • BOS Costs: Bottom-Up Forecast vs. Learning Curve

5. Lifetime Project Cost Considerations

  • Map of US Real Estate Property Values, 2012

6. Storage System Cost Implications

  • Storage Project Costs ($ per kWh) for 2-Hour System
  • Storage Project Costs ($ per kWh) for 30-Minute System

7. BOS Suppliers

  • Storage Technology Vendor Ecosystem
  • BOS & Integration Value Chain
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