通訊市場現況 是由出版商IGI Consulting, Inc.在2009年06月所出版的。
這份英文市場調查報告書價格從美金1995起跳。
Abstract
Overview
This is the first of a major series of reports to be published by Information
Gatekeepers on the subject of telco business transformation and the
next-generation network. Many of the world' s telcos are now involved in
redefining the way they do business and the kind of network they need in their
planned new environment. This series of reports will be a “How To”
manual as well as a report on activities by the various major players, with
forecasts for the resulting next-generation network.
The new series of repots consists of the following:
- “Next-generation Carriers Network - Planning for Business
Transformation” - This is a comprehensive report on how to approach
transformation planning, and on the next-generation network that is the result
of transformation planning. This is the all-encompassing report that covers
all of the related topics. It is the keystone to the Information Gatekeeper' s
Series on Transformation Planning.
- “The Telecommunications Market Today” - This is the
first of a series of reports devotee to telecom business transformation and
next-generation networks. This is a general report on the status of today' s
(2009) telecommunications market, with an emphasis on those changes that are
driving the market. It includes extensive forecasts, especially CapEx
forecasts.
- “Next-generation Carrier' s Network” - This report from
the Transformation Series is devoted to discussing and forecasting the NGN.
- “Business Transformation Planning” - This report is a
how-to report on the transformation planning process. It contains the
directions on how a transformation project must start and how to accomplish
it. It includes quotes from exclusive interviews with some of the best
thinkers in the business today.
This series of reports is being prepared by Clifford Holliday, a writer and
analyst for IGI. His many previous projects have included the massive
Lightwave Series of Reports, the recent ROADM Series of Reports, and the AAA
Series of Reports. Mr. Holliday spent many years as the VP in charge of
technology planning in the Business Development department of GTE. He was
involved in or led at least seven different major “transformation”
projects, including “PIP” - Performance Improvement Projects -
Winning Connection I and II, WINS, and Technology Reorganization. His
background and expertise in this area are the match of any practitioner today.
To begin a transformation project, one must consider the market facing the
business. Therefore, this first report in the Transformation Series deals with
the telecom market situation today. Later reports in this series will consider
other aspects of the transformation process, including the planning
environment, goals setting, the next-generation network, the next-generation
network technologies, and next-generation vendors.
Although this report will consider several important market impacts, the most
current is the announcement by Google of Google Voice. For some years, this
analyst, as well as others, has been watching Google for an entry into
telecommunications. Most of their business is telecommunications-based, so it
is a natural fit. Our last report (in 2005) on the general telecom market
situation, “Next Generation Network - Will the RBOCs get Googled
Up?”, predicted the rise of a class of “super-competitors”
to the RBOCs led by Google. That still is a good forecast, and it is beginning
to happen with Google.
Report Features
- This report will attempt to answer these questions, in the broader context
of the overall competitive environment of U.S. telephony today. In addition to
the “super-competitors,” we feel that the following are the major
issues in today' s competitive structure in telecommunications:
- Telcos become wireless, rather than wireline companies;
- The Advanced Access Architecture deployments being undertaken by the major
RBOCs and many smaller telcos;
- Overbuilding by major telcos;
- The emergence of the “super-competitors.”
This report will address each of these areas and provide forecasts as to our
expectations for each. Because of the overriding importance of the state of
the U.S. (and world) economy, we will begin with a review of our forecasts for
the nation' s economy as well as its impact on telephony. That portion of the
report will also provide our forecast for capital spending over the next five
years. The report will then continue with a review of the current telecom
market structure; with that background, we will then address each of the
above-listed issues.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Table of Figures
The Lightwave Network Series of Reports
The Lightwave Network
The Lightwave Series of Reports
- General Reports on the Network
- General Market Reports
- Specific Systems Reports
Introduction
The Telco Business Transformation and Next Generation Network Series of Reports
Google and the RBOCs
How do you compete with “Free?”
This Report
US Telecommunications Economic Forecast
- General Economic Background
Telecom Economic Background
- Possible Positives for Telecom in 2009
Telecommunications Capital Forecast
Telecommunications Economic Forecasts Summary
- Telecommunications Economic Forecasts - 2009
The Face of Network Competition - Market Structure Today
RBOCs' Multidimensional Competitive Struggle
- Post-merger Competition
- RBOC Purchase of IXCs
- RBOCs vs. Cable Companies
Advanced Access Architecture Plans
AAA Deployment Forecast Summary
Forecast Size of Deployments
- Forecast of Homes Passed
- Penetration Rates
RBOCs Are Becoming Wireless Access Companies
- RBOC Loss of Main Lines
- It' s a Wireless Access Industry!
The Wireless Access Landscape
Forecast for Wireline to Wireless
The Super Competitors
Google Attacks - Google Voice
Forecast for Google Voice
Forecast for Google Voice
Overbuild
- Overbuild - How?
- Overbuild - Significance
A New Type of Competition
Summary of Overbuild Forecasts
Summary of Forecasts
General Economic Forecasts
Telecommunications Economic Forecasts - 2009
Advanced Access Architectures
Wireline to Wireless
Google Voice/Google Forecast
Overbuilding
Table of Figures
- Figure 1: Lightwave Network
- Figure 2: Telecommunication Capital Expenditures Actual and Forecast
- Figure 3: Telecommunications Economic Forecasts
- Figure 4: Summary of Competitive Position
- Figure 5: Revised Competitive Structure Due to IXC Purchases
- Figure 6: RBOCs Subsume IXCs and CLECs
- Figure 7: RBOCs vs. Cable Companies
- Figure 8: Telcos vs. Cable Companies - 2009
- Figure 9: Forecast Homes Passed Cumulative - All Technologies
- Figure 10: Forecast Homes Passed Annually - By Company - All Technologies
- Figure 11: FTTX vs. High-speed Accesses vs. US Households
- Figure 12: Verizon Wireline vs. Data Revenues
- Figure 13: Verizon Loss of Main Lines vs. Data Revenue
- Figure 14: Wireless Competition
- Figure 15: Forecast for Wireline to Wireless Migration
- Figure 16: The Super Competitors
- Figure 17: Google as a Serious Threat
- Figure 18: Forecast for Google Voice
- Figure 19: Verizon' s NOOF Arrangement
- Figure 20: Forecasted Overbuild Strategic Outcome
