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市場調查報告書

EpiCast Report:全球大腸癌的流行病學的預測

EpiCast Report: Colorectal Cancer - Epidemiology Forecast to 2025

出版商 GlobalData 商品編碼 258691
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 55 Pages
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EpiCast Report:全球大腸癌的流行病學的預測 EpiCast Report: Colorectal Cancer - Epidemiology Forecast to 2025
出版日期: 2016年12月08日 內容資訊: 英文 55 Pages
簡介

大腸癌是男性第三、女性第二高發病率的癌症。而全球各國的發病率及得病率都有增加的趨勢。主要9個國家的整體發病數量預測將從2012年的123萬件,增加到2020年的175萬件,以年平均4.22%的速度擴大。市場雖然依年齡結構、男女性別、癌症診斷階段·診察計劃等而有所不同,但所有市場都以切除患部為最普及的治療法,70∼90%的患者接受消除手術。

本報告提供全球主要9個國家的大腸癌症患病情形與今後預測相關分析,提供大腸癌的特徵,各國的情形,今後10年的發病率·盛行率預測值等調查評估,並將其結果為您概述為以下內容。

第1章 目錄

第2章 簡介

第3章 流行病學

  • 背景
  • 風險要素和共生病症
  • 全球趨勢
  • 預測手法
    • 利用之資訊來源
    • 未利用之資訊來源
    • 預測前提條件
  • 流行病學的預測(今後10年份)
    • 大腸癌的整體發病數量
    • 特定年齡層的大腸癌發病數量
    • 男女的大腸癌發病數量
    • 年齡調整罹患率
    • 診斷時的分期
    • 5年患病人數
    • 5年患病人數的KRAS 現狀
  • 議論

第4章 附錄

圖表一覽

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目錄
Product Code: GDHCER141-16

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a cancer that starts in the colon or the rectum (ACS, 2016). CRC is one of the most common types of cancers diagnosed; it is the third most common cancer among men and the second most common in women, worldwide (Ferlay et al., 2016). CRC is a high-mortality cancer, with mortality rates just behind lung, liver, and stomach cancers in men, and breast and lung cancers in women.

In 2015, there were 746,590 diagnosed incident cases of CRC in the 8MM. Epidemiologists forecast that the diagnosed incident cases in the 8MM will increase to 913,832 by 2025 at an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 2.24%. With the exception of the US and Germany, all markets will see an increase in the number of cases, at varying AGRs. The 8MM combined had an estimated 2,582,288 five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of CRC in 2015. The number of five-year diagnosed prevalent cases will increase by 22.06% over the next 10 years to 3,151,930 by 2025.

Urban China will have the highest number of diagnosed incident and five-year diagnosed prevalent cases among the 8MM, as well as the highest AGR for both data types. The US and Germany are the only markets that will see a decrease in incidence rate during the forecast period.

Worldwide, CRC is the third most common cancer in men and the second most common cancer in women (Ferlay et al., 2016). Estimates show that almost 55% of CRC cases are diagnosed in more developed regions (Ferlay et al., 2016). CRC has a strong relationship with age, and it is most commonly diagnosed in patients older than 65 years (Erichsen et al., 2013; Jorgensen et al., 2012). In 2012, CRC accounted for almost 10% of the global cancer incidence burden (Stewart and Wild, 2014). A study examining the global trends of CRC analyzed data from 51 cancer registries around the world and found that incidence of CRC increased significantly in countries going through an economic transition such as those found in Eastern Europe, most parts of Asia, and certain parts of South America (Center et al., 2009b).

The report “EpiCast Report: Colorectal Cancer - Epidemiology Forecast to 2025” provide an overview of the risk factors and global trends of CRC in the eight major markets (8MM) (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China [urban]). It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast of the diagnosed incident cases and the five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of CRC in these markets from 2015-2025.

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 5

  • 1.1 List of Tables 6
  • 1.2 List of Figures 7

2 Epidemiology 8

  • 2.1 Disease Background 8
  • 2.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities 9
  • 2.3 Global Trends 11
    • 2.3.1 8MM Incidence Trends 11
    • 2.3.2 8MM, Trends in Five-Year Relative Survival 14
  • 2.4 Forecast Methodology 15
    • 2.4.1 Sources Used Tables 16
    • 2.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods 20
    • 2.4.3 Sources Not Used 28
  • 2.5 Epidemiological Forecast for CRC (2015-2025) 29
    • 2.5.1 Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC 29
    • 2.5.2 Age-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC 31
    • 2.5.3 Sex-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC 33
    • 2.5.4 Age-Standardized Diagnosed Incidence of CRC 35
    • 2.5.5 Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC by Stage at Diagnosis 36
    • 2.5.6 Type of Genetic Mutation among Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC 37
    • 2.5.7 Five-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of CRC 38
  • 2.6 Discussion 40
    • 2.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight 40
    • 2.6.2 Limitations of the Analysis 42
    • 2.6.3 Strengths of the Analysis 43

3 Appendix 44

  • 3.1 Bibliography 44
  • 3.2 About the Authors 51
    • 3.2.1 Epidemiologists 51
    • 3.2.2 Reviewers 51
    • 3.2.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology 52
  • 3.3 About GlobalData 53
  • 3.4 About EpiCast 53
  • 3.5 Disclaimer 54

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Risk Factors and Comorbidities For CRC 9
  • Table 2: 8MM, Five-Year Relative Survival (%) 15
  • Table 3: 8MM, Sources Used to Forecast the Diagnosed Incidence of CRC 16
  • Table 4: 8MM, Sources Used to Forecast the Five-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of CRC 17
  • Table 5: 8MM, Sources of CRC Cancer Stage at Diagnosis 18
  • Table 6: 8MM, Sources of Genetic Mutations 19
  • Table 7: 8MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC (N), Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2015-2025 30
  • Table 8: 8MM, Age-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC (N), Both Sexes, Row (%), 2015 32
  • Table 9: 8MM, Sex-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC (N), Ages ≥18 Years, Row (%), 2015 34
  • Table 10: 8MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC by Cancer Stage at Diagnosis (N), Ages ≥18 Years, Row (%), 2015 37
  • Table 11: 8MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC by Type of Genetic Mutation (N), Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2015 38
  • Table 12: 8MM, Five-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of CRC (N), Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2015-2025 39

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: 8MM, Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate for CRC (Cases per 100,000 Population), Men, Ages ≥15 Years, 1998-2007 13
  • Figure 2: 8MM, Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate for CRC (Cases per 100,000 Population), Women, Ages ≥15 Years, 1998-2007 14
  • Figure 3: 8MM, Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC (N), Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2015-2025 30
  • Figure 4: 8MM, Age-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC (N), Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2015 33
  • Figure 5: 8MM, Sex-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of CRC (N), Ages ≥18 Years, 2015 35
  • Figure 6: 8MM, Age-Standardized Incidence of CRC (Cases per 100,000 Population), Ages ≥18 Years, by Sex, 2015. 36
  • Figure 7: 8MM, Five-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of CRC (N), Both Sexes, Ages ≥18 Years, 2015-2025 40
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