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市場調查報告書

全球勞動市場的未來:未來的勞動人口

The Global Future of Work - The Future Labor Force

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 331915
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 78 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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全球勞動市場的未來:未來的勞動人口 The Global Future of Work - The Future Labor Force
出版日期: 2015年06月04日 內容資訊: 英文 78 Pages
簡介

本報告提供未來的全球人力趨勢及人力資源市場大趨勢相關分析,提供從社會方面(人力資源的總數與結構等)·經濟方面(工資和諸供給的關係性等)·政治方面(國際目標,移民趨勢等)到今後10年的全球勞動市場的方向性討論,同時考察各種社會·技術性現象的影響度(千禧年世代·女性投入人力資源,人工智能·自動化的衝擊等等),及各產業詳細趨勢等資訊。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 影響未來的勞動人口的社會趨勢

  • 社會趨勢:要點
  • 全球整體人力增加,但勞動參加率下滑
  • 高齡化導致退休年齡延長
  • 高齡化對已開發國家的負面影響
  • 「世代隔閡」:2025年千禧年世代將成為社會的領導者
  • 「地區隔閡」:亞太地區成為有利情勢
  • 女性對人力趨勢的影響力提升
  • 女性人力資源在所有國家都有擴大趨勢
  • 勞動供給·需求,必須配合全球經濟的變動
  • 必須充實國內的教育制度來解決缺乏技術純熟勞工的需求
  • 隨著技術的「普遍存在化」,新「識字能力」的登場
  • 適用於新員工教育的各個領域
  • 確保人力資源相關的經濟面·技術面課題
  • 宏觀·微觀經濟面:策略性建議與預測

第3章 影響未來的勞動人口的經濟趨勢

  • 經濟趨勢:要點
  • 配合行動技術的活用,工資形態的變化
  • 遠隔工作模式:擴大僱用選擇的可能性
  • 群眾外包·模式普及到各種企業·部門
  • 最低限度工資制度:今後也一樣是國家級/世界級爭議
  • 員工福利的透明化:美國雇主的利益
  • 員工福利的國際性統一雖有某種程度的進展,但仍一直存在各國差異
  • 人工智慧,自動化,勞動價值:樂觀的方案
  • 人工智能,自動化,勞動價值:中立性的方案
  • 人工智能,自動化,勞動價值:悲觀的方案
  • 宏觀·微觀經濟方面:策略性建議與預測

第4章 影響未來的勞動人口的政治趨勢

  • 政治趨勢:要點
  • 聯合國:支持解除男女間·國家間的勞動差距
  • G20各國:促進革新·教育·行動
  • 移民流入:2000年代以後趨勢
  • 移民流出:歐洲·亞太地區間趨勢
  • 高度/中度技術純熟勞工的比率:對比鮮明的預測結果
  • 未技術純熟勞工的比率:發展中國家預計將上升
  • 隨著開發中國家的經濟發展,預測移民將逆流
  • 數位·NOMAD:遠隔勞動的未來
  • 工會:該適用數位勞動的地方機構,還是做好衰退的心理準備?
  • 知識產權 (IP) 法規:國際的最優先課題
  • 宏觀·微觀經濟方面:策略性建議與預測

第5章 在已開發國家·發展中國家勞動人口的未來

  • 各國的勞動人口趨勢:要點
  • 已開發國家低∼中度技術純熟勞工的佔有率降低
  • 詳細分析:日本 - 已開發國家的典型案例
  • 開發中國家:單純勞工的佔有率增加
  • 詳細分析:印度 - 發展中國家的疑慮
  • 宏觀·微觀經濟方面:策略性建議與預測

第6章 各產業方案

  • 各產業方案:要點
  • 農業:全球所有國家人力資源佔有率都降低
  • 工業:未來發展預測依國家複雜度而有所不同
  • 服務業:在全球各國人力資源佔有率有擴大趨勢
  • 宏觀·微觀經濟方面:策略性建議與預測

第7章 結論

第8章 附錄

目錄
Product Code: NF03-01-00-00-00

Impending Demographic Shifts are Shaping 2025's Labor Outlook

The Global Future of Work-The Future Labor Force investigates emerging Mega Trends shaping 2025's labor market outlook. Analysis includes social implications, such as the size and composition of the future labor force; economic implications, such as wage and benefits comparisons; and political implications, such as international labor goals and historical migration trends. Other key topics include millennials and female participation in the future labor force, as well as predictions for how artificial intelligence and automation will affect job availability. Sector scenarios examine employment share trends, and overviews are provided for developed and developing economies. The study period is from 2015 to 2025.

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • 1. The Future Global Labor Force-Key Findings
  • 2. Scope of Study-Trend, Economy, and Sector Coverage in the Future Labor Force
  • 3. List of Definitions
  • 4. List of Acronyms and Abbreviations

2. SOCIAL TRENDS DRIVING THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE

  • 1. Social Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. The Global Labor Force Will Grow, while Participation Rates Decline
  • 3. An Aging Population Will Mean Postponing Retirement
  • 4. Aging Trends Will Disproportionately Affect Developed Economies
  • 5. The Generational Divide Positions Millennials as 2025's Labor Leaders
  • 6. The Regional Generational Divide Will Favor APAC
  • 7. Women Will Hold Greater Influence in the Global Labor Force
  • 8. The Female Labor Force Will Grow Almost Universally
  • 9. Labor Supply and Demand Must Adjust to Global Economic Shifts
  • 10. Skills Demand Must be Met through Domestic Educational Attainment
  • 11. New Universal Literacies Will Respond to Technology's Ubiquity
  • 12. Future Workforce Learning Will Adapt to Many Perspectives
  • 13. Talent Retention Will Face Values- and Tech-related Challenges
  • 14. "Macro-to-micro"-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

3. ECONOMIC TRENDS DRIVING THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE

  • 1. Economic Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. Pay and Payroll Evolution Will Correlate with Mobile Technology Use
  • 3. Remote Models Will Present Even Greater Employment Options
  • 4. Crowdsourcing Models Will Permeate More Organizational Functions
  • 5. Minimum Wages Will Continue to Spur National and Global Debates
  • 6. US Employees Will Gain from Transparency in Benefit Spend
  • 7. Global Benefits Will Standardize Some but Mostly Stay Varied
  • 8. AI, Automation, and the Value of Labor-An Optimistic Scenario
  • 9. AI, Automation, and the Value of Labor-A Neutral Scenario
  • 10. AI, Automation, and the Value of Labor-A Pessimistic Scenario
  • 11. "Macro-to-micro"-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

4. POLITICAL TRENDS DRIVING THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE

  • 1. Political Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. UN Labor Influence Supports Gender and Global Economic Parity
  • 3. G20 Labor Influence Emphasizes Innovation, Education, and Mobility
  • 4. Immigration Trends Reveal Post-millennium Pattern Shifts
  • 5. Emigration Trends Reveal an Increasing Europe-APAC Exchange
  • 6. High- and Medium-skill Employment Shares Post Inverse Projections
  • 7. Low-skill Share Growth Will be Greater in Developing Economies
  • 8. Reverse Migrations Will Increase as Developing Economies Advance
  • 9. Digital Nomads Represent the Future of Working Remote
  • 10. Unions Will Adapt to Digital Work Communities or Risk Obsolescence
  • 11. Regulating IP Will Top International Priority Lists through 2025
  • 12. "Macro-to-micro"-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

5. SNAPSHOTS OF THE FUTURE LABOR FORCE IN DEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING ECONOMIES

  • 1. Snapshots of Economies-Key Findings
  • 2. Developed Economies Will Have Lower Medium-skill Labor Shares
  • 3. A Deeper Dive-Japan Typifies Developed Economies
  • 4. Developing Economies Will Have Greater Routine Labor Shares
  • 5. A Deeper Dive-India Reflects Key Concerns of Developing Economies
  • 6. "Macro-to-micro"-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

6. SECTOR SCENARIOS

  • 1. Sector Scenarios-Key Findings
  • 2. Agricultural Sector Employment Share Will Decline Globally
  • 3. Industrial Sector Employment Share Holds Mixed Growth Projections
  • 4. Services Sector Employment Share Will Increase Globally
  • 5. "Macro-to-micro"-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

7. THE LAST WORD

  • 1. The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • 2. Legal Disclaimer

8. APPENDIX

  • 1. Full List of Slide Titles
  • 2. Full List of Slide Titles (continued)
  • 3. Full List of Slide Titles (continued)
  • 4. Full List of Slide Titles (continued)
  • 5. Full List of Slide Titles (continued)
  • 6. List of Countries Grouped by Economy Type or Organization
  • 7. List of Countries Grouped by Region
  • 8. List of Countries Grouped by Region (continued)
  • 9. Full List of Subsectors by Economic Sector
  • 10. Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in Argentina
  • 11. Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in China
  • 12. Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in Germany
  • 13. Overview of Employer and Employee Benefit Trends in India
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