Cover Image
市場調查報告書

自動大型卡車策略性展望

Strategic Outlook for Autonomous Heavy-duty Trucks

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 325466
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 108 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
Back to Top
自動大型卡車策略性展望 Strategic Outlook for Autonomous Heavy-duty Trucks
出版日期: 2015年03月02日 內容資訊: 英文 108 Pages
簡介

本報告針對歐洲與北美自動大型卡車市場分析、提供市場動態評價與主要趨勢影響、運輸產業自動卡車可實現性、支援技術、成本、藍圖、規範環境與今後展望。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 調查範圍、目的、背景、調查方法

第3章 定義、區分

第4章 主要趨勢、產業匯流影響

第5章 介紹、主要動向

  • 自動卡車展望
  • 自動車自動化優點
  • 未來自動駕駛商業模式分類
  • 主要關係者關注範圍
  • 促進卡車自動技術主要市場動向
  • 普及階段:職業分類
  • 自動駕駛商用車使用階段
  • 自動卡車主要產業課題
  • 熟練技術者不足

第6章 特別矚目:卡車跟車 (連鎖自動駕駛)

  • 卡車跟車
  • 卡車跟車商業模式
  • 卡車跟車:貨運角度

第7章 支援技術概要

  • 自動駕駛主要技術啟動器
  • 汽車自動化各等級需求技術
  • 自動駕駛:應用藍圖
  • 使用自動駕駛技術貨物運輸物流
  • 實驗性自動卡車V2X技術的進化
  • 未來展望:智慧連結卡車、道路與城市
  • ADAS與自動駕駛連結的匯流
  • 自動商用車網路安全
  • 網路安全、資料暗號化

第8章 自動駕駛人為因素

  • 高齡卡車駕駛的HWW
  • 人為因素主要影響
  • 系統特徵、HMI開發
  • 駕駛所見的自動商用車視角
  • 控制、監視管理

第9章 自動商用車成本

  • 北美卡車成本
  • 西歐卡車成本
  • 自動商用車漸進成本分析
  • 職業分類標竿:自動卡車影響
  • 自動商用車價值命題

第10章 促進因素、阻礙因素、全球普及率預測

  • 促進因素
  • 阻礙因素
  • 自動卡車引進狀況分析
  • 全球自動卡車引進快照

第11章 自動駕駛技術藍圖

  • 自動卡車可用的相異安全系統
  • 轉型技術安裝預測
  • 全球大型卡車安全系統引進熱門點
  • 安全系統技術藍圖
  • 感應器技術藍圖
  • 自動駕駛電動車/電子架構藍圖
  • 通訊技術藍圖
  • 定位藍圖
  • 定位技術展望
  • 通訊網絡進化

第12章 規範、社會環境

  • 促進自動卡車必要的規範變化
  • 自動駕駛汽車試驗
  • 目前規範影響
  • 保險公司影響
  • 自動駕駛:社會影響藍圖

第13章 OEM影響

  • 自動駕駛技術OEM影響
  • OEM未來將如何區分品牌
  • 傳統型 vs. 非傳統型自動駕駛
  • 世界HD OEM自動駕駛技術里程碑
  • 比較標竿:卡車OEM自動機能
  • 自動卡車OEM包裝、行銷
  • 自動卡車的OEM策略性方法:主要OEM目標
  • 第一級供應商影響

第14章 結論、未來展望

  • 主要結論、未來展望
  • 總論:5大預測
  • 免責事項

第15章 附錄

目錄
Product Code: NEC5-01-00-00-00

Autonomous Truck Capabilities to First Appear in the Form of Truck Platooning by 2022

This research service analyzes the European and North American heavy-duty autonomous truck market. It includes an assessment of market dynamics, including industry challenges; market and technology trends, drivers and restraints, and forecasts; and Mega Trend implications. Forecasts will examine the feasibility of autonomous trucks in the trucking industry with regard to business models, freight logistics, driver solutions, and estimated timelines. Insights about the competitive environment of leading market participants (original equipment manufacturers and Tier I suppliers) are included. The study period is from 2014 to 2025, with an outlook to 2035. The base year is 2014.

Key Questions this Study Will Answer

  • What trends (e.g., regulatory, economic, and operational) are affecting the market?
  • What are the strategic approaches of OEMs and Tier I suppliers to the potential application of autonomous driving technologies in the trucking industry?
  • How will autonomous driving technologies and vehicles affect the role of drivers?
  • Which advanced technologies will be used, and how much will it cost, to produce a heavy-duty autonomous vehicle?
  • When will semi-autonomous (level 3) and fully autonomous (level 4) vehicles enter the market?

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary

  • 1. Summary of Key Findings
  • 2. Top Market Trends Driving Autonomous Technologies in Trucks
  • 3. How OEMs will Differentiate their Brand in the Future
  • 4. Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Incremental Cost Analysis
  • 5. Automated Driving Benchmark
  • 6. Value Proposition of Automated Commercial Vehicles
  • 7. Penetration Phases by Vocation
  • 8. Penetration Phases by Vocation
  • 9. Automated Commercial Vehicles by Application
  • 10. Regulatory Changes Necessary for Accelerating Autonomous Trucks
  • 11. Key Implications on Human Factors
  • 12. Taxonomy of Future Automated Driving Business Models
  • 13. Comparative Benchmark-Truck OEM Autonomous Capabilities
  • 14. Snapshot of Global Automated Truck Adoption, 2025 and 2035
  • 15. Autonomous Truck Outlook

2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, BACKGROUND, AND METHODOLOGY

Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology

  • 1. Research Scope
  • 2. Research Aims and Objectives
  • 3. Key Questions this Study Will Answer
  • 4. Research Background
  • 5. Research Methodology
  • 6. OEM Groups Compared in this Study

3. DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATION

Definitions and Segmentation

  • 1. Automated Driving Definitions
  • 2. Automated Driving Definitions (continued)

4. MEGA TRENDS AND INDUSTRY CONVERGENCE IMPLICATIONS

Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications

  • 1. Mega Trends Driving the Future of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles
  • 2. Mega Trends Driving the Future of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles (continued)

5. INTRODUCTION AND KEY TRENDS

Introduction and Key Trends

  • 1. Autonomous Truck Outlook
  • 2. Benefits of Vehicle Automation
  • 3. Taxonomy of Future Automated Driving Business Models
  • 4. Focus Areas of Key Stakeholders
  • 5. Top Market Trends Driving Autonomous Technologies in Trucks
  • 6. Penetration Phases by Vocation
  • 7. Penetration Phases by Vocation
  • 8. Phases of Automated Commercial Vehicle Usage
  • 9. Key Industry Challenges for Autonomous Trucks
  • 10. Shortage of Trained Technicians

6. SPECIAL FOCUS-TRUCK PLATOONING

Special Focus-Truck Platooning

  • 1. Truck Platooning
  • 2. Business Models for Truck Platooning
  • 3. Truck Platooning-Fleet Angle

7. SUPPORTING TECHNOLOGIES OVERVIEW

Supporting Technologies Overview

  • 1. Key Technology Enablers for Automated Driving
  • 2. Technologies Required for Various Levels of Vehicle Automation
  • 3. Automated Driving-Application Roadmap
  • 4. Freight Logistics of Fleets Using Autonomous Driving Technologies
  • 5. V2X Technology Evolution for Piloting Autonomous Trucks
  • 6. Vision of the Future-Smart Connected Trucks, Roads, and Cities
  • 7. Convergence of ADAS and Connectivity for Autonomous Driving
  • 8. Cybersecurity for Autonomous Commercial Vehicles
  • 9. Cybersecurity and Data Encryption

8. HUMAN FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH AUTOMATED VEHICLES

Human Factors Associated with Automated Vehicles

  • 1. HWW of Aging Truck Drivers
  • 2. Key Implications on Human Factors
  • 3. System Characteristics and HMI Development
  • 4. Vision of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles from a Driver'sf Perspective
  • 5. Managing Control and Supervision

9. COST OF AUTONOMOUS COMMERCIAL VEHICLES

Cost of Autonomous Commercial Vehicles

  • 1. North American Cost of Trucking-2014
  • 2. Western European Cost of Trucking-2014
  • 3. Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Incremental Cost Analysis
  • 4. Benchmark by Vocation-Autonomous Trucks Implications
  • 5. Benchmark by Vocation-Autonomous Truck Implications (continued)
  • 6. Value Proposition of Automated Commercial Vehicles

10. MARKET DRIVERS, RESTRAINTS, AND GLOBAL PENETRATION FORECAST

Market Drivers, Restraints, and Global Penetration Forecast

  • 1. Market Drivers
  • 2. Market Restraints
  • 3. Autonomous Truck Adoption Scenario Analysis
  • 4. Snapshot of Global Automated Truck Adoption, 2025 and 2035
  • 5. Snapshot of Global Automated Truck Adoption, 2025 and 2035 Analysis

11. AUTONOMOUS DRIVING TECHNOLOGIES ROADMAP

Autonomous Driving Technologies Roadmap

  • 1. Disparate Safety Systems Enabling Autonomous Trucks
  • 2. Transmission Technology Installation Forecasts
  • 3. Global Heavy-duty Truck Safety Systems Adoption Hot Spots
  • 4. Safety Systems Technology Roadmap
  • 5. Sensor Technologies Roadmap
  • 6. Automated Vehicle Electrical/Electronic Architecture Roadmap
  • 7. Communications Technology Roadmap
  • 8. Localization Roadmap
  • 9. Localization Technology Outlook
  • 10. Communication Network Evolution

12. REGULATORY AND SOCIETAL ENVIRONMENT

Regulatory and Societal Environment

  • 1. Regulatory Changes Necessary for Accelerating Autonomous Trucks
  • 2. Validation and Testing of Automated Vehicles
  • 3. Impact of Current Regulations
  • 4. Insurer Perspective
  • 5. Automated Driving-Societal Impact Roadmap

13. OEM IMPLICATIONS

OEM Implications

  • 1. OEM Implications from Autonomous Driving Technologies
  • 2. How OEMs will Differentiate their Brand in the Future
  • 3. Traditional vs. Non-traditional Automated Driving
  • 4. Autonomous Driving Technologies Benchmark of Global HD OEMs
  • 5. Comparative Benchmark-Truck OEM Autonomous Capabilities
  • 6. OEM Packaging and Marketing of Autonomous Trucks
  • 7. OEM Strategic Approach to Autonomous Trucks-Key OEM Goals
  • 8. Tier I Supplier Implications

14. CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Conclusions and Future Outlook

  • 1. Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • 2. The Last Word-5 Big Predictions
  • 3. Legal Disclaimer

15. APPENDIX

Appendix

  • 1. Methodology
  • 2. List of Abbreviations
Back to Top