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市場調查報告書

美國之油電混合技術與競爭技術

Hybrids & Competing Automotive Powerplants to 2009

出版商 The Freedonia Group
出版日期 2006年01月 商品編碼 35471
內容資訊 英文 291 PAGES
價格
US $ 4200 Hard Copy
US $ 4200 PDF by E-mail (Single User License)
US $ 4800 Hard Copy and PDF by E-mail (Single user license)
US $ 6800 PDF by E-mail (Corporate license)


美國之油電混合技術與競爭技術 是由出版商The Freedonia Group在2006年01月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書包含291 PAGES 價格從美金4200起跳。

簡介

美國汽車市場的銷售額預計到 2009 年止成長率將降到 1%以下,但是柴油引擎及油電混合引擎的成長卻備受矚目。

專門從事多種產業領域策略性調查的美國調查公司 The Freedonia Group(總公司:俄亥俄州) 針對美國的油電混合技術與競爭技術的趨勢進行詳細的調查分析並出版報告書 "Hybrids & Competing Automotive Powerplants"

報告書內容包括:美國市場 1994 年、 1999 年、 2004 年需求的變化以及 2009 年、 2014 年動力裝置別、市場別的需求預測。 此外,還有為分析美國現在市場環境的各項指標、往後變化的趨勢、全球規模的供需變化、技術開發相關資料、美國市場主要企業的特性等,內容綱要摘記如下:

第1章 實施概要

第2章 市場環境

  • 一般資料
  • 總體經濟環境
  • 汽車需求與供給之變遷
  • 汽車產業的趨勢
  • 法規限制趨勢
  • 燃料
  • 價格設定趨勢
  • 成本比較分析

第3章 全球規模的需求與供給

  • 一般資料
  • 全球規模的需求
  • 全球規模的供給

第4章 技術

  • 一般資料
  • 油電混合 - 電力 ICE 動力裝置
  • 燃料電池
  • 能源貯存技術
  • 競爭技術

第5章 動力裝置的競爭情況

  • 一般資料
  • 動力裝置的 6 項難題
  • 技術革新之簡介
  • 油電混合 - 電力汽車市場的調查
  • 市場

第6章 内部燃焼引擎

  • 一般資料
  • 火星塞發動引擎
  • 柴油(壓縮點火型)引擎

第7章 油電混合 - 電力內部燃燒引擎

  • 一般資料
  • 完全油電混合 - 電力內部燃燒引擎
  • 溫和油電混合 - 電力內部燃燒引擎
  • 油電混合 - 電力 ICE 製造商

第8章 燃料電池

  • 一般資料
  • 燃料電池的構造
  • 燃料電池汽車
  • 搭載式氫燃料技術
  • 燃料電池製造商

第9章 各企業的動力裝置市場

  • 一般資料
  • 自行開發機器製造業者
  • OEM 與零件供應業者

第10章 産業結構

  • 一般資料
  • 産業結構與市場佔有率
  • 購併、合併與產業重整
  • 調查與產品開發
  • 製造
  • 行銷
  • 財務必要條件

主要各企業的資料

圖表

目錄

Diesels, hybrids to gain market share

While overall sales of light vehicles in the US are forecast to grow less than one percent annually through 2009, there will be a significant shift in the product mix of powerplants used as diesel engines and hybrid-electric powerplants begin to take significant share away from spark ignition internal combustion engines. The fuel price spike that occurred in 2005 ignited new interest in fuelefficient powertrain technologies, which has boosted demand for hybridelectric vehicles and, to an extent, for diesel engines. Fuel cells remain a more distance promise due to technology and infrastructure challenges.

Spark ignition ICEs to remain dominant

Nevertheless, despite rapid advances in alternative powerplant types, the conventional spark ignition internal combustion engine (ICE) will remain the dominant powerplant technology in the US throughout the forecast period. The spark ignition ICEs continued ability to cost-effectively meet tighter emission standards yet provide high levels of power and driveability will ensure its position in the marketplace. Even so, continued consumer demands in terms of fuel economy and vehicle emissions are causing automakers to seek out efficient new technologies.

Diesels ICE shows promise in the US

The diesel ICE has recently emerged as a legitimate substitute for the spark ignition engine in the US light vehicle market both from a market and a regulatory perspective. The tremendous success of the technology in Europe, where it is on the verge of capturing 50 percent of the total automobile market, amply demonstrates the advances made in light diesel direct injection technology in the past decade. Growth will be robust, due in part to the introduction of low-sulfur fuels (scheduled for late 2006), which will make meeting new emission standards more feasible for light vehicles.

Hybrid-electric ICEs to accelerate

The market for hybridelectric ICEs will expand significantly from a relatively small base in 2001. Hybrid-electric ICEs feature adapted internal combustion engines in tandem with electric motors to increase fuel efficiency and reduce emissions while providing performance similar to a conventional spark ignition engine. Two types of hybrids are currently being developed: full hybrids, with large high voltage battery packs such as those already introduced by Toyota and Honda; and mild hybrids, which provide less electric power to operate the vehicle but can be more easily integrated into existing ICE drivetrains and are more cost effective. Cost disparities between HEVs and conventional light vehicles are expected to decline significantly as production volumes increase.

Fuel cells show promise in the long-term

Fuel cell-powered vehicles will emerge slowly in the next decade. Significant but apparently solvable vehicle-related engineering challenges as well as daunting fueling infrastructure requirements will limit commercialization. The industry is currently experiencing a backlash to the just around the corner" coverage that has surrounded the automotive fuel cell in recent years, but the longer term, the technology continues to show promise as an ICE replacement.

Study coverage

Details on these and other key findings are available Hybrids & Competing Automotive Powerplants, the new Freedonia industry study, which provides historical US demand data (1994, 1999, 2004) plus forecasts through 2009 and 2014 by powerplant type and by market. The study also considers market environment trends and indicators, discusses global supply and demand, reviews technology, evaluates company market share and profiles 35 leading competitors in the fledgling US industry.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT

General
Macroeconomic Environment
Light Vehicle Supply & Demand Dynamics
Automotive Industry Trends
Legal & Regulatory Trends
Air Quality
Fuel Efficiency
Global Warming
Fuel Economy
Pricing Trends
Comparative Cost Analysis
Average Kilowatts Produced
Average Powerplant Cost

III. GLOBAL SUPPLY & DEMAND

General
Global Demand
North America
Western Europe
Asia/Pacific
Other Regions
Global Supply
North America
Western Europe
Asia/Pacific
Other Regions

IV. TECHNOLOGY

General
Transition to Fuel Cells
Well-to-Wheels Efficiency & Pollution Comparisons
Internal Combustion Engines
Spark Ignition Internal Combustion Engines
Diesel Internal Combustion Engines
Hybrid-Electric ICE Powerplants
Series Hybrid
Parallel Hybrid
Mild Hybrid
Advantages of the Hybrid-Electric ICE Powertrain
Hybrid-Electric ICE Commercialization Issues
Heat Management
Power Control Systems
Field Service
Battery Life
Fuel Cells
Basic Fuel Cell Properties
How Fuel Cells Work
Fuel Cell Types
Fuel Cell Fueling Strategies
High Pressure Hydrogen Storage
Hydrogen Absorption
Cryogenic Storage
Onboard Fuel Processor/Reformer Systems
PEM Fuel Cell Commercialization -- Product Issues
Start Up Issues
Shutdown Issues
Electro-Catalyst Poisoning Issues
Cold Temperatures Issues
Lifecycle Issues
PEM Fuel Cell Commercialization -- Process Issues
Energy Storage Technologies
Competing Technologies

V. POWERPLANT COMPETITIVE OVERVIEW

General
Six Hurdles to Powerplant Dominance
Technology Readiness
S-Curve Headroom
Internal Combustion Engines
Hybrid-Electric ICEs
Fuel Cells
Electric Vehicles
Regulatory Compliance
Emissions Compliance
Fuel Efficiency Compliance
Safety Compliance
Infrastructure Readiness
Fueling Infrastructure
Service Infrastructure
Consumer Price/Benefits
Industry Focus
Technology Penetration Profiles
Market Pull
Regulatory Push
Rapid Penetration
Niche
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Market Assessment
Automatic Transmissions
Power Steering
Air Conditioning
Antilock Brake Systems
Penetration Summary
Penetration Analysis for HEVs
Markets
Types of Markets
Light Vehicle Demand by Powerplant Type

VI. INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES

General
Spark Ignition Engines
Infinitely Variable Valve Timing
Cylinder Deactivation Systems
Direct Fuel Injection
Feedback Plasma Ignition Systems
Hydrogen-Fueled Spark Ignition Engine
Spark Ignition ICE Producers
Diesel (Compression Ignition) Engines
Direct Injection
Other Fuel System Advances
Particulate Trap
Diesel ICE Producers

VII. HYBRID-ELECTRIC INTERNAL COMBUSTION

ENGINES

General
Full Hybrid-Electric Internal Combustion Engines
Mild Hybrid-Electric Internal Combustion Engines
Hybrid-Electric ICE Producers

VIII. FUEL CELLS

General
Fuel Cell Configurations
Fuel Cell Vehicles
Onboard Hydrogen Fueling Technologies
Fuel Cell Producers

IX. POWERPLANT MARKET BY COMPANY

General
Original Equipment Manufacturers
OEM Strategic Requirements
OEM Strategic Options
OEM Part & Component Suppliers
Supplier Strategic Requirements
Supplier Strategic Options

X. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

General
Industry Composition & Market Share
Mergers, Acquisitions & Industry Restructuring
Research & Product Development
Manufacturing
Marketing
Distribution
Financial Issues & Requirements
Strategic Partnerships

COMPANY PROFILES

Aisin Seiki Company Limited
Alfa SA de CV
Ballard Power Systems Incorporated
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
BERU AG, see BorgWarner Incorporated
BorgWarner Incorporated
Bosch (Robert) GmbH
Cobasys LLC, see Energy Conversion Devices
Cosworth Technology Limited, see MAHLE GmbH
Cummins Incorporated
DaimlerChrysler AG
Delphi Corporation
DENSO Corporation
Detroit Diesel Corporation, see DaimlerChrysler
DuPont (EI) de Nemours
Eaton Corporation
Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated
Exide Technologies
Federal-Mogul Corporation
Ford Motor Company
Freescale Semiconductor Incorporated
General Motors Corporation
Global Electric Motorcars LLC, see DaimlerChrysler
Global Engine Manufacturing Alliance, see DaimlerChrysler
Hitachi Limited
Holset Engineering Company, see Cummins Incorporated
Honda Motor Company Limited
Honeywell International Incorporated
International Truck and Engine Corporation, see
Navistar International Corporation
Johnson Controls Incorporated
MAHLE GmbH
Matsushita Electric Industrial Company Limited
Motorola Incorporated
Navistar International Corporation
Nemak SA, see Alfa SA de CV and Ford Motor Company
Nissan Motor Company Limited, see Renault SA
Ovonic Battery Company, see Energy Conversion Devices
Ovonic Hydrogen Systems, see Energy Conversion Devices
Panasonic EV Energy Company, see Matsushita Electric Industrial
Company and Toyota Motor Corporation
Quantum Fuel Systems Technologies Worldwide
Incorporated
Renault SA
Saft Groupe SA
SANYO Electric Company Limited
Siemens AG
Starcraft Corporation, see Quantum Fuel Systems
Technologies Worldwide
TorqTransfer Systems, see BorgWarner Incorporated
Toyota Motor Corporation
United Technologies Corporation
UTC Fuel Cells, see United Technologies Corporation
Valeo SA
Visteon Corporation
Volkswagen AG

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary Table

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 Macroeconomic Environment
2 Light Vehicle Indicators
3 Light Vehicle Powerplant Assumed Kilowatt Output by Type
4 Light Vehicle Powertrain Estimated Cost by Type

SECTION III -- GLOBAL SUPPLY & DEMAND

1 World Demand for Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
2 North America Demand for Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
3 Western Europe Demand for Light Vehicles by Powerplant
4 Asia/Pacific Demand for Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
5 Other Regions Demand for Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
6 World Production of Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
7 North America Production of Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
8 Western Europe Production of Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
9 Asia/Pacific Production of Light Vehicles by Powerplant Type
10 Other Regions Production of Light Vehicles by Powerplant

SECTION V -- POWERPLANT COMPETITIVE OVERVIEW

1 Light Vehicle Demand by Powerplant Type

SECTION VI -- INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES

1 Internal Combustion Engine Light Vehicle Demand
2 Spark Ignition Engine Light Vehicle Demand
3 Diesel Engine Light Vehicle Demand

SECTION VII -- HYBRID-ELECTRIC INTERNAL

COMBUSTION ENGINES

1 Hybrid-Electric Internal Combustion Engine Light Vehicle Demand
2 Full Hybrid-Electric Internal Combustion Engine Light Vehicle Demand
3 Mild Hybrid-Electric Internal Combustion Engine Light Vehicle Demand

SECTION VIII --FUEL CELLS

1 Fuel Cell Light Vehicle Demand

SECTION X --INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
2 Selected Cooperative Agreements

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 US Light Vehicle Production by Company, 2004
2 Options for Improving Light Vehicle Fuel Efficiency
3 Honda Civic Hybrid Breakeven Versus Civic ICE LX Model, US Market Example, 2004 Data

SECTION IV -- TECHNOLOGY

1 Conceptual Technology Migration Profile: ICE to Fuel Cell

SECTION V -- POWERPLANT COMPETITIVE OVERVIEW

1 Alternative Powerplant Forces at Work
2 Light Vehicle Powerplant Technology Assessment
3 Price/Benefits Analysis -- 2003-2005 Model Year
4 HEV Price/Benefits Analysis -- 2003-2005 Model Year
5 Categorizing Technology Penetration Curves -- US Market Example
6 Framework for Assessing Automotive Technology Penetration
7 Automatic Transmission Penetration at Retail Price Analysis US Passenger Car Example
8 Power Steering Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example
9 Air Conditioning Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example
10 Antilock Brake System Penetration at Retail Price Analysis US Passenger Car Example
11 Summary of Technology Penetration Profiles -- US Example
12 Estimated Full Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Option Pricing Trend -- Worldwide Example

SECTION VI -- INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES

1 US Light Vehicle Spark Ignition Engine Market Share, 2004
2 US Light Vehicle Diesel Engine Market Share, 2004

SECTION VII -- HYBRID-ELECTRIC INTERNAL

COMBUSTION ENGINES

1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions Through 2009

SECTION IX -- POWERPLANT MARKET BY COMPANY

1 OEM Strategic Powerplant Options -- US Perspective
2 Supplier Strategic Powerplant Supply Options

SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 US Light Vehicle Powerplant Market Share, 2004
2 Trigger Technology Definition -- Antilock Brake Wheel-Speed Sensor Example
3 Advanced Powertrain Technologies with Multiple Possible Applications
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