North America Outside Plant Fiber Optic Installation Apparatus Market Forecast and Analysis (2015-2020)
|出版日期||內容資訊||英文 266 Pages
|室外光纖施工用產品的北美市場分析、預測:2015-2020年 North America Outside Plant Fiber Optic Installation Apparatus Market Forecast and Analysis (2015-2020)|
|出版日期: 2016年06月30日||內容資訊: 英文 266 Pages||
本報告提供北美室外光纖施工用產品的市場調查，各產品類型、用途、地區 (美國、其他) 的消費額、數量、平均零售價格 (ASP)的變化與預測，光纖網路現況，競爭環境與市場佔有率，以及主要企業的簡介等彙整。
This study report provides a comprehensive market forecast and analysis of the North America regional consumption of outside plant fiber optic installation apparatus (FOIA) products. Competitive analysis of the major vendors of selected products for fiber optic installation apparatus is also provided.
The 2015-2020 quantitative market forecast data presented in this study report are segmented into the following geographic sections, plus a (total) North America summary:
The forecast for each product-level is presented by function:
Also, the fiber optic installation apparatus products market forecast data are built up from specific application, as shown below, as well as from selected product-type segments.
Product Category List Service providers that provide landline telephony are considered in the Telecommunications category, even if they also provide Internet, Cable TV, as well as mobile/cell phone service; service providers that offer mobile/cell phone service (only) are considered in the Telecommunications application category. Service providers that provide Cable TV and/or Internet and (plus) mobile/cell phone service are considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia application category. Companies that provide Internet (only) are considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia category.
Market analysis and forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. The future market for this particular type of fiber optic product category depends on a number of factors, including:
ElectroniCast analysts perform interviews with authoritative and representative individuals involved with fiber optic installation apparatus component and device (product) development and marketing/sales, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of pertinent products. The interviews are conducted principally with:
The interviews cover issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.
Customers (contractor/installers, telecommunication operators, distributors, similar) are interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products will be researched.
A review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources are reviewed:
In analyzing the complexities of the marketplace for the selected products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participate in this study are qualified.
Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data base structure, Chapter 6, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (2015), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.
ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward digital broadband communication equipment usage and economic payback.
Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of fiber optic attenuators, DWDM, optical fiber/cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, couplers/splitters, isolators, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check."
ElectroniCast, each year since 1985, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.
The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast.
ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in fiber optics communication components and devices. As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.
Stephen Montgomery, MBA in Technology Management, President at ElectroniCast Consultants. He joined ElectroniCast in 1990 and has specialized in photonics and fiber optic components market & technology forecasting at ElectroniCast for over 25-years. He has given numerous presentations and published a number of articles on optical communication markets, technology, applications and installations. He is a member of the Editorial Advisory Board of LIGHTWAVE magazine (PennWell Publishing) and writes a monthly article covering the optical communication industry for OPTCOM Magazine in Japan (Kogyo Tsushin Co., Ltd.).
:Market Forecast Data Base - Excel Spreadsheets: Addendum
:PowerPoint Slides: Market Forecast Data Figures Addendum