Abstract
This report, by ElectroniCast Consultants, provides the research findings of
our study of the Australian consumption of Light Emitting Diode lamps (also
known as “consumer-level bulbs” or “consumer-level
globes”), which are used in luminaires in stationary (non-vehicle)
solid-state lighting (SSL) General Lighting applications.
General Lighting Stationary Applications: The definition used by ElectroniCast
for General Lighting is - lighting that is used to provide the main
illumination of an area. ElectroniCast includes Directional Lighting,
Supplementary Lighting and Architectural Lighting in the General Lighting
category; however, “architainment” lighting, such as large display
units are not considered in the General Lighting segment. LEDs used in
signage, displays, signals, decorative Christmas/holiday lighting are not
included in the market forecast data for this study.
LED lamps used in theaters, photography, news-gathering (TV broadcasts, film,
similar) and even lighting used in nightclubs on the dance floor and in
operation rooms (surgery) are considered in the General Lighting application.
LEDs are used in both functional and decorative light fixtures, with an
advantage of energy savings. Compared to incandescent lighting, LED-based
solid-state lighting (SSL) delivers visible light with reduced heat. In
addition, its solid-state nature provides for greater resistance to shock,
vibration, and wear, thereby significantly increasing its lifespan.
LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study: Below, are five levels (or
“food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace. For the purposes
of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for
“Level 4”
- Level 1 - The chip or die
- Level 2 - The LED component (component-level bulb)
- Level 3 - LED array; may include optics, heat sink and/or power supply
- Level 4 - Lamp
- Level 5 - Luminaire (light fixture/lamp holder)
This report provides the 2010-2020 market data by the following functions:
- Consumption Value (US$, million)
- Quantity (number/units in Millions)
- Average Selling Prices (ASP US$, each)
The value is determined by multiplying the number of units (lamps) by the
average selling price (ASP) in US Dollars. The ASPs are not retail prices;
the prices are based n the price of the LED lamp at the initial factory
level (prior to FOB - Free On Board; therefore, no shipping expenses are
included). The value is then based on the end-use application in Australia.
This study report also provides an overview of Standards on or related to LED
lighting (including general regulations & standards, environmental issues
etc.); Policies and schemes for promoting the penetration of LED lighting;
Industry trends in LED lighting fixtures; Distribution Channel (retail
stores, Web-based, other sales/distribution channels); LED Lighting industry
competitive environment; profiles of over 70 LED lamp selected manufacturers
and related companies in Australia, as well as over 270 competitors worldwide
are provided.
The information is presented in easy-to-follow illustrations and text. LED
technology overviews, trends and analysis are presented. Terms, acronyms, and
abbreviations used are defined.
Market Forecast Product Categories: This market forecast of Australian
consumption is presented for five major lamp-type categories. The lamp
categories, in turn, may have multiple sub-categories, which are determined by
lamp luminous flux and/or the physical size of the lamp. Note: lower-level
products, which are indented in the list shown in Table 1, are summed-up to
the higher-level product category stated above it.
Total Consumption: LED Lamps
- Parabolic aluminized reflector (PAR)
- PAR16
- PAR20
- PAR30
- PAR38
- PAR56
- PAR64
- PAR-Types: Other (Miscellaneous) Sizes
- General Service/Globes: Mushroom, Globe, Candle, Fancy Round, Other
- Multifaceted reflector (MR) Compatible
- Street / Parking-lot / Campus / Similar / Light Panels
- Luminous Flux (< 2,600Lm)
- Luminous Flux (> 2,600Lm)
The increasing automatic assembly and test manufacturing process for selected
LED solid-state lighting products allows for mass-production capability. In
addition, over the next few years, the average selling prices of the SSL
general lighting products will be driven lower, as a result of production
efficiencies, yield improvements (aided by quality controls), competition
(both market competition and technological competition), marketing/sales
distribution improvements, and other factors.
Market Opportunity Analysis - Market Dynamics
The study process by ElectroniCast Consultants also covers the following
points:
- Standards on or related to LED lighting (including general regulations &
standards, environmental issues etc.)
- Policies and schemes for promoting the penetration of LED lighting
- Industry trends in LED lighting fixtures
- Distribution Channel (DIY stores, other stores, Web-based, other)
- LED Lighting industry competitive environment
The Australian Government agreed to ratify the Kyoto Protocol; therefore,
Australia now has a binding obligation to meet its agreed target. The
Government of Australia released its Green Paper on the Carbon Pollution
Reduction Scheme to address climate change by reducing carbon pollution.
Improving Australia' s energy efficiency, such as the use of improved lighting
technologies, was stated as an essential step in reducing greenhouse gas
emissions.
In a Government announcement, it was acknowledged that LEDs would play an
increasingly important role in the future of lighting. The Australian
Government has since accelerated the phase-out of traditional incandescent
light bulbs and implementing import bans on the inefficient bulbs.
Note: Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption
(use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative
data.
About ElectroniCast
ElectroniCast Consultants specializes in forecasting trends in photonics
industry. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications
forecasting, strategic planning and consulting.
ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm,
serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, optical
communication, microwave/wireless and LED illumination companies, as well as
the financial community. Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions
is the main benefit provided. ElectroniCast' s goal is to understand the
challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate
information for strategic planning.
Report Statistics
- Publication Date: June 8, 2011
- Number of Text Pages: 604
- Also Included: Microsoft Excel Market Forecast Data Base and PowerPoint Slides
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
- 1.1. Overview
- 1.2. LED Chips Used in General Solid-State Lighting (SSL)
- 1.3. LED Lamps & Light Fixtures Used in General Lighting
- 1.4. Lighting Standards and Protocols - Overview
2. LEDs - Technology Overview
3. LED Lamp General lighting Consumption in Australia
- 3.1. Overview
- 3.2. Parabolic Aluminized Reflector (PAR) LED Lamps
- 3.3. General Service/Globes: LED lamps
- 3.4. Multifaceted reflector (MR) Compatible LED Lamps
- 3.5. Linear/Tube LED Lamps
- 3.6. LED Lamps: Street-lighting/Parking-Lots/Campus/Parks/Similar and Light
Panel
4. Australia: Company Profiles of LED and Related Companies (Over 75 Company Profiles)
5. Extended (Worldwide) Company Profiles of LED and Related Companies - (Over 270 Companies)
6. Market Research Methodology
7. Definitions
8. ElectroniCast Market Forecast Data Base - Introduction/Explanation of Excel Worksheets
- 8.1. Overview
- 8.2. Tutorial of the Excel Worksheets
List of Tables
- 1.1.1. ElectroniCast Market Forecast Hierarchy Structure Australian LED
Lamp Product Category List
- 1.1.2. Largest Populated Areas in Australia (2010)
- 1.1.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, By Color/Luminous
Efficacy (ASP, $ Each)
- 2.1. LED Color Variety - Selected Examples
- 2.1. LED Color Chart
- 3.1.1. Fluorescent Lamp Ballast Market in Australia - Cumulative in 2010
- 3.1.2. Adoption of Building Code of Australia
- 3.1.3. ElectroniCast Market Forecast Hierarchy Structure Australian LED
Lamp Product Category List
- 3.1.4. LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
Category ($ Million)
- 3.1.5. LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
Category (Quantity/Units)
- 3.1.6. LED Lamps Used in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By
Product Category (ASP, $ Each)
- 3.1.7. Calculation of the Cost of Manufacturing Facility Downtime
- 3.1.8. Comparison of Lighting Technologies
- 3.2.1. PAR Lamp Designation and Nominal Diameter
- 3.2.2. PAR LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
Category ($ Million)
- 3.2.3. PAR LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
(Quantity/Units)
- 3.2.4. PAR LED Lamps Used in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By
Product (ASP, $ Each)
- 3.2.5. PAR LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
Category (all functions)
- 3.3.1. General Service/Globes LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia
Forecast (all functions)
- 3.4.1. MR-Compatible LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast,
by Product (all functions)
- 3.5.1. Linear/Tube LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, by
Product (all functions)
- 3.6.1. LED Street Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, by
Product (all functions)
- 8.1.1. ElectroniCast Market Forecast Database Product Category Hierarchy
List
- 8.2.1. ElectroniCast Market Forecast Database Application Category
Hierarchy List
List of Figures
- 1.1.1. LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast (Value
Basis, $ Million)
- 1.1.2. LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast
(Quantity Basis, Million/Units)
- 1.1.4. LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
Category ($ Million)
- 1.1.5. LED Lamps in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By Product
Category (Quantity/Units)
- 1.1.6. LED Lamps Used in SSL General Lighting Australia Forecast, By
Product Category (ASP, $ Each)
- 1.1.7. Single-die LED: 1000 lm at 100 lm/W at 3A
- 1.1.8. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
- 1.1.9. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
- 1.1.10. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb Surface Mount Variations
- 1.1.11. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
- 1.1.12. High Brightness LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
- 1.2.1. Diagram of a typical LED chip
- 1.2.2. Diagram of a typical LED chip
- 1.2.3. LED Chip Cross-Sectional Structure
- 1.2.4. ESD Protection Diodes
- 1.3.1. A19 Bulbs (Consumer-Level Bulb/LED Lamp)
- 1.3.2. Obstruction Bulbs (Lamps) - Flashing - 138 red or amber LEDs
- 1.3.3. LED Lamp - Down-light Retrofit Module
- 1.3.4. Miscellaneous LED Lamps
- 1.3.5. LED Light Bulb (Cool White)
- 1.3.6. Complete Fixture and Replacement Bulb - Streetlight (Lamp)
- 1.3.7. Samples of Lighting Fixture Types
- 2.1. LED Chromatic Chart
- 2.2. Evolution of Research Emphasis During Technology Life Cycle
- 2.3. LED Chip: Metal Layer (Thin Film Technology)
- 2.4. Vertical LED Chip
- 2.5. AC LED Technology on a Wafer
- 2.6. Ultra High Bright LED Chip
- 2.7. Ultra-Thin LED
- 2.8. Solid-State Lighting LED
- 2.9. LED Module with High Light Quality
- 2.10. Transparent and flexible inorganic, organic hybrid n-type: Thin Film
Transistors (TFTs)
- 2.11. Lumiramic Phosphor Technology: Thin Film Flip Chip (TFFC) technology
- 2.12. Wire-to-Board LED Connector
- 2.13. Next-Generation Light Emitting Diode Module
- 2.14. 4-Leaded RGB LED
- 2.15. Vertically Conducting Advanced LED Structure
- 2.16. AlGaInP LED Efficacy
- 3.1.1. LED-Based Operating Theater Lighting
- 3.1.2. LED-Based Airfield Runway Edge Lighting (Solar Powered)
- 3.1.3. LED Technology for Stage Lighting
- 3.1.4. Entertainment Lighting: LED PAR 64
- 3.1.5. Color Mixer Reflector for LED Technology Lighting
- 3.1.6. LED Technology for Under-Cabinet Lighting
- 3.1.7. Production-Lighting: Small Rectangle LED Light Fixture
- 3.1.8. Production Lighting: 8.3-inch LED Circular Spot
- 3.1.9. Production Lighting: 14x14-inch LED Light Panel
- 3.1.10. Production Lighting: LED Circular Fresnel Spot Fixtures
- 3.1.11. 48-inch Fluorescent Replacement Style LED Light Fixture
- 3.1.12. DIP T8 - Linear Tube Lamps With Plastic End-Caps
- 3.1.13. SMD T8 and T5 - LED Linear Tube Lamps With Plastic End-Caps
- 3.1.14. DIP-Type LED Linear Tube Lamps with Plastic End-Caps
- 3.1.15. DIP-Type LED Linear Tube Lamps with Metal End-Caps
- 3.1.16. SMD-Type LED Linear Tube Lamps with Metal End-Caps
- 3.1.17. SMD-Type High-Output LED Linear Tube Lamps with Plastic End-Caps
- 3.1.18. Solar-Powered LED Street Lighting
- 3.2.1. LED-Based PAR 30 Lamp
- 3.2.2. LED-Based PAR 30 Lamp
- 3.3.1. General Service LED-based Lamp (A-Style Bulb Category)
- 3.3.2. LED-Based Bulb (40mm) - Edison screw fitting (E27) - Voltage: 240v AC
- 3.3.3. General Service/Globe LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia
Market Forecast ($ Million)
- 3.3.4. General Service/Globe LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia
Market Forecast (Quantity)
- 3.3.5. General Service/Globe LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia
Market Forecast (ASP, $ ea)
- 3.4.1. 9W MR16 LED Replacement Lamp
- 3.4.2. MR Compatible LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market
Forecast ($ Million)
- 3.4.3. MR Compatible LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market
Forecast (Quantity)
- 3.4.4. MR Compatible LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market
Forecast (ASP, $ each)
- 3.5.1. Linear/Tube LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast
($ Million)
- 3.5.2. Linear/Tube LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast
(Quantity)
- 3.5.3. Linear/Tube LED Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast
(ASP, $ each)
- 3.6.1. LED Lighting Martin Place (Sydney Australia)
- 3.6.2. Australia: LED Lamps installed in Parking Lot
- 3.6.3. Australia: LED Streetlights
- 3.6.4. LED Street Lamps Undergoing Test Operations
- 3.6.5. LED Street Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast ($
Million)
- 3.6.6. LED Street Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast
(Quantity)
- 3.6.7. LED Street Lamps SSL General Lighting Australia Market Forecast
(ASP, $ each)
- 5.1. PCB Assembly
- 5.2. LED Backlit Display
- 5.3. Rugged Touch Screen with NVIS Capability
- 5.4. LED Down light with 102 Lumens per Watt Fixture
- 5.5. LED Lighting Military Solutions
- 5.6. LED Lighting in Railway Station
- 5.7. LED Technology Safelight Design
- 5.8. LED Lighting (water flow stream)
- 5.9. NVIS/LED Control Panel
- 5.10. Integrated Weapons Delivery System
- 5.11. Cockpit Modular Display/Panel
- 5.12. Cockpit Large Area Display
- 5.13. Traffic Lamp LED
- 5.14. High Power LED Lamp
- 5.15. Surface Mount Type LED
- 5.16. Surface Mount Type LED
- 5.17. Exterior Aircraft LED Lighting
- 5.18. High-brightness LED Module
- 5.19. Surface-Mount Multi-layer Ceramic Packages
- 5.20. LED Linear Optical Array
- 5.21. Solid-State NVIS Lamps
- 5.22. LED Escalator Light
- 5.23. Nanostructures Designed for Different Color Emission
- 5.24. LED Array Lighting - Lamp
- 5.25. Light-Measurement Device
- 5.26. SSL LED: Replacement for Halogen Lamp in Spotlights
- 5.27. LED-Based Digital Billboard (Signage/Display)
- 5.28. Diagram of Backlight LED Drivers
- 5.29. Diagram of Multifunction Backlight LED Drivers
- 5.30. Diagram of White Backlight LED Drivers
- 5.31. Diagram White Backlight LED Drivers
- 5.32. Rotary Wing Aircraft Cockpit Display
- 5.33. Ultra-Thin LED
- 5.34. Quality Management System in LED Manufacturing
- 5.35. Military and Harsh-Environment LEDs
- 5.36. LED-Based Marine Biology Lighting Device
- 6.1. Market Research & Forecasting Methodology
