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市場調查報告書

西歐的退役市場預測:2017-2040年

Western Europe Decommissioning Market Forecast 2017-2040

出版商 Douglas-Westwood 商品編碼 486152
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 68 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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西歐的退役市場預測:2017-2040年 Western Europe Decommissioning Market Forecast 2017-2040
出版日期: 2017年03月07日 內容資訊: 英文 68 Pages
簡介

本報告提供西歐的退役市場相關調查分析,石油、天然氣的需求與供給、價格的短期性的展望,退役的促進要素,稅制度和各國的法律,退役流程的概要,及各國的市場預測等系統性資訊。

第1章 摘要 & 結論

第2章 促進要素、指標

  • 海上石油與天然氣及西歐
  • 石油的需求:短期性的展望
  • 石油的供給:短期性的展望
  • 石油的供需平衡
  • 天然氣的需求與供給:短期性的展望
  • 石油、天然氣價格的共識:短期性的展望
  • 石油價格的影響
  • 過去的平台設置
  • 過去海底樹設置
  • 西歐的退役的促進要素

第3章 稅、規定

  • 稅制度
  • 國際的義務
  • 英國的法律
  • 挪威、丹麥的法律
  • 荷蘭的法律
  • 義大利、克羅埃西亞的法律

第4章 退役流程概要

  • 退役的計劃階段
  • 退役流程
  • 坑井的放棄
  • 基礎設施的拆除
  • 其他檢討事項
  • 退役:HLV
  • 退役:HTV
  • 退役:SLV
  • 退役的案例研究
  • 退役 - SLV:開拓者精神

第5章 供應鏈

  • 坑井的放棄
  • 平台的退役:系統惰性、切斷
  • 平台的退役:基礎設施拆除、廢棄

第6章 市場預測

  • 調查手法
  • 西歐:費用總額
  • 西歐:拆除總數
  • 西歐:拆除總重量
  • 丹麥:費用總額
  • 丹麥:拆除總數
  • 義大利:費用總額
  • 義大利:拆除總數
  • 荷蘭:費用總額
  • 荷蘭:拆除總數
  • 挪威:費用總額
  • 挪威:拆除總數
  • 英國:費用總額
  • 英國:拆除總數
  • 其他的西歐:費用總額
  • 其他的西歐:拆除總數
  • 基礎、上部的拆除
  • 大型運輸
  • 境內解構
  • PSV
  • 坑井

第7章 附錄

目錄
Product Code: 978-1-910045-49-7

Expenditure in Western Europe to total $105bn over 2017-2040 as Major Decommissioning Activity Begins

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In its Western Europe Decommissioning Market Forecast 2017-2040, Douglas-Westwood forecasts that between 2017 and 2040, $105bn will be spent on decommissioning in Western Europe, as the region becomes the first area outside the Gulf of Mexico to see large-scale decommissioning activity.

  • For this edition of our well-established report, we have included additional countries and now cover: Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain & UK.
  • Well decommissioning is forecast to account for the majority of decommissioning expenditure, representing 65% of the total market over the 2017-2040 period.
  • Expenditure for well decommissioning will be particularly high in more established producing nations with large numbers of subsea wells, notably Norway and the UK.
  • Substructure and topside removal will represent a combined 20% of expenditure over 2017-2040, with the majority of platforms being removed using reverse installation methods.
  • Single Lift Vessels are becoming established technology and have the potential to significantly impact the cost and time for decommissioning operations.
  • With the largest population of ageing platforms, the UK is expected to account for the largest proportion of decommissioning activity in Western Europe over 2017-2040, representing 54% of total expenditure, and 45% of platform removals.
  • The market is expected to experience a series of peaks and troughs over 2017-2040. The 2031-2035 period is forecast to see particularly high levels of expenditure as activity increases in Norway and the UK.
  • Lower demand for O&M services and efficiency gains from operators has resulted in lower operating costs - our field economics model has been updated accordingly and this has led to revisions for the projected abandonment and decommissioning of a number of fields within Douglas-Westwood's forecast.

The rise in decommissioning activity will provide a significant opening for specialist companies aiming to establish themselves within the industry, from vessel contractors and cutting service/equipment providers to shipyards and companies specialising in waste management/disposal. With the publication of the UK government's MER UK Strategy in March 2016 being a notable example, the focus within the decommissioning market is expected to remain on maximising cost effectiveness, which will involve ensuring that operations are carried out efficiently and without incident. It will also involve taking adequate steps to explore all options for reducing the costs of decommissioning.

Table of Contents

1 Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2 Drivers and Indicators

  • Offshore Oil & Gas and Western Europe
  • Oil Demand: Near-Term Outlook
  • Oil Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Oil Supply & Demand Balance
  • Gas Demand and Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Consensus Oil & Gas Prices: Near-Term Outlook
  • Oil Price Impacts
  • Historical Platform Installations
  • Historical Subsea Tree Installations
  • Drivers of Western Europe Decommissioning

3 Taxes and Regulations

  • Tax Regimes
  • International Obligations
  • United Kingdom Legislation
  • Norwegian and Danish Legislation
  • Dutch Legislation
  • Italian and Croatian Legislation

4 Overview of Decommissioning Process

  • Decommissioning Planning Phase
  • The Decommissioning Process
  • Well Abandonment
  • Infrastructure Removal
  • Other Considerations
  • Decommissioning - HLVs
  • Decommissioning - HTVs
  • Decommissioning - SLVs
  • Case Studies of Decommissioning
  • Decommissioning - SLV: Pioneering Spirit

5 Supply Chain

  • Well Abandonment
  • Platform Decommissioning - System Inerting and Disconnection
  • Platform Decommissioning - Infrastructure Removal & Disposal

6 Market Forecast

  • Methodology
  • Western Europe: Total Expenditure
  • Western Europe: Total Removals
  • Western Europe: Total Weight Removed
  • Denmark: Total Expenditure
  • Denmark: Total Removals
  • Italy: Total Expenditure
  • Italy: Total Removals
  • Netherlands: Total Expenditure
  • Netherlands: Total Removals
  • Norway: Total Expenditure
  • Norway: Total Removals
  • UK: Total Expenditure
  • UK: Total Removals
  • RoWE: Total Expenditure.
  • RoWE: Total Removals
  • Substructure & Topside Removal
  • Heavy Transport
  • Onshore Deconstruction
  • PSV
  • Wells

7 Appendix

  • Data and Text Conventions

Figures

  • Figure 1: Decommissioning Expenditure
  • Figure 2: Total Platform Removals by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 3: Global Onshore vs Offshore Oil & Gas Production, 2000-2021
  • Figure 4: Regional Offshore Oil & Gas Production, 2000-2016
  • Figure 5: Oil Demand Growth CAGR Comparison 2014-2020
  • Figure 6: Regional Year-on-Year Production Increase by Year (2015-2018)
  • Figure 7: Regional Year-on-Year Production Increase by Year (2015-2018)
  • Figure 8: Gas Production Growth, 2015-2018
  • Figure 9: Consensus Oil Price Forecast 2010-2021
  • Figure 10: Henry Hub Gas Price Consensus, 2010-2021
  • Figure 11: Average Share Performance Index January 2014-December 2016
  • Figure 12: Quarterly Visible Subsea Production Tree Orders, Q1 2009-Q3 2016
  • Figure 13: Fixed Platform Installations 1990-2016
  • Figure 14: Subsea Tree Installations 1990-2016
  • Figure 15: Model Cash Flow for a Development Drilling Project
  • Figure 16: Allseas Pioneering Spirit
  • Figure 17: Well Abandonment Supply Chain
  • Figure 18: System Inerting and Disconnection Supply Chain
  • Figure 19: Infrastructure Removal Supply Chain
  • Figure 20: Total Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 21: Total Platform Removals by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 22: Total Well Removals by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 24: Total Substructure Weight Removed by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 25: Total Topsides Weight Removed by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 23: Tonnage Removed by Size 2017-2040
  • Figure 26: Denmark Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 27: Denmark Platform Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 28: Denmark Well Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 29: Italy Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 30: Italy Platform Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 31: Italy Well Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 32: Netherlands Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 33: Netherlands Platform Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 34: Netherlands Well Removals by Size 2016-2040.
  • Figure 35: Norway Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 36: Norway Platform Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 37: Norway Well Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 38: UK Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 39: UK Platform Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 40: UK Well Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 41: RoWE Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Figure 42: RoWE Platform Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 43: RoWE Well Removals by Size 2016-2040
  • Figure 44: Substructure & Topside Removal Expenditure by Country, 2016-2040
  • Figure 45: Substructure & Topside Removal Expenditure by Country, 2016-2040
  • Figure 46: Heavy Transport Expenditure by Country, 2016-2040
  • Figure 47: Onshore Deconstruction by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 48: PSV Expenditure by Country 2016-2040
  • Figure 49: Well Decommissioning by Country 2016-2040

Tables

  • Table 1: Number of Platforms by Size Category
  • Table 2: Average Age of Platforms by Size Category
  • Table 3: Tax Rates
  • Table 4: Key OSPAR Terms
  • Table 5: Re-use and Disposal of Platform Components
  • Table 6: Forms of Topside Removal
  • Table 7: Forms of Steel Jacket Removal
  • Table 8: Heavy Lift Barge Fleet
  • Table 9: Heavy Lift/Crane Vessel Fleet
  • Table 10: Heavy Transport Fleet >5,000t Deadweight Capacity*, by Operator
  • Table 11: SLVs Under Construction
  • Table 12: Fixed Platform Size Categories
  • Table 13: Total Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 14: Denmark Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 15: Italy Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 16: Netherlands Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 17: Norway Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 18: UK Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 19: RoWE Expenditure by Workscope 2016-2040
  • Table 20: Heavy Transport Expenditure by Country, 2016-2040
  • Table 21: Onshore Deconstruction by Country 2016-2040
  • Table 22: PSV Expenditure by Country 2016-2040
  • Table 23: Well Decommissioning by Country 2016-2040
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