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市場調查報告書

石油天然氣下游部門的設備資產維護:全球市場的預測 (2017-2021年)

World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021

出版商 Douglas-Westwood 商品編碼 300802
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 56 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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石油天然氣下游部門的設備資產維護:全球市場的預測 (2017-2021年) World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021
出版日期: 2016年09月20日 內容資訊: 英文 56 Pages
簡介

從2017年到2021年全球石油天然氣下游部門的設備資產維護的總支出額預計達到3360億美元的規模。現有資產的老舊與綠地(待開發區)開發及棕地擴張計劃雙方的新設備引進成為該市場的主要推動因素。

本報告提供全球石油天然氣下游部門 (煉油廠、石油化學廠房、氣體處理設施、LNG設施) 的設備資產維護的市場調查,下游部門的設施總數,能源需求,石油的供需情形,下游部門的設施總數,政策及法規等市場的各種影響因素分析,服務專線、設備資產區分、各地區的支出額的變化與預測,競爭環境,供應鏈分析等彙整資料。

第1章 摘要、總論

第2章 成長推動因素和指標

  • 人口、GDP、能源需求
  • 由黑 (石油)到綠色 (再生能源) 的動態
  • 天然氣
  • LNG和FLNG
  • 能源混合的變化
  • 石油的供需情形
  • 石油價格的不穩定性
  • 煉製報酬率
  • 下游部門的設施數
  • 煉油廠和石油化學設施的生產量
  • 煉油廠趨勢與成長促進因素
  • 石油化學設施趨勢與成長促進因素
  • 氣體處理設施趨勢與成長促進因素
  • LNG設施趨勢與成長促進因素
  • 政策和法規

第3章 市場結構

  • 設備資產的生命週期
  • 資產服務:定義
  • 資產完整性:定義
  • 供應鏈:歐洲大陸
  • 供應鏈:北美
  • 供應鏈:中東

第4章 調查手法

第5章 資產服務市場預測

  • 市場預測:各服務專線
  • 市場預測:各設備資產類型
  • 市場預測:各地區

第6章 資產完整性市場預測

  • 市場預測:各服務專線
  • 市場預測:各設備資產類型
  • 市場預測:各地區

第7章 地區市場概要

  • 概要
  • 非洲
  • 亞洲
  • 澳大拉西亞
  • 東歐、舊蘇聯各國
  • 南美
  • 中東
  • 北美
  • 西歐

第8章 附錄

圖表

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目錄
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-40-4

Leaner Downstream MMO Sector Sees Renewed Activity

The latest view from the downstream asset maintenance market paints a positive outlook for the sector. The industry is emerging from a period of aggressive cost pressure and is now seeing renewed activity. Lower margins are improving asset owner appetite; using downtime to perform downstream maintenance activity that may have been deferred previously.

The World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021 combines a ‘bottom-up' (facility-by-facility) view of the sector with extensive industry interviews to give a granular and realistic appraisal of current and expected activity.

Between 2017 and 2021, global downstream asset maintenance spend is expected to total $336 billion (bn), an increase of 7% when compared to the previous five-year period. In 2016, expenditure will total $59bn for the world's global downstream asset population of approximately 14,000 facilities. Driving this spend is an ageing existing asset population and a number of new installations - both greenfield developments and brownfield expansion projects.

By sector, Asset Services accounts for the majority of expenditure, 72%, with Asset Integrity making up the remaining 28%. North America and Asia dominate global expenditure, with 34% and 28% of spend over the forecast period respectively.

The World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021 analyses the demand for maintenance across eight key equipment and service lines within downstream asset services and downstream asset integrity services, and across four facility types: refineries, petrochemical plants, gas processing and LNG. The report includes:

  • Drivers & Indicators - in depth discussion of the factors encouraging asset maintenance expenditure including: E&P trends, oil & gas prices, analysis of the oil price downturn, downstream facility population, asset lifecycle, policies & regulation and trends & drivers detailed by refinery, petrochemical, gas processing and LNG.
  • Service Line Analysis - for downstream asset services and asset integrity services split out by service line, asset type and region with competitive landscape and detailed supply chain analysis.
  • Regional Analysis - expenditure by service line 2012-2021 with trend commentary for Africa, Asia, Australasia, Eastern Europe & FSU, Latin America, Middle East, North America and Western Europe.

Why purchase the Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast?

Douglas-Westwood's market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world's top-10 oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

An essential report - for financial institutions, equipment manufacturers, operations & maintenance companies and contractors, oil & gas companies and government agencies & departments wanting to make more informed investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:

  • Unique and proprietary data - updated year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
  • Detailed Methodology - the report uses research from our own in-house downstream databases for refineries, petrochemicals, gas processing and LNG, an information system exclusive to DW, to form the basis of the models. Assumptions used to generate market demand are the result of our primary and secondary research. Demand-side analysis by service line provides a metric on which to establish future opportunities and provide a context for market share assessment.
  • Comprehensive Market forecasts - examination, analysis and 10-year coverage of expenditure.
  • Concise report layout - consistent with DW's commitment to delivering value for our clients, all our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with ‘speed-read' summaries of key points throughout.

Table of Contents

1. Summary and Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2. Drivers and Indicators

  • Population, GDP & Energy Demand
  • From Black to Green
  • Natural Gas
  • LNG & FLNG
  • Oil - Supply & Demand
  • Oil Price Volatility
  • Refining Margins
  • Downstream Facility Population
  • Refinery and Petrochemical Output
  • Refining Trends & Drivers
  • Petrochemical Trends & Drivers
  • Gas Processing Trends & Drivers
  • LNG Trends & Drivers
  • Politics and Regulation

3. Market Structure

  • Asset Lifecycle
  • Asset Services - Definitions
  • Asset Integrity - Definitions
  • Supply Chain - Continental Europe
  • Supply Chain - North America
  • Supply Chain - Middle East

4. Methodology

  • Methodology: Overview
  • Barriers & Limitations

5. Asset Services Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast: By Service Line
  • Market Forecast: by Asset Type
  • Market Forecast: By Region

6. Asset Integrity Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast: By Service Line
  • Market Forecast: By Asset Type
  • Market Forecast: By Region

7. Regional Summary

  • Regional Summary
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Australasia
  • Eastern Europe & FSU
  • Latin America
  • Middle East
  • North America
  • Western Europe

8. Appendix

  • Top 20 Countries
  • Data and Text Conventions

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Global Total Maintenance Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 2: Global Population Growth & Energy Demand, 1965-2035
  • Figure 3: OECD and Non-OECD Energy Intensity, 1980-2015
  • Figure 4: The Changing Energy Mix 1965-2015
  • Figure 5: Levelised Cost of Energy ($/MWh) in 2022
  • Figure 6: Henry Hub Annual Average Spot Price Forecasts, 2010-2020
  • Figure 7: LNG Supply by Region (excludes FLNG), 1960-2021
  • Figure 8: FLNG Capex, 2010-2022
  • Figure 9: World Liquids Production Growth, 2005-2016
  • Figure 10: Onshore and Offshore Oil Supply Additions, 2014-2020
  • Figure 11: Historical Brent and WTI Oil Prices, January 2010-June 2016
  • Figure 12: Historic Brent Cracking Margins and Brent Oil Price (Jan 2008-Feb 2016)
  • Figure 13: Global Downstream Population 2012-2021
  • Figure 14: Global Downstream Population Market Share, 2017
  • Figure 15: US Refinery Yield 2015
  • Figure 16: Petrochemical Feedstocks and Outputs
  • Figure 17: Global Oil Refinery Utilisation
  • Figure 18: Refinery Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 19: Global Petrochemical Price Index 2009-2015
  • Figure 20: Petrochemical Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 21: Natural Gas Production Forecast 2006-2022
  • Figure 22: Gas Processing Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 23: LNG Import and Export Capacity 2012-2021
  • Figure 24: LNG Export Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 25: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2021
  • Figure 26: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 27: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 28: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 29: Asset Service Expenditure by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 30: Asset Service Expenditure by Region 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 31: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2021
  • Figure 32: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 33: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 34: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2009-2013 and2017-2021
  • Figure 35: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 36: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2009-2013 and2017-2021
  • Figure 37: Global Maintenance Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 38: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa 2012-2021
  • Figure 39: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia 2012-2021
  • Figure 40: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia 2012-2021
  • Figure 41: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU 2012-2021
  • Figure 42: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America 2012-2021
  • Figure 43: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East 2012-2021
  • Figure 44: Maintenance Expenditure in North America 2012-2021
  • Figure 45: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe 2012-2021

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Energy Demand Growth 2000-2015
  • Table 2: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 3: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 4: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 5: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 6: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 7: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 8: Global Maintenance Expenditure 2016-2021
  • Table 9: Global Maintenance Expenditure by Asset Type & Service Line 2017-2021
  • Table 10: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 11: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 12: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 13: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 14: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 15: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 16: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 17: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 18: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 19: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 20: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 21: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 22: Maintenance Expenditure in North America by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 23: Maintenance Expenditure in North America by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 24: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 25: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 26: Top 20 Countries - Refining Maintenance Expenditure 2017 & 2021
  • Table 27: Top 20 Countries - Petrochemical Maintenance Expenditure 2017 & 2021
  • Table 28: Top 20 Countries - Gas Processing Expenditure 2017 & 2021
  • Table 29: Top 20 Countries - LNG Expenditure 2017 & 2021
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