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市場調查報告書

石油天然氣下游部門的設備資產維護:全球市場的預測

World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2018-2022

出版商 Douglas-Westwood 商品編碼 300802
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 51 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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石油天然氣下游部門的設備資產維護:全球市場的預測 World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2018-2022
出版日期: 2017年08月10日 內容資訊: 英文 51 Pages
簡介

從2018年到2022年的全球石油天然氣下游部門的設備資產維護的總支出額預計以3.5%規模的年複合成長率持續成長。

本報告提供全球石油天然氣下游部門 (煉油廠、石油化學廠房、氣體處理設施、LNG設施) 的設備資產維護的市場調查,下游部門的設施總數,能源需求,石油的供需情形,對下游部門的設施總數,政策及法規等市場的各種影響因素分析,各服務專線、設備資產區分、地區的支出額的變化與預測,競爭環境,供應鏈分析等彙整資料。

第1章 摘要、總論

第2章 成長推動因素和指標

  • 下游部門的設備維護市場動態
  • 能源混合的變化
  • 經營者的關心的變化
  • 石油、天然氣價格的共識:短期預測
  • 煉製報酬率
  • 下游部門的設施數
  • 煉油廠和石油化學設施的生產量
  • 煉油廠趨勢與成長促進因素
  • 石油化學設施趨勢與成長促進因素
  • 氣體處理設施趨勢與成長促進因素
  • LNG設施趨勢與成長促進因素
  • 政策和法規

第3章 市場結構

  • 設備資產的生命週期
  • 資產服務:定義
  • 資產完整性:定義
  • 供應鏈:歐洲大陸
  • 供應鏈:北美
  • 供應鏈:中東

第4章 調查手法

第5章 資產服務市場預測

  • 市場預測:各服務專線
  • 市場預測:各設備資產類型
  • 市場預測:各地區

第6章 資產完整性市場預測

  • 市場預測:各服務專線
  • 市場預測:各設備資產類型
  • 市場預測:各地區

第7章 地區市場概要

  • 概要
  • 非洲
  • 亞洲
  • 澳大拉西亞
  • 東歐、舊蘇聯各國
  • 南美
  • 中東
  • 北美
  • 西歐

第8章 附錄

圖表

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目錄
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-53-4

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The World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2018-2022 analyses the demand for maintenance in two key equipment and service lines: downstream asset services and downstream asset integrity services, and across four facility types: refineries, petrochemical plants, gas processing and LNG.

Downstream maintenance expenditure returns to growth

As highlighted in the most recent edition of Westwood's World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast, significant price pressure during the oil price downturn has heavily impacted the downstream maintenance market. Global downstream maintenance spend bottomed out in 2016, after falling 26% compared to 2014 levels. Westwood believes that the downstream maintenance market is at the beginning of a recovery cycle. 2017 saw improvements which will be sustained over the forecast with year-on-year growth expected over 2018-2022.

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  • Global downstream maintenance expenditure declined by 26% over 2014-2016.
  • Westwood expects to see a recovery in the market in 2017, with global expenditure forecast to rise by 4% compared to 2016, reaching $54bn.
  • Growth in the market is expected to be sustained over 2018-2022, with global expenditure forecast to rise at a 3.5% CAGR over the next five years.
  • Petrochemical facilities will account for the largest proportion of downstream maintenance expenditure over 2018-2022, with a market share of 42%.
  • The asset services sector is forecast to account for 72% of downstream maintenance expenditure over the next five years, with asset integrity representing the remaining 28% of the market.
  • North America will continue to represent the largest share of the downstream maintenance market over 2018-2022, with regional expenditure over this period forecast to reach $105bn.

Westwood's report features detailed analysis of the fundamental drivers for facility maintenance expenditure, including commodity prices, downstream facility population, refining margins, policies and regulations, as well as key trends influencing maintenance expenditure within the refining, gas processing, petrochemical, and LNG sectors. The report contains service line analysis for the downstream asset services and asset integrity markets, split out by service line, facility type, and region. Comprehensive regional analysis is also provided for Africa, Asia, Australasia, Eastern Europe & FSU, Latin America, Middle East, North America, and Western Europe, including an expenditure forecast by service line. The report is therefore essential for equipment providers, operations and maintenance contractors, and facility operators, in addition to government departments aiming to make more informed investment decisions.

With a large installed base, petrochemical facilities will continue to account for the largest proportion of expenditure over 2018-2022, despite having a lower maintenance cost per facility relative to refineries. The share of expenditure allocated to LNG facilities is set to increase through to 2022, with significant additional capacity forecast to come onstream in Asia, Australasia, and North America. North America accounted for the largest proportion of downstream maintenance expenditure over the hindcast, and will marginally increase its market share over 2018-2022. Large and ageing facilities are expected to support increased maintenance expenditure in order to sustain production levels and reduce downtime. A number of LNG export facilities within the region are also due to become operational, as the USA moves from being a net importer to a net exporter of natural gas. In the long-term, rising demand for refined products and natural gas, in line with population growth and economic development, in addition to an ageing population of assets, will act as robust long-term drivers for downstream maintenance expenditure.

Table of Contents

1 Summary and Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2 Drivers and Indicators

  • Downstream Maintenance Market Dynamics
  • Changing Energy Mix
  • Shifting Operator Focus
  • Consensus Oil & Gas Prices: Near-Term Outlook
  • Refining Margins
  • Downstream Facility Population
  • Downstream Facility Population
  • Refining Trends & Drivers
  • Petrochemical Trends & Drivers
  • Gas Processing Trends & Drivers
  • LNG Trends & Drivers
  • Politics and Regulation

3 Market Structure

  • Asset Lifecycle
  • Asset Services Definitions
  • Asset Integrity Definitions
  • Supply Chain - Continental Europe
  • Supply Chain - North America
  • Supply Chain - Middle East

4 Methodology

  • Methodology: Overview
  • Barriers & Limitations

5 Asset Services Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast: By Service Line
  • Market Forecast: by Facility Type
  • Market Forecast: By Region

6 Asset Integrity Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast: By Service Line
  • Market Forecast: By Facility Type
  • Market Forecast: By Region

7 Regional Summary

  • Regional Summary
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Australasia
  • Eastern Europe & FSU
  • Latin America
  • Middle East
  • North America
  • Western Europe

8 Appendix

  • Top 20 Countries

Table of Figures

  • Figure 1: Global Total Maintenance Expenditure 2013-2022
  • Figure 2: Energy Consumption Mix and Total (mmboe/d) 2015, 2025 & 2035
  • Figure 3: Historical Oil Price and Consensus Forecast 2018-2021
  • Figure 4: Historical Henry Hub Gas Price and Consensus Forecast 2018-2021
  • Figure 5: Historic Brent Cracking Margins and Brent Oil Price (Jan 2008-May 2017).
  • Figure 6: Global Downstream Population 2013-2022
  • Figure 7: Global Downstream Population by Facility Type, 2018
  • Figure 8: US Refinery Yield 2016
  • Figure 9: Petrochemical Feedstocks and Outputs
  • Figure 10: Global Oil Refinery Utilisation
  • Figure 11: Refinery Capacity by Region 2013-2022
  • Figure 12: Global Petrochemical Price Index 2009-2017
  • Figure 13: Petrochemical Capacity by Region 2013-2022
  • Figure 14: Natural Gas Production Forecast 2006-2022
  • Figure 15: Gas Processing Capacity by Region 2013-2022
  • Figure 16: LNG Export Capacity by Region (excludes FLNG), 1961-2022
  • Figure 17: LNG Capex, 2012-2021
  • Figure 18: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2013-2022
  • Figure 19: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2013-2017 and 2018-2022
  • Figure 20: Asset Service Expenditure by Facility Type 2013-2022
  • Figure 21: Asset Service Expenditure by Facility Type 2013-2017 and 2018-2022
  • Figure 22: Asset Service Expenditure by Region 2013-2022
  • Figure 23: Asset Service Expenditure by Region 2013-2017 and 2018-2022
  • Figure 24: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2013-2022
  • Figure 25: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2013-2017 and 2018-2022
  • Figure 26: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Facility Type 2013-2022
  • Figure 27: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Facility Type 2013-2017 and 2018-2022
  • Figure 28: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2013-2022
  • Figure 29: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2013-2017 and 2018-2022
  • Figure 30: Global Maintenance Expenditure 2013-2022
  • Figure 31: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa 2013-2022
  • Figure 32: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia 2013-2022
  • Figure 33: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia 2013-2022
  • Figure 34: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU 2013-2022
  • Figure 35: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America 2013-2022
  • Figure 36: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East 2013-2022
  • Figure 37: Maintenance Expenditure in North America 2013-2022
  • Figure 38: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe 2013-2022

Table of Tables

  • Table 1: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 2: Asset Service Expenditure by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 3: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2017-2022
  • Table 4: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 5: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 6: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2017-2022
  • Table 7: Global Maintenance Expenditure 2017-2022
  • Table 8: Global Maintenance Expenditure by Facility Type & Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 9: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 10: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 11: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 12: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 13: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 14: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 15: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 16: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 17: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 18: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 19: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 20: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 21: Maintenance Expenditure in North America by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 22: Maintenance Expenditure in North America by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 23: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe by Service Line 2017-2022
  • Table 24: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe by Facility Type 2017-2022
  • Table 25: Top 20 Countries - Refining Maintenance Expenditure 2018 & 2022
  • Table 26: Top 20 Countries - Refining Maintenance Expenditure 2018 & 2022
  • Table 27: Top 20 Countries - Petrochemical Maintenance Expenditure 2018 & 2022
  • Table 28: Top 20 Countries - LNG Maintenance Expenditure 2018 & 2022
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