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市場調查報告書

全球海上風力發電市場預測

World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2017-2026

出版商 Douglas-Westwood 商品編碼 223474
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 69 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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全球海上風力發電市場預測 World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2017-2026
出版日期: 2017年06月12日 內容資訊: 英文 69 Pages
簡介

全球海上發電市場上資本支出額預計從2015年到2024年10年達約2,400億歐元。但這個數字中也包含著計劃中的事項,預計實質最大達600億歐元。還有累積發電量2020年預計達到57GW,英國、德國、中國等的現有市場成長再加上美國和法國等的新興市場推動為要素。

本報告以全球海上風力發電市場為主題,提供技術及市場概要彙整、市場發展促進及阻礙因素分析、供應鏈分析、各國分析、今後的市場預測,為您概述為以下內容。

第1章 摘要、結論

第2章 促進要素、阻礙要素

  • 概要
  • 政治促進要素
  • 經濟促進要素
  • 低碳能源

第3章 海上風力發電的開發

  • 海上風力計劃的生命週期
  • 海上風力計劃的成本結構
  • Capex階段1:計劃&開發
  • Capex階段1:風力發電機
  • Capex階段1:廠房的平衡
  • Capex階段1:安裝
  • Oapex階段
  • Capex階段2:
  • 海上風力供應鏈

第4章 商業性考察

  • 計劃規模
  • 供應鏈
  • 資本、使用年限成本
  • 風險概況
  • 財務課題
  • 契約策略
  • 產業課題
  • 技術:風力發電機
  • 技術:支援結構
  • 主要市場
  • 新興市場:產能預測

第5章 市場預測

  • 調查手法
  • 追加發電量:各國
  • 累積發電量:各國
  • 資本支出:各國
  • 年度Capex:各類型
  • 運營成本:各國
  • 市場區隔預測:風力發電機-各國
  • 市場區隔預測:風力發電機-各尺寸
  • 市場區隔預測:風力發電機-各製造廠商
  • 市場區隔預測:支援結構
  • 市場區隔預測:電纜
  • 市場區隔預測:海上變電站
  • 市場區隔預測:船舶

第6章 附錄

圖表清單

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目錄
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-51-0

Westwood's new report now features global project listings and a more in-depth Capex analysis - including component breakdown - and country-specific commentary, reflecting on announced renewables obligations. Tracking the industry on a project by project basis, Westwood offers a comprehensive view on the significant opportunities for the wind supply chain over the next decade. Given the increased focus on renewables, the industry will continue to attract investment from utilities, large engineering and service contractors, as well as upstream oil and gas companies.

Description

Offshore Wind Update: Total Capex forecast at €402bn over 2017-2026

Westwood's most recent edition of the Word Offshore Wind Market Forecast is now available. The report features a restructured market forecast, splitting global Capex into planning and development, hardware and installation expenditure, together totalling €402bn over the 2017-2026 period.

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Key Conclusions:

  • Total Capex is projected at €402bn over 2017-2026.
  • Global cumulative capacity is forecast to grow from 16.4 GW in 2017 to 94.0 GW by 2026*.
  • The UK, China and Germany are the three largest contributors to total capacity additions.
  • Capex across the UK, China and Germany is forecast at €217bn, accounting for approximately 54% of total global expenditure*.
  • Opex is expected to amount to €68bn, with nearly 70% of this expected to be spent across the UK, Germany and China*.
  • Global hardware Capex is expected to total €288.0bn versus installation Capex at €88.6bn and planning & development at €25.6 over the 2017-2026 period*.

*All figures are inclusive of projects yet to develop past conceptual phases.

Since the 2016 edition of this report, the offshore wind industry has experienced a number of changes, which include the evolution in turbine size, growth in project scale, supply chain consolidation and cost efficiencies. In 2016 the industry saw the installation of the very first US offshore wind farm, whilst in 2017 the UK announced the achievement of its 2020 levelised cost of electricity (LCoE) target 4 years ahead of schedule. As the market is becoming less reliant on government subsidies, DONG Energy and EnBW have won the first zero-subsidy bids in German auctions.

Westwood's new report now features global project listings and a more in-depth Capex analysis - including component breakdown - and country-specific commentary, reflecting on announced renewables obligations. Tracking the industry on a project by project basis, Westwood offers a comprehensive view on the significant opportunities for the wind supply chain over the next decade. Given the increased focus on renewables, the industry will continue to attract investment from utilities, large engineering and service contractors, as well as upstream oil and gas companies.

This report is therefore a must have for vessel contractors, OEMs, design companies and private sector investors.

Report Contents:

  • Key Drivers and Indicators
  • Project Development and Commercial Insights
  • Global to Country Capex and Opex Market Forecasts
  • Segment Market Forecasts
  • Project Listings

Table of Contents

  • Table of Contents
  • Figures
  • Tables

1 Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2 Drivers & Indicators

  • Overview
  • Political Drivers
  • Economic Drivers
  • Low Carbon Power Generation

3 Offshore Wind Project Development

  • Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle
  • Offshore Wind Project Cost Structure
  • Capex Phase 1 : Planning & Development
  • Capex Phase 1 : Wind Turbine
  • Capex Phase 1: Balance of Plant
  • Capex Phase 1 : Installation
  • Opex Phase
  • Capex Phase 2 : Decommissioning
  • Offshore Wind Supply Chain

4 Commercial Insights

  • Project Scale
  • Supply Chain
  • Capital and Lifetime Costs
  • Risk Profile
  • Financing Challenges
  • Contracting Strategies
  • Industry Challenges
  • Technology: Wind Turbines
  • Technology: Foundations
  • Key Trends: New Technologies
  • Key Trends: Clustering and Repowering
  • Key Trends: Logistics

5 Methodology

  • Methodology

6 Country Market Forecast

  • Added Capacity by Country
  • Cumulative Capacity by Country
  • Capital Expenditure by Country
  • Operational Expenditure by Country
  • China Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Denmark Offshore Wind Outlook
  • France Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Germany Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Netherlands Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Poland Offshore Wind Outlook
  • South Korea Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Sweden Offshore Wind Outlook
  • UK Offshore Wind Outlook
  • USA Offshore Wind Outlook
  • RoW Offshore Wind Outlook

7 Segment Market Forecast

  • Turbines by Country
  • Turbines by Size
  • Turbines by Manufacturer
  • Foundations
  • Cables
  • Offshore Substations
  • Vessels
  • Helicopters

8 Appendix

  • Project Listings

Figures

  • Figure 1: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 2: Drivers for Offshore Wind
  • Figure 3: EU 2020 Targets and Progress to Date for Key Offshore Wind Markets
  • Figure 4: Global Primary Energy Consumption by Economy, 1990-2035
  • Figure 5: Share of Global Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1990-2035
  • Figure 6: Global Power Generation Forecast
  • Figure 7: Levelised Cost Estimates for Technology-Specific Hurdle Rates
  • Figure 8: Offshore Wind Project Life-Cycle
  • Figure 9: Cost Breakdown by Project Phase - Capex, Opex, Decom.
  • Figure 10: Offshore Wind Supply Chain Overview
  • Figure 11: Average Project Capacity, Distance from Shore and Water Depth
  • Figure 12: Offshore Wind Capex Drivers
  • Figure 13: UK Project Cost/MW 2000-2026 (monopiled projects only)
  • Figure 14: Planning & Development Time Lines, UK
  • Figure 15: Size Evolution of Wind Turbines
  • Figure 16: Aerogenerator X.
  • Figure 17: Two-bladed Offshore Wind Turbine.
  • Figure 18: Types of Floating Foundations
  • Figure 19: Picture of UAV
  • Figure 20: Siemens OTM Module
  • Figure 21: Radar Image showing aircraft flying through wind farm
  • Figure 23: Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020
  • Figure 22: Artist's Impression of Siemens Facility
  • Figure 24: Heli-Hoist Basket
  • Figure 25: Wind Service Operation Vessel (SOV)
  • Figure 26: Westwood Forecast Added Capacity by Status Group, 2016-2026
  • Figure 27: Example Country Cumulative Capacity with Extrapolation, 2020-2030
  • Figure 28: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 29: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 30: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 31: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 32: China Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 33: China Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 34: Denmark Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 35: Denmark Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 36: France Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 37: France Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 38: Germany Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 39: Germany Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 40: Nertherlands Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 41: Netherlands Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 42: Poland Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 43: Poland Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 44: South Korea Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 45: South Korea Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 46: Sweden Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 47: Sweden Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 48: UK Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 49: UK Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 50: USA Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 51: USA Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 52: Rest of World Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 53: Rest of World Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 54: Rest of World Added Capacity (MW) 2016-2026
  • Figure 55: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 56: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2026
  • Figure 57: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2026
  • Figure 58: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 59: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 60: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 61: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 62: Substations Installed by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 63: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 64: Personnel Vessels Required, 2016-2026
  • Figure 65: Helicopters Required, 2016-2026
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