|
市場調查報告書
歐洲瓦斯管線互連能力
Interconnection Gas Capacity in Europe
|
本報告已在2011年07月19日停止出版。
專門於多樣市場領域之調查分析的英國市調公司 Datamonitor Corporation（總公司：London），針對歐洲瓦斯管線互連能力進行相關調查分析及預測，並出版報告書 "Interconnection Gas Capacity in Europe" 。
本報告書內容包括：歐洲瓦斯需求成長預測、歐洲對進口瓦斯管線大型投資案相關考察、歐洲主要能源市場比較、各國瓦斯管線互連能力發展程度考察等。內容綱要摘記如下：
DATAMONITOR的分析
分析
- 比互連能力更受重視的進口能力
- 重要的對瓦斯進口基礎建設的投資
- 對互連能力的投資：有必要促進有效的瓦斯運送方式發展
- EU重視瓦斯進口量
- 大量管線進口容量：對歐洲瓦斯市場的發展做出貢獻
- 俄羅斯：鞏固主要出口國的地位
- 北非：扮演供應歐洲瓦斯的重要角色
- 歐洲東南部：瓦斯運送的路徑
- 義大利：隨著進入量增加逐漸提昇地位
- 為增加進口量，需增加互連容量
- 投資貯藏設備有益互連關係
- 貯存設備增加互連容量
- 對貯存領域投資的必要性
- 對貯存領域的投資：義大利有必要投資以強化其地位
- 瓦斯需求普遍增加加強瓦斯管線互連
- 互連網確立直接反映在商品價格上
- 商品價格反映出雙向BBL管線的必要性
- 各國之間缺乏共識仍是阻礙建立瓦斯互連網的主要因素
- 歐洲瓦斯品質標準化是基本條件
附錄
圖表
Abstract
Overview
Introduction
As gas consumption increases throughout Europe, more efficient interconnection
capacity is needed. By analysing the present state of the European gas market,
it is possible to understand exactly what is required to achieve higher
interconnection capacity.
Scope
- Insight and analysis of forecasted developments in European gas demand.
- A detailed investigation into the major import pipeline investments taking
place in Europe.
- A comparison of major European energy markets and their level of
development in terms of gas interconnection capacity.
Highlights
Italy has a large gas market, and the country is undertaking significant
investments in future import capacity. Investment in interconnection capacity
is insufficient to keep pace, however, which will limit Italy' s ability to
serve as a transportation hub for neighbouring markets.
Because of falling domestic gas production, European gas imports are projected
to increase from 61% in 2005 to 80% by 2030. Investment in import capacity
will be vital to facilitate this increasing import scenario.
Without adequate investment in storage facilities, efficient gas use and
transportation will be compromised. With gas penetration increasing,
utilization of storage capacity is key to mitigating the effects of demand
fluctuations.
Reasons to Purchase
- Understand how the Nord Stream project will positively influence the north
European gas market.
- Gain insight into the increasingly significant role of Africa in supplying
Europe with natural gas.
- Identify how established and highly developed bi-directional
interconnectors closely follow market signals.
Table of Contents
- DATAMONITOR VIEW
- ANALYSIS
- Import capacity has priority over interconnection capacity
- High pipeline import capacity will spur European gas market development
- Investments in storage facilities will enhance interconnection
- The EU must play a more visible role in ensuring adequate gas
interconnectionImport capacity has priority over interconnection capacity
- Import capacity has priority over interconnection capacity
- As a net importer of gas, investment in gas import infrastructure is
vital
- Investment in interconnection capacity is necessary to facilitate
efficient gas transportation
- The EU emphasizes import capacity over interconnection
- High pipeline import capacity will spur European gas market development
- Russia will consolidate its position as a major exporter
- North Africa will play a greater role in European gas supply
- Southeast Europe will become a major corridor for gas transportation
- Italy will become a significant gas player as import capacity increases
- Higher imports necessitate greater interconnection capacity
- Investments in storage facilities will enhance interconnection
- Storage facilities enhance interconnection capacity
- Greater emphasis is needed on storage investment
- Storage investment is needed to enhance Italy' s position as a
transportation hub
- For example, over 90bcm of import pipelines are connected to Italy, yet
only 2.5bcm of storage capacity has been committed for construction by
2015.The EU must play a more visible role in ensuring adequate gas
interconnection
- The EU must play a more visible role in ensuring adequate gas
interconnection
- Increased gas penetration demands enhanced gas interconnection
- Established interconnections follow commodity price signals
- Commodity price signals necessitate a bi-directional BBL pipeline
- The lack of common national consensus on energy issues impedes the
further development of gas interconnection
- Establishing standardized European gas qualities is fundamental
- Appendix
- Definitions
- Datamonitor Consultancy
- Ask the Analyst
- Disclaimer
- List of Figures
- Figure 1: European 2005-30 gas production/import scenario
- Figure 2: Share of natural gas in final energy consumption, 2006
- Figure 3: The Nord Stream project will deliver 55bcm of gas per annum
into Europe by 2015
- Figure 4: Algeria will deliver over 30bcm per annum of gas through
various pipeline connections
- Figure 5: The Nabucco pipeline project will deliver over 8bcm per
annum of gas into Europe by 2012
- Figure 6: Italy will become a significant gas player as import
capacity increases
- Figure 7: Relationship between gas inflows and outflows and the size
of the domestic gas market, 2006
- Figure 8: Italy has 16bcm of storage capacity, but only an additional
2.5bcm committed by 2015
- Figure 9: Bi-directional gas flows into and out of the UK gas market
closely follow market prices
- Figure 10: The BBL pipeline is underpinned by along-term off-take
agreement, but it will inevitably respond to cross-border economics
|
