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市場調查報告書

中國的農產品的價格

Price of Agricultural Produces in China

出版商 CCM 商品編碼 310311
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 21 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
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中國的農產品的價格 Price of Agricultural Produces in China
出版日期: 2014年07月22日 內容資訊: 英文 21 Pages
簡介

中國是最大的農業國之一,農產品的價格,扮演影響整體市場價格趨勢的決定角色。近幾年,隨國家經濟迅速的發展與都市化,農產品的價格上升。

本報告提供中國農產品的價格調查分析、價格上升的要素分析、價格變動的主要理由等相關的系統性資訊。

第1章 簡介

第2章 主要農產品的價格變動

  • 玉米和米的PPI(購買價格指數)恆常性地增加,小麥的PPI減少
  • 油菜子和大豆的PPI維持穩定,花生微幅減少

第3章 要素

  • 整體費用
  • 運輸費與多種流通環節
  • 穀物的最小購買價格
  • 都市化和消費結構的變化
  • 惡劣天氣和自然災害

第4章 未來趨勢

第5章 結論

圖表

目錄

China as one of the largest agricultural countries, price of agricultural produces plays a decision role to reflect the overall prices trend in the market. It is considered as the price foundation among all commodities and result in volatility in overall price level. In recent years, rapid development of national economy and urbanization boost price of agricultural produces. Three main types of agricultural produces include cereal (wheat, rice and corn), oil-bearing crops (rapeseed, soybean and peanut) and vegetables will be analyzed in the report. Purchasing Price Index (PPI) will be used to analyze the price of main agricultural produces.

The report will process factor analysis of increasing agricultural produces prices and list five main reasons influencing change in price, such as: - Total costs; - Transportation cost and multifarious circulation links; - Minimum cereal purchasing prices; - Urbanization and change in consumption structure; - Adverse weather condition and natural disaster.

By adopting Grey Markov Forecast Model, it is predicted that PPI of cereal will increase steadily for a long time. However, oil-bearing crops' PPI will face a sharp decline from 2014 to 2015. At the end of this report, it will put forward four suggestions in order to stabilize price of agricultural produces as well as prevent and cope with the effects of inflation.

Executive summary:

In China, the price of agricultural produces is the price foundation among all commodities. Price change of agricultural produces can lead to fluctuation in overall price level. With the rapid development of economy, agricultural produces did have increased in their prices in recent years. Since a kind of agricultural produces increases its price, it might cause instability of whole agricultural market. The representatives of main agricultural produces involve rice, corn, wheat, soybean, rapeseed, peanut and vegetables. In May 2014, price of cereal such as rice, corn and wheat, achieved a stable growth rate. Oil-bearing crops like soybean, rapeseed and peanut, experienced its prices declining initially and remained stable.

The main reasons of fluctuation in prices of agricultural produces are the increasing costs of production and transportation, miscellaneous agricultural produces circulation links, urbanization and change in consumption structure, factors of adverse weather condition, natural disasters and other factors. The price fluctuation has impact on the production of agricultural produces, income of farmers and overall market price.

In order to stabilize agricultural produces prices, the government should expand overall agricultural produces production capacity, and stabilize the sown area of cereal, oil-bearing crops as well as vegetables. Improving service system, establishing control system in food prices and strengthening price supervision in the market are important actions to reduce fluctuation in agricultural produces prices.

Table of Contents

1 Introduction

2 Price change in major agricultural produces in 2009-May 2014

  • 2-1 PPI of corn and rice kept constant increase and PPI of wheat declined in May 2014
  • 2-2 PPI of rapeseed and soybean remained stable and peanut's slightly declined in May 2014

3 Factors

  • 3-1 Total cost
  • 3-2 Transportation cost and multifarious circulation links
  • 3-3 Minimum cereal purchasing prices
  • 3-4 Urbanization and change in consumption structure
  • 3-5 Adverse weather condition and natural disasters

4 Future trend

5 Conclusion

List of tables:

  • Table 3.3-1 Minimum purchasing price of rice and wheat in China, 2004-2014, USD/50 kilograms

List of figures:

  • Figure 2.1-1 Seasonal Purchasing Price Index of cereal in China, 2009-2014 Q1
  • Figure 2.1-2 Monthly Purchasing Price Index of cereal in China, 2013/01-2014/05
  • Figure 2.1-3 Seasonal Purchasing Price Index of wheat, corn and rice in China, 2009-2014 Q1
  • Figure 2.1-4 Monthly Purchasing Price Index of wheat, corn and rice in China, 2013/01-2014/05
  • Figure 2.2-1 Seasonal Purchasing Price Index of oil-bearing crops in China, 2009-2014 Q1
  • Figure 2.2-2 Monthly Purchasing Price Index of oil-bearing crops in China, 2013/01-2014/05
  • Figure 2.2-3 Seasonal Purchasing Price Index of rapeseed, soybean and peanut in China, 2009-2014 Q1
  • Figure 2.2-4 Monthly Purchasing Price Index of rapeseed, soybean and peanut in China, 2013/01-2014/05
  • Figure 3-1 Factor analysis of increasing agricultural produces prices
  • Figure 3.1-1 Total costs of cereal, oil-bearing crops and vegetables in China, 2002-2011, USD/ha
  • Figure 3.1-2 Elements of total costs of main agricultural produces in China, 2000-2011
  • Figure 3.1-3 Employment situation between urban and rural area in China, 2000
  • Figure 3.1-4 Employment situation between urban and rural area in China, 2010
  • Figure 3.1-5 Proportion of material and machine in cost of main agricultural produces in China, 2011
  • Figure 3.1-6 Purchasing Price Index change in costs of material and machine in China, 2000-2012
  • Figure 3.2-1 Agricultural produces circulation links in China
  • Figure 3.3-1 Growth trend of the minimum purchasing price of rice in China, 2004-2014, USD/50 kilograms
  • Figure 3.4-1 Per capita cereal consumption between urban and rural households in China, 2009-2012, kilogram
  • Figure 3.4-2 Per capita vegetables consumption between urban and rural households in China, 2009-2012, kilogram
  • Figure 3.4-3 Per capita cooking oils consumption between urban and rural households in China, 2009-2012, kilogram
  • Figure 4-1 Prediction in PPI of cereal in China, 2014-2015
  • Figure 4-2 Prediction in PPI of wheat, corn and rice in China, 2014-2015
  • Figure 4-3 Prediction in PPI of oil-bearing crops in China, 2014-2015
  • Figure 4-4 Prediction in PPI of rapeseed, soybean and peanut in China, 2014-2015
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