Cover Image
市場調查報告書

中國的綜合磷產業的預測

Forecast of Integrated Phosphorus Industry in China

出版商 CCM 商品編碼 329389
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 94 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
Back to Top
中國的綜合磷產業的預測 Forecast of Integrated Phosphorus Industry in China
出版日期: 2015年04月02日 內容資訊: 英文 94 Pages
簡介

全球磷礦石資源,近幾年,質與量都減少了。受惠於豐富的磷資源的中國,也面臨著磷礦石枯竭的危機。

著到

本報告提供中國的磷產業整體調查分析、礦石資源、回收情形、影響要素、產業預測相關的系統性資訊。

第1章 磷礦石資源

  • 磷礦石
  • 礦石生產的主要企業
  • 中國的礦石利用
  • 品質低
  • 開發原價的增加
  • 礦石消費
  • 礦石消費的換入新品

第2章 磷回收

  • 可能的磷回收方法
  • 全球磷回收的現有計劃
  • 中國的磷回收的發展
  • 中國的磷回收的公共責任
  • 中國的現有計劃
  • 主要的障礙

第3章 PEST要素對磷產業的可能影響

  • 政治要素
  • 經濟要素
  • 社會要素
  • 技術性要素

第4章 中國的磷產業的質性預測

  • 中國的可利用磷的時間預測
  • 中國的磷技術使用趨勢預測
  • 產業的競爭預測和企業的調查
  • 中國的磷下游產業的發展預測

圖表

目錄

Background:

Global phosphorus resources are decreasing in quantity as well as in quality in recent years. As a large phosphorus country, China, who is blessed with abundant phosphorus resources, is also facing the risk of dying out phosphate rock. Then how long will China's phosphorus resources be available? When will the“Phosphorus Peak”arrive? What will China do to prepare for the up-coming phosphorus peak?

Currently, China's traditional phosphorus market is in intense competition, especially the phosphate fertilizer and yellow phosphorus sectors. The competition not only comes from the tighteningsupply of phosphate rock, but also the sluggish downstream market demand. That has put many phosphorus enterprises into an embarrassing situation. How can those enterprises stand out amid the intense market competitionand whatis going to happen in China's phosphorus industry after the peak? In order to answer these questions and offer insight into the Chinese phosphorus industry, CCM has cooperated withPhos4ever to conduct a comprehensive study on these topics. In which, CCM has collected insiders' and experts'views from phosphorus enterprises, official department, and academic institutes through telephone investigation, site visit and in-depth interview. Moreover, CCM has done deep research through import & export analysis, cost analysis, company research, downstream investigation, etc. to unfold the current situation of China's phosphorus industry. At the same time, based on comprehensive quality and quantity analysis, CCM has forecasted China's future phosphorus industry through PEST analysis.

Industrial affairs:

  • Throat-cutting competition in China's traditional phosphorus industry;
  • Integration behaviors are commonly seen in China's phosphorus industry;
  • China's exploitation cost of phosphate rock is increasing;
  • Quality of phosphate rock in China is on the decline;
  • Export quota for phosphate rock in China is decreasing
  • Output of China's phosphate fertilizers witnessed downtrend in 2013
  • China has reduced tariff for phosphate fertilizer export
  • Supply of yellow phosphorus is on the decline in recent years

China's position:

China is the second largest phosphate rock country in the world, and the largest yellow phosphorus and fertilizer supplier in the world. China plays an important role in the global phosphorus industry.

Purpose of report:

  • Forecast the phosphorus peak in China's phosphorus industry;
  • Forecast future trends and development in China's phosphorus industry;
  • Forecast the technology development trendin China's phosphorus industry;
  • Forecast on development trends of phosphorus downstream markets in China

Applicable user:

  • Miners and producers of phosphate rock
  • Downstream players of phosphate rock, including: yellow phosphorus producers, glyphosate producers, phosphate producers, fertilizer producers, phosphide producers, etc.
  • Academic institutes and association related to phosphorus industry
  • Traders of phosphate fertilizers

What to report:

  • Phosphate rock supply in China, including deposit, distribution, reserves, output, quality, etc.
  • Exploitation condition and cost of phosphate rock in China
  • Application of phosphate rock in China, such as different kinds of phosphate fertilizer(MAP, DAP, etc.), yellow phosphorus, phosphoric acids, phosphate and phosphides
  • Consumption volume and consumption patternof phosphate rock in China
  • Forecast on consumption of phosphate rock in China
  • Technology trend of China's phosphorus industry
  • Phosphorus recovery at home and abroad
  • Policies related to China's phosphorus industry
  • Available time of phosphate rock in China (based on economic reserves, basic reserves and current proved reserves)
  • Prospect of China's future phosphorus industry

Forecast on industry:

China will mainly focus on wet-process phosphoric acid technology, phosphorus recovery technology, exploitation and purification of middle-low grade phosphate rock.

Among competitors in phosphorus industry, many enterprises will expand their industrial chain to upstream so as to obtain ample resources and energy to save cost, and todownstream by developing more kinds of high value-added phosphorus products.

Regarding the development ofphosphorus downstreammarkets, thanks to the further industrial structure adjustments, it is estimated the growth rate of primary phosphorus chemical products will fall behind that of the fine phosphorus chemical products.

Value to client:

  • Know the available time of phosphate rock in China;
  • Find out which province/region has abundant and good quality phosphorus resources;
  • Obtain the exploitation cost information of phosphate rock in China;
  • Check how China's enterprises are preparing for the phosphorus peak;
  • Obtain an overview of phosphorus downstream markets, such as fertilizer, yellow phosphorus and major phosphorus fine chemical products;
  • Foresee the cost of China's phosphate rock in the future;
  • Know more about the Chinese government and local enterprises'actions towards the increasing phosphate rock cost and declining quality;
  • Realize the investment opportunities in China's phosphorus industry

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction and methodology

1. Source of phosphate rock

  • 1-1. Phosphorus ore
    • 1-1-1. Deposit information
    • 1-1-2. Quality of currently mined phosphate rock
    • 1-1-3. Rock treatment after mining
  • 1-2. Main player in rock production
    • 1-2-1. Miner
    • 1-2-2. Integrated producers to fertilizers
    • 1-2-3. Integrated producers to industrial phosphorus manufactures
  • 1-3. Rock application in China
    • 1-3-1. Rock's main applications
    • 1-3-2. Yellow phosphorus
      • 1-3-2-1. Production
        • 1-3-2-1-1. Capacity and output of yellow phosphorus
        • 1-3-2-1-2. Players
        • 1-3-2-1-3. Regional distribution of yellow phosphorus
      • 1-3-2-2. Technology utilized
      • 1-3-2-3. Consumption in China
        • 1-3-2-3-1. Thermal-process phosphoric acid
          • 1-3-2-3-1-1. Consumption in China
          • 1-3-2-3-1-2. Export
        • 1-3-2-3-2. Phosphoric acid's derivatives
          • 1-3-2-3-2-1. Consumption in China
          • 1-3-2-3-2-2. Export
        • 1-3-2-3-3. Non acid applications
          • 1-3-2-3-3-1. Consumption of yellow phosphorus in non-acid applications of China
          • 1-3-2-3-3-2. Export
      • 1-3-2-4. Yellow phosphorus derivatives
      • 1-3-2-5. Economical model
        • 1-3-2-5-1. Business model for integrated acid applications
        • 1-3-2-5-2. Business model for integrated non-acid applications
    • 1-3-3. Industry development
      • 1-3-3-1. Acid application of yellow phosphorus
      • 1-3-3-2. Non-acid applications of yellow phosphorus
  • 1-4. Estimated quality decrease in time
  • 1-5. Estimated exploitation cost increase in time
    • 1-5-1. Projected cost development based on higher exploitation cost
    • 1-5-2. Projected price development based on higher exploitation cost
    • 1-5-3. Projected peak in projected consumption curve
  • 1-6. Estimated rock consumption
  • 1-7. Possible ways to reshuffle rock consumption

2. Phosphorus recovery

  • 2-1. Available methodologies to recover phosphorus
    • 2-1-1. From sewage sludge
    • 2-1-2. Farming manure
    • 2-1-3. Industry
  • 2-2. Existing projects worldwide dealing with phosphorus recovery
  • 2-3. Development of phosphorus recovery in China
  • 2-4. Official responsibilities to deal with phosphorus recovery in China
  • 2-5. Existing projects in China
  • 2-6. Major obstacles

3. Possible influence of PEST factors upon phosphorus industry

  • 3-1. Political factor
    • 3-1-1. Government's role in the industry
    • 3-1-2. Restricted policy in the industry and its effect to the industry
    • 3-1-3. Subsidy policy in the industry and its effect to the industry
    • 3-1-4. Comparison between policy in China with other phosphorus supply countries (such as Europe's declaration of phosphate Rock as critical raw material)
    • 3-1-5. Environmental policy in the industry and its effect to the industry
    • 3-1-6. Possible restricted mining policy in the future
  • 3-2. Economic factor
    • 3-2-1. China's economic and its effect to the industry
    • 3-2-2. Oversea economic and its effect to the industry
    • 3-2-3. Possible economic structure adjustment in the future and its effect to the industry
    • 3-2-4. Possible industry and agriculture change in the future and its effect to the industry
  • 3-3. Social factor
    • 3-3-1. Future population and demographic change and its effect to the industry
    • 3-3-2. Urbanization trend in China and its effect to the industry
    • 3-3-3. Feature of phosphorus consumption in industrial and agricultural field
    • 3-3-4. Public's attitude towards resource recovery business
    • 3-3-5. Social features of China's enterprises
  • 3-4. Technology factor
    • 3-4-1. R&D environment in China
    • 3-4-2. Current production technology of phosphate fertilizers and yellow phosphorus
    • 3-4-3. Enterprise's attitude towards the electricity limited and new technology
    • 3-4-4. Future possible change of technology

4. Qualitative forecast of phosphorus industry in China

  • 4-1. Forecast of available time of phosphorus in China
  • 4-2. Forecast of technology utilized trend of phosphorus in China
  • 4-3. Forecast of competition and survey of players in the industry
  • 4-4. Forecast of phosphorus downstream development in China

List of Tables:

  • Table 1.1.1-1: Types and reserves of phosphorus deposits in China, 2014
  • Table 1.1.1-2: Proved reserves of phosphate rock in main deposit-holding provinces in China, 2014
  • Table 1.1.2-1: Content of phosphate rock in some deposits of China's major deposit-holding provinces
  • Table 1.1.3-1: Mining and rock treatment in China, 2015
  • Table 1.1.3-2: Agents for flotation in phosphate rock treatment after mining in China
  • Table 1.1.3-3: Different flotation methods in different types of phosphate rock
  • Table 1.2.1-1: Distribution of miner of phosphate rock in China, 2012 & 2013
  • Table 1.2.1-2: Major miner of phosphate rock in China, 2013
  • Table 1.2.2-1: Major integrated producers to fertilizers in China, 2013-2014
  • Table 1.2.3-1: Major integrated producers to industrial phosphorus manufactures in China
  • Table 1.3.2.1.2-1: Top five producers of yellow phosphorus in China, 2013
  • Table 1.3.2.3-1: Production and consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2009-2013
  • Table 1.3.2.3-2: Consumption of yellow phosphorus in China by region, 2013, tonne
  • Table 1.3.2.3.1.1-1: Usage of different phosphoric acids in China
  • Table 1.3.2.3.1.2-1: Export volume of food-grade phosphoric acid in China, 2009-2013
  • Table 1.3.2.3.2.1-1: Consumption situation of phosphates in China
  • Table 1.3.2.4-1: Comparision of phosphoric acid by different methods in China
  • Table 1.3.3.1-1: Capacity of major producers of wet-process phosphoric acid in China, 2013
  • Table 1.4-1: Evaluated cost of yellow phosphorus based on different grades of phosphate rocks in China, 2014
  • Table 1.5.1-1: Main factors influencing exploitation cost of phosphate rocks in China
  • Table 1.5.1-2: Evaluated cost of phosphate rock based on different grades of crude ores in China, 2014
  • Table 1.5.1-3: Resource tax reform on phosphate rock in China
  • Table 1.5.1-4: Evaluation on cut-off years and projected cost of phosphate rock in China
  • Table 2.1.1-1: Treatment of phosphorus in China's sewage sludge, 2012
  • Table 2.1.1-2: Process introduction of phosphorus recover in sewage sludge
  • Table 2.1.2-1: Treatment of farming manure for phosphorus recovery
  • Table 2.2-1: Project dealing with phosphorus recovery from sewage sludge in Amerfoort of the Netherlands
  • Table 2.2-2: Partners of PhosFarm Project
  • Table 2.2-3: A project dealing with phosphorus recovery in Austria
  • Table 2.4-1: Some research on phosphorus recovery supported by the Chinese government, 2010-2014
  • Table 2.5-1: Major projects dealing with phosphorus recovery in China, 2012-2014
  • Table 3-1: Conclusion from PEST for China's phosphorus industry
  • Table 3.1.1-1: Timetable of Five-year Plan in China
  • Table 3.1.2-1: Policies and regulations on integrating phosphorus chemical industry in China as of June 2014
  • Table 3.1.2-2: Policies and regulations on phosphate rock mining in China as of June 2014
  • Table 3.1.2-3: Export quota of phosphate rock in China, 2009-2013
  • Table 3.1.2-4: Comprehensive energy-consumption of new-bulid or rebuild device of ammonium phosphate
  • Table 3.1.2-5: Export tariff of MAP and DAP in China, as of 2015
  • Table 3.1.2-6: Requirements for existing yellow phosphorus enterprises in China
  • Table 3.1.2-7: Export tariff and export rebate for yellow phosphorus in China, Jan. 2002-June 2014
  • Table 3.1.5-1: Environmental indicators of new-build or rebuild MAP and DAP in China
  • Table 3.1.5-2: Economic technological indicators set for yellow phosphorus equipment in China
  • Table 3.1.6-1: Entrance threshold of new-build or rebuild phosphorus zone in China
  • Table 3.2.2-1: Development tendency of economy in major regions in the world, 2009-2013
  • Table 3.4.1-1: Major methods of ore-dressing in China
  • Table 4.1-1: Forecast of available time of phosphorus in China

List of Figures:

  • Figure 1.1.1-1: Distribution of phosphorus deposits in China, 2014
  • Figure 1.1.1-2: Share of proved phosphorus reseves in main deposit-holding provinces in China, 2014
  • Figure 1.2.1-1: Output of phosphate rock in China, 2009-2014
  • Figure 1.2.2-1: Yuntianhua Group's revenue share in phosphorus business
  • Figure 1.2.2-2: Anhui Liuguo's revenue share in phosphorus business
  • Figure 1.3.1-1: Output of phosphate fertilizer in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.1-2: Structure of phosphate fertilizer in China, 2013
  • Figure 1.3.1-3: Output structure of high-analysis phosphate fertilizer in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.1-4: Output structure of high-analysis phosphate fertilizer in China, 2013
  • Figure 1.3.1-5: Output of low-analysis phosphate fertilizers in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.1.1-1: Capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.1.3-1: Distribution of major capacity of yellow phosphorus in China by province, 2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.1.3-2: Output structure of yellow phosphorus in China by major production province, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.2-1: Production process of electric furnace method for producing yellow phosphorus in China
  • Figure 1.3.2.3-1: Consumption structure of yellow phosphorus in China by downstream industry, 2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.3-2: Consumption of yellow phosphorus in China by downstream industry, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.3.1.2-1: Export volume of phosphoric acid in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.3.2.2-1: Export situation of phosphates in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.3.3.1-1: Output of phosphorus trichloride in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.3.3.2-1: Export volume of phosphorus trichloride in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.3.3.2-2: Export volume of phosphorus pentoxide in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.3.2.5.1-1: Popular business models for integrated acid application in China, 2015
  • Figure 1.3.2.5.2-1: Business model for integrated non-acid applications in China, 2015
  • Figure 1.3.3.2-1: Export volume of phosphate rock in China, 2008-2013
  • Figure 1.4-1: Quality of phosphate rock in China, 2005-2014
  • Figure 1.5.1-1: Rising cost based on decreasing grades of crude phosphorus ores in China, 2014
  • Figure 1.5.2-1: Ex-works price of phosphate rock in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 1.5.2-2: Ex-works price of phosphate rock in China, Jan. 2013-Dec. 2014
  • Figure 1.5.2-3: Projected price development of phosphate rock in China
  • Figure 1.5.3-1: Output of phosphate fertilizer and yellow phosphorus, 2000-2014, tonne
  • Figure 1.6-1: Apparent consumption of phosphate rock in China, 2009-2014
  • Figure 1.6-2: Comparison of consumption of phosphate rock by downstream products between China and the world, 2012
  • Figure 1.7-1: Development trend of consumption pattern of phosphate rock in China, 2015-2019
  • Figure 2.1.1-1: Discharge of sewage sludge in urban of China, 2008-2012
  • Figure 2.1.1-2: Flow of phosphorus in sewage sludge
  • Figure 2.1.2-1: Flow of phosphorus in farming manure
  • Figure 2.1.3-1: Flow of recoveried phosphorus in yellow phosphorus industry of China
  • Figure 2.3-1: Development of phosphorus recovery in China
  • Figure 3.1.3-1: Apparent consumption volume of phosphate fertilizer in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 3.2.1-1: GDP in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 3.2.1-2: Output value of chemical industry in China, 2009-2013
  • Figure 3.3.1-1: Population and demographic change in China, 2004-2013
  • Figure 3.3.2-1: Urbanizaiton in China, 2004-2013
  • Figure 3.3.3-1: Feature comparison between phosphorus consumed in industrial and agricultural field in China, 2015
  • Figure 3.4.2-1: Production technique of slurry method in China
Back to Top