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市場調查報告書

美國木工產品市場之展望與預測: 2005 / 2006 年版

THE 2005/2006 OUTLOOK FOR THE U.S. MILLWORK INDUSTRY (With Long-Term Forecasts Through 2014)

出版商 Business Trend Analysts
出版日期 2005年02月 商品編碼 29568
內容資訊 英文 440 PAGES
價格
本報告書已不再販售

本報告已在2011年07月19日停止出版。

目錄

The Marketplace

The millwork market includes seven segments: window units, window sash, window and door frames, interior and exterior doors, specialty doors, moldings, and other millwork products. The construction market is among the leading factors affecting demand for millwork products. In addition, the millwork industry can depend on the remodeling/replacement market to boost demand during periods of low construction activity.

In 2003, U.S. manufacturers  sales of millwork products increased by 1.2% to reach $13.9 billion. Stronger competition from vinyl products and other materials, coupled with a weakened economy, has resulted in a slowdown of growth in the millwork market since 2000. Business Trend Analysts expects this slow growth to continue through 2006, when the market will total an estimated $14.5 billion. Millwork sales are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.2% from 2004 to 2014 to reach $15.9 billion in the latter year.

New Construction Market

Trends in new construction activity are among the key ingredients underlying demand patterns in the millwork market. Despite steady gains in the value of public construction, the value of private construction dropped each year from 2001 to 2003. In 2003, the total value of new construction in the U.S. declined by 0.8% to $686.9 billion measured in constant 1996 dollars). Construction activity is expected to stabilize in the coming years as the economy continues to recover.

Remodeling/Replacement Market

The remodeling/replacement market is less volatile than the construction market because these projects generally require smaller amounts of funding. Maintenance and repair work has blossomed in recent years, thanks to the historically low interest rates instituted by the Federal Reserve Board. Housing affordability has surged, which in turn expanded the potential customer base for the millwork industry.

Competition from Vinyl

Demand for vinyl windows has been rising for more than a decade, particularly in the remodeling/replacement market. The material s low maintenance requirements and traditionally lower cost compared to wood are the main contributors to its growing popularity. Although wood continues to hold a slight lead in the market for prime windows used in the new construction industry, vinyl s market share for prime windows used in the remodeling/replacement market has been over 50% since the late 1990s. Vinyl is also leading in the remodeling/replacement market for patio doors.

Foreign Markets

Foreign trade does not play a significant role in the overall market for millwork, although the industry is still affected by global affairs. The U.S. trade deficit for millwork has been rising for well over a decade, as the growth in imports has outpaced the growth in exports since 1990. In 2003, U.S. millwork imports were valued at $1.4 billion, which translated into 9.2% of U.S. apparent consumption. Exports totaled only $267.4 million, representing a mere 1.9% of U.S. manufacturers  sales. For the future, Business Trend Analysts expects that China s growing economy will offer opportunities for domestic millwork suppliers seeking to expand their markets on a global scale.

Industry Consolidation

Consolidation has been an ongoing trend in the millwork industry since the late 1990s. Many of the dominant players have acquired the businesses and other assets of their competitors. Two recent examples of consolidation activity include the 2003 acquisition of American Millwork Corporation by RAF Industries, Inc., and Masonite International s purchase of a 75% interest in Kronodoor, a major Eastern European door manufacturer, in July 2004.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

SECTION I: OVERVIEW OF THE U.S. MILLWORK INDUSTRY

Analysis:
The Marketplace
New Construction Market
Remodeling/Replacement Market
Competition from Vinyl
Foreign Markets
Industry Consolidation

SECTION II: THE U.S. MARKET FOR MILLWORK

Analysis:
Overview
The Overall Market
Wood Window Units
Wood Window Sash
Wood Window and Door Frames
Wood Doors
Interior and Exterior Wood Doors
Specialty Wood Doors
Wood Moldings
Other Millwork Products
Tables:
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Millwork:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Wood Window Units:
Dollar and Unit Sales and Average Prices
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type
Unit Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Unit Sales
Growth Comparison for Unit Sales, by Type
Average Prices, by Type
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Wood Window Sash:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Wood Window and Door Frames:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of U.S. Manufacturers  Dollar Sales of Wood Doors
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Wood Interior and Exterior Doors:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Specialty Wood Doors:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Wood Moldings:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Dollar Sales, by Type and Species
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type and Species
U.S. Manufacturers  Sales of Other Millwork Products:
Total
Dollar Sales, by Type
Product Mix of Dollar Sales
Growth Comparison for Dollar Sales, by Type

SECTION III: U.S. CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY AND THE HOUSING MARKET

Analysis:
Overview
The Economy Recovers
New Private Construction
New Private Residential Building Construction
Characteristics of New Housing
Shifting Consumption of Materials in Housing
New Public Construction
Tables:
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
U.S. Gross Private Domestic Investment
U.S. Industrial Production Index
U.S. Disposable Personal Income
U.S. Per Capita Disposable Personal Income
U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures
U.S. Per Capita Personal Consumption Expenditures
Consumer Confidence Index
Interest Rates Charged by U.S. Banks
Value of New Construction in the U.S.:
Total
By Type
New Private Construction, by Type
New Private Residential Building Construction, by Type
Privately Owned Housing Starts:
By Type
Distribution, by Type
By Region
Average Square Feet of Floor Area in New Privately Owned One-Family Housing, by Region
Privately Owned Housing Units Completed:
By Type
By Region
By Number of Stories
By Number of Bathrooms
By Number of Bedrooms
By Types of Parking Facilities
Principal Type of Exterior Wall Material Used in New Privately Owned
One-Family Housing Units Completed
Lumber Costs in a 2,300-Square-Foot Home
Value of New Private Nonresidential Building Construction, by Type
Value of New Public Construction, by Type
Value of New Public Building Construction, by Type

SECTION IV: REMODELING, REPLACEMENT, AND REPAIR ACTIVITY

Analysis:
Overview
Millwork and the Market for Maintenance and Repair Work
Housing Affordability
Sales of Existing Homes
Tables:
Distribution of Expenditures on Owner-Occupied Properties (Graphs):
Replacement Expenditures
Maintenance and Repair Expenditures
Expenditures on Interior Additions
Expenditures on Interior Alterations
Expenditures on Outside Additions and Alterations
Average Annual Consumer Expenditures on Maintenance and Repair
Services and Commodities:
By Region
By Age
By Occupation
Housing Affordability
First-Time Home Buyer Affordability
Average Sale Prices of Existing Single-Family Homes Sold, by Region
Median Sale Prices of Existing Single-Family Homes Sold, by Region
Existing Home Sales, by Region
Existing Apartment, Condominium, and Co-Op Sales, by Region
U.S. Resident Population Trends and Projections
U.S. Resident Population Trends and Projections, by Age Group
Age Distribution of the U.S. Population
U.S. Population and Household Trends and Projections
U.S. Resident Population Projections, by Region
U.S. Resident Population Projections, by State
Distribution of the U.S. Population, by State
Number of Live Births, by Gender

SECTION V: WHOLESALE AND RETAIL DISTRIBUTION OF MILLWORK

Analysis:
Overview
Wholesalers
Retailers
Home Improvement Centers
Tables:
Sales of U.S. Lumber and Other Construction Material Wholesalers
Number of U.S. Lumber, Plywood, and Millwork Wholesalers
Number of U.S. Lumber, Plywood, and Millwork Wholesalers, by
Employment Size
Financial Profile of Lumber and Millwork Wholesalers:
Total
Sorted by Sales
Sorted by Assets
Sales of U.S. Building Material and Supply Retailers
Number of U.S. Lumber and Other Building Material Retailers
Number of U.S. Lumber and Other Building Material Retailers, by
Employment Size
Financial Profile of Home Centers:
Total
Sorted by Sales
Sorted by Assets
Total Retail Sales of Home Improvement Centers
Ranking of the Top 10 Do-It-Yourself Home Center Chains
Market Share of the Top 25 Hardware, Home Center, and Lumberyard
Chains
Distributor Profiles:
Introduction
84 Lumber Company:
Overview
Retail Operations
Component Plants
News
Outlook
Boise Cascade, LLC:
Overview
Boise Building Solutions
Timber
Outlook
The Home Depot, Inc.:
Overview
Products Sold
Home Depot Stores
EXPO Design Center Stores
Other Stores
Store Modernization
Outlook
Financial Summary and Analysis
Lowe s Companies, Inc.:
Overview
Markets
Distribution
Addressing Women
Outlook
Financial Summary and Analysis
Menard, Inc.
Sears, Roebuck and Co.:
Overview
Retail Operations
The Great Indoors
Outlook
Financial Summary and Analysis
Stock Building Supply:
Overview
Growth Through Acquisition
Distribution
Wolseley plc

SECTION VI: MILLWORK CONSUMPTION

Analysis:
Overview
The Prime Window Market
Fiberglass: A Future Threat?
Tables:
Residential Interior Door Shipments
Storm Door Shipments
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows, by Market Segment
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows, by Market Segment (Graph)
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows, by Type (Graph)
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows for New Construction, by Type
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows for New Construction, by Type (Graph)
Material Shares of Unit Shipments of Prime Windows for New Construction (Graph)
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows for Remodeling and Replacement, by Type
Unit Shipments of Prime Windows for Remodeling and Replacement, by Type (Graph)
Material Shares of Unit Shipments of Prime Windows for Remodeling and Replacement (Graph)
Residential Patio Door Usage

SECTION VII: THE U.S. LUMBER SUPPLY

Analysis:
Overview
Lumber Production Rebounds
Softwood Lumber Production
Hardwood Lumber Production
Trade Issues Affecting Supply
Tables:
U.S. Lumber Production, by Type
U.S. Softwood Lumber Production, by Type
U.S. Eastern Lumber Production, by Species
U.S. Western Lumber Production, by Species
Production, Exports, Imports, and U.S. Apparent Consumption of
Softwood Lumber
U.S. Production and Exports of Softwood Lumber, by Detailed Type
Tables: (cont d.)
Production, Exports, Imports, and U.S. Apparent Consumption of
Hardwood Lumber
U.S. Production and Exports of Hardwood Lumber, by Detailed Type
U.S. Lumber Mill Stocks

SECTION VIII: PRICING IN THE U.S. MILLWORK INDUSTRY

Analysis:
Overview
Lumber Prices
Producer Prices for Wood Window Units
Producer Prices for Wood Doors
Producer Prices for Wood Moldings
Tables:
Producer Price Trends:
General Millwork
Wood Window Units
Wood Window Units, by Type
Wood Sash
Wood Window and Door Frames and Door Frames Shipped in Units
Wood Doors
Wood Doors, by Type
Wood Moldings
Other Millwork

SECTION IX: ADVERTISING TRENDS IN THE U.S. MILLWORK INDUSTRY

Analysis:
Overview
Erratic Nature of Media Spending
Leading Advertisers
Advertising Venues
Tables:
Total Media Expenditures by Window and Door Manufacturers
Top Media Spenders Among Window and Door Manufacturers
Top Advertised Brands of Windows and Doors
Media Expenditures by Window and Door Manufacturers, by Company
and Brand

SECTION X: HOME BUILDER BRAND PREFERENCE/USAGE SURVEYS

Analysis:
Introduction
Wood and Wood-Clad Windows
Skylights and Roof Windows
Interior Passage Doors
Entry Doors
Garage Doors
Patio Doors
Decorative Molding/Trim/Columns
Tables:
Quality Ratings:
Wood and Wood-Clad Windows:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Skylights and Roof Windows:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Interior Passage Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Entry Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Garage Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Patio Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Decorative Molding/Trim/Columns:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Brands Used the Most:
Wood and Wood-Clad Windows:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Skylights and Roof Windows:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Interior Passage Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Entry Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Garage Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Patio Doors:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built
Decorative Molding/Trim/Columns:
By Census Region
By Average Home Sale Price
By Number of Units Built

SECTION XI: FOREIGN TRADE ACTIVITY

Analysis:
Overview
U.S. Balance of Trade
U.S. Apparent Consumption of Millwork
U.S. Exports of Millwork Products
A Slow Boat to China
U.S. Imports of Millwork Products
Tables:
Foreign Exchange Rates
Fixed Euro Conversion Rates
U.S. Apparent Consumption of Millwork
U.S. Balance of Trade for Millwork
U.S. Balance of Trade for Millwork, by Type
U.S. Exports of Millwork (Graph)
Top 20 U.S. Export Destinations for Millwork
Dollar Market Shares of the Top 20 U.S. Export Destinations for Millwork
Leading U.S. Export Destinations for Millwork (Graph)
U.S. Exports of Millwork, by Type
U.S. Exports of Millwork, by Country of Destination:
Coniferous Wood Moldings
Nonconiferous Wood Moldings
Wood Windows, French Windows, and Their Frames
Wood Flush Doors
Wood Doors and Their Frames and Thresholds
Wood Blinds, Shutters, and Screens
U.S. Imports of Millwork (Graph)
Top 20 U.S. Import Sources for Millwork
Dollar Market Shares of the Top 20 U.S. Import Sources for Millwork
Leading U.S. Import Sources for Millwork (Graph)
U.S. Imports of Millwork, by Type
U.S. Imports of Millwork, by Country of Origin:
Coniferous Standard Wood Moldings
Other Coniferous Wood Moldings
Nonconiferous Standard Wood Moldings
Other Nonconiferous Wood Moldings
Pine Standard Wood Moldings
Wood Windows, French Windows, and Their Frames
Wood French Doors
Wood Flush Doors
Other Wood Doors and Their Frames and Thresholds
Wood Blinds, Shutters, Screens, and Shades
Wood Blinds, Shutters, Screens, and Shades, Without Louver Boards or Slats

SECTION XII: STRUCTURE OF THE U.S. MILLWORK INDUSTRY

Analysis:
Overview
Operating Structure
Employment Trends
New Capital Expenditures
Consolidation
Number of Establishments
Explanation of Terms
Tables:
The U.S. Millwork Industry:
Operating Structure
Gross Operating Margin
Value Added by Manufacture
Vertical Integration Index
Employment Structure
Total Labor Costs
Average Hourly Earnings of Production Workers
Cost of Living Index for Production Workers
Labor Productivity
Indexes of Real Labor Productivity
New Capital Expenditures
Plant vs. Equipment Expenditures
Ending Inventories
Capacity Utilization Rates
Number of Establishments
Number of Manufacturing Plants, by State and Employment Size
The Plant Manager s Workbook:
How to Use This Section
Gathering Your Data
Developing Your Ratios
How Does Your Plant Stack Up?

SECTION XIII: CORPORATE ACTIVITY

Introduction
Tables:
Financial Profile of Wood Window and Door Manufacturers:
Total
Sorted by Sales
Sorted by Assets
Financial Profile of Manufacturers of Dimension Lumber or Stock Made
from Purchased Lumber or Cut Stock:
Total
Sorted by Sales
Sorted by Assets
Financial Profile of Other Millwork Manufacturers:
Total
Sorted by Sales
Sorted by Assets
Company Profiles:
Andersen Corporation:
Overview
Products
Distribution
Manufacturing
The Centennial Celebration
Project Odyssey
Causeway Lumber Company
Edward Hines Lumber Co.
Griffon Corporation:
Overview
Garage Doors
Manufacturing
Outlook
Financial Summary and Analysis
Hurd Millwork Company, Inc.:
Overview
Products and Distribution
Manufacturing
Total Window Control
Outlook
JELD-WEN, inc.:
Overview
Products
Success of AuraLast
Kolbe & Kolbe Millwork Co., Inc.:
Overview
Products
Distribution
Manufacturing
Marvin Windows and Doors:
Overview
Windows
Doors
Manufacturing and Distribution
Outlook
Masonite International Corporation:
Overview
Manufacturing and Distribution
Global Expansion
Outlook
Financial Summary and Analysis
Milgard Manufacturing, Inc.:
Overview
Manufacturing and Distribution
WoodClad
Masco Corporation
Pella Corporation:
Overview
Products
Manufacturing
News
Pioneer Millworks
Weather Shield Manufacturing, Inc.:
Overview
Products
Manufacturing
Newest Entry Door Line
Weyerhaeuser Company:
Overview
Wood Products
Manufacturing
News
Outlook
Financial Summary and Analysis

APPENDIX A: GLOSSARY OF SELECTED WINDOW TERMS

APPENDIX B: DIRECTORY OF SELECTED U.S. MANUFACTURERS OF MILLWORK

Introduction
Directory
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