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市場調查報告書

撒哈拉以南的非洲的電力產業 (季度更新)

Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report Q4 2016

出版商 BMI Research 商品編碼 358872
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 48 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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撒哈拉以南的非洲的電力產業 (季度更新) Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report Q4 2016
出版日期: 2016年10月05日 內容資訊: 英文 48 Pages
簡介

本報告提供撒哈拉以南的非洲的電力產業調查分析,以今後10年預測為焦點,提供產業分析,各地區的預測分析,產業風險/利潤指數 (RRI) 、產業趨勢等系統性資訊。

BMI的產業分析

  • BMI分析

各地區的預測分析

  • 中東、非洲:地區概要

產業風險/利潤指數 (RRI)

  • 撒哈拉以南的非洲的電力RRI

產業趨勢

  • 非洲
  • 奈及利亞
  • 南非

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目錄
Product Code: 2398-0877

BMI View: Limited power sector reform, a history of underinvestment in power generation facilities and feedstock/water shortages will mean that many of the countries in the region will continue to face power supply shortfalls. Coal is the dominant source of power generation in the SSA - largely due to South Africa's well established coal mining and power generation sector. Cross-regional power sector expansion efforts tend to be centred on boosting hydropower, which represents a relatively cheap and available - albeit volatile - source of power.

  • The SSA region has severe limitations in the power sector, due to a history of underinvestment, which translates into widespread generation shortfalls amid rampant population growth.
  • The inability of SSA governments to ensure that electricity tariffs reflect the cost of maintenance and investment will remain a pertinent hurdle to improving the region's power sector. Barriers to liberalisation will remain substantial, due to vested interests in state-owned utilities, which have culminated in tariffs being set low in order to appease populations with limited spending power. This has in turn weighed on private investment.
  • Cote d'Ivoire maintains its leading position in the SSA Power RRI this quarter; whereas, Zimbabwe continues to trail the pack. Numerous markets have suffered from a deterioration of scores, notably Kenya, Nigeria and Angola - as project delays, feedstock issues and lower oil prices cloud the outlook. The precarious power supply situation in South Africa and Ghana has eased for the time-being, boosting their respective scores marginally
  • In the face of reduced off-take from traditional buyers, power demand growth in SSA holds potential as a niche LNG export destination. We identify Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana and South Africa as the markets with the highest potential. Government support through pricing and offtake agreements is crucial for long-term gas import growth.
  • The SSA will maintain its overreliance on hydropower generation over the next decade, as weak consumer spending power, and opposition to power tariff hikes, will centre power sector expansion efforts on relatively cheap hydropower generation. Hydrological fluctuations will therefore continue to threaten energy security in the region, which will weigh on investor confidence in energy intensive sectors.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View

  • BMI View
    • Table: SSA Headline Power Forecasts

Regional Forecast Analysis

  • MEA: Key Themes
    • Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status

Industry Risk Reward Index

  • SSA Power Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)

Industry Trends

  • Sub Saharan Africa - Power Demand Growth Supports Niche LNG Offtake
    • Table: Select SAA Countries - Forecast Annual Average Growth Rates, % (2016-2025)
  • Sub Saharan: Hydropower Overreliance To Define Regional Power Landscape
  • Replicating REIPPP Success Faces Significant Hurdles

Glossary

  • Table: Glossary Of Terms

Methodology

  • Methodology And Sources
    • Industry Forecast Methodology
    • Sources
    • Risk/Reward Index Methodology
      • Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
      • Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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