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市場調查報告書

中東、非洲各國 (MENA) 的石油&天然氣產業 (季度更新報告)

Middle East And North Africa Oil and Gas Report Q2 2017

出版商 BMI Research 商品編碼 358870
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 52 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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中東、非洲各國 (MENA) 的石油&天然氣產業 (季度更新報告) Middle East And North Africa Oil and Gas Report Q2 2017
出版日期: 2017年04月05日 內容資訊: 英文 52 Pages
簡介

本報告提供中東、非洲各國 (以下MENA) 石油、天然氣產業結構和最新趨勢相關分析,今後10年的蘊藏量、生產量、消費量、貿易量趨勢估計,產業的課題(風險)和未來商機(利潤)相關評估,各國詳細趨勢等資訊彙整,為您概述為以下內容。

BMI的見解

域內市場預測分析

  • 中東的石油&天然氣產業概要
  • 石油生產量:市場兩極化
  • 石油消費量:由於輔助金制度的改革,需求成長率低
  • 石油煉製能力:供給過剩狀態的市場上,巨大煉油廠的優勢
  • 天然氣生產量:天然氣生產能力的進一步擴大的必要性
  • 天然氣消費量:轉換成天然氣火力發電的需求劇增

產業的風險/利潤指數 (RRI)

  • 中東的石油&天然氣市場風險/利潤指數
  • 上游工程:價格下降趨勢的RRI的復甦
  • 下游工程:有限的市場機會

產業趨勢

  • 中東:歐洲市場上俄羅斯的崛起,與附隨的風險
  • 中東:重新評估燃料價格,不管赤字消除,消費量停留在一定水準
  • 伊拉克:由於輔助金削減,生產量預計僅限於一定水準
  • 伊朗:歐洲、印度的增產預測

價格預測

  • 全球:不是OPEC,美國左右今後的石油價格
  • 全球:日韓市場 (JKM) - 供給過剩造成價格崩落

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目錄
Product Code: 2398-0818

BMI View: The Middle East will remain a core engine of oil production growth over the coming years. However, OPEC's renewed interventionism in the market may raise a challenge to the region's significant growth potential over the near term. On the demand side the outlook has weakened materially, due to the impacts of wide-ranging subsidy reforms.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

  • The Middle East will remain a core driver of oil production growth over the coming years. Large reserves and low cost structures have seen investment in the region remain resilient in the face of the wider industry downturn.
  • The region's growth potential lies somewhat in conflict with the central role of its producers in the OPEC, non-OPEC production cut deal. The cartel has set itself a high benchmark with compliance holding above 90% in the YTD. We believe it will be unable to fully step back from the market in H217 and may be force to rollover the cut deal in some form.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View

Regional Forecast Analysis

  • Middle East Oil & Gas Regional Overview
    • Oil Production: Output Cut To Have Marginal Impact
      • Table: Marginal Impact On 2017 Output From Cut (mn b/d)
    • Oil Consumption: Subsidy Reform Tempering Demand
      • Table: Average Gasoline Pump Price June 2015 & December 2016 (USD/Litre)
    • Refining Capacity: Mega Refineries To Support Economic Diversification
    • Gas Production: Gas Projects Move Forward
    • Gas Consumption: Industrial Growth And Power Strengthen Consumption
      • Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Production, Refining Capacity & Trade

Industry Risk Reward Index

  • Industry Risk Reward Ratings

Industry Trends

  • Global - Rig Count Underscores Middle East Ascendance
  • Middle East - Refined Fuels Demand Hit By Ongoing Subsidy Reforms
    • Table: Saudi Arabia Fuel Prices Rise
  • Global - OPEC: High Benchmark Raises Expectations
    • Table: OPEC Compliance Monitor
  • Saudi Arabia - Maintaining Tactical Market Intervention To The End Of The Decade
  • Iran - Heightened Political Risk To Delay Investment

Price Forecasts

  • Global - Brent: Upside Break Faces H2 Resistance
    • Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus*, Brent And WTI Forecasts, USD/bbl
    • Table: Risks To Outlook

Glossary

  • Table: Glossary of Terms

Methodology

  • Industry Forecast Methodology
  • Source
  • Risk/Reward Index Methodology
    • Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: Weighting
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