Vietnam Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016
|出版日期||內容資訊||英文 47 Pages
|越南的貨物運輸產業分析 Vietnam Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016|
|出版日期: 2016年11月09日||內容資訊: 英文 47 Pages||
BMI View:: We maintain a bullish view on trade growth in Vietnam, although we have made another downgrade to Vietnam's real GDP growth forecast. Exports of manufactured goods will fare well, supporting the country's intermodal freight transport sector.
The outlook for the Vietnamese road haulage sector remains very robust, and growth will average over 7% over the course of our medium-term forecast period to 2020. Volume growth will be driven primarily by ongoing expansion in Vietnam's manufacturing sector, which will benefit particularly from strong consumer demand in major export market the US. Equally, domestic demand for containerised consumer goods will also support volume growth.
Volume growth in the Vietnamese rail freight sector will be moderate but steady over the next several years as any expansion is curtailed by the dilapidated nature of the country's rail infrastructure. Over the mediumto- long-term, growth will be supported by ongoing investment in the sector, as the government seeks to meet its targets for the volume of goods transported by rail. Should the major north-south high-speed railway line be given the green light by the national assembly, then rail freight volumes would receive a major long-term boost following its completion.