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鐵金屬的全球市場分析 (以季度為基礎)

Global Steel Metals Report Q4 2017

出版商 BMI Research 商品編碼 355770
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 90 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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鐵金屬的全球市場分析 (以季度為基礎) Global Steel Metals Report Q4 2017
出版日期: 2017年10月11日 內容資訊: 英文 90 Pages

本報告提供全球鐵金屬 (鋼鐵) 市場最新趨勢相關分析,目前市場上主要趨勢、結構的變化,及近來的供給量、需求量、貿易量、交易價格趨勢,主要企業的業績和策略發展情形等相關調查。


  • BMI的見解


  • 鐵金屬的國際價格的預測
    • 短期預測 (3∼6個月)
    • 長期預測



  • 對抗全球性市場縮小的巴西、澳洲


  • 企業簡介


  • 鋼鐵的生產平衡
  • 生產量的預測
  • 消費量的預測


Product Code: 2397-5172

BMI View: We are revising up our steel price forecast for 2017 from USD530/tonne to USD585/tonne and from USD500/tonne to USD540/tonne for 2018. This is due to resilient Chinese demand growth from longterm infrastructure and construction projects initiated during H216-Q117. Prices will start to ease towards the end of 2017 as infrastructure and construction project pipelines in China start thinning with the government's renewed focus on shifting economic growth away from heavy industry towards services after the 19th National Party Congress.

Latest Developments And Structural Trends

Price Forecast:

  • We forecast steel prices to remain elevated, trading between USD580-630/tonne, until the 19th National Party Congress in China at least before starting to ease from December 2017. The main driver of this more positive view on steel prices than we previously held is a less negative near-term outlook on China's economic growth. While we still expect real GDP growth in the country to slow from the robust 6.9% yo-y expansion in H117, this downturn will take longer than we anticipated several months ago. The spike in infrastructure projects initiated over Q116-Q117 has continued to boost demand for building materials in subsequent months. We expect it will be late-2017 or early 2018 before a thinner project pipeline starts to drag significantly on steel prices.

Table of Contents

Industry View

BMI View

  • Table: Steel Price Forecast

Price Forecast

  • Global - Steel: Prices To Remain High In 2017 Before Easing In 2018
    • Table: Steel Price Forecast

Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)

Long-Term Outlook

  • Table: Global Steel Forecast

Global Trends In Supply, Demand & Trade

  • Steel: Shrinking Surplus Before Market Deficit In 2020
    • Table: Global - Steel Forecasts (2015-2021)
  • Supply: China To Remain Key Producer
    • Table: Select Countries - Crude Steel Production Forecasts, '000 tonnes (2015-2021)
  • Demand: Weak Growth, Though Bright Spots Remain
    • Table: Select Countries - Steel Consumption Forecast (2015-2021)

Mine Supply: Iron Ore

  • Global - Iron Ore: Growth At A Standstill
    • Table: Select Countries - Major New Iron Ore Projects
  • Competitive Landscape
    • Table: Crude Steel Production Market Share By Country/Region (%), 2015
    • Table: Largest Listed Steel Producers By Market Capitalisation

Company Profile

  • Tata Steel Ltd
    • Table: Steel Price Forecast

Company Strategy

  • Table: Tata Steel - Key Financial Data
    • Table: POSCO - Key Financial Data
  • Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL)
    • Table: SAIL - Supply Chain Analysis
    • Table: SAIL - Key Financial Data
  • Emirates Steel
  • China Steel Corporation
    • Table: China Steel Corporation - Financial Results
  • Hesteel Group (Hebei Iron Ore and Steel)
    • Table: Hesteel - Key Financial Data
  • ArcelorMittal

Company Strategy

  • Financial Data
    • Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
  • China Steel Corporation
    • Table: China Steel Corporation - Financial Results


  • Steel: Production Balance
    • Table: Global - Steel Forecasts (2014-2021)
  • Production Forecast
    • Table: Select Countries - Crude Steel Production Forecasts (2015-2021)
  • Consumption Forecast
    • Table: Select Countries - Crude Steel Consumption Forecast (2015-2021)


Cross Checks

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