India Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q1 2017
|出版日期||內容資訊||英文 62 Pages
|印度的貨物運輸、裝船分析 India Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q1 2017|
|出版日期: 2017年02月08日||內容資訊: 英文 62 Pages||
BMI View: India will enjoy positive real growth in trade over the course of our forecast period, although this will be driven by exports offsetting a decline in imports in the year ending March 2017. The strength in exports over imports growth is largely explained by the positive effects of the government's Make in India campaign, which will remove the need for some imports as import substitution is encouraged. Global contagion from the Brexit vote could weigh on exports in the years ahead, although we believe that a potential separate trade deal with the UK could offset much of the negative effects of this.
We are positive towards the Indian road haulage sector, as concerted government efforts to boost the country's manufacturing hub will lead to increasing demand for the transport of containerised consumer goods, both for domestic consumption and export. This increased demand for goods will be supported by ongoing investment into the country's road network. There are a raft of new projected underway, with both government and multilateral funding.
Indian rail freight volumes will see volume growth supported by the Make-In-India campaign which will bolster demand for the intermodal transport of manufactured goods in India. While we expect that this will be the most dynamic growth driver in 2016 and 2017, the mining and agricultural sectors will also offer some support. Ongoing investment in new railway lines, and the potential for high-speed rail to be developed by Indian Railways in partnership with global operators will support the ongoing growth of the already massive freight transport sector; rail freight volumes will account for a sizeable 13.4% of India's freight transport mix in 2016/17.